bowater's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com http://seekingalpha.comuser/56560/comments http://seekingalpha.com/article/176818-is-december-the-new-january-for-small-caps?source=feed#comment-799507 799507 In January the stock could rally on light volume because in January there were no more tax loss sellers or profit takers because no one had a profit and no one take a tax loss in January.( two reasons why stocks come under pressure are tax loss selling and profit taking. In this example neither were present.)(In the old days 6 months was short term for tax purposes.)]]> Thu, 10 Dec 2009 08:26:39 -0500 In January the stock could rally on light volume because in January there were no more tax loss sellers or profit takers because no one had a profit and no one take a tax loss in January.( two reasons why stocks come under pressure are tax loss selling and profit taking. In this example neither were present.)(In the old days 6 months was short term for tax purposes.)]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/147677-ubs-s-irs-woes-have-swiss-worried?source=feed#comment-580285 580285 The Obama adm. is bullying the Swiss to break their laws to comply with ours. This is Obama's new foreign policy of "listen and learn"? How about if the Mexicans start bullying the US to comply with their laws. this is laughable. the current US Administration should back off bullying the Swiss. Obama and his croneys are subscribing to the "gentle, listen and learn, non dictating policy" to Iran and North Korea. To the Swiss not a chance. The Swiss won't fight back with bombs and killings. Obama has a different policy for them. Dictate to them. Have them comply with OUR tax laws.Soon the EU countries will use this as precedent and demand that the US comply with their tax laws. Then all the EU citizens will take their money out of our banks and our economy will COLLAPSE! The US is a big tax haven for foreigners. Non resident aliens pay no taxes on interest earned in the US. Are we going to give up those names when the EU countries demand them?]]> Thu, 09 Jul 2009 08:52:45 -0400 The Obama adm. is bullying the Swiss to break their laws to comply with ours. This is Obama's new foreign policy of "listen and learn"? How about if the Mexicans start bullying the US to comply with their laws. this is laughable. the current US Administration should back off bullying the Swiss. Obama and his croneys are subscribing to the "gentle, listen and learn, non dictating policy" to Iran and North Korea. To the Swiss not a chance. The Swiss won't fight back with bombs and killings. Obama has a different policy for them. Dictate to them. Have them comply with OUR tax laws.Soon the EU countries will use this as precedent and demand that the US comply with their tax laws. Then all the EU citizens will take their money out of our banks and our economy will COLLAPSE! The US is a big tax haven for foreigners. Non resident aliens pay no taxes on interest earned in the US. Are we going to give up those names when the EU countries demand them?]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/147735-swiss-bank-accounts-the-u-s-and-me?source=feed#comment-580277 580277 The Obama adm. is bullying the Swiss to break their laws to comply with ours. This is Obama's new foreign policy of "listen and learn"? How about if the Mexicans start bullying the US to comply with their laws. this is laughable. the current US Administration should back off bullying the Swiss. Obama and his croneys are subscribing to the "gentle, listen and learn, non dictating policy" to Iran and North Korea. To the Swiss not a chance. The Swiss won't fight back with bombs and killings. Obama has a different policy for them. Dictate to them. Have them comply with OUR tax laws.Soon the EU countries will use this as precedent and demand that the US comply with their tax laws. Then all the EU citizens will take their money out of our banks and our economy will COLLAPSE! The US is a big tax haven for foreigners. Non resident aliens pay no taxes on interest earned in the US. Are we going to give up those names when the EU countries demand them?
Did Obama stand up to the Iranian gov't and demand that they comply with our laws of freedom to assemble,speech,press,... Did Obama stand up to the North Koreans? No.
But he stood up to the Swiss.
Pres. Reagan stood up to the Russians
Pres. Obama stood up to the Swiss.
]]> Thu, 09 Jul 2009 08:47:57 -0400 The Obama adm. is bullying the Swiss to break their laws to comply with ours. This is Obama's new foreign policy of "listen and learn"? How about if the Mexicans start bullying the US to comply with their laws. this is laughable. the current US Administration should back off bullying the Swiss. Obama and his croneys are subscribing to the "gentle, listen and learn, non dictating policy" to Iran and North Korea. To the Swiss not a chance. The Swiss won't fight back with bombs and killings. Obama has a different policy for them. Dictate to them. Have them comply with OUR tax laws.Soon the EU countries will use this as precedent and demand that the US comply with their tax laws. Then all the EU citizens will take their money out of our banks and our economy will COLLAPSE! The US is a big tax haven for foreigners. Non resident aliens pay no taxes on interest earned in the US. Are we going to give up those names when the EU countries demand them?
Did Obama stand up to the Iranian gov't and demand that they comply with our laws of freedom to assemble,speech,press,... Did Obama stand up to the North Koreans? No.
But he stood up to the Swiss.
Pres. Reagan stood up to the Russians
Pres. Obama stood up to the Swiss.
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112922-five-actionable-ideas-for-2009?source=feed#comment-344223 344223
If the selling continues in the first week in Jan of 2009 on a stock that should have bounced up, that company is in trouble.. be careful. it could take a long time to recover or could go belly up.]]> Fri, 02 Jan 2009 11:22:30 -0500
If the selling continues in the first week in Jan of 2009 on a stock that should have bounced up, that company is in trouble.. be careful. it could take a long time to recover or could go belly up.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112391-two-calculated-risks-possibly-worth-taking?source=feed#comment-339676 339676 this its my criteria for the January bounce of at least 50%.

CYPB is not my idea of a January bounce. It will move if approval by FDA.]]> Sun, 28 Dec 2008 09:44:49 -0500 this its my criteria for the January bounce of at least 50%.

CYPB is not my idea of a January bounce. It will move if approval by FDA.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112247-taking-advantage-of-the-january-effect?source=feed#comment-338599 338599
it is based on taxes.]]> Fri, 26 Dec 2008 09:14:11 -0500
it is based on taxes.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112247-taking-advantage-of-the-january-effect?source=feed#comment-338592 338592
Stocks go up and down based on buying and selling. other than trading on inside information, Dec and Jan trading is the most profitable.

the best trade is finding an IPO priced high in Jan of 2008 and now is Dec trading at 25% of the high.

It has a double tax loss because EVERYONE in the stock is short term.
It will bounce big in Jan 2009.]]> Fri, 26 Dec 2008 09:09:24 -0500
Stocks go up and down based on buying and selling. other than trading on inside information, Dec and Jan trading is the most profitable.

the best trade is finding an IPO priced high in Jan of 2008 and now is Dec trading at 25% of the high.

It has a double tax loss because EVERYONE in the stock is short term.
It will bounce big in Jan 2009.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112247-taking-advantage-of-the-january-effect?source=feed#comment-338086 338086
it is based on fact.

what causes stocks to go down or stay down.....selling(profi... taking or tax loss selling)

in my examples of the picks in December, there is no profit taking, only tax loss selling in these.
almost no one takes a tax loss in January. so the selling pressure is off the stock.
the profit takers in January are investors that shorted the stock at high prices in the early part of the year. they are buyers covering their shorts.
this buying moves the stock higher.

if they shorted a stock at $10.00 and it is now $2.00, they cover.

Covering at $2.00 or $3.00 is fine. YOU buy at $2.00 in Dec and sell at $3.00 in Jan.
I have seen stocks that were $8.00 that are now .55 cents. o.k. companies. these could go to $1.00 or more.



]]> Thu, 25 Dec 2008 10:31:38 -0500
it is based on fact.

what causes stocks to go down or stay down.....selling(profi... taking or tax loss selling)

in my examples of the picks in December, there is no profit taking, only tax loss selling in these.
almost no one takes a tax loss in January. so the selling pressure is off the stock.
the profit takers in January are investors that shorted the stock at high prices in the early part of the year. they are buyers covering their shorts.
this buying moves the stock higher.

if they shorted a stock at $10.00 and it is now $2.00, they cover.

Covering at $2.00 or $3.00 is fine. YOU buy at $2.00 in Dec and sell at $3.00 in Jan.
I have seen stocks that were $8.00 that are now .55 cents. o.k. companies. these could go to $1.00 or more.



]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112247-taking-advantage-of-the-january-effect?source=feed#comment-338063 338063
More money can be made with individual stocks. More work, more profit.

I don't think any ETF will be up 100% by January 15th,2009

But some stocks in the ETF will.

you must find those stocks.

here is how I proceed:
1) find a company that will not go out of business in the next 2 years.
2) make sure that the stock of this company was shorted at high prices during 2008.
3) this stock must be able to double from the current price and not
reach 50% of the 2008 high to be a candidate.

if you find ones that meets this criteria, you will have winners.


these are your big winners. the reason is simple: no tax loss selling in
January (selling pressure lifted) the shorts will cover because no taxes til
April of 2010.

I have been doing this since 1972.


]]> Thu, 25 Dec 2008 09:44:07 -0500
More money can be made with individual stocks. More work, more profit.

I don't think any ETF will be up 100% by January 15th,2009

But some stocks in the ETF will.

you must find those stocks.

here is how I proceed:
1) find a company that will not go out of business in the next 2 years.
2) make sure that the stock of this company was shorted at high prices during 2008.
3) this stock must be able to double from the current price and not
reach 50% of the 2008 high to be a candidate.

if you find ones that meets this criteria, you will have winners.


these are your big winners. the reason is simple: no tax loss selling in
January (selling pressure lifted) the shorts will cover because no taxes til
April of 2010.

I have been doing this since 1972.


]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/112138-2009-will-be-a-small-cap-world-after-all?source=feed#comment-337836 337836 The Reason: no tax loss selling in January. and the shorts will cover in January. (the profit taking shorts don't have to pay taxes for 15 months, if they take profits in Dec, they have to pay taxes in four months.)

I became a stockbroker in October of 1972. during the Dec of 1972 and Jan of 1973 I discovered that this scenario took place. I didn't call it the "January effect", but I used it in my stock picking for customers for years after that. Then somebody mentioned it on CNBC and called it the "January effect" I made a lot of money for customers over the years before CNBC mentioned it. then it became more difficult.

I would bet I was the first to use this theory. it will work this year..
]]> Wed, 24 Dec 2008 19:04:06 -0500 The Reason: no tax loss selling in January. and the shorts will cover in January. (the profit taking shorts don't have to pay taxes for 15 months, if they take profits in Dec, they have to pay taxes in four months.)

I became a stockbroker in October of 1972. during the Dec of 1972 and Jan of 1973 I discovered that this scenario took place. I didn't call it the "January effect", but I used it in my stock picking for customers for years after that. Then somebody mentioned it on CNBC and called it the "January effect" I made a lot of money for customers over the years before CNBC mentioned it. then it became more difficult.

I would bet I was the first to use this theory. it will work this year..
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/110331-the-january-effect-small-caps-outperform-after-really-bad-years?source=feed#comment-328258 328258
here's the way to make the $$$$$

example: if the high on the stock in 2008 was 20.00 and is now trading at 5.00, it is a buy.

here is the rule: if the stock doubles from today's price and could go to about 50% of the high on the year, it is a buy.

another example: high for 2008......3.00 now trading at .75 cents....buy it]]> Sat, 13 Dec 2008 12:08:07 -0500
here's the way to make the $$$$$

example: if the high on the stock in 2008 was 20.00 and is now trading at 5.00, it is a buy.

here is the rule: if the stock doubles from today's price and could go to about 50% of the high on the year, it is a buy.

another example: high for 2008......3.00 now trading at .75 cents....buy it]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/110075-cramer-s-stop-trading-they-know-nothing-12-9-08?source=feed#comment-325377 325377
At the present time, the exchanges report the long trades (buy, sell)on the tape and "time and sales" transaction for reporting services. (reuters,etc)

What they don't report is the short sale or buy to cover, when it occurs.

The shorts have a great advantage in that the short position on a stock is reported only twice a month. Why should an investor wait 2 weeks to find out the short position, knowing that it may not be accurate.
There is no reason that the short sale or the buy to cover cannot be reported in real time, just like the long trades. (buy,sell)
Our technology will allow it, why doesn't it happen?
The ticker on the tape would look like this:

s3000T (short 3000 ATT)

bc3000T (buy to cover 3000 ATT)

At the end of the day, all the trades should be reported, including short sales and short covering.

T vol 3,699,700 s197,200 bc34,000

It would also be easy to keep a running total of the shares short.

tss678,534 (total shares short
This is one way to level the playing field with the shorts.
This is full disclosure
]]> Wed, 10 Dec 2008 08:56:28 -0500
At the present time, the exchanges report the long trades (buy, sell)on the tape and "time and sales" transaction for reporting services. (reuters,etc)

What they don't report is the short sale or buy to cover, when it occurs.

The shorts have a great advantage in that the short position on a stock is reported only twice a month. Why should an investor wait 2 weeks to find out the short position, knowing that it may not be accurate.
There is no reason that the short sale or the buy to cover cannot be reported in real time, just like the long trades. (buy,sell)
Our technology will allow it, why doesn't it happen?
The ticker on the tape would look like this:

s3000T (short 3000 ATT)

bc3000T (buy to cover 3000 ATT)

At the end of the day, all the trades should be reported, including short sales and short covering.

T vol 3,699,700 s197,200 bc34,000

It would also be easy to keep a running total of the shares short.

tss678,534 (total shares short
This is one way to level the playing field with the shorts.
This is full disclosure
]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/106772-eyeing-a-ferocious-snap-back-in-small-caps?source=feed#comment-310742 310742
start buying micro caps now.

SWHC, TSTR, ALVR, ENG]]> Thu, 20 Nov 2008 09:52:00 -0500
start buying micro caps now.

SWHC, TSTR, ALVR, ENG]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/96202-is-emcore-blinded-by-the-light?source=feed#comment-285624 285624 Sun, 19 Oct 2008 11:14:29 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/96600-leds-rise-as-biofuels-sink-week-ending-9-19?source=feed#comment-261196 261196 Mon, 22 Sep 2008 08:05:57 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/93325-what-happened-to-peak-oil?source=feed#comment-242419 242419 we must drill everywhere, use solar, wind, fuel cells, waves, nuclear,etc.
we need more refineries. coal to gas.

]]> Sun, 31 Aug 2008 08:14:49 -0400 we must drill everywhere, use solar, wind, fuel cells, waves, nuclear,etc.
we need more refineries. coal to gas.

]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/92380-carbon-allowance-futures-commence-u-s-trading?source=feed#comment-238211 238211
these so called instruments destroyed our economy.

we should trade only stocks and bonds on the stock market..]]> Mon, 25 Aug 2008 08:04:47 -0400
these so called instruments destroyed our economy.

we should trade only stocks and bonds on the stock market..]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/92221-petrochina-gets-green-light-to-trade-carbon-indicators?source=feed#comment-237086 237086 all these crazy hedging ideas are crazy.

]]> Sat, 23 Aug 2008 08:36:17 -0400 all these crazy hedging ideas are crazy.

]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/87342-5-sustainable-investments-everyone-should-consider-plus-1-honorable-mention?source=feed#comment-216344 216344
for water.]]> Mon, 28 Jul 2008 09:18:28 -0400
for water.]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/87342-5-sustainable-investments-everyone-should-consider-plus-1-honorable-mention?source=feed#comment-216309 216309
irproducts.com]]> Mon, 28 Jul 2008 08:53:42 -0400
irproducts.com]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/87338-too-late-to-the-oil-party-consider-an-alternative-part-ii?source=feed#comment-216307 216307
irproducts.com]]> Mon, 28 Jul 2008 08:52:45 -0400
irproducts.com]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/87332-things-that-go-boom-in-the-night-semgroup-energy?source=feed#comment-216302 216302 irproducts.com]]> Mon, 28 Jul 2008 08:48:31 -0400 irproducts.com]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/86884-gt-solar-picks-the-wrong-day-to-go-public?source=feed#comment-214374 214374 there is a company in Minnesota that can transport the oil sands slurry without damaging the pipe.


irproducts.com]]> Fri, 25 Jul 2008 11:16:33 -0400 there is a company in Minnesota that can transport the oil sands slurry without damaging the pipe.


irproducts.com]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/85905-what-the-new-interest-in-saskatchewan-oil-sands-means-for-oilsands-quest?source=feed#comment-210434 210434
irproducts.com]]> Mon, 21 Jul 2008 08:38:25 -0400
irproducts.com]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/84627-the-long-case-for-canadian-oil-sands-trust?source=feed#comment-203609 203609 In the "normal piplines" the tar sands oil contains a lot of sludge and wrecks the insides of the pipes.
there is a company in Minnesota that has products that prevent the pipes from being damaged by the sludge.
Yahoo finance has a little on it, but you will have to go to the website to get the info. irproducts.com
INRB.pk

]]> Sat, 12 Jul 2008 09:47:39 -0400 In the "normal piplines" the tar sands oil contains a lot of sludge and wrecks the insides of the pipes.
there is a company in Minnesota that has products that prevent the pipes from being damaged by the sludge.
Yahoo finance has a little on it, but you will have to go to the website to get the info. irproducts.com
INRB.pk

]]> http://seekingalpha.com/article/84200-who-will-crack-the-cigs-nut-in-thin-film?source=feed#comment-201267 201267 Wed, 09 Jul 2008 09:25:15 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/82290-new-wind-energy-etf-is-not-just-hot-air?source=feed#comment-191410 191410 Mon, 23 Jun 2008 21:11:34 -0400 http://seekingalpha.com/article/79261-shining-light-on-emcore?source=feed#comment-177476 177476 Sun, 01 Jun 2008 08:38:19 -0400