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  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    I love saturday!
    Jun 26, 2015. 12:44 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    Hey Zealot, I am in stocks for the best returns and am now sitting on 20% losses on this investment. That would translate into a wait for next quarter plus this pending law suit to come out in our favour.

    In my last two posts the charts showed me the direction was down as there was no upwards momentum being created pre earnings and my stomach said that this article and all the contributors to it as a majority knew something. Maybe that is right but in an investment horizon I should have got out with a .20 cent profit and waited for confirmation of a turnaround instead of having a 20% paper loss in the short term.

    I would say that all of the positive writers here, in my opinion, are in it for the long term, are retired or retiring and maybe have no need for income stocks. No offense to anyone intended.

    FOR ME investing is getting it right riding an upwards trend and trying to time reversal. I have a good track record and bought last week FB, MBLY (sold), UHS, Gild (SOLD) AGIO up from 94 to 120 and now back in. MU was the underdog and I got greedy and made a call that gave me a 2% return but then my greed got the better off me even though the signal was there it was going to get hammered.

    The Charts are not backward looking but forward as they take all information and build it into a forward price and this stagnation by MU around 24 was a clear give away.

    The pt of 34/36 usd I assume takes all the information into account in this article and the rally would start when the law suit is decided.

    Anyway, it is a risk on risk off world, getting disappointed is part of the exercise.
    One disgruntled investor today, tomorrow is a new day. New investments.....
    Have a great weekend everyone.
    Jun 26, 2015. 10:17 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    I dont get it! Why are all of you so positive? The Stock chart looks dead and you sing praises of it! Please explain the positivity?
    Jun 26, 2015. 03:15 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    Wow, stock has not moved much into earnings apart from falling to its 52 week low, great price point to buy if expecting it to beat earnings and revenue expectation vs q4 last year. But it is a contrarian view as the majority expect it to fall hence it fell. The chart is forming a bottom and it should have moved up. It did not. Uncertainty is a mother of all f.....ups!
    "on average, MU has posted a one-day move of 5.3% in the session adjacent to its last eight quarterly reports. Based on the equity's near-term ATM straddle, a 6.6% shift is expected this time around." Schaeffers view
    Jun 25, 2015. 07:41 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Greece showdown: Tsipras given ultimatum [View news story]
    So much noise over 1.5 billion, default remember 2012! This Is all show, noise, stock markets are just meandering on this 1.5 billion expectation.
    What my expectations are in the remaining year:
    1. Greece saved from default
    2. Stock markets 10% up until September until first o.025% interest rate hike, a pebble in a sea, markets fall on this incredible useless news which they have had two years to price in
    3. Markets rise into December with turbulence in Europe, China bubble, UK exit from Eu discussions and greece exit back on table.

    What to buy on a dip: twx, cvs, FB,aapl, unh, bib, mdt, Googl, psx and Ba.
    Jun 25, 2015. 07:21 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    I am long too but follow all the noise searching for discrepancies.......
    Jun 22, 2015. 03:31 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    No somehow when you see their PT they are always huge and outside the median......But still why did they do that!
    Jun 22, 2015. 03:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Indicators Hit Historic Highs [View article]
    2 hikes this year and if not for Greece the first hike would have occurred. Currently the consensus is SEPT AND DEC.
    Jun 22, 2015. 03:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    GS downgrades MU to sell.....wow
    Jun 22, 2015. 09:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    GS downgrade MU to sell with a PT of 19 USD ........Goldman Sachs stuft Micron von Neutral auf Sell ab und senkt Kursziel von $27 auf $19.
    Jun 22, 2015. 08:32 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    Hahaha thanks a good laugh is better than weeping, there are so many better opportunities out there then Micron, unfortunately.
    Pre-market: 23.94 -0.53 (-2.17%)
    Jun 22, 8:25AM EDT
    What happened!
    Jun 22, 2015. 08:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    markets moving and MU sleeping.......
    Jun 18, 2015. 04:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Indicators Hit Historic Highs [View article]
    what is good is that this impeding stampade has left the cowboys with less cattle so everyone is waiting for this to happen and then buy low but the smart money has already gone to Europe.Why worry about Interest rates when you can buy at 0% in Europe! Buy European stock or ETFs. Allianz, Daimler, Volkswagen, Continental, BB biotech good stuff for this year and all large cap.
    Jun 17, 2015. 10:03 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel And Micron: The Purple Swan [View article]
    Looking at it prudently- Less money has flowed into the markets in 2014/2015 as in 2009/2013 because statistics say historic bull cycles are 5 years. Again that is historic and the present is constantly changing. No one saw such monetary policy, no one saw the sub prime mortgage crisis. No one saw Mario draghi, BOJ, boc all doing QE. but THE MARKETS HAVE BUILT IN THE OVERSUPPLY OF DRAM and that is why MU has tanked. Has it bottomed, looks like it but there are other factors involved.

    The economy is healing a healthy correction is due everyone knows it but no one can time it. There is a divergence between US and European equity as half the money has flowed out of US equity into European, mostly German equity after Jan 22, 2015, see the money inflow in European index ETFs.

    Next crisis is a QE crisis!

    There is so much congestion at the top that a fall should be expected but with the right triggers- interest rate hikes differed to Dec, Greece bailout plan affirmation we should see a huge jump on the other hand the indexes will fall like a rock.

    The S&P 500 on a monthly chart has shot straight up since Oct 2011 and that trendline has been tested and not broken so is it going to correct then it would need to fall below 2042 and confirm that the next month for it fall towards 2004/ 1904 a 6 to 10% correction.

    If the Dow falls below 17600 on the monthly chart and confirms this position after a month then it will fall to 15857/15306 a healthy 11/14% correction.

    Then it will rise to 20171,32%within a period of 12 months.
    As of today it is range bound on a daily chart, bouncing of the lower trendline.

    It all makes sense depending on the horizon that ones playing field provides.

    On a daily chart with all the noise the S&P looks poised to rise to 2120/2130 as long as it does not close below 2074 then it would fall to 2035/1990.

    What does this have to do with MU, everything as MU fell 32% this year while the markets are pretty much zero djia +.46% YTD and S&P 1.19% YTD. MU is bottoming and all the speculative well written news has not yet acted as a catalyst. Quarterly report buildup should start and a 10% move should start. If any of the speculation becomes news we should see the spike.
    Jun 17, 2015. 06:04 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Indicators Hit Historic Highs [View article]
    Awesome charts. You are 50% short of what since Dec 2014? Where is the divergence between your indicators and the markets, what time frame are you looking at? Why you showing a daily chart since 1972 when you can show a monthly chart and remove all the noise?
    You say 10/20% correction but there is no evidence that is the statistic. Similar to saying 61.8% retracement. It looks like that everyday and the markets have been only going higher higher and investors have been investing less and less.

    Looking at it prudentially- Less money has flowed into the markets in 2014/2015 as in 2009/2013 because statistics say historic bull cycles are 5 years. Again that is historic and the present is constantly changing. No one saw such monetary policy, no one saw the subprime mortgage crisis. No one saw Mario draghi, BOJ, boc all doing QE.

    The economy is healing a healthy correction is due everyone knows it but no one can time it.
    Next crisis is a QE crisis! Please show us the correlations of the factors of QE vs stock movements.

    I still love the charts but since you dont give a timeframe for this correction the information is not useful. I could tell you the following:
    If the Dow falls below 17600 on the monthly chart and confirms this position after a month then it will fall to 15857/15306 a healthy 11/14% correction.

    Then it will rise to 20171,32%within a period of 12 months.
    As of today it is range bound on a daily chart, bouncing of the lower trendline.
    There is a divergence between US and European equity as half the money has flowed out of US equity into European, mostly German equity, see the money inflow in European index ETFs.

    There is so much congestion at the top that a fall should be expected but with the right triggers- interest rate hikes differed to Dec, Greece bailout plan affirmation we should see a huge jump on the other hand the indexes will fall like a rock.

    The S&P 500 on a monthly chart has shot straight up since Oct 2011 and that trendline has been tested and not broken so is it going to correct then it would need to fall below 2042 and confirm that the next month for it fall towards 2004/ 1904 a 6 to 10% correction.

    It all makes sense depending on the horizon that ones playing field provides.
    On a daily chart with all the noise the S&P looks poised to rise to 2120/2130 as long as it does not close below 2074 then it would fall to 2035/1990.

    What do you think?
    Jun 17, 2015. 04:40 AM | 14 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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