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thesuer

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  • Zacks' Bull Of The Day: Apple [View article]
    Apple is the easiest bet to make because it is in your face hence the price movements are not easy to predict. It will move up but what if..... and then the million USD question.......before or after their earnings release? I am betting it will hit 120 before and then after earnings it will fall first before climbing!

    It will fall because analysts estimates are already on the high side and their revised estimates are getting higher, so whatever apple does the market will say wow but it was not good enough!

    Apple a day keeps traders away!
    Dec 23, 2014. 05:10 AM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead: What's Ahead In 2015 For This Biotech Juggernaut [View article]
    12% and falling, loosing market to Abbvie is no fun but their goes the hep c pipeline. Want to buy the gap at 90.91 USD. Bret what is your take on the dump?
    Dec 22, 2014. 11:01 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Updated S&P 500 Sector Weightings [View article]
    I dont find telecom as a sector on the SPDR pages. Why is that?
    If I look at an analysis 2009 to 2014 then the best sector performance indicative of a bull market are:
    1. discretionary coming in at 130.7%
    2. Tech- 105.6%
    3. Healthcare- 104.2%
    4. Industrials- 92.3%
    Versus the S&P500 at 88.9%

    Is healthcare really a defensive sector in our changing times where people are living longer, medicine is a necessity like cars, technology or cigarettes.

    Lastly, if the Fed will raise rates wont financials become very attractive starting now.
    Sectors for 2015 would be healthcare, discretionary, tech, finance and staples.

    Appreciate your feedback.
    Dec 19, 2014. 07:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Majesco soars after raising funds; chairman resigns [View news story]
    Totally agree
    Dec 18, 2014. 05:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Pullback To Strongly Consider [View article]
    Its just finding a bottom or the waiting for the bottom to fall out. Looking at a chart the break under the 50 day EMA is a break under support. You have to wait for confirmation before shorting and that confirmation is when the stock falls under the close of 106.75. Basically Janet saved the day and the stock reversed on average volume. To make it a definite buy a close above 111.64 and followed by confirmation the next day. The short thesis is dead as long as apple stays above 104.51 USD.
    Dec 18, 2014. 07:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Pullback To Strongly Consider [View article]
    Sorry if I was confusing you. .

    In this case if apple falls below 108 then the stock will in all probability keep falling as it has fallen under its 38.2% retracement (110.38) from 119 and under the 50 day moving average at 108.59. Todays closing price can confirm the bearish direction.If the stock closes below 108.59 then apple is a short. If it closes above 108.59 then it could be a reversal and the stock will go up.

    The next major level of support is 104 USD its 61.8% retracement.
    Apple looks like it will fall to its 104 support.
    Dec 16, 2014. 09:09 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Time To Eat Your Apple Pie [View article]
    I seemed to have missed the MB bashing rally! I would think he was contrarian in his investing but not that he is an idiot. One right and all the wrongs get forgotten. Who said invest when others are fearful and get out when all are greedy, WBuffet.
    Apple fell 44% in sept 2012 whereby the Nasdaq fell 11%.

    Personally Apple should hit 120 by Jan 28 or jan 29 then we shall see the future.
    Dec 15, 2014. 04:52 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: A Pullback To Strongly Consider [View article]
    Its perfect chart analysis. The technicals should give support for the next bump up unless the support at 108 is broken. Based on technicals if Apple can close above 110,38 (38.2% Fib retracement) and 108.59 USD (50 day EMA) then it is a buy with stoploss 104 USD (61.8% Fib retracement). Take profit at 120 USD.
    Dec 15, 2014. 03:26 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Is It Time To Short Apple? [View article]
    What is interesting is that the Nasdaq along with all the other indexes also fell after Apple hit 700 starting week of 16.09.12. Sounds like Apple rules and all indexes follow apple? NOT because the Nasdaq corrected after falling 11% and apple continued to fall 44%.

    Dont want to incur the wrath of the apple believers but it is just an undervalued company. Why undervalued would need to see if they beat Q1 expectations 66 billion USD!!! Long apple until 120 then short to 95 then lets see.....
    Dec 12, 2014. 11:10 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Are We Approaching The Fiscal Q1 Danger Zone? [View article]
    Bill, another view:

    Chart ANALYSIS


    The week starting 16.09.12 Apple peaked at 700 and then fell.
    The week starting 16.09.12 the NASDAQ started to fall as well.
    Nasdaq fell 11.92% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started 17.11.2012, since then risen 71.59%.
    Apple found its double bottom on 23.06.13 after falling 44.55% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started the same week, since then risen 117.17%.


    Bear market ratio 3.73:1
    Bull market ratio 1.63:1


    Apple has risen 19.13% above its high from 16.09.12.
    The Nasdaq has risen 51.05% above its high from 16.09.12.
    Here the correlation is different as Apple fell 44.55% and the Nasdaq 11.92%.


    The Nasdaq HAS FALLEN 2.85% starting the week of 29.11.14.
    Apple HAS FALLEN 8.53% starting the week of 29.11.14.


    Ratio is 2.99:1 in a volatile market.


    For the sake of argument:
    Apple is a laggard and only because investors feel comfortable they buy Apple.
    Beta 0.92 does not seem to work!


    Apple short does seem to make sense.
    But then who will short a bull market.
    Only the brave!
    Maybe a brave trade short 120, SL 126 (double top 120, 161.8% resistance 125), take profit 95 (double bottom) PLR(PROFIT LOSS RATIO 4.16)


    On the other hand go long Apple now 111, SL 108, TP 120 PLR(PROFIT LOSS RATIO 3)
    Dec 12, 2014. 03:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Driving Our $120 Price Estimate For Apple? [View article]
    Chart ANALYSIS

    The week starting 16.09.12 Apple peaked at 700 and then fell.
    The week starting 16.09.12 the NASDAQ started to fall as well.
    Nasdaq fell 11.92% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started 17.11.2012, since then risen 71.59%.
    Apple found its double bottom on 23.06.13 after falling 44.55% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started the same week, since then risen 117.17%.


    Bear market ratio 3.73:1
    Bull market ratio 1.63:1


    Apple has risen 19.13% above its high from 16.09.12.
    The Nasdaq has risen 51.05% above its high from 16.09.12.
    Here the correlation is different as Apple fell 44.55% and the Nasdaq 11.92%.


    The Nasdaq HAS FALLEN 2.85% starting the week of 29.11.14.
    Apple HAS FALLEN 8.53% starting the week of 29.11.14.


    Ratio is 2.99:1 in a volatile market.


    For the sake of argument:
    Apple is a laggard and only because investors feel comfortable they buy Apple.
    Beta 0.92 does not seem to work!


    Apple short does seem to make sense.
    But then who will short a bull market.
    Only the brave!
    Maybe a brave trade short 120, SL 126 (double top 120, 161.8% resistance 125), take profit 95 (double bottom) PLR(PROFIT LOSS RATIO 4.16)

    On the other hand go long Apple now 111, SL 108, TP 120 PLR(PROFIT LOSS RATIO 3)
    Dec 12, 2014. 03:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is It Time To Short Apple? [View article]
    The week starting 16.09.12 Apple peaked at 700 and then fell.
    The week starting 16.09.12 the NASDAQ started to fall as well.
    Nasdaq fell 11.92% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started 17.11.2012, since then risen 71.59%.
    Apple found its double bottom on 23.06.13 after falling 44.55% and the current trend channel/bull market rally started the same week, since then risen 117.17%.

    Bear market ratio 3.73:1
    Bull market ratio 1.63:1

    Apple has risen 19.13% above its high from 16.09.12.
    The Nasdaq has risen 51.05% above its high from 16.09.12.
    Here the correlation is different as Apple fell 44.55% and the Nasdaq 11.92%.

    The Nasdaq HAS FALLEN 2.85% starting the week of 29.11.14.
    Apple HAS FALLEN 8.53% starting the week of 29.11.14.

    Ratio is 2.99:1 in a volatile market.

    For the sake of argument:
    Apple is a laggard and only because investors feel comfortable they buy Apple.
    Beta 0.92 does not seem to work!

    Apple short does seem to make sense.
    But then who will short a bull market.
    Only the brave!
    Maybe a brave trade short 120, SL 126 (double top 120, 161.8% resistance 125), take profit 95 (double bottom) PLR(PROFIT LOSS RATIO 4.16)
    Dec 11, 2014. 11:41 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Driving Our $120 Price Estimate For Apple? [View article]
    Nov 25th APPL 119,75 fell and broke its 38.2% fib retracement 110.28 and hit its 13 day EMA 109.67, reversed and closed 114,12. Above 114.76 it is a buy to 125.81. Stop loss 109.
    Dec 11, 2014. 09:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What's Driving Our $120 Price Estimate For Apple? [View article]
    hahaha
    Dec 11, 2014. 09:19 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Apple: Solid Fundamentals At A Reasonable Price [View article]
    | Carl Icahn owns approximately 2.5% of AAPL's outstanding shares, and recently highlighted that analysts do not yet understand AAPL's growth potential. This seems to be true.|

    Are you implying that analysts dont do their jobs correctly?

    Apple at 160 means a market cap of 5 billion plus shares*160- little debt = some crazy trillion USD? Can that even be true?

    Are analysts just coming up with a story because their fundamental analysis shows a huge digression like you and Carl Icahn and all the buy side people are showing?

    Why has Apples PE just been dragging the overall market even if it is the only company growing?

    Dont get it!
    Dec 10, 2014. 12:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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