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  • David Einhorn's Greenlight Capital established new positions in Computer Sciences (CSC) and Expedia (EXPE) in Q1. Assuming Einhorn maintained his position through April 27, the Expedia bet was a smart one. Einhorn also liquidated his positions in TRV, FSLR, OVTI, and YHOO, and significantly cut his positions in MSFT, GM, and RIMM. EXPE +0.9% AH. (13-F)  [View news story]
    has he covered his short on GMCR....
    May 15, 2012. 05:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook's (FB) revised S-1 - raising its IPO price range to $34-38 - removes the language saying the Instagram deal will close in Q2, and now says the deal should close sometime in 2012. The company acknowledges the purchase is subject to antitrust review, as tipped several days ago.  [View news story]
    388 million shares out of 2.8 billion shares at a price of 38 USD, not bad, creating a huge demand for further shares and a whole bunch of existing shareholders just dying to sell to collect their millions. 13% is the magic number and how many millions dying to buy retail- +/- 600000000 people all dting to buy at least 100 shares creating a demand for 6 billion traded shares. Green shoe options being exercised.

    This whale is going to sing....now where can we retail investors buy shares?
    May 15, 2012. 10:06 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Needham makes a bearish call on chip equipment stocks, and is downgrading Applied Materials (AMAT +0.1%), Ultra Clean Holdings (UCTT -4.3%), and Nova Measuring (NVMI -2.9%) in the process. The firm thinks order rates from major chip manufacturers are decelerating, and is less confident memory capex (ed: no doubt affected by Elpida's bankruptcy and falling flash prices) will rebound in the near-term. Thus, it thinks the Street's growth forecasts are too high.  [View news story]
    how much more will AMAT take?
    May 15, 2012. 10:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 futures add to gains, +0.8% following the 8:30 data dump containing some better and some worse-than-expected figures. The S&P is off about 5% since the month's start - it may not need much of an excuse to push higher.  [View news story]
    thanks
    May 15, 2012. 09:34 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 futures add to gains, +0.8% following the 8:30 data dump containing some better and some worse-than-expected figures. The S&P is off about 5% since the month's start - it may not need much of an excuse to push higher.  [View news story]
    P&F?
    May 15, 2012. 09:22 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • S&P 500 futures add to gains, +0.8% following the 8:30 data dump containing some better and some worse-than-expected figures. The S&P is off about 5% since the month's start - it may not need much of an excuse to push higher.  [View news story]
    1340 is its 38.2% retracement, if it breaks through this support then we see 1314/1290 by the end of June..........
    May 15, 2012. 08:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Thinking about jumping into Facebook (FB) on its debut next week? Ordinary investors may want to wait until the dust settles. Most retail investors are going to be shut out of the offering, which means they'll have to pay up if they want a part of the action. The problem is, Over the longer term, conventional metrics suggest Facebook's sky-high valuation will be difficult to sustain. Sales and earnings growth are already beginning to slow, indicating the ripe fruit has already been picked by the founders, venture capitalists and other well-heeled investors who took an earlier stake.  [View news story]
    Assuming that out of its over 900 million users everone wants to own 1 facebook share (which is obviously not the case) then we have a demand creation of 3 :1, implying that the price will rise post IPO immediatley to 90 USD and then a further increase to 120 USD before it looses momentum.....Facebook Prospectus- EPS of .49 cents in 2011 and a projected earnings of .50 cents implies a 80 times targeted offer price of 35 USD. I believe that within minutes of the IPO the stock price will rise to 90 USD and then to 120 USD before it looses momentum but will not return to 35 USD but stay above USD 60.....No risk no fun....Like like make paupers of some and millioniares of others...
    May 14, 2012. 04:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Facebook (FB) will reportedly stop taking IPO orders tomorrow, 2 days ahead of schedule; the news backs up signs of strong retail interest. Meanwhile, BTIG's Richard Greenfield and Forrester's Nate Elliott express concerns about Facebook's ad monetization ability. Facebook "still hasn't stumbled upon a model that’s proven consistently successful for marketers," says Elliott, who argues the company simply isn't as focused on serving advertisers as it is consumers.  [View news story]
    Assuming that out of its over 900 million users everone wants to own 1 facebook share (which is obviously not the case) then we have a demand creation of 3 :1, implying that the price will rise post IPO immediatley to 90 USD and then a further increase to 120 USD before it looses momentum.....Facebook Prospectus- EPS of .49 cents in 2011 and a projected earnings of .50 cents implies a 80 times targeted offer price of 35 USD. I believe that within minutes of the IPO the stock price will rise to 90 USD and then to 120 USD before it looses momentum but will not return to 35 USD but stay above USD 60.....No risk no fun....Like like make paupers of some and millioniares of others...

    EPS-2011-.49 CENTS would imply a stock price 0f 5.88 USD. 35 USD is the IPO price (80 times earnings) and with ~350 million shares being offered out of 2.8 billion shares outstanding.
    May 14, 2012. 04:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Despite reports of softish demand from institutions for Facebook's (FB) IPO, it's a different story with retail investors, says IPO Boutique's Scott Sweet. "Early channel checks just completed, are revealing huge retail interest...many with extremely large orders," says Sweet.  [View news story]
    EPS-2011-.49 CENTS would imply a stock price 0f 5.88 USD. 35 USD is the IPO price (80 times earnings) and with ~350 million shares being offered out of 2.8 billion shares outstanding.

    Assuming that out of its over 900 million users everone wants to own 1 facebook share (which is obviously not the case) then we have a demand creation of 3 :1, implying that the price will rise post IPO immediatley to 90 USD and then a further increase to 120 USD before it looses momentum.....Facebook Prospectus- EPS of .49 cents in 2011 and a projected earnings of .50 cents implies a 80 times targeted offer price of 35 USD. I believe that within minutes of the IPO the stock price will rise to 90 USD and then to 120 USD before it looses momentum but will not return to 35 USD but stay above USD 60.....No risk no fun....Like like make paupers of some and millioniares of others...
    May 14, 2012. 04:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Scott Thompson, now ex-CEO of Yahoo (YHOO) after resigning under pressure, disclosed to colleagues that he has thyroid cancer. (WSJ)  [View news story]
    Get well and maybe dont work so hard......I dont believe that he fudged his resume, it's more likely a Yahoo PR trick
    May 14, 2012. 03:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Thinking about jumping into Facebook (FB) on its debut next week? Ordinary investors may want to wait until the dust settles. Most retail investors are going to be shut out of the offering, which means they'll have to pay up if they want a part of the action. The problem is, Over the longer term, conventional metrics suggest Facebook's sky-high valuation will be difficult to sustain. Sales and earnings growth are already beginning to slow, indicating the ripe fruit has already been picked by the founders, venture capitalists and other well-heeled investors who took an earlier stake.  [View news story]
    99 times earnings is the rumor......I think like Zyngas IPO nothing big will happen...only the banks will suffer as they are the underwriters and need to sell as soon the IPO happens......lets see......
    May 11, 2012. 04:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More on Priceline (PCLN): Q1 comes in mixed, beating on a per share basis but missing slightly on revenue. Net profit jumped 74% Y/Y on strength in its international hotel bookings. The company also guided Q2 profit to the lower-end of estimates, now seeing an EPS of $7.20 - $7.40 with revenue growth between 18% and 23%. Street estimates were for an EPS of $7.37 on revenue growth of 26%. Shares -2.45% AH.  [View news story]
    will someone please tell me how priceline has such a valuation? If I look at its earnings then I get a share price of ~ 165 USD so how does one come up with this crazy price. APPLE share price on the other hand is a reflection of it's earnings...so what is the deal with priceline?
    May 10, 2012. 10:53 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Green Mountain (GMCR) says its founder and chairman Robert Stiller and fellow director William Davis were forced to resign from the board today because of margin calls that required them to divest of millions of shares of their stock. GMCR calls these forced sales " disappointing" and "beyond the control of the company" and said it was in the best interest of shareholders for the two to "relinquish their leadership positions." Shares -4.3% AH.  [View news story]
    thats why the stock is still tanking....no external management all within the family....
    May 9, 2012. 03:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Green Mountain (GMCR) says its founder and chairman Robert Stiller and fellow director William Davis were forced to resign from the board today because of margin calls that required them to divest of millions of shares of their stock. GMCR calls these forced sales " disappointing" and "beyond the control of the company" and said it was in the best interest of shareholders for the two to "relinquish their leadership positions." Shares -4.3% AH.  [View news story]
    they are down 40 + % this is just a little consolidation, there is no direction, no one knows what the real situation with the margin calls are? It will take some time but GMCR will return and I think it will be up for sale....come on AMZN -sell coffee...
    May 8, 2012. 06:13 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Green Mountain (GMCR) says its founder and chairman Robert Stiller and fellow director William Davis were forced to resign from the board today because of margin calls that required them to divest of millions of shares of their stock. GMCR calls these forced sales " disappointing" and "beyond the control of the company" and said it was in the best interest of shareholders for the two to "relinquish their leadership positions." Shares -4.3% AH.  [View news story]
    step 1. get rid of the shit- Stiller is no lonnger chariman and hopefully they will get him off the board as well...
    step 2. find a partner that will turn you around
    step 3. what are the strategic options?

    http://bit.ly/Jdo8WT
    May 8, 2012. 06:00 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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