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Mid Market M&A consultant specializing in technology and energy industries. Individual Investor for over 25 years. Growth oriented investments primarily in market leaders and technology leaders. Investment philosophy is long term buy and hold with average holding time of several years.
I have a keen sense of cutting through management and Investment banker commentary and seeing true value of companies. A lot of my views tend to be controversial for that reason but at the same time remarkably accurate.
To get a feel for my writing, readers can puruse a few of my recent against the grain calls:- with extremely high success rates.
Stone Fox Capital Advisors is a registered investment advisor founded in 2010. The firm offers portfolio management with a focus on opportunistic stocks providing secular growth trends at an affordable value. An emphasis is placed on fundamental analysis though charts are used for timing entry and exit points.
Mark Holder graduated from the University of Tulsa with a double major in accounting & finance. He's been interested in the stock market since college and began managing investments for friends and family more than 20 years ago. Mark has his Series 65 and is also a CPA.
Invest with Stone Fox Capital's model portfolios on Covestor.com as he makes real time trades. Covestor also allows followers to duplicate the model portfolio in their own brokerage accounts. You can find the portfolio and more details here:
Follow Mark on twitter: @stonefoxcapital
Chris DeMuth Jr. is the founder of Rangeley Capital LLC. Rangeley is an investment firm that focuses on event driven, value-oriented investment opportunities. Rangeley Capital and his value investing forum, Sifting the World (StW), search the world for misplaced bets. Rangeley exploits them for its investors and then Mr. DeMuth writes about them on StW.
Full-time Investor, and frequent speculator.
Focus on US Stocks and Real Estate.
Degree in Economics and Finance.
Over 35 years of economic analysis and active investing experience. Retired Financial Services CEO (company had $2 Billion in financial assets).
Macroeconomic conditions and cycle progression are the foundation of my investment strategy. I evaluate the macro trend, and then select investments that will benefit from that trend, shifting the mix as the cycle progresses. Earnings growth is the sustainable fuel for investment gains. So, I look to position my portfolio accordingly.
I stay fully invested during the rising tide of a growing economy. I use leverage until the expansion shows signs of constraints and exhaustion. Rising input costs (wages, materials, energy, interest rates) eventually squeeze corporate profits, making growth less feasible. When I see evidence of a coming recession combined with weakness in the market, I exit my equity positions, reduce my real estate holdings, and shift to the safety of cash and treasury bonds. After the market slides deeply, and after the panic reaches headline proportions, I begin to reinvest as I anticipate or see evidence of the market bottom. I successfully avoided the 2001-2002 and the 2008 bear markets, while being fully invested for the bull markets around those declines.
In prior cycles I purchased individual stocks. However, during this bull market I am making heavy use of ETFs (including Sector ETFs). This is much less work, but results in more average returns. I do purchase some individual company stocks when I think the company will perform better than the average in its industry sector. I do not sell short, and rarely use options.
My portfolio is about half market tracking. I also use sector rotation, selected specific companies, modest margin debt, and 3x leveraged ETFs, within the rising cycle trend to magnify and outperform the average trend. I also adjust the size of my market exposure based on market conditions, and historic patterns.
My gross investment asset allocation target is roughly 70% stock, and 30% real estate (rentals). Current Stock Portfolio Mix (Aug 2016): 47% Broad Market Tracking (VTI, SPY, RSP, QQQ, VB...),18% Homebuilders and related, 15% Consumer Discretionary (VCR), 07% Industrials (XLI), 05% Berkshire Hathaway, 08% all other. Margin Debt is about 4% of portfolio value. Total Market Leverage is 1.05x (down from 1.34x in 2014). No bonds, and cash is less than 2% of gross assets. Real Estate is Residential Rentals, mostly near the beach (average LTV is about 40%).
Over the past 35+ years of active investing in stocks and real estate, my investment returns have been significantly above the average return of the S&P 500 (largely due to market timing and leverage). Since October 2007, my Stock portfolio average total return has been about 15% per year, compounded. My Real Estate portfolio average total return has been about 8% per year for the same period. The S&P 500 average total return has been about 6% per year during the same period.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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Formerly Chief Market Strategist at Capital Ladders Advisory Group LLC. After the sale of certain of CLAG's retail and institutional assets in October 2015, I have commenced my latest venture in the CPG industry which is centered on the development and licensing of consumer and commercial technology. https://www.linkedin.com/profile/view?id=AAIAAA3lJ9IBNi1rhhFzRWElkJl4MpyNuIiHglQ&trk=nav_responsive_tab_profile
CooLinX Integrated Technologies develops technologies for the beverage and CPG industry. We are presently effecting licensing agreements with multi-national brands and co-developing products aimed for mass market consumption.
I have been a professional writer for over 20 years. I also have enjoyed searching micro and nano cap companies looking for hidden gems. Having grown up around stock brokers and commodities traders I have seen the business from both sides. I have been an investor in the market for most of my life.
An investor focusing on identifying true growth companies sold at discounted price compared to its long-term value. I came from the old value investing school 10 years ago. Gradually, I learned the hard way as Buffett did. Business landscape outweighs financial numbers. Never look at stocks with a rear mirror. Past financial numbers only show the past. What matters is the future. Past numbers can be manipulated or overstretched by management. Traditional value stocks even with good margin of safety can also be very dangerous.
I also believe there are many ways to lead to investment success. However, I only use the way I feel happy to use. Looking at charts everyday may make some people rich. For me, it makes me unhappy even though it may make me richer. The way I like to use is to put a company in a competition landscape and estimate the earnings/free cash flows for at least 10 years and discount the earnings/free cash flows. I believe a company's real value is ultimately determined by its long-term earning potential. Some short-term changes will alter a company's long-term potential while some short-terms changes will not. The short-term changes can refer to both positive and negative changes.
10 years of buy-side investment experience.
Disclaimer: Any content on this site is NOT investment, trading, legal, or tax advice, and none of the information available through this website is intended to provide tax, legal, investment or trading advice. Nothing provided through this content whether by the owner or posted by other writers constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of securities/futures. The content on this site is intended for informational purposes only, and should never be used as investment advice. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
I am a computer software consultant with a background in securities, insurance, and accounting.
My securities background includes stock and options trading for over twenty years, econometric modeling, and the completion of the Chartered Financial Consultant designation (ChFC).
My insurance work and training includes estate planning, life insurance sales, and the completion of the Chartered Life Underwriter designation (CLU).
I am currently completing a MS in Accounting while training small business owners in accounting and office management software.
Kevin Thompson is an MLM attorney, proud husband, father of four and a founding member of Thompson Burton PLLC. Named as one of the top 25 most influential people in direct sales, Kevin Thompson has extensive experience to help entrepreneurs launch their businesses on secure legal footing. In a prior life, Kevin was an accomplished track athlete at the University of Tennessee, garnering all-American honors in the decathlon.
Kevin developed his passion for direct sales as a distributor selling energy drinks and doing anything possible to earn extra cash while in school. With his competitive nature, Kevin was drawn to the world of working with young network marketing companies trying to make a difference selling superior products and services through networks of people. As a DSA supplier member, Kevin Thompson is actively involved on the Ethics Committee and Government Relation Board to help steer the industry into a promising future.
I've been in investment management since 1990, currently as the money manager for Worm Capital. I received my law degree from the University of Oregon in 1984, worked as an accountant for the international accounting firm KPMG, then got involved in investing. I've written over 300 columns for The Financial Times, TheStreet.com, Realmoney.com and SeekingAlpha.com.
PropThink is an intelligence service that delivers long and short trading ideas to investors in the healthcare and life sciences sectors. Our Editorial Team is comprised of individuals with a strong background in science, medicine and the business of successfully commercializing therapeutics, medical devices, diagnostics and healthcare services. Our ultimate objective is to leverage the knowledge, experience, and relationships of our contributors to introduce our subscribers to profitable long and short investment opportunities in the healthcare sector.
Successfully trading, and investing in emerging growth healthcare companies is a difficult task. Over 90% of drugs never make it out of the clinic. Huge capital requirements along the way result in highly dilutive equity financings often done on the backs of retail investors. At PropThink, we believe that due diligence is the key to success in this industry. We leverage a combined 50 years of experience in science, medicine, legal, regulatory affairs, finance, and operational industry experience to analyze companies at a highly technical level. This detailed analysis and due diligence process defines our editorial strategy and provides our subscribers a high level of confidence in our research. Our focus is on identifying and analyzing technically-complicated companies and equities that are grossly over or under-valued.
Visit PropThink.com to see all of our coverage and research, and subscribe to our free newsletter to receive reports, articles, and trading alerts.
I focus on investments in the oil & gas & MLP sectors with an eye for dividend income growth and long-term capital appreciation. I typically allocate a portion of my own portfolio and devote some of my Seeking Alpha articles to small and medium sized companies offering compelling risk/reward propositions. I am an engineer, not a qualified investment advisor. While the information and data presented in my articles are obtained from company documents and/or sources believed to be reliable, they have not been independently verified. Therefore, I cannot guarantee its accuracy. I advise investors conduct their own research and/or consult a qualified investment advisor. I explicitly disclaim any liability that may arise from investment decisions you make based on my articles. Thanks for reading and I wish you much success with your investments.
HFI Research is a premium service dedicated to long-term oriented investors with a focus on non-consensus idea generation. We provide real-time trade alerts, idea generation, and portfolio recommendations. In addition, we write a weekly HFI portfolio update that highlights the positions in the portfolio. Other benefits to being a premium subscriber includes immediate access to the HFI Research team and a subscriber only chat platform. Our TipRank profile: https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/hfi
Contributing columnist for Real Money and TheStreet.com. BA in History from Bemidji State in Minnesota. I went on to learn Chinese at National Taiwan University in Taipei.
I worked in mortgage sales at Countrywide and Bank of America until 2010 when I decided to relocate to Taiwan.
Whitney Tilson is the founder and Managing Partner of Kase Capital Management, which manages three value-oriented hedge funds. Mr. Tilson is also the co-founder of Value Investor Insight, an investment newsletter.
Mr. Tilson has co-authored two books, The Art of Value Investing: How the World's Best Investors Beat the Market (2013) and More Mortgage Meltdown: 6 Ways to Profit in These Bad Times (2009), was one of the authors of Poor Charlie’s Almanack, the definitive book on Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charlie Munger, and has written for Forbes, the Financial Times, Kiplinger’s, the Motley Fool and TheStreet.com. He was featured in two 60 Minutes segments in December 2008 about the housing crisis (which won an Emmy) and in March 2015 about Lumber Liquidators. He served for two years on the Board of Directors of Cutter & Buck, which designs and markets upscale sportswear, until the company was sold in early 2007.
Mr. Tilson received an MBA with High Distinction from the Harvard Business School, where he was elected a Baker Scholar (top 5% of class), and graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College, with a bachelor’s degree in Government.
Mr. Tilson spent much of his childhood in Tanzania and Nicaragua (his parents are both educators, were among the first couples to meet and marry in the Peace Corps, and have retired in Kenya). Consequently, Mr. Tilson is involved with a number of charities focused on education reform and Africa. For his philanthropic work, he received the 2008 John C. Whitehead Social Enterprise Award from the Harvard Business School Club of Greater New York. He is a member and past Chairman of the Manhattan chapter of the Young Presidents’ Organization. Mr. Tilson lives in Manhattan with his wife and three teenage daughters.
I am the annoying guy you meet at a cocktail party who knows a great deal about things, which at their core, are entirely uninteresting. My hobbies are tube amplifiers, non-linear financial modeling and squash.
Alex Cho is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the long ideas and technology section of the website. Alex Cho's articles have been featured on The Motley Fool, The Street, and Benzinga. Alex Cho has been featured on ValueWalk's throwback Thursday for his analysis on Apple. Furthermore, Alex Cho's financial expertise ranks him in the top 100 on TipRanks, and his recommendations have a 80% success rate according to Tip Ranks.
To reach out to him for business opportunities, to share ideas, guest writing opportunities, consulting opportunities e-mail him at firstname.lastname@example.org
Jeffrey Dow Jones is the managing editor for Alpine Advisor. He has previously worked for PaineWebber/UBS and Ford Motor Credit Company, and he spent the last decade co-managing a group of hedge funds. He holds a degree in Business Economics with a specialization in Computer Programming from The University of California - Los Angeles.
He publishes a free weekly newsletter at AlpineAdvisor.info.
Individual investors should feel free to message me privately about my real-time subscription service, which is very affordable. That is also included with my short idea product for institutional investors, here on Seeking Alpha.
For a better mobile experience on Seeking Alpha click the top right menu icon on most browsers and select "request desktop site".
I am a former financial communications programmer, turned full-time investor. I began investing in the mid-1990s, looking for a way to achieve early retirement. (A goal in which I have succeeded, if you don't consider full-time investing a job.) I took a scientific, experiment-based approach rather than a studious one. I feel that this approach, combined with my extensive programming work in financial markets and directly with traders has given me uncommon contrarian insight into what really drives market dynamics.
To that end, my articles will center around stocks and their derivatives because that's where I have the most experience (over 20 years). I may occasionally comment on currencies, where I believe I have a sound academic knowledge, but less trading experience.I will always refer to a company by name or some abbreviation thereof. By contrast, I will refer to the stock a company issues by its ticker symbol. I think it can be important to differentiate between the two.
Troy Jensen is the Founder and Chief Executive Officer of nxVenture Capital Ltd, a private investment management firm based in New York City. Jensen founded nxVenture Capital with a proprietary investment model that includes the deployment of an extremely advanced financial technology; operating multiple highly-autonomous investment operations groups with defined, non-correlative investment models; a robust active risk management group with total integration across all of the Firm's operating groups; and finally, nxVenture Capital's private investment firm business model.
Jensen is a lifelong entrepreneur, having founded his first company, Rent-A-Kid, at the age of 12. He was trading from home utilizing two modified Tandy 1000 personal computers by 16, and was an active trader before the term "day trader" came into existence.
Troy received his MBA in Finance from Northern Arizona University's College of Business. Upon graduating, Jensen, who was a very early adopter of digital technology and the Internet, made the decision to take his finance background and enter the then-exploding World Wide Web in 1996. Jensen spent over a decade in Digital Media, ultimately successfully launching three startups.
Jensen successfully migrated to the Clean Technology segment starting in 2009, launching an advisory firm with services and solutions focused on CleanTech startups.
Troy continues to trade actively today. While Jensen utilizes a private, proprietary trading model in his capacity as CEO of nxVenture Capital (which as a rule does not disclose any information to the public beyond the few mandated by financial regulatory agencies), his public commentary on finance and investing focuses on segments that he is passionate about, and has both operational and investment experience in: emerging technologies, specifically digital media, mobile technology, clean energy technology, and unconventional oil & gas production technology; entertainment, media, marketing and communications segments; derivatives; global geopolitical and macroeconomic event-driven trading; and various alternative asset investments.
nxVenture Capital was founded in 2010, and remains a privately-held firm. nxVenture Capital is organized into multiple internal operating groups: private equity, real assets, venture capital, proprietary trading, and alternative assets. nxVenture Capital also operates several consolidated operating subsidiaries globally, across the financial services segment.
Troy's personal passions include flying (he holds a multi-engine high-performance private pilot's license, and flew his first "solo" flight on his 16th birthday), world travel, the literary arts, is a collector of rare books and manuscripts, coins and currency, and is a voracious studier of history. Troy resides in New York City.
Troy has worked with several financial media outlets as a contributing author, and has been a speaker at several financial services and technology industry events.
About nxVenture Capital:
nxVenture Capital operates as a "Private Investment Company" as defined by the Investment Company Act of 1940 (as amended). The Firm underwent a strategic reorganization in 2015, and today only manages and invests the Firm's own investment capital. nxVenture Capital does not manage nor does it solicit outside investors or investment capital, and the Firm does not act in any Investment Advisory capacity to the public.
The Firm's investment philosophy and its business model rely heavily on the Firm's private investment operating model, which allows its investment decisions to remain free of the inevitable pressures that are inherent with the common industry model of managing multiple multiple investment funds capitalized by outside investors. privately held, as well as managing multiple strategically-focused private investment funds. Because all nxVenture Capital investment management operations are capitalized only with the Firm's funds.
nxVenture Capital relies heavily on its advanced and highly-proprietary Financial Technology. As part of the Firm's August 2015 strategic reorganization, the firm's internal FinTech Group was spun off, with nxVenture Capital retaining a large stake in the new entity.
Semiconductor Veteran of over 20 years working at Intel and several prominent startups like Cyrix and Transmeta. I was a co-founder in an FPGA startup for nearly 5 years and now work with a leading edge non-volatile memory startup building Resistive RAM memories, which will eventually take the place of Flash as a lower power, higher performance and more economical solution.
I write occasionally on the mobile markets and the semiconductors that power them. Transmeta was the company that first highlighted the need for all day computing in the PC market. I was proud to be a part of the launch of the first truly low power x86 processor, which Intel then had to address.