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marketwatcher23

marketwatcher23
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  • Switzerland first to issue 10-year debt with negative yield [View news story]
    what is more amazing is that the bernakyellen can maintain 1.90% on the 10yr in this environment.
    Apr 8, 2015. 08:29 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Watch For A Gold Rally Into The Summer Months [View article]
    This was a rare decent cnbc article. http://cnb.cx/1bIOvY4. The interesting part about it was I think they finally leaked the truth behind why the market has been rigged to go higher since 2008..."

    Yet it was in her discussion of what she termed "special risks and other considerations" where things got interesting. The first of her three special concerns around hiking rates run along the following lines:

    "Some recent studies have raised the prospect that the economies of the United States and other countries will grow more slowly in the future as a result of both demographic factors and a slower pace of productivity gains from technological advances," the Fed chief stated. "At an extreme, such developments could even amount to a type of 'secular stagnation,' in which monetary policy would need to keep real interest rates persistently quite low relative to historical norms to promote full employment and price stability, absent a highly expansive fiscal policy," she added.

    The article makes it seem like the fed is concerned about that going forward but in reality the ZIRP/NIRP market rigged environment we are currently in has come about because the fed realized a while back that we are stuck in secular stagnation and have been for some time. The fed is hesitant to just come out and say it's zirp4eva because everyone will pile all in to the market at once.
    Mar 30, 2015. 07:44 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Time For An Economic Spring Thaw? [View article]
    I guess that is your issue SD, I am not saying it is going up because it is failing to do what I predicted. I am saying it is rigged because it is rigged. This is not tin foil hat stuff anymore. They rigged it because it was the right thing to do, and I agree with the other poster that we won't see corrections of anything more than the 10% Variety from here on out.
    Mar 30, 2015. 07:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Time For An Economic Spring Thaw? [View article]
    The market will go up, because it is rigged, and I shall enjoy it.
    Mar 29, 2015. 08:58 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fear Is Saying Short SPY Now [View article]
    LOL that was one of the better responses I have seen on here. Nice job.

    Are you pairing that trade with going Long TLT or GLD or something similar?
    Mar 25, 2015. 10:46 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fear Is Saying Short SPY Now [View article]
    Why play for 3% dips when you can just stay in and get the 10% plus gains overall per year that the fed has guaranteed?
    Mar 25, 2015. 07:11 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It's Time To Start Shorting The U.S. Dollar [View article]
    At first I am inclined to tell you that you will get blowtorched shorting the USD but it's a good contrarian call. The bet is that the fed will be forced to ease against their own will just to keep the USD from rocketing to the moon and crashing everything in it's wake. I don't think we are there yet and I am not sure that play will work if they are ever forced to do it. But If there was aver a trade going against the grain, this is it. Good luck to you.
    Mar 24, 2015. 09:17 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    What has The fed done to make you believe they are concerned about the middle and lower classes? QE was not designed to help them, and so it did not. Yet you repeatedly stated that you believe their motivation is to help them and are concerned about them. I just don't understand how you arrived at that conclusion.
    Mar 23, 2015. 08:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    Oh my god dude, I what QE is. You must be purposely skirting my question. Too bad. Never mind.
    Mar 22, 2015. 08:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    No no no go back and read the article. They care a ton

    "Right or wrong, Fed Chair Janet Yellen believes that the Fed can help struggling American families by keeping monetary policy highly accommodative"

    "I think Yellen is focused on total employment and wages. She wants those to rise."

    "I think she is more concerned with the absolute living standards of the poor and lower middle class than she is with income distribution per se"

    the best part is they are WILLING to risk blowing a bubble in the markets, note they have not done this yet, no bubble currently...

    "If this monetary stimulus means higher stock prices, so be it. Yellen is not going to short circuit the economic recovery and hoped for improvements in employment and wages in order to "preempt" the formation of asset bubbles."

    6 years later, QE up the wazoo...middle class and lower class in the dumper while we still "hope for improvements in employment and wages" and asset prices rocketing higher ever still....but their motivation is pure....
    Mar 22, 2015. 07:44 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    Your answer to what I wrote was to avoid my point and claim I don't understand how QE works?

    I honestly don't understand how you arrive at your conclusions. What has the Bernakyellen done that actually illustrates that they are concerned about the living standards of the lower and middle class? Clearly QE was not intended to help them. Zirp did nothing for them either. So what do you put forth, that they have done, that you feel validates that you understand their motivation?
    Mar 22, 2015. 07:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    "Unfortunately it won't happen until we reach investment euphoria from your average joe investor talking about their stock investment in the taxi cab or coffee shop"

    That is not necessarily true. It won't happen until the fed raises rates in a meaningful manner. Which is why Bernanke said you won't see that happen in his lifetime.
    Mar 21, 2015. 03:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Fed Funds Not So Easy: Major Implications For Stocks [View article]
    "I think Yellen is focused on total employment and wages. She wants those to rise."

    "I think she is more concerned with the absolute living standards of the poor and lower middle class than she is with income distribution per se"

    If that is true then when the bernakyellen was QE'ing 85 billion a month why didn't she just send everyone a check? Why create 4 trillion and then have it flow through the banks in the form of loans?

    I don't think you understand her motivation at all. Her only motivation was to prop up the markets and she went with the wealth effect. But you had to already have pretty substantial assets and understand what the fed was doing.

    The middle and lower class have spent the last 6 years replacing the full time job with benefits they lost in 2008 with part time service sector work with crap benefits. That is why there has been no wage inflation.
    Mar 21, 2015. 03:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • When Yellen Hikes Rates It Won't Be Due To Inflation [View article]
    LOL okay I will change it to Sheep23 if you change yours to Shmuck Exchange.

    Good luck with your awful articles and Neanderthal conclusions.
    Mar 19, 2015. 02:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • When Yellen Hikes Rates It Won't Be Due To Inflation [View article]
    wow man..I tried being nice. My position is that pretty much all your conclusions are wrong.

    Here is what the fed "needs" to do. Nothing. They need to do nothing. They don't need to raise rates. Maybe they will try to gently nudge them higher. Maybe not.

    The economy and the markets have no linkage at all. Two completely separate entities. If there actually is a linkage, it's that it is important that the economy never actually see any real growth, especially wage growth. Wage inflation is the feds worst enemy. So far, so good.
    Mar 19, 2015. 01:53 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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