Founded in 1990, TrimTabs Investment Research is the leading independent institutional research firm focused on the supply and demand of shares of stock and the money available for investment. Our key premise – which we term Liquidity Theory – is that stock prices are a function of liquidity rather than value. Like the prices of any tradable good, the prices of stocks are driven primarily by supply and demand.
Unlike most quantitative stock-evaluation models, which focus on easily available price, volume, and earnings data, Liquidity Theory insights depend on detailed data on asset flows and how they shift over time. Since data on the supply and demand for stocks is scattered across so many sources, most strategies ignore stock market liquidity altogether.
By maintaining detailed quantitative models that track key areas of market liquidity and changes in the supply and demand for equities and equity-like vehicles, TrimTabs provides our clients with comprehensive real-time analysis of all aspects of equity-market liquidity.
On the supply side, we measure changes in the float of shares by aggregating corporate actions. On the demand side, we track the money moving into and out of the stock market by measuring the flows into and out of mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and hedge funds. To obtain an early edge on future liquidity trends, our Real Time Macro research focuses on real-time measures of consumer income and employment. Follow TrimTabs and Charles Biderman on Twitter, @CharlesBiderman
I am a value/activist investor dedicated to the following ideals: (1) Focus on high relative strength, (2) Buy low, sell high aka "buy the dip, sell the rip" (3) Short high, cover low, (4) Go against the crowd, (5) It's all about the rules and discipline- hold them dear (6) Analyze the balance sheet-seek low debt,high cash and hidden value scenarios (7) Cut your losses short, let your gains run, (7) Don’t get emotional, (8) Follow the insiders- buy if they are buying, sell if they are selling (9) Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy.(10) Don't argue with the market unless you detect an inefficiency present-it is smarter than you are. In summary, some of these ideas might be construed as rather trite and overused, but consistent use of them pays off in the long run.
Mr. Krieger specializes in the food sector and is the originator of the "Basic Food Fund" index and the "Dirt Cheap Value Portfolio".Why the food sector? "everybody has to eat'!
He graduated from the University of Southern California with a BS in Business Administration with an emphasis in Corporate Finance. Mark resides in Cowan Heights, California with his wife, son and pug and is interested in mountain biking, gardening and reading.
Stuart Isherwood, CPA, CA, CFA is part of the investment team at Georgian Capital Partners.
NOTE: The investment views contained in articles authored by Stuart Isherwood reflect his personal analysis and opinion, they are not to be taken as investment advice, and do not necessarily reflect the views of Georgian Capital Partners.
Stuart graduated from the University of Toronto in 1992, receiving the Gold Medal in Commerce at University College. After a short career in public accounting, Stuart worked at one of Canada's largest banks as a corporate credit manager. In 1997, Stuart joined a global investment bank where he spent six years as an equity research analyst. Subsequently, Stuart joined an independent investment dealer as an institutional equity salesman. After several years as a full-time investor, in November 2014 Stuart joined Georgian Capital Partners.
I work on the crossroads of design, branding, consumer research and product development. Occasionally, I buy shares of companies, whose industry I understand or work in.
However, I take capitalism and its machinations with the necessary spoonful of quality Swedish stone salt.
I have been an active investor for almost 20 years. My main focus is on high-yield stocks, particularly MLPs, and high-growth oil companies in the Eagle Ford shale. I have a portion of my portfolio allocated to short-term trading, with a focus on over-reactions to company news and directional plays on VIX-based ETFs. I am happy to answer just about any question sent my way, especially from those new to the stock market.
Remember Animatronics? How about Claymation? Ah, those were the days.
Wonky (adj.): askew, awry, unsteady, off-kilter. Like gadgets or stock markets.
Techwonk (me): someone who likes wonky stuff. A nerd!!!!
disclosure: some posts may include input from other, uncredited sources
We are happy to answer trading questions from new traders, but will no longer provide specific stock recommendations except to investors we know well. Please do not take this personally. It takes effort to research your questions, thus we prefer to discuss stocks with traders who we know are serious students of the markets.
Repeating our comments from October onward: The oil market is unpredictable at present and beginners should not be trading any of these: oil futures, oil futures etfs, oil company stocks, oil exploration, drilling and supplies, or companies with oil as a large contributor to operating costs (oil-inverse stocks).
Oil will continue to lead the macro direction for at least the first half of 2015. We do not expect to see the bottom for oil pricing until mid-spring, possibly summer.
The industry is extremely complicated. Therefore, beginners should be purchasing only good -quality actively managed funds or sector etfs, and investing using dollar cost averaging. You should not be looking for short-term returns; that is, expect to hold the investment on a multi-year basis.
We recommend that investors who are adding to existing positions consider using the momentum technique of "buying upward" on individual stocks as production increases, rather than the value technique of "averaging downward" since it is uncertain when specific companies will return to full capacity. Prices will tend to stay lower than last year as long as earnings are lower, for most stocks.
Index traders should become familiar with the oil futures prices and commodity charts as well as your usual trading indicators.
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Sol Palha is the head financial analyst at Tactical Investor. He is a self-taught Student of the Markets, having widely read conventional and non-conventional texts on all aspects of technical analysis, Mass Psychology and philosophy (as he believes it can be quite useful in terms of market analysis). He has been studying the markets for over 18 years. He combines mass psychology, technical analysis and a new field of study that he has pioneered, Esoteric Cycle Analysis to determine market tops and bottoms. Mass Psychology and Technical analysis is a deadly combination, and has enabled us to accurately determine Market tops and bottoms in advance of the actual event. One should not confuse topping and bottoming action, with trying to predict the actual top or bottom------- An endeavor best left to fools with plenty of time on their hands and an inordinate capacity to deal with pain and failure.