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Trader - Economist - Health Care Specialist - Chart interpreter
Happy New Year!
2014 may not be kind to equities. Caution for most investors.
Great Year for traders!
YEAR OF THE BEARS - 2014!
Justin M. Hall is an extremely accomplished independent financial analyst with more than a decade of experience in the financial markets. He consistently provides expertise to a variety of financial clients and is known for his successful market predictions. Between 2010 and 2014 Justin made 239 specific market recommendations via his online subscription service with an 80% accuracy rate. He has produced enduring results for a variety of clients including those who trade stocks, invest their own money, desire personal wealth management, and institutional investors. But more than an analyst, Justin is a person who influences and persuades, whose judgement is well respected and highly trusted, and whose opinion is sought by those searching for financial and investment advice.
Justin received his undergraduate degree from Indiana State University and attended law school at Indiana University. His desire to serve the financial and investment needs of individual clients led him to start Rx Investors.com, an online subscription service that connected individual investors with his expert analysis. Subscribers from all over the world utilized Justin’s advice to generate market income and grow their individual portfolios. Many of these subscribers and clients continued to seek Justin’s analysis and advice for many years, appreciating his unique perspective on the financial industry.
A variety of financial outlets have recognized Justin’s expertise and highlighted his work including the Orange County Business Journal, Seeking Alpha, and Zack’s Investment Research. These industry connections have allowed Justin to lend his expert advice to others and expand his influence.
Michael Johnston is the co-founder and senior analyst at ETF Database, an online investment resource for ETF investors. ETF Database offers a proprietary ETF Screener that allows investors to filter the universe of 900+ ETFs to find the right fund. ETF Database also provides news, analysis, commentary, and actionable investment ideas on a daily basis.
Egalitarian elitist, peripatetic polymath, and professional misanthrope. Also, charming, handsome, witty, brilliant, suave, dashing, dapper, debonair, and modest.. Especially modest. I was born in a log cabin that I helped my father build. Walked 20 miles to school, uphill each way, in never-ending blizzards; yes, even during summer school. Survived hand-to-hand combat with mosquitoes the size of B-52's. Now I eke out a meager living running guns and drugs for the Salvation Army. ( You didn't really think they $cored their $eriou$ ca$h from tho$e chee$y kettle$ at Chri$tma$, did you? )
p.s. All the lies about me are TRUE !
Our small-cap hedge fund strategy beat the market by 44 percentage points since its inception 18 months ago. Visit our website to learn how you can do the same. Insider Monkey is a finance website that provides free hedge fund and insider trading data. We believe ordinary investors can beat the market by imitating insiders and best hedge fund managers. They have access to better information and experts than ordinary investors do. Take advantage of the SEC filings where hedge funds and insiders disclose their stock transactions.
Here is our team:
Ms. Krishnamsetty is the Editor of Insider Monkey. Prior to creating Insider Monkey with Dr. Dogan, Ms. Krishnamsetty was Associate Producer at Bloomberg Television. Prior to that, Ms. Krishnamsetty was on the afternoon news team at CNBC. Additionally, Ms. Krishnamsetty reported for NPR and worked as a risk management consultant at Marsh & McLennan. Ms. Krishnamsetty has a M.S. in Journalism from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism.
Insider Monkey’s hybrid evaluation system ...More was created in 2003 by Dr. Ian Dogan. Dr. Dogan has a Ph.D. in financial economics with a specialization in insider trading. Dr. Dogan has provided consulting services to institutional investors and hedge funds, and managed a $200+ million fund using a strategy he developed utilizing insider transactions. Dr. Dogan recently authored the insider trading chapter of soon to be published “The Handbook of Investment Anomalies” by Zacks Investment Research. Insider Monkey will serve the outcome of the methodologies developed by Dr. Dogan to ordinary investors who don’t have access to academic quality research and tools to shape their investments.
For your inquiries please contact us at firstname.lastname@example.org
Rich Steffens has grown up in New Jersey, is a successful businessman, and follows social media trends amongst life science and biotech companies. His family is deeply influenced by the ill effects of diabetes, and is a kidney donor to his older sister. His area of interests also includes cancer immunotherapy, which he started writing about in 2008. Rich jokes that he is one of the world's slowest marathon runners, and he runs with MSKCCs Fred's Team to support cancer research, raising over $20,000 in ten years to support MSKCCs efforts.
Rich states- I am not qualified to offer investment or medical advice, and make no claims that I am an expert in these areas. I seek to share and learn.
Author of the critically acclaimed book, "Taking Charge With Value Investing (McGraw-Hill, 2013)" and the premium subscription service "Tipping The Scale" (as seen below). An analyst that ranks in the top 4% on both tipranks.com and Motley Fool CAPS for stock picking performance.
Tipping the Scale members gain access to the TTS Portfolio Tracker. Here, members see what I am buying and selling the minute it happens, along with what I have owned, bought, and sold historically. These are just a few of the features on the TTS Portfolio Tracker.
Tipping The Scale is an equity research platform that uses a numeric scale instead of the traditional "Buy, Hold, Sell" to identify the best investment opportunities in the market. Stock coverage is determined by market catalyst, and every company goes through a vigorous test in 10 different categories. The higher the total score, the bigger the upside. In addition, Tipping the Scale also provides a number of portfolio strategies to hedge the volatility of the market and protect from downside.
Check out my instablog for more information on the popular research service Tipping the Scale, including performance information, benefits, and how it all works.
Now at 89 i'm a former poster on SA..
82 years of trading and 65 owning my own firm..
I've lived through WW2 and other bad situations in countries before I arrived in the US.
And this situation on SA has become something that has no place in the USA ~!
This used to be a great place for open chat and a great place to get valuable views on the market. Now, the site is a commercial crap trap site run by left wing progressive slime ! Nazi~like lowlifes who censor the most bizarre stuff .And, now they just found themselves a survey that hints at their view and sent me a link. #@(^!+*** ( scatological barrage)
Many of you have my personal email addresses and feel free to use them. I will always do my best concerning the market.And, if I don't know about your symbol or subject I will say so..
Pura vida amigos/amigas
Building wealth intelligently and patiently is the most logical and tested route to financial independence.
That is my plan and so far, so good!
(WARNING: Do your own due diligence and don't depend on me or anyone else on SA to offer sound investing advice. My recommendations are for educational purposes ONLY!)
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).
Any opinions expressed here at Seeking Alpha by me are strictly my own personal views and ideas and should not be considered advice of any kind nor considered to be professional opinions. You should always seek advice from a qualified professional before embarking on any market trading or investing.
Over forty five years of investing experience. Three Master's degrees. Retired, except for some rental real estate. Serve on three professional boards dealing with property management and regional symphony orchestras. Play in a super regional symphony orchestra and regional professional concert band. On SA to learn, have fun and tweak some egos..especially progressive dimwits.
Disciple of Harry Browne's portfolio system (income, permanent and speculative) with real estate and other income streams. It works.
I am a 1%-er.
The Life Sciences Report features leading investment coverage of the life sciences sector, including biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, tools & diagnostics, and medical devices. A Streetwise Reports publication. www.TheLifeSciencesReport.com
My name is Nathaniel Munson and I've always been fascinated by finances and numbers. I've recently taken an even greater interest in the stock market in general and find it helpful to compile my thoughts into articles about stocks and industries that interest me.
StockMatusow.com Writers are:
Scott Matusow; Team Leader, owner and founder of StockMatusow.com.
Scott is an independent investor/writer/trader and team leader of StockMatusow.com.
He has have about fifteen years of stock market experience which include trading, investing, and managing his family’s trust as well as his personal account.
Scott has had the most success in trading/investing in smaller cap growth companies. Because Scott is not 'officially trained' in the markets, he see things 'outside the box.' Scott uses his ability to read situations and emotion, charts, times and sales, historical data, and macroeconomic and other market forces to predict stock price movements. Using these allowed for him to completely divest his own and family's money near the top of the market before the 2008 financial crisis.
Scott has his own online talk show which can be heard at www.scottmatusow.com/radio .
During market hours, we engage in talk about Stocks and Politics. After hours, Scott engages in a variety of talk issues from Poker, Sports, Politics, Current Events and whatever the chat room people wish to talk about.
Other places you can follow Scott are:
Kyle Dennis; writer, analyst, trader, website design, and team member of Stockmatusow.com.
Kyle has a Biology degree from the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) and specializes in trading the biotechnology sector.
Kyle has extensive experience in researching, writing, and editing articles that have been published in scientific journals. He uses these experiences to write and comment about the potential of various biotechnology companies. Kyle specializes in evaluating trial success, drug potential, and market valuations.
As an investor/trader, Kyle likes to focus on chart analysis and investor/trader sentiment to identify good entry and exit points.
Kyle can also be followed at www.twitter.com/kylewdennis @kylewdennis
Michael Kovar; writer, editor, investor, trader and team member of stockmatusow.com
Michael has spent over ten years in financial roles with companies large and small. Recently, he spent time in a consulting role with Thomson Reuters legal headquarters in Eagan, MN. He currently works in an analyst position with a healthcare organization. Since 2011, Michael has worked with Scott Matusow to help research and edit articles for Stockmatusow.com.
Michael can be followed at www.twitter.com/MMK_3399 @MMK_3399
Recent graduate from Bulls on Wall Street and a full time day trader. I have been an investor in the stock market for over 20 years. It wasn't until Stocktwits and Twitter came out that I realized I was missing the boat in the market.
I was your typical Buy and hold kind of guy and I had some fantastic wins. However, I also had some mammoth losses with that strategy. I read hundreds of books, went to investment seminars, subscribed to the Wall street Journal. IBD, Barron's and countless other financial publications. I spent thousands of hours studying and reading about the macro economy and companies I wanted to invest in. I studied company financials, read every article about them, listened to conference calls, looked into management, checked out their product or service all in the hopes of investing in the next Apple, Microsoft, Walmart, early and becoming an overnight millionaire.
Then I started following day traders on Twitter and Stocktwits and I watched these traders make some pretty impressive profits holding a stock for literally 10 minutes or an hour. I actually watched one individual make an obscene amount of money in one stock both on the way up and then on the way down in about 4 hours. The kicker for me was when he concluded his trading in that stock he asked " Hey does anyone know what that company does?" I was floored!! They were in and out in one day and holding a cash position overnight. Not having to worry about waking up the following morning to some negative Press release about one of the companies they are invested in, or the overall macro economy that sends markets or your stock plunging.
It was then that I decided to educate myself and learn this craft to become a full time trader. Now I am blessed and living my dream of making a living doing what I love as a day trader and blogging about my journey. You know you have passion for your job when you are sad that its Friday and you can't wait till Monday.
Been investing since the age of 13 and have the scars to prove it. Old enough to remember gas lines and lived and invested during the 1987 crash, Saving and Loan debacle, Tech bubble, '70's, '80's and '90's and both '00 recessions.
Negatively disposed to flavor of the month financial disaster porn peddlers and technical analysts.
Positively disposed to value investing, fundamental analysis and long holding periods.
I am investing for a +2020 horizon. I don't buy what I cannot understand - that precludes me from most currency and commodity "plays", thank God. My holdings are 90% index funds and ETF's which I rebalance annually. I never hold more than 20 stocks and I aim to hold them ...More for +5 years but will sell one if I see a better idea - to keep my 20 stock discipline. This means that I rarely trade. I do not use margin or negative ETF's.
A Grandfather who only wish is to give his children and grandchildren the same chance as he once had. And to Protect my wealth by holding PHYSICAL Gold & Silver and every REAL commodity. You can keep those electronic digits and green paper.
Analyst and Fund Manager with almost 20 years investment experience. Coverage includes a variety of industries, with a focus on technology.
Particularly focused on value stocks, poorly understood or under-followed situations, and contrarian perspectives.
Primarily invest in special situations with value that is poorly understood or not fully appreciated, or where we believe there is a highly asymetric risk/reward profile. Also look for long/short ideas in mid/larger cap names where we believe we have a variant view, and the market is dramatically mispricing value.
Follow me on Twitter @valinsights
Married with 2 sons and 5 grandkids. Have worked all my adult life in the nuclear power field, first 8 years on nuclear powered submarines and the next 30 years at a commercial nuclear power plant. Retired at age 56 in February 2011. Best. Move. Ever.
Alan R. Goozner
During the 1994 Peso crisis, I started an e-mail newsletter. This followed from my comments to Mexican interest groups and list servers on the rapidly expanding Internet. The newsletter became a copyright publication : "The Mexican Commentary." This had a limited paid subscriber base but has been discontinued.
Robert Rubin was criticized for the Mexican bailout from the U.S. Treasury but I commented that the US taxpayer benefited greatly - at that time borrowing with T-bills at 5% and lending it to the Mexicans at 10%. The Mexican economy was expected to collapse but I continued to follow the economic developments in my newsletter covering employment, interest rates, exchange rate of the peso and stock prices. This led to one of my subscribers hiring me full time at the US Department of Justice/Immigration and Naturalization Service/HQ Office of Intelligence. My comments then became restricted to an internal Government publication "Borderline."
My prior career was devoted to Agricultural Statistics 18 years with the USDA and 6 years with the EPA in the Office of Pesticide Programs.
I have since retired from Federal Government service in 2005 and currently take on consulting assignments and manage my family investment portfolios. I continue to have an interest in Mexican stocks.
I do not offer any investment advice but feel that this forum would benefit from the wealth of information that I could offer. This should not be considered investment recommendations of a personal bases because most of my readers remain anonymous to me.
I often say what I am doing in the market for my own trades - these are true and honest statements and my records are open for inspection to any responsible party on request.
First, the good stuff. Here's my portfolio ...
Consumer Discretionary: MCD, NKE, SBUX, TGT
Consumer Staples: COST, GIS, KHC, KO, MO, PEP, PG, PM, RAI, WBA
Energy: CVX, KMI, XOM
Health: ABBV, AMGN, GILD, JNJ, MCK
Industrial: BA, DE, EMR, LMT, MMM
REITs: HCN, NNN, O, OHI, VTR
Technology: AAPL, MSFT, QCOM
Telecom: BCE, T, TU, VZ
Utilities: AVA, D, SCG, SO, WEC
ALSO: small stakes in 23 additional companies held in the Dividend Growth 50 portfolio (http://seekingalpha.com/article/2764265-its-new-its-nifty-its-the-dividend-growth-50): ADP, AFL, BAX, BDX, CAT, CL, CLX, COP, GE, GPC, HCP, HSY, IBM, KMB, MKC, NEE, SHPG, SJM, UTX, V, WFC, WMT.
Now, a little about me:
I am a 50-something former sportswriter who was sent on a permanent vacation during the Great Recession. That sucked, but my story is not a sad one. Unlike many folks who lost their jobs, I am not in financial distress, I am not depressed and I am not bored.
My wife is a pediatric nurse with a bullet-proof job and decent benefits. So after supporting her and our two kids (now grown) for most of three decades, the least she can do is support my semi-retired keister!
Because of Roberta's job situation, because we have zero debt (not even mortgage debt), because we no longer have any dependents and because we have been pretty diligent savers over the years, we are comfortable (though nowhere near rich).
Although we hold some funds, bonds and cash, my investing philosophy leans heavily toward Dividend Growth Investing. By early next decade, we want to live entirely off of our income stream, Social Security and pension payments - and therefore will not have to spend down the principal one iota. To accomplish this, we invest mostly in blue-chip companies with long track records of growing dividends. As of mid-2016, we are well ahead of pace to reach our goal.
When not researching investments and writing for Seeking Alpha and other Web sites, I coach middle-school girls basketball at Metrolina Regional Scholars Academy, the top charter school in the Charlotte metro area; in March 2016, we won the first conference championship in school history! I also umpire youth baseball and referee youth basketball.
My wife and I dote on our 5-year-old pup, Simmie, and keep up on the doings of our now-grown kids, Katie and Ben. And we love to cheer on the basketball team of our alma mater, Marquette University, where we both majored in Journalism. Go Warriors! Also big fans of the Carolina Panthers.
I still occasionally post to the blog I initiated in 2007 -- lots of sports stuff, some politics, some personal junk -- at www.TheBaldestTruth.com.
Commodity broker 79-81 I discovered the Gospel In July 1979 (and re-discovered it again in April 2004 -after the G.6 release was dis-continued - actually created the RR time series in the late 1980's). Dr. Leland Pritchard "You have a predictive device nobody has hit on yet" - 9/8/81 My prediction for AAA corporate yields for 1981 was 15.48%. AAA Corporate yields rose to 15.49%. I should receive the Nobel Prize. The data should be classified as "top secret" by the U.S. Gov't. I.e., I let Aladdin out of the Lamp. See: 1938 Member Bank Reserve Requirements - Analysis of Committee Proposal (transactions velocity) http://bit.ly/M0JB7X The outstanding volume of the FRB_NY "trading desk's" 'eligible collateral' fell during the Great Depression. Whereas 'eligible collateral' was multiplied thru colossal Federal deficit financing (where the Gov’t spends much more than it expects to receive), during the Great Recession (but Bernanke still chose to "push on a string"). As Greenspan pontificated in “The Map & the Territory”: “The laws of physics…once identified, rarely have to be revised”: Rates-of-change (roc’s) in monetary flows (our means-of-payment money times its transactions rate-of-turnover), equal roc’s in all transactions in Irving Fisher’s “equation of exchange”: (MVt = PT). Roc’s in nominal-gDp are a proxy for all economic transactions. The lags for monetary flows (MVt), i.e. the proxies for (1) real-growth, & for (2) inflation indices have been mathematical constants for the last 100 years. However, the FED's target (interest rates), is indirect, varies widely over time, & in magnitude. President Wilson signed “The Federal Reserve Act” into law on December 23, 1913. The Act, "Provided for the establishment of Federal Reserve Banks, to furnish an elastic currency, to afford means of rediscounting commercial paper, to establish a more effective supervision of banking in the United States, and for other purposes". "It was anticipated that credit extended by the Federal Reserve Banks to commercial banks would rise and fall with seasonal and longer term variations in business activity" "Seasonality" (principally the holidays), is the result of the FOMC’s seasonal mal-adjustments (& has its roots in the fallacious "Real Bills Doctrine”). The FOMC, through its "open market power", has the capability of either adding or subtracting to the volume of money in circulation. But the non-bank public determines its mix (the volume of currency vs. bank deposits). This policy is reflected by changes in the Depository Financial Institution’s (DFI), required reserve balances. RRs are based on transaction type accounts 30 days prior. Reserve balances are driven by consumer's & business' payment & settlements. Thus RRs provide the seasonal factor map (economic time series’ cyclical trend). This is inviolate & sacrosanct. Some calls: (1) flow5 (2/26/07; 14:34:35MT - usagold.com msg#: 152672) Suckers Rally If gold doesn't fall, then there's a new paradigm (2) Reply #187 on Jul 21, 2011, 8:31pm » the stock market should be topping & in the process of a downtrend (3) flow5 Comments (3049) As it now stands, the market falls until Oct. Then expect a very strong rally. Everybody should double up in Nov. & Dec. (i.e., futures, options, margin, etc.) 5 Aug 2011, 09:04 (4) Written on Mar 30 11:31 am prior to the MAY 6th FLASH CRASH: "Contrary to economic theory, & Nobel laureate Dr. Milton Friedman, monetary lags are not "long & variable". The lags for monetary flows (MVt), i.e., the proxies for (1) real-growth, and for (2) inflation indices, are historically, always, fixed in length (mathematical constants). However the lag for nominal gdp (the FED's target??), varies widely." Assuming no quick countervailing stimulus: 2010 jan..... 0.54.... 0.25 top feb..... 0.50.... 0.10 mar.... 0.54.... 0.08 apr..... 0.46.... 0.09 top may.... 0.41.... 0.01 stocks fall Been saying this for the last 6 months. Should see shortly. Stock market makes a double top in Jan & Apr. Then the real-output of final goods & services falls/inverts from (9) to (1) from Apr to May. Recent history indicates that this will be a marked, short, one month drop, in rate-of-change for real-output (-8). So stocks follow the economy down (with yields moving sympathetically?)" (5) flow5 Message #10 - 05/03/10 07:30 PM The markets usually turn (pivot) on May 5th (+ or - 1 day). (6) POSTED: Dec 13 2007 06:55 PM | The Commerce Department said retail sales in Oct 2007 increased by 1.2% over Oct 2006, & up a huge 6.3% from Nov 2006. 10/1/2007,,,,,,,-0.47,,,,,,, -0.22 * temporary bottom 11/1/2007,,,,,,, 0.14,,,,,,, -0.18 12/1/2007,,,,,,, 0.44,,,,,,,-0.23 1/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.59,,,,,,, 0.06 2/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.45,,,,,,, 0.10 3/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.06,,,,,,, 0.04 4/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.04,,,,,,, 0.02 5/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.09,,,,,,, 0.04 6/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.20,,,,,,, 0.05 7/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.32,,,,,,, 0.10 8/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.15,,,,,,, 0.05 9/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.00,,,,,,, 0.13 10/1/2008,,,,,,, -0.20,,,,,,, 0.10 * possible recession 11/1/2008,,,,,,, -0.10,,,,,,, 0.00 * possible recession 12/1/2008,,,,,,, 0.10,,,,,,, -0.06 * possible recession Trajectory as predicted: (7) 12-16-12, 01:50 PM #1 flow5 "We’re close to seeing the real power of OMOs. R-gDp is likely to accelerate earlier & faster than anyone now expects. The roc in M*Vt before any new stimulus is already above average. With low inflation (given some deficit resolution), Jan-Apr could be a zinger" (8) June's reversal will end the bull market that began in the early 80's. And it will not be because Operation Twist ends (although its end will force yields higher). 20 May 2012, 03:04 PMReply (9) This propelled nominal gNp to 19.2% in the 1st qtr 1981, the FFR to 22%, & AAA Corporates to 15.49%. My prediction for AAA corporate yields for 1981 was 15.48%.