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Ryan_C

Ryan_C
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  • What Do The Independent Inflation Gauges Show? [View article]
    EPI was 7% in 2011
    Jul 1, 2013. 10:32 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Remain Bullish On Gold [View article]
    you're hilarious!!!!! :-D
    Jun 28, 2013. 05:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I Was Wrong: Gold Has Been A Terrible Investment [View article]
    You could be right but this would interrupt the commodity:equity secular cycle that has existed for the last 150 years. It's all about sentiment and us human beings have an innate "sheep-herd" mentality. When equities taper off and rates go higher commodities will be the place to invest...CB are already doing it, pension funds are thinking of doing it, and hedge funds and retail investors will be the final wave. I think it could honestly be rediculous and I think it will happen soon: ie within the next 2-3 years. With respect to how far gold will go down, I think we are very close to a bottom but asset corrections to the tune of 40-50% in a secular bull is not unheard of. Look in the late 1970s during the last gold secular bull and you might be second guessing this correction.
    Jun 28, 2013. 04:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • I Was Wrong: Gold Has Been A Terrible Investment [View article]
    what exactly do you mean by "bottom signals"? I'm not a day trader
    Jun 28, 2013. 03:19 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Inflation Hoax [View article]
    i'd love to know the drugs that you smoke...they must be great. my only question is what you are going to think when the first major currency becomes worthless. talk about spinning tires. You people try so hard too...shame
    Jun 27, 2013. 07:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Own Gold [View article]
    two decades away? wow...your imcomplete sentences are giving me an incomplete sense of what your point was with all that. I'll ask you this though: If 3% was "good" inflation in the 1970s, and you know they dramatically under-report it now, why is "3"% still considered "good" now?
    Jun 26, 2013. 04:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Slow Death Of Bitcoin And Gold [View article]
    True, but I think that will be ending soon enough. Central banks are buying gold at the highest level since 1964. They know there is a massive wealth transfer developing in the final leg of this commodity secular bull market and they are positioning themselves accordingly.

    Not for nothing, but owning a high percentage of foreign government debt has political implications as well...it's not always for pure investment purposes. Think of it like poker chips in a high stakes game. Like in the Suez Crisis in the mid 1900's when we owned a crap-ton of UK's debt (UK was in a similar debt situation as the US is now). UK didn't want Egypt to nationalize the Suez Canal so they brutally attacked Egypt and took custody of the canal. All the US had to do was simply threaten to sell off the debt and the Enlgish ran home with their tails between their legs. When you are heavily in debt you no longer call the shots.
    Jun 26, 2013. 04:38 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Own Gold [View article]
    chris martenson fan?
    Jun 26, 2013. 03:51 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Own Gold [View article]
    It's amazing how often otherwise bright individuals completely ignore the central issue: too much debt. Unfortunately there has been a mass circle-jerk among young gun "economists" who have learned and studied one very specific and small area of our favorite dismal science: monetary policy. It's too bad because they ignore much of classical economics, based on thousands of years of history and endless empircal evidence that no central bank can play god and get away with it. And in fact, the US is about to be the most short-lived ecnomical powerhouse ever...it's only been ~50 years! At least England lasted a couple centuries! "Print, print, and more print. Austerity is for losers!" they say. HA!

    Think about it...we are fighting a problem of too much debt with MORE debt. How dumb does that sound? Soon enough it will be clear as day that Uncle Sam will struggle to pay back interest, let alone principle on these bonds. When that happens, the biggest bubble of all will burst: the bond bubble. This isn't the first time a country has downplayed inflation, overstated GDP, and eventually drowned itself in debt. There is plenty of precedence for what the US is going through right now, and there is only 1 outcome: failure. "it's different this time" they say. HA!
    Jun 26, 2013. 03:13 PM | 16 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Slow Death Of Bitcoin And Gold [View article]
    Central banks are buying gold probably because gold is not going to die
    Jun 26, 2013. 01:25 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Inflation Hoax [View article]
    So you are admitting that you think "this time it's different"? hehe Usually your comrades are afraid to drop those infamous last words. Look, nothing personal here, we are just on opposite banks of the philosophical river here. We will see who is right in the next 4-5 years...good luck.
    Jun 25, 2013. 10:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What If The Fed Really Does Think It's Monetizing The Debt? [View article]
    You know the heads of the private banks at these Treasury auctions are the actual shareholders of the Fed right? From the perspective of MS, GS, MLs of the world...they know QE is happening so they buy the T-bonds and turn right around and get 100 cents on the dollar. Retail investors also know QE is happening..so they are capitalizing on the opportunity and using T-bonds quite effectively as trading vehicles (yields have been crushed to all-time lows in the last 3-4 years). Everyone knows the party is over when the Fed steps away, so in a roundabout way my point is I respectfully disagree - the Fed *is* financing the deficit.
    Jun 24, 2013. 05:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Inflation Hoax [View article]
    when you take out a loan with a promise to pay back with interest there is an inherent understanding that you will have *more* money in the future...aka growth. that was my point chief
    Jun 24, 2013. 05:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Inflation Hoax [View article]
    I wish we lived in la-la land Tim, but we don't. I recommend brushing up on history. Any history
    Jun 24, 2013. 05:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Inflation Hoax [View article]
    one last thing for the *deflationists*...below is an equation relating velocity of money and inflation:

    M * V = P * Q (p=price, q =output, v=velocity, m=$supply)

    therefore

    P = M*V/Q

    **Even in a recession** If output (GNP) drops faster than money supply times velocity drops, there still is inflation folks. It isn't impossible to have an inflationary recession, contrary to (surprisingly) popular belief.
    Jun 24, 2013. 04:59 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
105 Comments
106 Likes