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Ryan_C

Ryan_C
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  • Sorry Bulls, But This Is Still A Secular Bear Market [View article]
    so why even try right?
    Feb 25 06:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sorry Bulls, But This Is Still A Secular Bear Market [View article]
    don't apologize for common sense my man!
    Feb 25 05:03 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sorry Bears, We're In A Secular Bull Market [View article]
    Tanking is a strong word to describe what's happening with commodities. For those who study the relationship between the commodity and equity cycles, it's common knowledge that even during secular bull cycle for commodities, there are periods in which they will be out-performed by equities. Just the nature of the beast.

    Long story short, those who think like I do assume that the Dow will reach all time highs in the very near future, but all gains will be given back before the next true secular bull market begins. Backing me up is 100 years of data, and the fact that this country has a debt and inflation problem to deal with.
    Feb 25 06:46 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sorry Bears, We're In A Secular Bull Market [View article]
    I recommend all these bulls to look at historical inflation-adjusted charts of the Dow. Even better, using real SGS numbers from shadowstats.com
    Feb 25 06:45 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Sorry Bears, We're In A Secular Bull Market [View article]
    the severely under-reported, poor-excuse-for-inflation is 2.3%. The true standard of living index (pre-1980 CPI) indicates 9-10% http://bit.ly/12tTy2B

    It's already here, wake up
    Feb 25 06:45 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Sorry Bears, We're In A Secular Bull Market [View article]
    who cares? means nothing until you look at inflation-adjusted charts
    Feb 25 06:44 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 20 Signs The U.S. Economy Is Heading For Big Trouble In The Months Ahead [View article]
    dude...fox news? As a GOPer, you're both wrong. Fox Business
    Feb 22 04:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Recovery Continues To Topple 'Big-Picture' Theories [View article]
    > the improving economy and legislative changes have cut the annual deficit in half over the last four years.

    Proof?
    Feb 14 08:42 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Coming Decade Of Stocks, Part 2 [View article]
    HA ok let's ignore the previous 100 years of secular bull and bear cycles...
    Feb 14 02:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gold Is A Feather, Not A Rock [View article]
    Man o man. CPI-U as we know it now didnt' even exist in 1982...so many things going against my grain here lol. Gold is literally the only asset class that *can't* be worth $0.

    Why are you ignoring the pull-back in 1975 in the last secular bull market for gold? You cited the performance of gold in the 1982-2000 bear market...so what? That was clearly the secular bull mk for stocks, the gold run was well done.

    Are you in the school of thought that the commodity/equity cycle of 17.6 years is just a myth? Sounds like you think gold is done.
    Feb 13 04:50 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Hyperinflation Is A Myth (And What It Means For Gold Prices) [View article]
    I have a motto that I use in every walk of life: "If you can't explain it to a 4 year old, you don't know it that well". Due to the fact I have never seen any "modern" economist concisely and adequately prove the validity of the MV=PT formula, or explain it well for that matter, I conclude it's a bunch of garbage. It just gets so confusing and awful. Not to mention that it ISN'T a good predictor of CPI. Real CPI is 9-10%: http://bit.ly/12tTy2B

    And another thing that chaps my ass with Keynesians...if 2% inflation was "good" when the Keynes camp was created, and it's already been proven that the way they report CPI now is under-published by 6-7% each year, why is 2% still "good" or "low" inflation. Haha just doesn't make sense..I feel bad for your 401(k)'s...

    The thing that really miffs me with "modern" economics is they somehow forget everything Friedman did. He looked back at literally thousands or years worth of data and proved to the nth degree that when the Romans, Germans, English, Turks, Chinese increased their money supply (mostly by melting down gold and debasing with lower quality metal) prices ALWAYS went up. As he said, it's a monetary phenomenon. We don't fight the basic Laws of Physics, why fight the basic Laws of Economics?


    http://bit.ly/12tTyzA

    ^ If you want to read up on why this formula is just awful

    "Now as Anderson has pointed out, in an acute analysis, the two sides of this equation are equal only because they are identical:..."
    Feb 12 03:45 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Deflation Or Inflation? What The All-Star Analysts Are Predicting [View article]
    you need to take it 1 step further though star98. Here's what you said:

    "When credit collapses (look at a chart of M3) faster than the banks can create it the result is deflation."

    My question to you is, but what did the Fed do in response? Answer: biggest money printing initiative in the history of the country. Inflation isn't rising prices. Rising prices is a by-product, or a symptom, of inflation.
    Jan 7 04:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Inflation Or Deflation? [View article]
    Jim, I love how you are short on VIXY, while the OP is long, and you are so effectively proving him wrong on his deflation-->inflation stance.
    Jan 7 04:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Inflation Or Deflation? [View article]
    never. underestimate. the. Fed
    Jan 7 04:59 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Real Estate For A Powerball Jackpot [View article]
    mortgages are nominal. what happens if rates DO go up and defaltion happens? I wouldn't want to have 3 mortagages at that moment...

    Either way, rates aren't going anywhere for at least 3 years.
    Nov 29 02:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
105 Comments
106 Likes