An Almost Risk-Free Way For Annual Return Of 50%+ [View article]
I stopped using using derivatives, except for liquid shorts, because either the option pricing and/or the bid-ask spread seems to reduce any arbitrage. I liked your articles because the levered ETF's are always coming up in my research, I was wondering why. Anyway, couldn't a similar strategy using "long" only positions avoid the feasibility issues?
8 Breakout Stocks In Energy Storage [View article]
"self-immolation of lithium anti-hype" - at least they'll stay warm in Davos. I'm no student of this sector, mostly I like reading JP articles because of the technical writing. I have convection+ that somebody's going to sell a buttload(alot) of start-stop. I'm not quite so giddy about the TSLA-XIDE pair, David vs Goliath is a generic cliche for a reason. In fact, as a small investor/trader, I'm wary of mirco cap suits(law) until "management" demonstrates a goal other than immolation of shareholders.
The Better Burger Threat To McDonald's [View article]
I've never read a real analysis on a stock written by a real analyst -- impressive. My simpleton take:
Billy Barter bought a bad burger and put it in his belly, which made his belly bitter. So Billy Barter bought a better burger and put it in his bitter belly, which made his bitter belly better.
What is Micky D doing different now than over the past twenty years that warrants such a high valuation? I don't know either.
Real Hourly Wages And Hours Worked: The Disappointing Math [View article]
I propose to you a referendum banning CPI, the cause of so many arguments. Yes, Swift could say it better, but I remind you, there are 192 hours in a week and some consumers may not exactly fit the CPI model.
Dividend Growth With Above Average Quality [View instapost]
Paired trades make sense to me at this point. I don't worry so much about systemic risk, only the spread between long/short positions. I've switched to this method since high beta seems to have played out, at least for the time being
Dividend Growth With Above Average Quality [View instapost]
I think you've written previously that you like to hedge with the S&P 500. Perhaps, it may be better to try your long position radar vision on shorting some specific companies?
Based On Real Math The S&P 500 Is Fairly Valued [View article]
Logical, I'm sure there were tax havens even in 1994. I enjoy the analysis when experienced investors, such as Chuck, present both some fundamental and technical ideas about individual companies. However, predicting the S&P 500 scares me; any such analysis misses a few gazillion variables. I'd like to see the line for the 20yr UST from 1994 (6.54%) on that graph.
BTW, repatriation holiday's don't make sense to me. Bringing back the Build America Bonds might be a good idea if the bonds are somehow contingent upon real job creation--none of those $50M projects that produce 50 jobs for a year.
Backtesting A Portfolio Of Low Beta, High Quality Dividend Payers [View article]
"It can't really be that easy." It can be as easy or as hard as you want it to be, I think, depending on your objectives. The 10yr UST was 5% in 02. Seems like a lot of extra risk for the reward. Your articles usually get me thinking about portfolio theory. This one is no exception - very clever approach to gain alpha by going after lower beta. I'm now thinking of beta as the mean of a normal distribution. Warren Buffet said he turned charts upside down, and they didn't make sense. Duh! If you turn them sideways, everything becomes clear.
Backtesting A Portfolio Of Low Beta, High Quality Dividend Payers [View article]
Curious for context. Nice work as usual. From the chart, I suppose the Sharpe ratio compares favorably to the sp500 benchmark, but I was wondering what were are the actual Sharpe ratios?
Lessons From 5 Years Of Economic Crisis [View article]
Would the FDIC have made counterparties whole if the banks (and most insurance companies) had failed in 2009? What kind of printing press would fix that?
8 Breakout Stocks In Energy Storage [View article]
An Almost Risk-Free Way For Annual Return Of 50%+ [View article]
Power-One: Cheap At First Glance But Not Upon Deeper Analysis [View article]
MLPs And The Hidden Benefit [View article]
8 Breakout Stocks In Energy Storage [View article]
The Better Burger Threat To McDonald's [View article]
The Better Burger Threat To McDonald's [View article]
Billy Barter bought a bad burger and put it in his belly,
which made his belly bitter.
So Billy Barter bought a better burger and put it in his bitter belly,
which made his bitter belly better.
What is Micky D doing different now than over the past twenty years that warrants such a high valuation? I don't know either.
Prepare To Short Gold [View article]
Real Hourly Wages And Hours Worked: The Disappointing Math [View article]
Dividend Growth With Above Average Quality [View instapost]
Dividend Growth With Above Average Quality [View instapost]
Based On Real Math The S&P 500 Is Fairly Valued [View article]
BTW, repatriation holiday's don't make sense to me. Bringing back the Build America Bonds might be a good idea if the bonds are somehow contingent upon real job creation--none of those $50M projects that produce 50 jobs for a year.
Backtesting A Portfolio Of Low Beta, High Quality Dividend Payers [View article]
Backtesting A Portfolio Of Low Beta, High Quality Dividend Payers [View article]
From the chart, I suppose the Sharpe ratio compares favorably to the sp500 benchmark, but I was wondering what were are the actual Sharpe ratios?
Lessons From 5 Years Of Economic Crisis [View article]