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filipo

filipo
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  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    bgi,
    Wait till we come closer to July 29/30.
    That is another important day for the manipulators to highlight the strength of USD and hence weakness of gold.
    You ain't seen nothing yet.
    Jul 25 04:02 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    Thanks Doc, it's always nice to hear it from the horse's mouth.
    Jul 24 03:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    gel,
    There is always a driver to accumulate gold, maybe not in the US, but certainly in the rest of the world.
    Jul 23 03:47 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Will It Take For Me To Believe Metals Have Bottomed? [View article]
    Stephen,
    Indeed, much ado about nothing.
    Big institutions are at high shorting positions already and that didn't change the gold price considerably.
    Koos Jansen has noticed that the Chinese keep on buying at high level:
    http://bit.ly/1tBhMHj
    nothing but physical, as always.
    I wonder when the shorters will start realizing that Western gold is slowly running out.

    However, I still expect a new shorters' attack around July 29. We'll see. Alot might happen in between.
    Jul 23 03:44 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Breakdown Of Apple's ROE Tells A Cautionary Tale [View article]
    I know no competitors who offer the same quality (battery, long endurance, excellent materials, operational speed, meaningful possibilities, outstanding design...) as Apple products.
    On an operational level, things might be more complex: costs should remain under control, even if this implies lay-offs.
    Jul 22 07:02 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    Stay thirsty, my friends.. for gains on gold trading, of course
    Jul 22 03:14 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    Waw, Dog, thanks for the link.
    When is it that Avi comes in the show ?
    Jul 20 07:05 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    Of course, if you think of the gold price as a broadband with a low at $1250 and a high at $1350, the probability that gold goes down when the price is at $1349 is higher than when it's at $1251, and vice versa gold can more likely go up when the price is at $1251 than when it's at $1349.
    However, external events can always disrupt such a broadband.
    That's why I remain sceptical.
    Jul 20 12:13 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GLD: More Whipsaw, Or Crash Ahead? [View article]
    I know a few Avi-adepts (Ninja-Trader, gelstretch, Quantum Profit) who are going to disagree with this article because they are persuaded that (sometimes) correlation means causation.
    Like they are persuaded that a rocket going through the White House front door would cause the gold price to go up.
    This article by Avi is going to disappoint them.
    Jul 20 08:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Will It Take For Me To Believe Metals Have Bottomed? [View article]
    QP,

    "Bullish and bearish Sentiment on gold controls the movement of gold "

    "EW does it's best to analyze it and make projections based on probabilities."

    I can agree with that although I still have my doubts about EW: at what point for instance do you start counting the waves ?

    Besides, that's not exactly what Avi has in mind. To him, all human behaviour is being determined by fixed patterns, call it "waves" and there's not much we can do about it.

    "Investors make assumptions on how the market will react to an event based on past outcomes,"

    That all sounds very rational, but recent events in Ukraine for instance make clear that these assumptions based on past outcomes, even if they're probability proven, don't always play out the way we expect. Let's call them the exceptions to the rule. But nowadays it appears that these exceptions tend to become the rule.

    I sincerely hope that we won't face too much exceptions anymore. I would gladly give up my paper gains for the lives of the people that died in this tragical MH17 incident. I knew 1 Dutch person that was on that plane.
    Jul 20 05:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problems With Gold [View article]
    We're retired..
    Jul 20 03:48 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Will It Take For Me To Believe Metals Have Bottomed? [View article]
    QP,

    "Elliott Wave as it doesn't control the gold market it just analyzes it and makes a projection which may be 100 % correct or may be wrong."

    You mean 100 % wrong ?

    If EW doesn't control the market, what does then ?
    Fundamental reasons ? Like a plane shot down, a new war breaking out, a major Portuguese Bank going belly up, bad Q2 corporate figures ?

    Just asking, cause if that's what you agree with, there is not so much water between the two of us.
    Jul 20 03:46 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What Will It Take For Me To Believe Metals Have Bottomed? [View article]
    Ninja,

    "A rocket through the front door of the White House might cause more than a ripple on a gold price graph."

    Maybe someone should try this out as an experiment before describing it as a new Law on Avi's Wikipedia.
    Anyway, there seems to be a growing discontent about Elliott Waves as the sole and only determining factor of the gold price evolution.
    I can only applaud this since I'm a strong adept of the "there must be fundamental reasons" theory.
    All that I recently said about EW was slightly ironizingly meant. Maybe you missed that.
    Jul 20 03:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problems With Gold [View article]
    Before investing all your money in stocks, you might perhaps consider reading this:

    http://seekingalpha.co...
    Jul 19 05:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Problems With Gold [View article]
    Quite, so let's invest all our money in stocks then.
    Any idea which stocks ?
    Jul 19 05:01 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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