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gherzog

gherzog
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  • September Can Still Happen [View article]
    September is happening.
    A. I have never seen the USA so solid about going onto a war footing.
    B. The Alibaba IPO seems to be extremely optimistic about participation (unlike Facebook's lukewarm reception).

    I really can't sort out the George Soros pessimism buzz. It seems those transactions were in February which did indeed feel very gloomy. But it seems that Wall Street has shaken off the gloom. And we don't know what George Soros has done since then except that he is very upbeat on Argentina.


    But do bear mind that we are headed in headwinds of a Mid-Term election. October could be a very sad affair, especially if Russia wants Europe to freeze over due to a lack of natural gas.

    There is a lot in play.
    Sep 16 11:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Use Money Supply Statistics For Market Predictions [View article]
    Excellent topic. In the 1970s and early 1980s the money supply figures were widely reported and watched by the public. That was a period of stagflation. I suspect the Fed decide to downplay the money supply publicity since then.

    And of course, the issue of the Fed's wealth and profits seem to be kept out of view to allow them more room to manage.

    So finding ways to peek into both are worthy pursuits. Technicians that desire to debate your conclusions are missing the real need for this data.
    Sep 14 09:00 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • IMF Deal Will Break Ukraine, Harm Global Stability [View article]
    Then why has the USA been building LNG Export infrastructure on the East Coast for the past several years. Russia only provides 25% of Europe's energy needs. Libya, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia are all providers.

    The Ukraine energy bottleneck has been a concern for at least a decade. Russia has previously threatened to cut off all the gas to Europe. Italy even tried to start construct of 10 nuclear reactor projects as a response.
    Mar 28 02:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2014 Comparison To 1929: Pattern Or Absurdity? [View article]
    This is a case study in how to deceive the public with charts and pseudo-techinical jargon.
    Mar 5 10:47 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 1929 Analogies Only Go So Far [View article]
    Read John Galbraith's 1929, and you will see significant parallels with the events of 2007-8..

    As for now, such events are no longer in play as the fundamentals of the banking regulations have worked hard to stabilize the world's economies.

    I suspect if another 1929 event is to occur it will be about 60 years forward of 2007, after we have had enough time to get stupid about what we allow the banks to do.
    Feb 19 03:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Tech Bubble 2.0 In Cloud And Social Networking Stocks? [View article]
    Yep, cloud computing and social networking make assumptions that people will mindlessly participate in whatever products computer technology can throw at them.

    But it really seems to me that the novelty is beginning to wear off. I have no real use for either.
    A. Cloud computing has never made it clear how they will assure 100% privacy of my data.
    B. Social networking is indeed fun if your are young, in college, and dating -- but people mature and grow weary of managing an information buzz that doesn't reward them in any meaningful manner.
    Jan 19 11:48 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This New Budget Proposal May Limit Your Annual Retirement Income [View article]
    Republicans fiddling while Washington, D.C. burns.

    If only I could contribute $205,000USD to my own retirement fund in one year.........

    Get real... pure greed of the uber-rich.
    Apr 9 02:06 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Slovenia Could Be The Next Cyprus [View article]
    I believe that the EU is now a total of 17 countries. It seems like it is time to make a list of who are the winners and who are the losers and who are just drifting along.

    Let's see...
    Ireland
    Spain
    Greece
    Italy
    Cypress
    and maybe Slovenia now.
    That is 6 out of 17 losers already.

    It is getting difficult to believe that there is any turn-around to long-term unity and stability in this trends.
    Mar 30 11:34 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dodging The International Tax Liability Bullet [View article]
    The US Supreme Court has previously passed judgement that it is the right of taxpayers to pay as little as possible. But I really wonder if this was what they intended.

    We have some very shrewd large tax firms and lawyers that are working very hard to stay one step ahead of international tax treaties. Meanwhile Apple has the largest pile of cash sitting around in the whole world and Microsoft is number two. Starbucks is definitely a player, but rather low on the list of accumulated cash. And Microsoft dumbfounded the financial journalist by announcing that they would finally pay a dividend, but would borrow the money to do so rather than pay from cash as the money was not in the USA and it would cost too much in taxes to bring it in.

    Where is this all going? The next bubble? Or is it the New World Order that is run by MNCs, not governments?
    Mar 30 11:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dodging The International Tax Liability Bullet [View article]
    If they are made abroad, how can you call them American products? This is a bit idiotic, isn't it? They are American originating brands.
    Mar 30 11:19 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • It Can Happen Here: The Confiscation Scheme Planned For U.S. And U.K. Depositors [View article]
    I really wanted to say something important and intelligent on this subject, but I wonder if anyone really cares to listen.

    To put it simple. the US government has already imposed the laws and means to confiscate the funds of those of us who might be wealthy and desire to quickly remove our funds from the US banking system. This has all come about since 2007.

    So while you might have millions in cash sitting in a US bank, you can leave the US in an economic meltdown. But you funds might just stay in the US and unavailable to you. And if you choose to declare that you want to move them out of the USA sphere of influence, heavy penalties may apply.
    Mar 29 10:03 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Much Better Alternative For Cyprus [View article]
    Well, it seems the deal didn't go through.

    Whatever solution Cyprus manages to get, the EU had once again done serious damage to managing the Euro.

    George Soros has been consistently pointing out that the EU just doesn't have the political will to unite and resolve matters of a united currency once and for all.

    So kick the problem down the road is still their one trick pony.
    Mar 20 11:58 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Confiscatory Cyprus Bank Tax Idea Destroyed European Bank Confidence [View article]
    Deal rejected about 2 hours ago...
    Now Cyprus is asking Russia to help out.
    This is high farce... First the Euro becomes managed by a double standard of valuations; then Putin jumps in; and now Cyprus actually thinks Russia is going to help the EU.

    For the Euro's sake, taxing the bank accounts should be abandoned. But will anything really save the Euro?
    Mar 20 11:39 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • An Endangered Species [View article]
    I left Oregon when the prime interest rate went to 20% under Ronald Reagan and I had made $25 in three months as a licensed general contractor. People were sitting around in a local tavern drinking water and borrowing rolling papers for tobacco. I suppose if you poach a deer now and then and do a bit of illegal logging, you can get by. I ran my own businees in Oregon for about 15 years.

    Living in rural America is not a self-employment haven by any means.

    I finally relocated to Taiwan where I could get stable employment with medical and dental benefits as an English teacher.

    Get a copy of "The Economist" and go where the GDP is highest... Asia.
    Mar 17 12:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Endangered Species [View article]
    small enterprise is the keel of the economy.

    Without an engaged and optimistic workforce, we don't have a buyforce.

    Self-employment these days is a euphemism for unwanted by employers.

    Get the Small Business Administration in the forefront of US economics.
    Mar 16 09:08 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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