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  • April Brings Spring... And Solid Returns [View article]
    Interesting stats but so general as to not really mean much IMO. 33% for April means a 1 in 3 chance it will be a down month. Add to that all the other factors like Tapering, overextended margin buying, rising % rates, saber rattling, Chinese debt default, topped out Indexes that are long in the tooth, etc. and I'd say the odds of a down month are better than 1 in 3.
    Apr 3 06:34 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Detailed Case To Short The S&P 500: This Time Isn't Different [View article]
    Uhhhh, it's called a credit card?
    Mar 24 10:15 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • James River Coal -4.7% AH as it delays 10-K, can't make interest payment [View news story]
    That was me. I missed 4 money making swing trades for a total of 130 % gains but instead lost over 40% over about 10 mos with JRCC. JRCC was a major learning experience for me that has helped me immensely going forward. "Experience brings knowledge; bad experience brings wisdom." :-)

    This is why I continue to watch JRCC with morbid curiosity.
    Mar 17 08:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Week Ahead: Ignore This Warning At Your Own Peril [View article]
    Takefive; actually that's more b.s. just like the WMD and the yellow cake.

    •Saddam Hussein did not try to assassinate George Bush, Sr.

    Bush, Jr. loves to tell the story of how Hussein "tried to kill my dad." But it's not true. Investigative reporter Seymour Hersh debunked the story in a December 5, 1993 article in The New Yorker titled "A Case Not Closed." The bomb was actually miles away from Bush, Sr. and was likely a set-up by Kuwait to keep Clinton from easing sanctions on Iraq.
    Mar 16 08:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Nuclear Option: Russia's Threat To Dump Treasuries [View article]
    "Politicians like to start wars, businessmen like to stop them." Funny statement considering almost all wars are fomented by financial and or corporate interests. "War" is big money and the Banksters profit from lending to both sides while the War Machine toy makers make huge profits on the materials of war. Don't believe it? Read General Smedley Butler's book "War is a Racket". He came to this realization right after WWI and nothing has changed.

    Want another prime example? GM built a truck plant in the Soviet Union at the height of the Vietnam "War". Those very trucks ended up on the Ho Chi Min trail supplying the very VC who were killing Americans in that particular "war for democracy and freedom."
    Mar 15 08:30 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Small-Cap Advanced Energy Has Uncapped Potential [View article]
    Class action lawsuit against EROC is the 800 lb. gorilla in the room I'd say. Paying a nice dividend though and downtrend could be a great buying opportunity?
    Mar 15 06:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Growing Threat To Canada's Oil Sands Boom [View article]
    Take another hit off that crack pipe.
    Mar 13 09:53 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Growing Threat To Canada's Oil Sands Boom [View article]
    Yeah, wonder if C-R would be so smug if his kids were playing in one of these "ponds". Reminds me of the Monsanto scientists who demand GMO free food in their own cafeterias yet won't even let us know if we are eating them? Hmmm.
    Mar 13 09:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Growing Threat To Canada's Oil Sands Boom [View article]
    I bet all those dead ducks would support his use of words. Freaking unreal how we are raping this planet for dirty fuel.
    Mar 13 09:44 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Week Ahead: Ignore This Warning At Your Own Peril [View article]
    Agree. N.K. had no business giving away Crimea. It belongs to Russia, gives them access to warm water port, they occupy it now so let the residents vote and if they want to join Russia it's none of anyone's business.

    Maybe Russia should have nuked the sh*t out of us when we rolled over Iraq for no reason but fabricated lies by the warmongering Globalist Neocons???? Let him without sin cast the first stone.
    Mar 10 06:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • History Predicts The S&P 500 In 2014 Will Be ... [View article]
    Fun exercise if that's your thing. Once again we come away with "it might go up and it might go down" ( 56% probability it ends up). :-)
    Mar 1 07:39 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market's Bill Of Health - Capitulation Monday Set The Stage For Market Rally [View article]
    That's the macro picture. Micro picture is near zero capital costs, U.S. equities solid compared to the rest of the world, low CD and savings interest rates steer money to the equities, and the immediate momentum is up. Short term I'd guess the trend is up albeit choppy.
    Feb 9 08:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bullish Percent Indicators Signal Market Correction Is Underway [View article]
    So by "correction" do you mean a 10% minimum drop in the Indexes?
    Feb 2 05:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • NYSE Margin Debt As An Indicator Of Long-Term Movements In S&P 500 [View article]
    I'm not a financial expert or whiz by any yardstick but intuitively buying stocks on margin would seem to have it's greatest effect on Equities when a significant correction occurs; say around 10%? Might this cause heavily margined stock holders to sell off to cover potential multiplying losses which in turn would drive the correction faster and deeper?

    As this occurs you then might experience the "rush for the exits" phenomenon by non margin stock holders and long option holders covering their losses ?

    Great article as I had never seen the equation of the total Equities Market value to margin debt as a percentage. It would seem small until you consider the "butterfly effect" no? Not to mention the fact that everyone ( most) seem to expect a "correction" thus making it a self fulfilling prophesy?
    Jan 23 06:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Stocks Are Souring Today - Avoid The SPY And Passive Longs [View article]
    Agree with FF that the overall trend is up probably through this year. Low % rates, high gov. debt, low T Note and Muni Bond % only serves to drive money into the equities including gold miners stocks and ETFs. One or two 5-10% profit taking consolidations would not be a surprise. Caveat is that the heavily margined equities could unravel if panic were to set in on say a 10% correction.
    Jan 23 04:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment