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Tactical111

Tactical111
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  • Weighing The Week Ahead: Will The Data Landslide Reveal Economic Weakness? [View article]
    Dunno about the "black hole". The highway I live on got fixed up real nice and it's still paying off today.
    Feb 1, 2015. 10:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2015 Market Outlook: A Bumpy But Still Profitable Year [View article]
    Right, trailing indicators and history don't prove sh*t and don't necessarily mean sh*t either. Overbought can stay overbought for a long time and oversold can do the same.
    Jan 30, 2015. 04:45 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Market Outlook 2015 - Robust Economy Could Offset Rate Hikes [View article]
    Yeah the recent GDP numbers are "super"; super cooked I'd say. And how about the crazy aunt in the attic; high yield energy bonds set to default from plunging oil prices? This will set off a ripple effect in the house of cards Market that will move from bonds to Financials that are heavily leveraged in Derivatives written on the junk bonds and on into the Equities foundation built on sand according to Nick Guarino of Wall St. Insider fame. He says it all comes down in 2-6 mos. Should be interesting.
    Dec 30, 2014. 05:06 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • There Is No January Effect [View article]
    Not sure why someone would waste their time trying to disprove a monthly pattern and only use a 6 yr. sample? Why not 20 or 30 yrs. as the data is readily available. I bet that would show a "January Effect".
    Dec 25, 2014. 05:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 4 Demographic Influences To Crash Stocks In 2014 [View article]
    "Effect"; sorry.
    Dec 23, 2014. 05:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Real Reason Why Stocks Are Down [View article]
    U.S. oil companies esp. the frackers are heavily leveraged in high risk debt. Falling oil prices causes default on this debt that is heavily derivative leveraged too. This is already in play below $70/bbl. Major oil cos. went all in borrowing for offshore drilling and will get crushed.

    Derivative failure pulls down the "too big to fail" banks and Wall St. financial institutions. This will start to unravel in the next 2 to 6 mos. Equities will follow so watch out in 2015. Fortunes will be made and lost. Fortunes will be made with Put Options on oil, gas, and energy equipment cos. as well as the energy ETF's. Go long on the energy inverse ETFs and get rich. The Saudis and Russians know this are behind it. The Saudis and Russians are sitting on huge currency reserves as well as gold and have ZERO gov. debt. Also they have extraction costs as low as $1-4/bbl so are prepared to ride this out. Mark my words.
    Dec 14, 2014. 09:21 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Solar Energy's Future Is Shining, But Is First Solar Still Competitive? The Algorithmic Perspective [View article]
    Author forgot to mention the range on the "signal" unless I missed it. How strong is the "152.28" signal on FSLR? 152 out of what?
    Nov 29, 2014. 05:26 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Ford recalls 65K vehicles over ignition issue [View news story]
    Sounds like the key is supposed to be removable ONLY in "Park" normally when the engine is turned off. Defect is that the key can be removed in ANY shifter position for up to 30 min. after the engine is turned off. Problem could be having the car in neutral and removing the key might allow it to roll if parking brake not applied.
    Nov 18, 2014. 07:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Exec confesses he paid bribes to win Petrobras contracts [View news story]
    I hope this b*tch tanks by Friday.
    Nov 18, 2014. 05:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Petrobras Worth The Risk? [View article]
    True, I look for IV around 20% or less and no more than 30%. Of course, even with high IV if it moves deep "into the money" you still can do very well; "if". :-)
    Nov 14, 2014. 07:25 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Petrobras Worth The Risk? [View article]
    Totally agree; buying Put Options ( "Buy to open" and "sell to close") is the only way to go imho as your risk is limited to what you've paid for the play plus the commission of course.
    Nov 14, 2014. 07:23 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alpha Natural Resources - Time To Leave The Ship [View article]
    Price spikes in KOL were a temporary run up and related to the Midterm Election chatter and results. An anomaly IMO as we still have 2 yrs. of Obummer plus the looming shadow of clean, cheap. abundant Nat Gas sweeping across the "energy" ( read fuel) sector. Coal is still a staple but the writing is on the wall. "Sell on the news" is next IMO. Maybe a Feb/March rally if it's another winter like last year?
    Nov 10, 2014. 05:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cliffs Natural Resources Now Has Easy Comps [View article]
    Wow, some little Frenchie has their panties in a bunch. :-)
    Nov 5, 2014. 10:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This Might Be A Good Time To Take A Look At Chesapeake [View article]
    That was my understanding too, Dmade. In the past when prices would drop OPEC would cut back production to force the price back up. They are trying a different tack this time by maintaining and/or increasing production with the strategy of driving U.S. Frackers out of business and hurting Russia too. OPEC has been steadily losing market share anyway to Brazil, USA, and Russia in the past few years so maybe feel they have more to gain than lose with this tactic. They are still the big guys on the block and have the staying power to hang in with lower oil prices and regain market share when the dust settles. Pretty dang smart if you ask me.
    Nov 4, 2014. 01:20 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Cliffs Natural Resources Now Has Easy Comps [View article]
    Short CLF. With neg. earnings/ net profit margin of - 143% I think I'm good.
    Nov 3, 2014. 09:48 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
197 Comments
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