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mobyss

mobyss
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  • Big beat on jobs with gain of 204K [View news story]
    "When one drops out of the labor force..they must have other alternatives"

    Section 8 housing? SNAP cards? 104 week unemployment benefits? Obamaphones?

    Lots and lots of alternatives to working.
    Nov 8 11:04 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Big beat on jobs with gain of 204K [View news story]
    You have to wonder when it will hit 50% - a few more years maybe?
    Nov 8 11:02 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Burn after reading: Another Model S fire [View news story]
    Dan,

    You're right. What I need to do is include all the cars from Mexico and their daily mileage and their rate of gas car fires too. And I probably do need to drop the US gas fleet-miles per day estimate to account for 150M actual daily drivers.

    But other factors to consider are recency, and also the intended customer.

    People remember things they've heard about recently more than old things. Many recent fires from a high-profile company are in people's heads more than Ford's Pinto problems in the 1970s.

    Also, the intended customer. What we REALLY need to look at is the fires-per-mile of Tesla vs. BMW, MB, Lexus, Audi, etc. That's who buys Teslas, not regular Joes. Let's limit the comparison to 2013 model year luxury cars that cost over $70,000.

    Also, I'll bet if you pull out all the fifteen year old pickup trucks and Japanese cars with 180 thousand miles on them the daily gas car fire rate is much less than 500. Maybe 50 if you only consider 2003 and newer cars.

    One last thing - how many of those 500 daily car fires are due to the car coming into contact with something on the road vs. someone dropping a cigarette or a do-it-yourselfer not hooking the fuel line back on correctly?


    I
    Nov 7 05:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Job Market Remains Awful; Stimulus Measures Have Helped Little [View article]
    Ha - I remember that "stimulus employment chart"! What a goofy joke that turned out to be.

    Maybe they used the same people who made that prediction to design and run the Obamacare website.

    The stimulus was an absolute failure when measured against its stated goals. We'll see where O-care goes (with only 6 people signing up on the first day).

    O-care and jobs are like oil and water. You'll see next year how much the rush to replace people with machines will accelerate, now that business has another year to "get ready".
    Nov 7 04:57 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Party Like It's 1999 [View article]
    Party like 1999? Then we should short the shoot out of all momo stocks because in about 12 months they'll be at 10% of today's prices, like Yahoo Dec 1999 to Dec 2000. Maybe Netflix?
    Nov 7 04:38 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Burn after reading: Another Model S fire [View news story]
    Then the car needs a front-scanning radar that will pop the car up when something is detected. See Mercedes Benz.
    Nov 7 04:34 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Beware The Complacency Of The Crowd [View article]
    I'm still holding the accumulated position on TZA started two weeks ago. Only got to 250 shares at an average price of $20.34. Will hold to see where this is going tomorrow. Either the jobs report is expected to be too good (QE taper sooner) or something else is causing the steady broad-market decline today.
    Nov 7 02:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Burn after reading: Another Model S fire [View news story]
    You'll never see a Tesla driven in the snow. Like a Ferrari or Corvette.
    Nov 7 02:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Burn after reading: Another Model S fire [View news story]
    Good job Sellinpanic. What was your stop loss on your position? It should have been 10% or so, which means you got out at around $175 in early October.

    If you've bought back in in the last few days you've got room to get out again if it continues to drop. Of course, if you bought yesterday at $150 you've got another $5 until it hits the 10% stop loss again.
    Nov 7 01:42 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Burn after reading: Another Model S fire [View news story]
    Let's say that the average car gets driven 33 miles a day (12k a year).

    Then, if you very conservatively consider that there are 250 million active gas cars each day, you're looking at 8.25 Billion miles of gas car operation per day. With 500 fires each day, you're looking at a 0.0000061% chance of having a car fire each day.

    Now, with 19,000 Teslas, assuming the same 33 miles per day, and three fires in 35 days, your looking at 627,000 fleet miles per day, and 0.086 fires per day. The chance of having a fire in a Tesla each day (so far) is 0.0000137%, or 2.25 times more than a gas car.

    More than than twice as likely to have a fire in a Tesla than a gas car. That's not good.
    Nov 7 01:36 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Real Damage Is Being Done To The US Economy [View article]
    I think what the author is saying here is that if you don't have a finance or economic background, please do not read his articles or make any comments, especially if you disagree with his premise.

    No problem. Goodbye.
    Nov 7 01:17 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Real Damage Is Being Done To The US Economy [View article]
    Allright, allright, you convinced me!

    Government spending should grow at at least 10% a year, not the measly 5% we've been averaging since 2008.
    Nov 7 12:43 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Market Overvalued? [View article]
    Great, all these reasons that stock are fundamentally valued correctly.

    So the Fed can end QE tomorrow, right? The market will keep rising on fundamentals, I would assume.
    Nov 7 12:40 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On the hour [View news story]
    TSLA down 27% from the high 5 weeks ago? Time to dump while there's still profit to be made (unless you bought in the last three months - then it's loss mitigation).
    Nov 7 12:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Real Damage Is Being Done To The US Economy [View article]
    How about me with a degree in aerospace engineering?

    Can I comment on the fact that the "austerity" is simply a reduction in the RATE of increase, not an actual cut? Government spending increases every year. The only thing that MIGHT be decreasing is the second derivative (that's a calculus term).
    Nov 7 12:29 PM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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