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ka12345

ka12345
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  • A High-Yield, Low-Payout Dividend Growth Model Portfolio For 2013 [View article]
    I am new to this stuff but shouldn't the reason why a company has a low payout ratio be taken into account?
    Mar 8 04:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How The Fiscal Cliff Fix Fails NLY And AGNC [View article]
    Your are correct. The stocks will levitate to book value, which will be much lower after the lack of demand from the Fed forces the value of the existing MBS's the mReits own way down.
    Jan 6 03:28 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • mREITs In 2013 - Friend Or Foe To Dividend Payouts? [View article]
    i am new to mReits. Don't own any but am watching. My simple mind see's the following: Fed's QE causes asset value of mREIT's to rise which causes book value to rise which causes share price to rise, but squeezes margin. Fed tightens... and asset values drop, book values drop and share prices drop. Will there be enough expansion in margins to offset the drop in book value, and how long will it take for expansion in margins to offset the immediate drop in book value. It seems to me the mREITS are eating their left foot for dinner.
    Jan 3 05:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Comparing Annaly Capital Management And American Capital Agency [View article]
    The BDC's yields and price as well as any other industry making their money by lending will get squeezed down as soon as short rates start edging up. However i doubt BDC's are leveraged which is better than not.
    Dec 31 07:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • An Undervalued Mortgage REIT With A Sustainable Dividend [View article]
    When QE ends or is reduced the value of current MBS will drop and will no longer be able to bolster dividends. Book value will drop as well. Spreads will widen on new MBS but will take time to move them into the portfolio.
    Dec 18 02:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • An Undervalued Mortgage REIT With A Sustainable Dividend [View article]
    When QE is over or reduced they won't be able to use inflated MBS to pay dividends because the values will drop as well as book value by same amount. Spreads on new MBS will widen but will ake time to fill the pipeline.
    Dec 18 02:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A check of mortgage REITs as the Fed looks to continue banging away at their net interest spread: Among the pure-agency REITs, HTS, which slashed its dividend last night, -2.3%. Also, AGNC -1.2%, but NLY +0.8%. The non-agency players mostly fare better, DX -0.1%, IVR -0.3%, EFC -0.1%[View news story]
    I don't understand why very few people here take into account loss of capital on mreits and not just loss of dividend. perhaps folks could start posting what there average buy in price was so the rest of us can view their comments in some sort of perspective?
    Dec 15 10:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A check of mortgage REITs as the Fed looks to continue banging away at their net interest spread: Among the pure-agency REITs, HTS, which slashed its dividend last night, -2.3%. Also, AGNC -1.2%, but NLY +0.8%. The non-agency players mostly fare better, DX -0.1%, IVR -0.3%, EFC -0.1%[View news story]
    So we are always going to be one quarter behind on knowledge of the true book value?

    And... when the Fed stops or reduces their buying of MBS the book value will drop.

    And... it looks to me that AGNC, in the last quarter, only earned approx $2.85 per share but paid out $5.00. They are doing this out of accumulated cash on hand?
    Dec 14 04:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A check of mortgage REITs as the Fed looks to continue banging away at their net interest spread: Among the pure-agency REITs, HTS, which slashed its dividend last night, -2.3%. Also, AGNC -1.2%, but NLY +0.8%. The non-agency players mostly fare better, DX -0.1%, IVR -0.3%, EFC -0.1%[View news story]
    Is the book value numbers on these stocks leveraged as well or is the current book value number reflective of all leverage unwound?
    Dec 14 03:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • FOMC Meeting Could Sink Agency mREITs Further [View article]
    If you buy a share at $30 and earn 15% div. and then the price drops to $15 only newly bought shares will earn the 30% div. Your previously bought shares are still earning div. based on the div rate from the original purchase price. Then factor in your capital loss.
    Dec 13 02:20 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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