Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
Background: Former securities analyst and brokerage firm owner and
Currently doing investment strategy consulting for institutional investors
Undergraduate degree from Northwestern, Economics
Taught Advanced Financial Markets Class at a University in Chicago
In to Yoga.
Lowenthal Capital Partners (LCP) has joined Arrow Loop Research to deliver a value-based investing newsletter called Arrow Loop Research's Actionable Ideas for Maximizing Returns. Sign up for a free trial here.
LCP is operated by Trevor Lowenthal. Trevor graduated with a BA in Political Science from University of California, Davis with Summa Cum Laude distinction. Trevor is finishing his J.D. at the University of Colorado Boulder Law School.
Arrow Loop Research formed as a partnership between LCP, Dr. Paul Price, and Market Shadows (Paul is a managing partner of Market Shadows.)
Paul writes about stocks, options and the market every weekday on Real Money Pro, a subscription site on TheStreet.com. Paul has been a speaker at the International Traders Expo in New York City and the Options and Forex Expo in Las Vegas. He also gives investment seminars for subscribers of TheStreet's multiple subscription sites. Dr. Price is a featured contributor on Market Shadows.com, GuruFocus.com and TalkMarkets.com.
Paul followed his passion for the stock market when he gave up his career as a dentist to join Merrill Lynch back in April of 1987. Paul feels that he is “living the dream” of many investors. He stopped “going to work” when he turned 50 (in the year 2000) and has been living well from his investment returns ever since.
Paul enjoys sharing the accumulated market wisdom he’s gained from years in the markets. He loves analyzing companies and picking individual stocks. According to Paul, once you know what equities to buy, option writing (selling covered calls and/or naked puts) just flows naturally. They serve as ways to impose investment discipline and create income while providing an extra margin of safety versus plain vanilla share ownership. Paul’s articles stand out for their unique graphics which are packed with information which distills our TMI (too much information) world into easy to understand, and actionable advice.
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Ken McGaha has been managing his own investment portfolios for over 20 years. On July 20, 2012 he launched the Self-Made Millionaire Tracking Portfolio with a portion of his capital as an aid to teach younger members of his extended family how he built his own investment portfolios and maintains them today.
Ken's flagship Self-Made Millionaire Tracking Portfolio had delivered a 18.57% annualized rate of return on capital as of May 16, 2015 against its benchmark objective of 15% annualized.
Self-Made Millionaire was closed to the public in December of 2015 to allow Ken to focus on private analysis work. He is now engaged in independent analysis of private and public companies for individual clients.
I am an active investor in crude, natural gas and gold as well as index ETF's for both commodities and stocks. I have learned a great deal about the markets over the past 38 years of 'training' and it was an expensive education. It takes about 20 years to figure out that there is very little that is rational about the markets because if they were rational, then everyone would be making money. It just doesn't work that way. An irrational market that is rising will continue to rise confounding the rational investor. When a majority of traders finally see good reasons for the excessive valuations, that is when a bull market is near it's end. Just when it all finally starts to make some sense and it looks 'safe' to be fully invested, the market will top out and die. Complacency is deadly to one's financial health!
The only thing that matters to the market is profits, not GDP, not unemployment, and definitely not how many poor people are on food stamps.
Options are for suckers. You a have few nice nice winners and a whole lot more losers. You cannot beat the time decay consistently to become an a long term winner at the options game.
A traders biggest enemy is a media that brainwashes at a conscious and sub-conscious level. The dissemination of faulty information ensures that the majority of traders will always be on the wrong side of a big move. What you think you know from reading and listening to the experts is almost always proven to wrong. The media will never tell you what you really need to know. Remember that the media is now owned by the filthy rich who are very definitely not interested in seeing you succeed at playing the markets.
An analyst or market guru who has enjoyed a good run of calling the markets successfully, will eventually suffer and even longer stretch being dead wrong. It inevitably costs their faithful followers substantial amounts of money to learn that hard lesson. Going all in based on the opinion of an analyst is a sure fire way to go eventually go broke.