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  • CEFL August Dividend Projected To Bring Yield To 18.4% [View article]
    Assuming that this investment is all about dividends, a correction would only mean a chance to buy more at a lower price. The cash flow from the investment would continue.

    My question is "what threatens the dividend?" rising rates?, falling real estate prices? what is the real risk to this investment.
    Aug 13 09:27 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Markets: Keep Calm And Carry On [View article]
    I read this article because I believe that the author is discussing the most important issue facing investors. I see the dilemma this way. Developed markets face three generational challenges, an aging population, a shrinking population and a leveraging populations. Each of these forces leads to less consumer demand.

    Governments have responded by adding leverage (JP, USA), adding liquidity(QE1,2,3) and driving interest rates to 0. None of these actions will spur an aging, shrinking, debt burdened population to spend more. So we are left with lower government revenues and a lot more government debt.

    So what do we do now?
    Aug 9 09:11 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Ocwen and related slump as Lawsky pens a letter [View news story]
    GTV999 welcome to Seeking Alpha. What a well constructed, lucid comment you have posted. Nicely done.

    But why is it that I don't feel that you are here looking for investment ideas?
    Aug 4 10:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Don't Buy This Dip: The Fed Is Not Your Friend [View article]
    Perhaps this ugly demographic reality is the real reason that our southern border has been opened to anyone who can swim, walk, crawl or tunnel across. We need young consumers to fuel the economy.
    Aug 4 10:19 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Did Monday's Rally Change Much? [View article]
    This afternoon felt like short covering. My bet is that we are reloading for another wave down.
    Aug 4 09:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy The Dip, Bail Out, Or Just Worry? [View article]
    And that is what makes it a market. I can see 10 reasons for it to sell off.
    1. conflicts,
    2. rising to far to fast
    3. rising interest rates
    4. peaking margins
    5. weak consumer spending
    6. end of QE
    7. Seasonal weakness
    8. to much bullish sentiment
    9. to much leverage in the financial system
    10. narrowing market leadership
    Aug 3 10:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Jackson Hole Will Signal Hawkish Tone For Financial Markets [View article]
    Econ, I agree that the Fed must begin tightening. But to date, nothing suggests a tightening cycle beyond moving rates back to a normal range - 10 year in the 4 range. Do you agree and if so, how would that affect the markets, especially since the Fed controls the reins and can slow the rise if the markets react badly?
    Aug 3 10:03 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Lululemon Is On Clearance, But Who Will Buy? [View article]
    anyone who has been holding the stock will agree "LULU has fallen"! Perhaps we can debate from where it has fallen:)
    Aug 3 09:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Buy The Dip, Bail Out, Or Just Worry? [View article]
    Sy, I agree with your assessment, a 10 to 15% sell off is likely. But with all of the tools available for investor to short any sell off, I would expect a stair step decline, filled with sharp rallies. This will assure that the misery is spread fairly among investors.

    It also leaves everyone with tough decisions. suffer through, sell out, hedge or short; not much room for error with any choice!
    Aug 3 08:55 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nasdaq Getting Closer And Closer [View article]
    I guess that I should get out my old Nasdaq 5000 baseball cap. Not sure how many of these hats are around since they were never distributed. After they made them, everyone decided that 5000 might not be a good thing to celebrate.

    Will it a something to celebrate this time or a high water mark of this latest bubble?

    Perhaps the best thing I could do is sell my hat on Ebay! You know sell high.
    Jul 6 10:16 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What Does The VIX Now Say About The Stock Market? [View article]
    Alan 1967, To your point, when is it a better time to bet that things are going to cool of, when we are at all time high temperatures or when the temperature is at the average.

    right now the VIX is at the extreme end of its range, so is it a good bet that it will return to the mean?
    Jun 11 12:07 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Detailed Case To Short The S&P 500: This Time Isn't Different [View article]
    True the Fed's balance sheet continues to grow but the market will react to the lower rate of growth. Its not the size of their balance sheet that feeds the market but the buying.
    Mar 24 11:11 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • On the hour [View news story]
    I completely disagree. Selling short, like trading options is not for everyone. Most simply dont have the discipline to succeed. There are too many variables. If you buy nothing buy S&P 500 stocks, your chance of major loss is small. You may not outperform the market but you wouldnt lose your savings.

    If you are good at trading, you have a skill most dont have. But be careful not to encourage others without that skill to venture into the pits!
    Feb 1 09:51 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Solazyme Jumped On Its Latest Announcement [View article]

    Your absolutely right. I have seen many companies crash and burn when they could not scale profitable. Remember EarthShell or Changing World Technologies or for that matter any company that this administration invests in!
    Feb 1 09:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Correction Fears Are Overblown: Buy The Dip [View article]
    The poker analogy has nothing to do with individual stocks but with the psychology of the activity. You can have perfect information about all of your investments but still not know the price of any of your stocks when the market opens tomorrow. And don't even try to guess the price a week month or year out.

    So now you face your emotions. You need conviction but dont be proud. You need to recognize your weakness but don't panic. So I guess the question you need to ask yourself is, "Do I feel lucky..."
    Jan 26 09:56 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment