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  • Is Mechanical Trading Right for You?  [View instapost]
    nice post...mechanical or discretionary? aah, the choices we face as traders...i too feel uncomfortable when the system signals a trade...but if you feel you have an edge you must ignore your emotions and play the probability..
    Sep 8, 2010. 09:23 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Second Wave of Europe's Banking Crisis Is Crystallizing  [View article]
    interesting post...i also think there are bigger problems ahead...
    Sep 8, 2010. 09:18 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
    thanks I will take a look...these signals are short term, usually less than 2 hours holding time
    Jun 11, 2010. 07:15 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Follow the Bonds - S&P 500's Direction Is Down  [View instapost]
    thks, found this interesting..I don't follow credit markets as closely...
    May 28, 2010. 07:58 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Greece: The 'Surprise' That Breaks the Camel's Back?  [View article]
    I agree with the Railroad Queen above, but asking the rating agencies to downgrade securities BEFORE the market reprices the risk is asking too much from these agencies. They are not objective. They act like they are providing useful information however, in my opinion, the ratings and information they provide is overrated.
    Apr 28, 2010. 03:16 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley: Finagling Accounting Profits  [View article]
    I really wonder how bankers truly feel about themselves nowadays. Lucky? to be still doing what they do. Stupid? because of how they mismanaged risk. Guilty and Shamed? as charged by almost everyone in America it seems sometimes. Arrogant? screw you, I got my bonus. Happy? because all those bad things in the past are now over and it's going to be a bright, bright,bright, sunshiny day. I really wonder....
    Apr 14, 2010. 04:08 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Did the Bailouts Work?  [View article]
    I agree with this analysis. Where is the so-called financial reform? At the height of the financial crises we had an opportunity to handle the structural problems that banks have, but we squandered it. In exchange for bailout dollars we should have demanded real reform. We did not and we probably will pay for it in the future.

    Why should we trust bankers? Let me remind readers of the Third World Debt Crisis, the Savings and Loan Crisis, and our current crisis. All of these events clearly show why banks should be monitored in their risk taking activities, yet we do nothing about it. I used to believe that Glass-Steagall was outdated and it was time to allow the commercial banks into investment banking activities. I no longer feel this way. Banks need to be monitored and regulated because they pose excessive risks to our economy.
    Apr 14, 2010. 03:43 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Catch-22 of a Yuan Revaluation  [View instapost]
    Interesting article, I found it surprising that Geithner is there...I do wonder why? Some have suggested that China may be in a bubble tied to its real estate...maybe China has more problems looming then we know about...they are so secretive and it is very difficult to understand what might be happening...maybe that too is being discussed...I'm not sure though that he's there so they do not revalue...
    Apr 14, 2010. 01:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Israel Warns Citizens, Bank Profits Return, SPX Reaching Critical Resistance - Daily Links  [View instapost]
    interesting charts ...whats your opinion regarding the fib points mentioned above...
    Apr 14, 2010. 12:43 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Acid Tests  [View instapost]
    do u think the sp500 will reach 1276?
    Apr 14, 2010. 12:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Relative Strength Diffusion Index  [View instapost]
    Is it better to look at high rs stocks trading above 50 dma rather than just all of them...or do they both generally say the same thing? for example, about 91% of stocks in the sp500 are currently trading above their 50dma, not too different from what you have showing on your chart
    Apr 14, 2010. 12:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Investing Without Borders Offers Refreshing Take That Challenges Much Financial Theory  [View article]
    Sounds to me like Mr. Frishberg assumes too much from the average investor. Most investors are generally not good at market timing, not good at picking sectors and stocks, and given that they cannot do it in their own country, asking them to pick foreign stocks and time foreign markets sounds like an even bigger reach to me.
    Apr 12, 2010. 08:24 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Nine Reasons Why Greece, PIIGS Approaching Irreversible Slide to Default  [View article]
    I generally agree with most of your analysis, but I particularly think reasons #1, #6, and #9 are why this problem can get out of hand real quickly and spread throughout Europe. Soros talked about this kind of stuff in his book, "The Alchemy of FInance:Reading the Mind of the Market." These kind of events have a way of "snowballing."
    Apr 11, 2010. 10:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • What Will the S&P Return Over the Next 10 Years?  [View article]
    My suggestion to long run forecasters is to just stop this silly practice. The answer to the title of this article is no one knows.
    Apr 11, 2010. 09:15 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Black Swans, Portfolio Theory and Market Timing  [View article]
    I enjoyed reading your article. You mention that in early 2007 your program(s) correctly called for an increase in volatility. It is now April 2010 and volatility levels have declined since the height of the economic crisis. I am wondering what your models predict regarding volatility going forward from here? In addition, in an above reply you mention that mean reversion operates on longer time scales. Can you specifically reply on mean reversion for short term time frames? As a new member I have not yet had time to read many articles and posts in SA, nonetheless, I will definetly be reading more of your articles and hopefully learn some more "stuff." Perhaps you can shorten my search through your work. Thx.
    Apr 11, 2010. 12:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment