extremebanker

extremebanker
Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
  • Should Younger Investors Follow The Strategy Of Retirees In Allocating Capital?  [View article]
    I think young people should be more aggressive than retirees. Use multiple strategies to accomplish goals. Leverage and compounding are the keys to rapid growth. Dividend stocks are fine as a core but won't get you where you need to be as fast. Healthcare and technology are good long term themes. Develop more than one strategy using good risk management.
    Feb 7, 2016. 03:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Mentality Of An Average Investor Part IV  [View article]
    I use a lot of mechanical monthly trading strategies that help with objectivity. There are a fair amount of articles on SA regarding mechanical strategies. Cliff Smith and Varan have done some work in this area. Of course, I like to tweak their work to meet my own objectives.
    Feb 7, 2016. 02:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • 60/40 Stock/Bonds Portfolio With Market Timing  [View article]
    You must remember that a .25% change when rates are at 2% is a 12.5% change.
    Feb 6, 2016. 10:30 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update For Portfolio Positioning And Management As Of 2/4/16  [View instapost]
    Agreed
    Feb 5, 2016. 04:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update For Portfolio Positioning And Management As Of 2/4/16  [View instapost]
    SG: Looking at a three year chart it would appear the market is testing it's lows. I have closed a short position today based on that observation.
    Feb 5, 2016. 03:24 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update For Portfolio Positioning And Management As Of 1/20/16: CONFIRMATION EVENT In My Vix Model  [View instapost]
    What is making money for me at the moment are short trades and some fixed income holdings.

    I am surprised at people's aversion to short selling during these conditions.
    Feb 5, 2016. 01:22 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Mentality Of An Average Investor Part IV  [View article]
    The heuristics you mention are available in many books and publications. Two I have read are "Thinking fast and slow" and the book by Larry Swedroe on investment mistakes.

    It would be helpful for investors to learn how to manage these flaws in their personality. My approach is to use multiple strategies within the framework of an overall investment plan with appropriate benchmarks for guidelines.
    Feb 5, 2016. 09:51 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update For Portfolio Positioning And Management As Of 1/20/16: CONFIRMATION EVENT In My Vix Model  [View instapost]
    SG: Some of the bonds of energy companies are now trading at respectable yields. Hess has one trading in the 80's with a coupon over 7%. Doing some nibbling.
    Feb 4, 2016. 08:54 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • How To Beat Leveraged ETF Decay  [View article]
    Varan: I find it interesting you have added lqd to the switching strategy. I get better results with SSO and TLT alone without including LQD.
    Feb 2, 2016. 09:01 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Update On Healthcare Basket Strategy As Of 1/26/16  [View instapost]
    SG: This is one sector where you and I will agree. VGHCX and other healthcare stocks have been on a tear for many years.

    The aging baby boomers should be a market force for at least the next decade.

    I added to my position in VGHCX at the close today. This is one of the few buy and hold positions I own.
    Jan 28, 2016. 01:13 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why A Long/Short Portfolio Makes Sense Today- Part II  [View article]
    I prefer momentum long/short or trend following. Going long COST and V this week as they have bounced from their 200 day MA. Still short emerging market, international and small cap.
    Jan 24, 2016. 12:12 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Update For Portfolio Positioning And Management As Of 1/12/2016  [View instapost]
    SG: Your model has worked very well during this correction.
    Jan 20, 2016. 01:37 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 2016 Market Meltdown - Panic Time?  [View article]
    The discussion of yield with TLT is virtually irrelevant. The most common use of TLT that I read on SA and other quantitative sites is as negative correlation for a declining stock market. There are numerous strategies where TLT is used as a cash substitute for stock investments.

    One sample strategy is to invest in VGHCX. Review your investment on the last day of the month and if VGHCX is above it's two month moving average, hold. If not, go to VUSTX (TLT). This strategy has yielded over 19% CAGR since January of 1987.
    Jan 20, 2016. 12:43 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Quarterly Tactical Strategy Using Fidelity Fixed-Income Mutual Funds  [View article]
    Have yall done any work on the correlations between VCVSX, SPY and FAGIX? Does using both strategies improve/worsen total portfolio performance or are their any correlation benefits/detriment between stocks, convertibles and junk?
    Jan 19, 2016. 09:07 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The SPY-TLT Universal Investment Strategy  [View article]
    drftr: No. Using PV relative strength and 3 month look back.
    Jan 14, 2016. 02:36 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
2,059 Comments
2,786 Likes