Sorry I hide my true identity but I'm a physicist/engineer, native contrarian and idea generator. I am an eclectic dividend investor with motto "In God We Trust, All Others Pay Cash" applied to companies I invest in.
I like to read /and read a lot - did you look on my SA photo 8-)? / including popular and academic investment books and papers. After 200+ books I concluded that many (but not all) finance academics failed to delivery a good science because they usually are more concerned about match between their models and limited (in time and place) data-sets than about underlying assumptions of their models. On another hand, finance practitioners such as fund managers have different goals than I (for example, they want to outperform or replicate market each single year while my goal is to have smooth income from my investment and I don't worry to underperform in a bull market) and to some extend more limited in their choices than I (for example, with micro- and nano-cap stocks). It gives a chance for me as amateur investor to compete successfully with professionals in niche strategies such as dividend investment (see http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/266502-why-i-m-a-dividend-zealot-jan-31-2012).
My real portfolio consists of more than 100 dividend growth (DG) and high yield (HY) high quality stocks of USA and foreign companies with good history of dividend payments. I cherry-picked these stocks from the end of XX century in accordance with my ideas on diversification for income-equity investors ( http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/725729-sds-seductive-dividend-stocks/4183595-an-estimation-of-dividend-growth-portfolio-size). I also maintain artificial so-called "poor"folio of dividend stocks I use for self-education about market.
I understand that DGI is mostly trust in company's Board of Directors consistency and that HYI is mostly disagreement with market sentiment but both styles fit my goals and mentality,
My investor edges are
i) critical scientific approach (used in natural science rather than in liberal sciences) to finance academics ideas and strong selection between useful and worthless findings;
ii) quite predictable proprietary model of dividend reductions forecast in near future (couple years) that I have delivered from mix of hardware engineering ideas and physics concepts with finance data and behavior signals that allows me to sell stocks before such unpleasant event, and that I continue to polish;
iii) independence in time frames and market exposures forbidden for many finance practitioners;
iv) analyses of companies that are too small for institutional investors.
I have couple excellent ideas in dividend investing I'd like to capitalize, so serious requests are welcome.
I rather put my thoughts and ideas in SA Instablog and comments than in articles (I'm pretty busy/lazy/English-incompetent to perfect an article) but in all cases all standard disclaimers are applied. One of good things I have learned in Intel, that decision should be data driven. So I try to supply my ideas and thoughts with most relevant data. I love old Russian writer and dramatist Anton Chekhov principle "Brevity is the sister of talent" and think it is even more important nowadays with ocean of information in front of any investor. So, I try to follow this principle in my SA instablog and comments but please remember that "If I have more time, I would have written shorter".
Being a scientific journals referee I have a bad habit to find few weak points in almost any manuscript, so I probably too critical in some comments but I hope the article authors excuse me. I prefer communicate via SA email rather than inside comments (I usually turn off "Track new comments on this article" feature SA has). So send me a SA email if you have a question or would like to discuss my point of view.
Retired Pharmacist. Call me Rose. Nose= Knows enough to know I need to keep learning and keeping a great dividend paying nest egg growing upwards.
My 81 stock portfolio is listed here by sector, largest holding by value is listed first.
Consumer Defensive (14): KO, PM, GIS, MO, TGT, KMB, CVS, DEO, PG, PEP, MDLZ, CL, KHC, UL.
Consumer Cyclical (8): MCD, SBUX, GPC, NKE, HAS, MAT, VFC, HD
Healthcare (5): JNJ, ABBV, AMGN, CAH, BDX
Healthcare eREITs (6) : OHI, VTR, HCN, NHI, CCP, HCP.
Energy (4): XOM, CVX, OXY, VLO,
Tech (3): AAPL, ADP, CSCO
Industrial(8): BA, UNP, MMM, CMI, CAT, GWW, NSC, LMT.
Financial (8): NRZ, ARI,, LADR (mREITs) TROW, MA, V, WFC, MET
eReits (9): WPC, DLR, O, CLDT, STAG, STWD, LXP, UBA, SNR (small)
BDCs (5): ARCC, MAIN, PNNT, HTGC, NEWT (small)
Telecom (2): VZ and T
Utility (9): SO, D, XEL, MGEE, WEC, DNP, LNT, CNP, FE
DNP is a CEF which predominately holds Utilities.
PRIMARY OBJECTIVE: ... Income Replacement!
Escape velocity is the speed that an object needs to be traveling to break free of the planet's gravitational pull and leave it without further propulsion.
This portfolio is looking for the point where the income being generated can allow the holder of this portfolio to escape the gravitational pull of the market and economic forces of worrying about share prices.
The objective is to generate enough income from assets that the only selling of shares will become an option, not a necessity to survive. Therefore, with enough income being generated, it minimizes the fear of meaningful market corrections as dividends are based on the number of shares owned, not the share price.
Mr. Leach spent his early years on a subsistence farm in western Michigan. He graduated at the top of his high school class which helped him land a scholarship to the University Michigan. Graduating magna cum laude with a bachelor’s degree in Nuclear Engineering and a minor in mathematics in 1981, Mr. Leach took his first professional job with Westinghouse Electric in Monroeville, PA.
Mr. Leach held several positions of increasing responsibility at Westinghouse, and Fluor Federal Services in Pennsylvania, South Carolina, and Washington State. While in Washington State, Mr. Leach completed his master’s of science degree in Environmental Engineering graduating summa cum laude in 1997 from Washington State University.
In 2003 and 2004 with Fluor Federal Services, Mr. Leach worked as a civilian contractor for the US Department of Defense in various middle east locations and the Philippines. In 2005, Mr. Leach joined the AREVA Group and spent two years in France. After returning stateside in 2006, Mr. Leach held various positions of increasing responsibility with AREVA Federal Services in South Carolina and North Carolina. Mr. Leach left the AREVA group in 2014 at the age of 56 and is now quasi-retired and focuses on his wife, his 15 year old son, and his investment portfolio.
Mr. Leach has been a consistent, avid, and successful investor for more than 30 years. His investment style is conservative and he primarily invests in income oriented equities, bonds, preferred stocks and mutual funds. Mr. Leach has written more than 50 articles on Seeking Alpha and other websites.
Professionally, I have done a bit of everything in my long life, from playing rock and roll, to developing software, and running a successful entrepreneurial business. But I am best known as a writer of bestselling books about business and health. I write under a pseudonym here on Seeking Alpha because that way I know readers will evaluate my work strictly on the basis of what I actually said rather than who I am.
Rocco Pendola is an associate editor at Seeking Alpha focusing on technology and the sectors it overlaps with.
In addition to technology, I am interested in dividend growth and income investing.
I make references to music I'm obsessed with (e.g., Old 97s, Elliott Smith, Bruce Springsteen) in my writing. If you notice any of these references, it makes me happy.
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Eli Inkrot is a writer. Check out his website: thecurrencyoftime.com, his articles here on Seeking Alpha or his book - "You Don't Have A Money Problem" - on Amazon.com.
Additionally, here is a quick bio:
Eli has held the title of Vice President and Portfolio Manager at EDMP Inc. - a money management firm - along with Vice President for F.A.S.T. Graphs - a financial software company.
Prior to that, he began his investment career as an analyst in private real estate for a public pension fund. During his time in real estate he was the lead for a variety of accounts with net asset values totaling nearly two billion dollars. Eli received a Master’s in Finance from the University of Tampa where he earned “highest honors” whilst receiving the distinction of being named the “most outstanding graduate student.” He also holds undergraduate degrees in both Economics and Business Administration from Otterbein University, graduating “magna cum laude” with distinct honors in each major. During his tenure at Otterbein, Eli was a member of the varsity golf team, held the departmental Senator position for Business, Economics and Accounting and studied abroad in the Netherlands.
I am publishing Instablogs focusing only on six general topics.
1. Regional Banks Basket Strategy
2. Equity REIT Basket Strategy
3. Healthcare Basket Strategy
4. CEF Portfolio Basket Strategy
5. Bonds and Equity Preferred Stock Basket Strategy
6. Portfolio positioning and management
I am not receiving compensation from SA or anyone else for my Instablogs and articles published at SeekingAlpha. I have never received any compensation for the posts published at my blog website. I am simply passing on what I have learned as an investor over 4+ decades free of charge.
In all of my 2000+ posts since early October 2008, the primary purpose was to provide a framework for rational and fact based investment decision making that will hopefully reduce the number of errors made.
My most basic investment strategy is to focus on income generating securities and then to invest the cash flow into more of the same, creating a compounding impact over a long period of time. I will invest in securities throughout the capital structure on a worldwide basis.
I am now and have always been a cautious total return investor (income + capital appreciation).
A focus on income generation simply means that income generation through interest or dividend payments is an important part of my total return objective.
I am no longer in an asset accumulation mode. Capital preservation is more important than capital appreciation.
Income generation is only one aspect of an objective evaluation of potential rewards balanced against potential risks.
After several decades of "turtle" investing, which sometimes requires me to pull my head back into the shell and to cease foraging in stock land (e.g. 1999), I am now admittedly absurdly diversified due largely to one of my risk management techniques that limits my monetary exposure to the securities of a single company.
My monetary exposure is largely dictated by a balancing of potential risks and rewards taking into consideration income generation and potential for capital appreciation.
As a risk control trading technique and in furtherance of my capital preservation emphasis, I will frequently use the natural volatility of a security to gradually build up a position, selling the highest cost shares on price spikes and buying back those shares when the purchase is lower than my average cost per share usually by more than 5%. The general idea is to lower my average cost per share over time with tax efficient share dispositions, thereby increasing my dividend yield for the remaining shares.
I have also been a practitioner of dynamic or tactical asset allocation that will be driven by my big picture views, including my Vix Asset Allocation Model, as well as my opinions about the relative risks and opportunities of various asset classes.
I was born in 1951, and started to invest in stocks when I was 16. I am not a financial advisor, but simply an individual investor who has been managing my own money for my adult life starting when I was a teenager. All of my brokerage accounts are cash accounts. I have never bought stock on margin. I have not added money to any of these accounts since 1984 and have used those accounts to fund my annual IRA contributions.
I started my web site, Stocks & Politics, in October 2008 to do whatever I can to help individuals become better investors, which requires a lot of hard work and effort. After over 2000+ blogs, mostly long ones, I came to a realization that my time consuming and laborious efforts have been mostly futile and have been rewarded at best with faint praise. I will no longer be posting there.
I would still emphasize that it is important for individuals to become as knowledgeable as possible before making any decision, with every individual taking full responsibility for their investment decisions and to prepare accordingly, which is what I try to do.
The Twitter Generation will need IMO far greater investment skills than previous generations given what I now perceived about future U.S. economic conditions.
First of all, let me state that I am NOT a CPA, attorney, nor financial planner. I am just a relatively savvy stock investor who wants to help the general public find their way through some of the maze of stock investing.
I am 85 years young, although you might not think so from my accompanying newest picture. Yes, that is reallly me, age 84 and 11 months. I have been investing in stocks and bonds for about 60 of those years. It is now my main hobby. I invest mainly in high-yield stocks rated A- or lower down to B. I got stung a few years ago when Lehman Brothers, rated AAA, went down the tubes, costing me over $25,000, so decided to never again get involved with highly rated (over-rated) stocks that paid only small dividends. I prefer the high-yield stocks like BDCs, REITs, and MLPs from which I can get paid NOW, even though I actually expect to last another 20 years or so. I have developed my own stock investing system that I call MRHY (medium risk, high yield).
I took early retirement in 1987 from a job as manager of a Computer Systems and Programming department at a large life insurance company. I am the holder of a CDP (Certificate in Data Processing) from the Data Processing Management Association (DPMA). During my working years, I frequentlly worked closely with the company actuaries and accountants. I even took some actuarial classes to be able to work with the actuaries in their own language and skills. Those experiences, plus my computer skills and high IQ, have alllowed me to build my stock portfolio from less than $300,000 in 1987 to over $600,000 in 2007. I also have the benefits of ~95% long term retention of whatever I read or hear, which is very useful in stock market investing. I inherited $everal hundred thou$and in 2011, which I have invested in medium-risk, high-yield stocks (MRHY), so that my total stock portfolio is now well over $1.25 million.
The above Bio was posted a couple of years ago and has now (October, 2015) been updated. My stock holdings are now over $1.5 Million and my annual dividend income is now just
over $175,000. I also collect income from SSA, 3 annuities that my deceased wife and I started receiving when we retired, and a restaurant seating about 120 that I bought in November, 2014, for a total annual income of about $240,000.
Folks, if I can do it, you can too. All that it requires is a good brain with an understanding of the financial world, mathematics, and a little actuarial science, plus a high risk tolerance!
My name is Ted Leach. I'm a 65-year-old investor focused on dividends in a Retirement Income Portfolio. I'm not yet in the distribution phase of retirement. After serving as a pastor for 40 years, I'm in a second career and I have two part-time jobs. As Director of Community & Property Care, I'm part of a management team that oversees 123 residential retirement units in multiple locations for a non-profit organization. I also serve a large congregation as a part-time associate pastor.
I've been a member of the National Association of Investment Clubs (NAIC) since 1982, which now operates as BetterInvesting.org. For many years as a volunteer I helped lead workshops to teach tools developed by NAIC to educate investors about how to do basic fundamental stock analysis. I continue to have a strong interest in investor education.
NAIC's historic "four principles" have been very helpful to me:
1) invest regularly throughout your lifetime;
2) invest in growth companies;
3) reinvest earnings and profits;
4) diversify by industry and size.
Bill Bengen's "4% Rule" concept inspired me to set a goal to create a retirement income portfolio of individual dividend growth stocks as a way to tap only dividend income from the portfolio as long as possible rather than selling assets.
Here is my current 25-stock portfolio:
- 5 stocks each with a 5.2% target allocation: JNJ, XOM, MSFT, PG, MMM
- 5 stocks each with a 4.4% target allocation: WMT, MRK, IBM, CMI, GPC
- 5 stocks each with a 3.6% target allocation: EMR, SO, WEC, CNP, HCP
- 5 stocks each with a 3.0% target allocation: PEP, T, O, EPD, WPC
- 5 stocks each with a 2.4% target allocation: UNP, NNN, STAG, MAIN, EVA.
Helpful mentors and colleagues include:
- Charles Allmon, former columnist for Better Investing, taught me to look for growth stocks
- Ben Graham's The Intelligent Investor taught me the importance of intrinsic value
- Peter Lynch instilled confidence that the average citizen can win in the stock market
- Louis Rukeyser demonstrated how to ask probing questions about market conditions
- Brad Thomas introduced me to a host of real estate investment trusts
- Bob Wells' analytical discipline keeps me focused on dividend growth
- Lowell Miller's The Single Best Investment helped me focus on quality and safety
- David Van Knapp's holistic style of portfolio building helps me see the big picture
- David Fish and Factoids inspire me to keep digging for data
- Chowder reminds me that each buy is the purchase of a business
- BDC Buzz has helped me sift through business development companies
- Tom Konrad opened my mind to alternative energy investments
- George Fisher is a helpful "lookout" scanning the horizon for utility opportunities
- The Seeking Alpha community--both veterans and young contributors.
Michael Hooper is a freelance writer and value investor. Hooper was previously business editor of The Topeka Capital-Journal for nearly 10 years, then worked four years as a trust officer. He has been a stock market investor since 1993.
Buy & Never Sell: ((Established in 2013))
AAPL, ABBV, ABT, BABA, BA, CHL, CHU, COP, CL, CLX, DIS, DPS, GE, GIS, GSK, HCP, HSY, JNJ, K, KHC, KMB, KO, MAIN, MCD, MLDZ, MMM, MO, MSFT, NGG, NSRGY, O, OHI, PEP, PG, PM, SBUX, T, TGT, TROW, UL, VER, VFC, VZ, WMT, WPC, XOM, YUM
I am a medical professional, but I have been studying investing for many years so that I can control my own portfolio. DGI seems to be the best way for me to invest for my retirement while being able to sleep at night.
I have also been successfully trading cash secured puts for extra income. I share my experience on my websites, Tradingcsps.com and my blog Tradingputs.com.
Civil engineer using nurtured logical predictive ability to increase my retirement accounts and thereby recover somewhat from the one two punch of a divorce (in 2007 I borrowed to settle and keep real estate) and real estate downturn (2008 my real estate went underwater).
Started investing in stocks in mid-2013 with $100k in a Roth IRA. Dropped to $69k, up to $500k, down to $105k, up to $670k, down to $315k, up to $850k. Goal is $4m by end of 2015. I am more than half way there having achieved an 8.5 bagger (end of 2015), I only need another 5 bagger to exceed my goal. TAX FREE.
"A man who follows an independent and contrary path has no guarantee of making money… but a man who follows the great mass of conventional wisdom is practically guaranteed that he will not."
Riches are made through focus and concentration on a few stocks. Riches are kept through diversification . . .
Current investments: RiteAid and Intel LEAPS
LEAPS for Fun and Profit: service only available to family and close friends :-)
Don't try what I am doing without your own extensive research.
Retired physician. I have been giving myself a crash course in personal investing because I am tired of paying 1% (which at best is 20% of my profits) to people who look at my accounts once a quarter. I am also fed up with what, for want of a better name, I would call "dart board diversification" just because that is the thing to do. My wife's state pension, accumulated TIAA annuities at their oldest rates, and eventually full social security for both of us provides some degree of income stability independent of the stock market. My goal for all the rest of our investments is a 5% pre-tax return which should allow us to live off income without invading principal, except in the most dire of emergencies. I recently noted that SA wants pseudonyms clearly identified. So let me state that I am an early member of the boomer generation and live in California, hence my pseudonym.
Following financial markets for more than 15 years, focused on the US equity markets, emerging growth and technology.
Main areas of focus are: portfolio management, behavioral finance, new technologies and emerging companies/sectors, initial public offerings and venture capital.
I try to determine without emotions major turning points and strong trends of major assets that include global indices, equity sector classes, high liquidity stocks, debts & fixed income, commodities and currencies. I apply quantitative & qualitative models exploiting relationships among Debts, FX and Equity combining solid academic education, deep macro knowledge & business experience. The end result to positive total return irrespective of market conditions in the short to medium term.
Here please see what I do http://leopardtrader.com/what-we-do/
Over past 40 years: College and University courses. Also studied Meditation, yoga, studied health and self-improvement and seeking enlightenment and business and life success and wealth through thousands of books and dozens of gurus.
I was licensed in Mutual funds and Life Insurance in 1985 and have 20 years work experience in accounting and 10 years experience in auto and vehicle insurance and 10 years of telephone sales and service.
I started intensive trading back around 2,000 for a few years than switched to Mutual Funds until February 2013 then sold all my funds and for three years have been doing intensive analysis of what moves Gold and Silver and generate profits for me, which involved 1,000+ hours studying over 1,000+ articles about the market and precious metals and became aware of what really moves precious metals and what doesn't.. The bottom line is there is way too much false analysis and articles and so called Gurus claiming to know what will happen to the price of precious metals and what moves them. Beware of almost all analysts and articles about precious metals are they selling something or are a perma bear or bull. I'm here to profit in precious metals. Most news, manipulations or conspiracy theories don't move Gold consistently in the same direction, so best to minimize focus on them. Elliott Wave I have found it to be the only trustable and profitable method to trade precious metals. There are also a hand full of the best Technical Indicators that are beneficial to use along with Elliott Wave including Ichimoku Cloud, TOS TTM Indicators, MACD, Parabolic SAR, Momentum, SMI ... Summary: I wouldn't trade Gold of Silver without Elliott Wave. -----------------------------
Why Quantum Profit? In physics, a quantum (plural: quanta) is the minimum amount of any physical entity involved in an interaction. "Quantum leap" - noun - : a sudden large change, development, or improvement. Quantum Profit, means mega profits in less time with less effort, while following Elliott Wave advanced analysis, the Law of Attraction, being in the Flow, receiving and giving Divine Guidance and Blessings, and the Law of Allowing, along with Receiving and Appreciation.
Also because I am deeply involved in several QUANTUM activities. Quantum Entrainment (QE) - Where you makes an intention and with a simple and fast triangulation process one can be in a deep state of 'pure awareness', theta brainwaves, where you are in contact with the Zero Point Field of infinite potential. The source of all that is. Miracles often do happen often with that process. It was developed by Dr. Frank Kinslow I have been utilizing this process for 5 years. Dr. Kinslow's book are bestsellers in multiple languages and sold out seminars in US and Europe. I completed his Florida seminar and read and practiced all of his books.
Do You QuantumThink By Dianne Collins is an amazing book that empowers one to "Live in the Zone" I have studied the program many times. The book gently releases resistance and evolves your thinking and awareness from the industrial age 300 years ago into the 21st Century Quantum Age of Divine Awareness and Connection.
I have also practiced and taught another leading edge process for 7 years. Sahaja Yoga - It is the most advanced and beneficial meditation and enlightenment process in history. Every class is free and includes a Kundalini Awakening 30 minute process given for free to all students. You discover your imbalances and learn how to balance and heal all aspects of your life as you practice 'Thoughtless Awareness' meditation, which easily stops all thoughts and drops your brainwaves from regular beta waves to the 'whole brain' deep awareness of Theta brainwaves where you connect with and fill your self with: Divine energy, Kundalini, Energy, Chi, Prana, Life Force, Cool Breeze of the Holy Spirit, and receive balancing and healing in all aspects of your life, including health, inner peace and happiness and resolve financial difficulties. Here is a Sahaja Yoga website that offers free Kundalini Awakening (Enlightenment), Sahaja Yoga is always free in over 100 countries in many languages. See the web site at freemeditation.com It balances all areas of your life including finances.
Elliott Wave Analysis is considered a leading edge financial analysis for investment forecasting. It is more accurate, with greater profits being made in a shorter period of time.
Many Prosperous returns to all. Live long and Prosper in Peace, Joy, Love and Prosperity$
I'm an asset manager at Hebba Alternative Investments with a focus on real assets. In my articles I like to focus on events that affect the macro environment for assets (especially gold and silver), and also introduce readers to different metrics that I believe are under-utilized when assessing investments.
On a more personal note, I'm a firm believer that there can be honesty, morality, and integrity in finance (though its rare) and i'd like to believe that I stick to those principles. Thus I never "pump and dump" stocks, I always list the securities we own, and I take it very seriously when I recommend a company - I do not want to see any investors/readers lose money because of my recommendations.
I'm not always right with recommendations, but investors and readers can know that I always tell the truth (there is no deception) and I eat my own cooking as recommendations are either always owned OR the reason I dont own them is given (usually related to restrictions on stocks I can buy).
Advising people in financial matters is a serious issue and integrity is much more important than money to me, but I do believe both can co-exist. You live with money, but after your death you only have your morality and integrity and thus i've made my choice between the two. A bit philosophical for a bio, but I dont think there's a better way to give investors my background than that.
We offer investors a free weekly email list detailing gold, silver, and general economic markets which you can sign up for at: http://www.communitysynergy.com/subscribe/hebbainvestments_subscribe.html
Eric Parnell, CFA, is the Founder and Director of Gerring Capital Partners. Gerring Capital is a registered investment advisory firm seeking attractive returns opportunities emphasizing value, quality and risk control. Eric also publishes The Universal premium service on Seeking Alpha targeting winning strategies in bear and bull markets across the asset class universe. Gerring Capital implements these strategies for its investors and then Eric discusses them on The Universal. Eric is also a Visiting Instructor at Ursinus College in the Department of Business and Economics. Prior to founding Gerring in 2005, Eric was the Director of Investment Communications at SEI Investments and an Economist at Moody’s Analytics.
I share my portfolio, trades, and reasoning in real time with readers at my website: http://WisdomsReward.com (specifically look for the tab that says Value Focus)
My name is Chris McKinney. Wisdom's Reward is the name of a Christian investing website I started. My faith in Jesus Christ factors into my investing in various ways. The name "Wisdom's Reward" was suggested by a friend and comes from the fact that I started on the whole venture by studying Ecclesiastes and Proverbs (both are books of Wisdom) regarding what they had to say specifically about investing and finances, as well as other principles that could be applied to investing. In fact, there is a detailed report about that study available at my site.
My background: I used to work in the investment management industry, as a buy side Equity Trader, a Research Analyst, then a Senior Research Analyst in the Wealth Management group of a large commercial bank. Later, I worked as a Senior Investment Risk Analyst for an insurance company, as part of a team charged with managing that company's $60 billion portfolio. I had a great career going. Then my personal life got out of control, before I finally decided to surrender everything to a loving savior. He rescued me from myself, and my life is better today than I could have ever imagined it being. You can read more about that on my website.
My investment philosophy: Human beings cannot see the future, so we have to think in terms of probabilities, not certainties. Then we must examine the potential rewards under different scenarios to decide if something is attractively priced. It's easy to forget that we cannot see the future clearly. The more we study a particular topic, the more we can become convinced of a specific outcome. However, neither the future nor the market knows or cares how much study we put into something. We can increase our chances of getting things right. But, if we're wrong, the high probabilities we assigned to a certain scenario won't matter. All that will matter is what actually happened. So, risk management is incredibly important.
I've had lots of formal training and study. I believe the Mr. Market analogy used by Graham and Buffett to be the most important secular material I've ever read in regard to investments. Reading about cognitive biases and other mental errors, and then using that knowledge to guard against those things is also very important. Behavioral finance is probably the most useful area of study produced by scholars.
Doug Eberhardt is a 30 year investment professional offering his analysis on 46 ETFs 5 days a week providing buy and sell recommendations. He is the author of the soon to be released book "Illusions of Wealth" that offers a fresh look on how investors can profit. He has written the book "Buy Gold and Silver Safely" and is a broker/dealer selling gold and silver coins and bars at 1% over wholesale cost to investors who are looking for "real wealth" diversification and protection from currency depreciation.
Zachary is the lead analyst for Stock Waves, a service provided by Elliottwavetrader.net. He began working in finance as an investment adviser in 2008. In 2010 he began to study technical analysis and specifically Elliott Wave Theory and took to it immediately. He continues to push the boundaries on how sentiment drives the perception of fundamentals and how some fundamentals can influence sentiment. Among his most notable recent market calls include the recent June and September 2013 bottoms in Facebook, the January 2013 pre-earnings bottom in GOOG, the November $69 low in BA, the April 2013 low in FSLR as well as the $59 top, the May low in GRPN, the October 23rd low in CMG, and many more.
F.A.S.T. Graphs™ is a powerful research tool providing “essential fundamentals at a glance” on over 17,000 symbols. F.A.S.T. Graphs™ empowers the user to research stocks deeper and faster by allowing them to exploit the undeniable relationship and functional correlation between long-term earnings growth and market price. Warren Buffett, the greatest capital allocator of all time, said; “there are only two things that investor needs to know; how to value a company and how to think about stock prices.” With the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ at their disposal, users are able to perform both of these critical tasks… FAST.
F.A.S.T. is an acronym for Fundamentals Analyzer Software Tool that takes all the hours of manual graphing of business fundamentals and reduces it to seconds, giving you critical information in an instant. With one glance you know a lot about the business you are graphing and its past, present and future value. F.A.S.T. Graphs™ should be the first step in every research project. Each graph is worth 1,000 words in describing a company’s growth, consistency and valuation.