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Darwin Investment Strategies: An elegant reconceptualization of asset allocation using portfolio mathematics, insensitive to noise and regularly reconfigured to account for observed changes in volatility and correlations across the world's major markets and asset classes. No story, no forecasts, no biases; just maximum returns per unit of risk.
Wesley R. Gray, Ph.D. has studied and been an active participant in financial markets throughout his career. After serving as a Captain in the United States Marine Corps, Dr. Gray received a PhD, and was a finance professor at Drexel University. Dr. Gray’s interest in entrepreneurship and behavioral finance led him to found Alpha Architect, LLC, an SEC-Registered Investment Advisor, where he is the Executive Managing Member. Dr. Gray has published two books: EMBEDDED: A Marine Corps Adviser Inside the Iraqi Army and QUANTITATIVE VALUE: A Practitioner’s Guide to Automating Intelligent Investment and Eliminating Behavioral Errors. His work has been highlighted on CBNC, CNN, NPR, Motley Fool, WSJ Market Watch, CFA Institute, Institutional Investor, and CBS News. Dr. Gray earned an MBA and a PhD in finance from the University of Chicago and graduated magna cum laude with a BS from The Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.
-I have been investing since the fall of 2008 and invested through one of the most difficult investing periods in history and know the importance of dividend growth and stability during those times as well as during the good times. I started writing for Seeking Alpha a little over three years ago and I have been successful with the companies I write about, which is shown by my high TipRanks success rate (Link Below). https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/brad-kenagy
I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.
Developer, Chief Strategist and Head Writer of AllanTrends.com, a trading service based upon a proprietary algorithm that identifies the dominant trend of any stock, index or ETF.
O. Young Kwon, NYU Ph.D. in Economics had worked in securities industry for ten years as a Registered Investment Adviser. He taught Macroeconomics and Statistics. Prior to his academic career, he was an Economist/Bank Supervisor at the Bank of Korea (the Fed's counterpart). In 2009 he set up the TANER System in order to synthesize performances and relative strengths of 20 ETFs and 40 equities thoroughly. (“Go TANER: The Market Primer”) The System captures dynamics of momentum changes of individual securities on the daily basis. The System also builds successfully their momentum trends over time.
He is a conservative investor, targeting on a reasonable investment goal (inflation plus 3%). His investment preference is a relatively long-term (three to twelve months) long-only strategy. He allocates his assets as an auto-pilot portfolio: 85% in six mutual funds (currently three bond, two equity, and one international) and 15% in two trading accounts. As the title of his portfolio indicates, any short-term frequent portfolio adjustment is not needed. He adjusts his portfolio gradually several times a quarter, based upon TANER Momentums (TMs), inflation expectations, money supply, and various asset valuations.
The significantly increased market volatility induced mainly by more frequent online trading pattern with ETFs in the recent years, however, forces investors towards somewhat aggressive trading to gain more and lose less. It is a very serious challenge to conservative investors like him. He has traded daily, based on TMs, provided by the TANER System. The investment returns turn out to be incredibly high. (“The Tiger Rule:”).
He has been posting TMs on his Instablog daily to share the ins and outs of the TANER System. TMs are a summary of the results of the Sythesized Performance and Relative Strength (SPARS) daily. ("Daily TANER Momentums (DTMs)")
In the1970s, he was a visiting Economist (sent by the Bank of Korea) at the NY Fed and the Bank of NY to research long-range planning. After earning his M.A. in Economics at U-Conn, he studied at NYU under Oskar Morgenstern (Economic History, Game Theory), Wassily Leotief (Input-Output Theory), Fritz Machlup (International Finance and Trade), William J. Baumol (Economic Theory and Operations Analysis), M. Isaq Nadiri (Macroeconomic Theory), and Edward Wolff (Econometric Modelling). He workd on various research projects: The input-Output Framework of the U.S. Economy (Leontief), U.S. Productivity Measurements (Nadiri), Knowledge Distribution (Machlup), Firms, Games, Decisions (Baumol), and U.S. Household Spending and Saving Behavior (Wolff).
His Doctoral Thesis under Machlup (1980): Theory of Foreign Exchange and Economic Policy. In the early 1980s .He, as a Research Associate, researched with Geoffery H. Moore at the Center for International Business Cycle Research (CIBCR) on business cycles, growth cycles, international indicators, composite indexing, and forecast of business conditions and inflation.
I am a patent litigator with a background in physics and electronics. I enjoy studying quantitative, rules-based investment methods through rigorous backtesting and numerical analysis. I believe that patterns exist in the market that benefit trading -- the challenge is finding them!
Harry Long is the inventor of Hedged Contango Capture and Hedged Convexity Capture and is the Managing Partner of ZOMMA, the world's most innovative strategy index creator.
Mr. Long is a globally recognized expert on the research and development of quantitative investment strategies. The ZOMMA IP portfolio of strategy indices is sought after by asset management firms, investment banks, hedge funds, principal trading organizations, index providers, ETP sponsors, and private equity firms to help them develop and deploy active manager-crushing quantitative investment strategies.
ZOMMA helps investors create long term value by replacing reckless emotional decision making with cutting-edge technology based upon objective evidence.
Mr. Long is a graduate of Rice University with a B.A. in Economics.
Note: Due to the sheer number of requests for bespoke quant strategies, research projects, and quant consulting services, we have instituted the following pricing for the non-exclusive licensing of our algorithms to institutions:
I. Exclusive commercial licenses for unique bespoke algorithms run six figures and up.
II. Non-exclusive AUM licensing fees for our strategy indices run 10 basis points and up for commercial licenses.
Please realize that we often get more than 3,000 e-mails per week. This means that we read everything that comes in, but we cannot respond to any email or message that does not include the sender's full name, phone number, request, and budget. Thank you for your understanding.
This Dubai-like pricing is necessary, because we can't freely give answers to tough problems which we have dedicated massive R&D capital to solving. World-class statistical talent is hugely expensive, valuable, and rare. Our clients recognize that outsourcing quant work to our firm and paying our fees represent a huge cost savings over hiring full time employees, and usually results in a far more profitable, turn-key solution.
Who I Am: I'm a retired individual investor. I retired at the end of 2013 after a 35 year career as a professor and research scientist at a major research university. So -- a career as a researcher and an educator, which is what I hope to continue here. Virtually every good teacher I've ever known says some version of "I learn more from teaching than my students do." There's a lot of truth in that, enough that there's an underlying selfish motivation for my writing here as I continue to learn about investing.
My professional life involved multiple international projects and collaborations, so I traveled extensively over those 35 years. I plan to continue doing so in my retirement. One consequence is that I'm liable to disappear from the site for extended periods. How can you miss me if I don't go away?
My investing priorities are building and refining portfolios designed to provide income and capital growth: Income for my retirement needs, and capital growth for my estate. My investing interests are tax-advantaged income from a range of sources, portfolio strategies, information- and bio-technology, and momentum-based strategic allocation.
Why I Write for Seeking Alpha: I learned long ago that "writing is nature's way of letting you know how sloppy your thinking is." The line comes from a Guindon comic strip of many years ago, and could not be more true in my case. When I did research professionally, I learned that writing it up forces me to think about details I might otherwise overlook. It's how I spent my working career, so it comes more or less naturally to me. I consider it an essential part of doing any research. So, the writing I do here is as much for myself as for the reader. As I started to contribute articles here, they grew out of research for my personal investment portfolios. They're based on things I've uncovered that are of interest to me and may be of interest to others of like mind. My primary purposes in writing them are to help clarify my thinking and to get feedback from others who may have very different opinions. It's those thoughtful comments that make Seeking Alpha such an important resource.
I try to actively engage myself in the comment streams in my articles, contributing what I can and learning from others. As a research scientist I spent a career spanning four decades devoted to free exchange of information vetted by rigorous peer review. It's a concept I firmly believe in. I hope to bring that approach to my interactions and contributions on Seeking Alpha and welcome critical commentary on anything I may contribute here. I especially encourage and appreciate thoughtful comments from those who disagree with me (although I will ignore obvious trolls and encourage others to do so as well). So, go ahead, start a conversation in the comment threads. It's one of the best things about Seeking Alpha.
My Investment Philosophies and Strategies: I maintain two portfolios. My income portfolio is a taxable account. I try to keep it separate from the growth portfolio which is housed in a series of IRAs, traditional and Roth. My income focus is on tax-advantaged income. In 2016 I face minimum required withdrawals from my tax-deferred accounts, so tax efficiency is an important consideration. The IRAs I see as my estate and are focused on generational wealth building. That means the growth portfolios have a long-term horizon, well beyond what an investor of my age might be expected to maintain.
Who Is Left Banker? Ah yes, the name. When I first joined Seeking Alpha I had no intention of being anything but an occasional reader. I saw it as another research site. So, I just ported a name I've used on other sites. I spent some of the best times of my life living on the left bank of the Seine and am always thrilled to be back in La Belle Paris. Add that I also like it because I find several subtle word plays there; I'll leave it to you to decipher that comment.
Finally, I've chosen to remain anonymous, which I feel obligated to justify. First, I have no professional role in finance and nothing to sell, so there is no advantage to be gained by "making a name for myself' here. Second, I value my privacy and have kept my internet presence as low-key as my professional life allowed. I certainly want to avoid any possibility of some internet connection trying to track me down. Odds against that happening are, of course, outrageously long, but why take them on at all?
Disclosures: I have no ties to the financial or security industries in any form. My interests are strictly personal. The banker part of the nym has absolutely no relationship to the profession of the same name. Readers should be aware that I am an investing novice, some might say dilettante. I do not give advice; what I publish is much more in line with a research notebook. Anyone who finds anything of interest will necessarily want to do his or her complete research and due diligence. It would be foolish to rely on my conclusions without having done so.
Frank Grossmann (founder and partner of logical-invest.com)
I am Swiss and living in Zurich. I studied Microtechnics at the Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne and Business Administration at the Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. After the studies in 1989 I founded Labocontrol AG. This company was sold to the US company Digital Now Inc. where I continued to work as a chief scientist.
Since 13 years I have my own software company Colour-Science.com which develops algorithms for digital image processing. These algorithms do things like image enhancement, red eye removal or pattern (face) detection. My passion however was always to search for pattern in financial data and then develop and back test rule based investment strategies.
Ron Rowland is a portfolio manager with Flexible Plan Investments, Ltd., a Registered Investment Advisor specializing in active management, located in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
He has been providing market commentary and active investment advice since 1991. He is the founder and editor of Invest With An Edge, a website and weekly newsletter providing free actionable ideas for ETFs, and the home of ETF Deathwatch.
Additionally, he is the Executive Editor of the All Star Investor newsletter (http://allstarinvestor.com), a highly regarded paid subscription investment service he started in 1991.
Follow me on Twitter: @NewConstructs
David is CEO of New Constructs (www.newconstructs.com), an independent research firm that leverages proprietary technology to find key insights from the Financial Footnotes of 10Ks and 10Qs. Having analyzed over 70,000 annual reports and their Financial Footnotes, New Constructs helps protect clients from the red flags/unknowns in SEC filings.
David is a distinguished investment strategist and corporate finance expert. He is a member of FASB's Investors Advisory Committee, and he is author of the Chapter “Modern Tools for Valuation” in The Valuation Handbook (Wiley Finance 2010).
David's insights into the markets and his stock picks have been popular with a wide variety of media outlets.
***The premium subscription portfolio returned 9.3% in less than a year, significantly outperforming major indexes. For a free trial of the paid subscription, please click on the orange "FREE TRIAL" link to learn more. If you would like to receive future free updates on interesting companies, please click the orange "Follow" button on any page showing one of my articles. The "Follow" button is located at the top of the page, next to my profile name and picture. Also, please make sure to learn more about my paid SeekingAlpha Marketplace subscription service and take advantage of the absolutely free trial.***
The subscription portfolio uses several diversification strategies and delivers returns with low correlation to the markets.
Martin Vlcek is a full-time investor and analyst who has been actively investing and managing money for more than 15 years. Martin has an Economics degree. Martin’s investment philosophy is to hold a truly diversified portfolio of investments across asset classes with low or negative correlation and a positive carry if possible. His primary stock investment focus is on undervalued small-cap stocks with favorable risk-to-reward ratio and upcoming catalysts.
Martin became a full-time investor and money manager after a 15-year career in online marketing where he was one of the pioneers of the pay-per-click search. Martin later held managerial positions at several Fortune 500 companies and also managed his own startup company.
IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: Martin is not a Registered Investment Advisor, Broker/Dealer, Securities Broker or Financial Planner. The Information in his articles, his comment and his premium subscription service on SeekingAlpha.com or elsewhere is provided for information purposes only. The Information is not intended to be and does not constitute financial advice or any other advice, is general in nature and not specific to any individual. Before using Martin's information to make an investment decision, you should seek the advice of a qualified and registered securities professional and undertake your own due diligence. None of the information provided by Martin is intended as investment advice, as an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell, or as a recommendation, endorsement, or sponsorship of any security, company, or fund. Martin is not responsible for any investment decision made by you. You are responsible for your own investment research and investment decisions.
Rajeev Seth is the Managing Director of BeatIndex, an investment management consulting firm. Specializing in quantitative investment management, he has consulted for many diversified asset managers, and startup hedge funds. The philosophy of BeatIndex is that one can indeed beat indexes, by a small percentage, consistently over years, provided one uses good statistical models and manages the risk. Mr. Seth is a CFA Level 3 candidate and has worked with quantitative financial investments including model development and value at risk. He specializes in derivatives and has priced, risk-managed and traded futures, bonds, interest rate swaps, credit default swaps, and Collateralized Debt Obligation bonds. He has worked with financial derivatives for several years
Dr. Kris has two degrees from MIT because one just wasn't enough. Her life goal was to figure out the universe and having done that (at least to her satisfaction), she decided to tackle something even more difficult—the stock market.
Applying the scientific method along with an insatiably curious mind, she began trading stocks, futures, and options in order to find the holy grail to market success. She's discovered to her immense satisfaction that not only is there one way to succeed but many. Combining her love of cooking with the stock market, she's devised recipes for investment success designed to please the palate of most investors. Dr. Kris currently manages a private equity long/short portfolio and writes of her current research projects that appear on her website, StockMarketCookBook.com.
Her most exciting project is applying market timing models to Modern Portfolio Theory to not only give greater returns but at substantially lower levels of risk. (See PortfolioPreserver.com for further information.)
James A. Kostohryz has accumulated over twenty years of experience investing and trading virtually every asset class across the globe.
Kostohryz started his investment career as an analyst at one of the US's largest asset management firms covering sectors as diverse as emerging markets, banking, energy, construction, real estate, metals and mining. Later, Kostohryz became Chief Global Strategist and Head of International Investments for a major investment bank. Kostohryz currently manages his own investment firm, specializing in proprietary trading and institutional portfolio management advisory.
Born in Mexico, Kostohryz grew up between south Texas and Colombia, has lived and worked in nine different countries, and has traveled extensively in more than 50 others. Kostohryz actively pursues various intellectual interests and is currently writing a book about the impact of culture on economic development. He is a former NCAA and world-class decathlete and has stayed active in a variety of sports.
Kostohryz graduated with honors from both Stanford University and Harvard Law School.
You can receive custom delivery of all of Mr. Kostohryz's published work on Seeking Alpha, The Street, and other media, as well as exclusive material, by following the link below. It is absolutely free:
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I am an individual investor with over 15 years experience in the stock and options markets. I focus on the precious metals, energy, and tech sectors. I believe that there are always opportunities in any kind of market, and I actively look for strategies to take advantage of these opportunities. My long-term outlook is that stock and commodity prices will go higher, and bond prices will go lower. Some of the investing principles that I follow include (1) taking what the market gives you, (2) investing where you have a competitive advantage, (3) having a plan in case a stock goes up or down, and (4) investing only when the odds are in your favor.
I am an individual investor and entrepreneur based in London, United Kingdom. My primary focus is on systematic trading strategies, low volatility investing and tactical asset allocation. I am also a founder a freely available portfolio risk analytics tool investspy.com.
Mr. Hui has been involved in the equity markets since 1980, both on the buy side and the sell side. He is a CFA Charterholder, and has presented numerous papers to quantitative discussion groups (Sample topics include: How Global are Resource Sectors).
My investing strategy focuses on total return, and minimizing costs along the way. My portfolio consists of mostly dividend growth-type companies, but once again I focus on total return prospects in all of my purchases.
I have always been a worker and a saver. In 2008, at age 21, I moved my savings out of CDs and started dabbling in the stock market. After opening up an account, setting up my ACH relationship, and making a deposit, the money cleared on a particular Thursday late in November 2008. I made a couple of buys that day that still anchor my portfolio. I enjoy investing on a lot of different levels, and have been able to help family members and friends begin investing for themselves.
Gary A. Gordon, MS, CFP® is the president of Pacific Park Financial, Inc., a Registered Investment Adviser with the SEC. He has more than 25 years of experience as a personal coach in “money matters,” including risk assessment, small business development and portfolio management.
Gary is often asked to consult as an educator. He has taught financial concepts in Mexico, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the United States.
As a Certified Financial Planner™ (CFP®), Gary has distinguished himself as a reputable and trusted investor advocate. He writes commentary for ETF Expert, Seeking Alpha and The Street. Gary’s participation on local and national radio has spanned more than a decade, and he currently hosts the ETF Expert Show.
Gary is a “good sport” when his wife, Denise, beats him at Scrabble. Most of all, Gary takes special pride in a not-so-little energizer… his 19-year old daughter, Wei Elizabeth Gordon.
I personally started investing in equities in 1997 and after the bust of the dot-com bubble, switched my focus to systematic approaches. The following decade of research built the foundation of Boavista Capital Management, which I founded in 2014.
I have a PhD in Finance (ABD), a Masters in Economics, and a B.S. in Industrial Engineering. All three of my degrees have largely been focused on data analysis, and that’s what most of my work experience has dealt with. I’m a professor at a major US university now where I teach classes on data analysis and do research on the financial markets, but before that I worked for a major Wall Street bank as a bond trader, and before that I worked for a hedge fund as a quant developing investment strategies.
I am an independent investor writing at Scott's Investments (http://www.scottsinvestments.com). My site is dedicated to discussing and publicly tracking historically successful investments strategies and sharing free investment resources. I emphasize empirical, historical, and quantitative analysis, portfolio strategies for individual investors and technical analysis.
I have quickly become a highly-rated site on Investimonials, http://www.investimonials.com/blogs/reviews-scottsinvestmentsgmailcom.aspx
Lawrence Chan is a professional trader for well over 20 years. He is known for his research work in custom market breadth analysis and advanced analytical techniques on index and forex markets. His breakthrough research in market breadth analysis is incorporated into the trading platform NeoTicker from TickQuest Inc.
*** Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Please read full disclaimer from my website. ***
Lawrence has numerous articles and trading models published in trading-related magazines and influential financial websites like Futures, Technical Analysis of Stocks and Commodities and Seeking Alpha here.
Since 2010, Lawrence has switched his focus to summarize and publish his life-long research work after a successful career at TickQuest Inc. as the chief software designer of the trading platform NeoTicker.
His eBook, Special Theory of Price Discovery, has profound impact in the financial industry as it revolutionizes the understanding and predictability of price movements in financial markets.
Author of Quantitative Investing. Designer of the Global Household Index and the systemic risk score MTS10 (click here to learn more). PhD in computer science, Software Engineer, Civil Engineer, 20+ years working in various sectors and countries. Investor focused on market-neutral and low risk portfolios, looking for profitable combinations of value and quality factors. Also interested in short volatility trading and excess returns in closed-end-funds.