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hirnbeiss

hirnbeiss
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  • General Electric: This One Chart May Spell 'The End' For Immelt [View article]
    Can you be more specific? I know GE is an OEM provider of compressors and other equipment, and they have a Service business to repair equipment, but I don't see where they are involved in the ops side.
    Mar 5, 2015. 04:54 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • General Electric: This One Chart May Spell 'The End' For Immelt [View article]
    I don't think your chart vs the S&P going back that far is very useful. Legacy + 08-09 etc is too much interference. Compare it for the past 5 years, and you'll see that GE and the S&P were one and the same from 2010-2014. The big divergence began in early 2014, where GE has essentially been flat since vs continued S&P growth. Analyze that. I don't think it can be all oil.
    Mar 5, 2015. 10:15 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Siemens: What Do You Have To Do To Get Fired? [View article]
    Since when is it the other way around in the US? How long did it take Carly Fiorina to lose her reserved parking spot?
    Feb 11, 2015. 09:24 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Chevron: The Crude Reality [View article]
    It's all about dat dividend. 4% yield now. No stock price drop until dividend cuts are expected, which isn't likely.
    Jan 27, 2015. 03:41 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Liquefied Natural Gas Fuels Strong Growth For Cheniere Energy [View article]
    The title implies some growth has already happened, but if anything (going from memory here) their timelines have slipped. Sabine Pass won't produce for at least another 18 months, and Corpus Christi around 2019.
    With shorter lead-time solutions available now, like Dresser's LNGo, the probability of increased competition before go-live is much higher.
    Jun 13, 2014. 11:16 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • GM adds to record recall tally with another 218K [View news story]
    Does it scream that? I hear something else. I hear them saying, "It's time to ignore those penny-pinching, money-grubbing Wallstreeters who think they know how to run a company and fix the problems, even if it means we miss our next quarterly numbers."
    May 21, 2014. 02:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • After Earnings Miss, Wal-Mart Should Buy Whole Foods [View article]
    WMT is a (very successful) one-trick pony that serves as a defensive cyclical. It shouldn't be a wild surprise that they fade a bit as we enter an improved economy. WFM is a counter to that, which may have some value. I see the biggest risk to such a move, though, as being the integration of two very different managements: Arkansas supply-chain whipmasters vs. the granolacentric bio-purveyors.
    May 15, 2014. 12:56 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • An Open Letter To The General Motors Board Of Directors And Shareholders [View article]
    While I applaud your vocal representation of shareholders' interests, I think you have omitted two key points worthy of analyses:
    1. Impact of repatriating offshore cash. I suspect much of the balance is just that.
    2. Alternative uses of the cash. In one way, car company is like an oil driller, the field will stop producing if you don't keep up a drilling program. That ongoing capex maintains the status quo. But to improve and gain share, GM could take advantage of its global competence to invest in ways that help not just trail Honda & co., but one day kick its butt. To my mind, that would be the better value to investors, and also a key focus of the board's pressures.
    Apr 15, 2014. 12:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • St. Joe Co. Ready For A Short Squeeze [View article]
    Given that the rate of sea level increase is about 7 inches per century, you give new meaning to "long-term investor" :)
    Apr 4, 2014. 01:19 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is Herbalife A Pyramid Scheme? A Simple Question Of Law [View article]
    "The test is whether distributors receive compensation unrelated to sales to "ultimate users"."

    In other words, 3rd party sales. But I wonder how they track that. I also notice that their SG&A expenses rose over 60% in 2 years vs the 39% growth in Sales, and wonder if they're paying out more in sales compensation than they should.
    Mar 26, 2014. 03:08 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seeking Alpha And David Einhorn: The Real Story [View article]
    Isn't that known as "beer" there?
    Mar 25, 2014. 09:20 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Seeking Alpha And David Einhorn: The Real Story [View article]
    If you've followed David, you know that he does have great talent as a detective. Let's just keep him focused on finding some alpha.

    BTW, is Valuable Insights back to helping efficient markets stay that way?
    Mar 25, 2014. 09:09 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Dresser-Rand Is Still No Bargain [View article]
    Before I can say I have any faith in the management team (which is really hard given the transparency issues Michael mentions), I would like to understand the strategy of releasing the bad news a week before the scheduled earnings release??? To me it conveys discombobulation at the top.
    They have never hinted at significant exposure to government subsidies, and the only mention of the pigshit business was a note in relation to a $20M loan. Maybe 2013 would have been a good time to mention it when the topic of Spain's tariff deficit was all over the news.
    Feb 20, 2014. 11:56 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Exelon: Selling At 10-Year Lows [View article]
    What is supposed to drive natural gas prices higher? Given the great glut in the shale plays, the only thing I see on the horizon is when the LNG export terminals come on line in the 2015 range.
    Dec 5, 2013. 07:58 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Austrians Are Right - Inflation Is Coming [View article]
    No, '14 will be weak to slow growth, then we see a rebound with inflation leading to misery around '18-'19.
    Nov 25, 2013. 07:04 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
35 Comments
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