The oil price bubble is a problem of financial paper demand and supply, just look a the relative proportions of physical to financial/index trading. That said, don't ignore the greenhouse gas issue along the issue of increasing demand in Chindia. The first requires us (and anybody else) to wean of oil no matter how the bubble now turns out, the second will reignite long-term price increase and we have to become more effecient and think about where we actually really need petrochemicals. Arguably not in transportation (spare air travel), however in the petro-CHEMICAL industry. Arguably also not in fertilizer production. For those there are holistically better solutions. The benefit of the oil price bubble is that it drives energy effecient behavior, maybe for the wrong reason, but the outcome is positive overall. Just going ahead with oil exploration will increase CO2 output and that is the last we need. I would have hopped for some more careful data reporting and analysis here.
Re: Cooling: Are you absolutely sure it is less effecient to cool houses in summer in the South vs. heat houses in the winter in the North? Do the math! Living in the North only works since mankind invented the fire and created greenhouse gases to go with it. Before, manking lived in the warmer regions. Somehow civilization started there and not at the poles.
Is Oil a Bubble? Part 3 [View article]
That said, don't ignore the greenhouse gas issue along the issue of increasing demand in Chindia. The first requires us (and anybody else) to wean of oil no matter how the bubble now turns out, the second will reignite long-term price increase and we have to become more effecient and think about where we actually really need petrochemicals. Arguably not in transportation (spare air travel), however in the petro-CHEMICAL industry. Arguably also not in fertilizer production. For those there are holistically better solutions. The benefit of the oil price bubble is that it drives energy effecient behavior, maybe for the wrong reason, but the outcome is positive overall. Just going ahead with oil exploration will increase CO2 output and that is the last we need.
I would have hopped for some more careful data reporting and analysis here.
Re: Cooling: Are you absolutely sure it is less effecient to cool houses in summer in the South vs. heat houses in the winter in the North? Do the math! Living in the North only works since mankind invented the fire and created greenhouse gases to go with it. Before, manking lived in the warmer regions. Somehow civilization started there and not at the poles.