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  • Value Investors: Stay Strong, and Follow Warren Buffett [View article]
    "BRK now has a potential 37 billion dollar bomb sitting on its balance sheet IF the market doesn't recover in ten years...37 billion?...ten years?...."

    Duh.

    1) "37 Billion" is if the entire stock market goes to zero. You're being facetious here. If you think that's going to happen, then maybe you should just move on and not follow the stock market. It won't exist.
    2) The puts are not in ten years. SEC documents say fifteen to twenty years.
    3) BRK has cashed in 5B$ of premiums from the puts. The loss must exceed that amount before being a true loss.
    4) Calculate the value of this "potential" 30B$ loss twenty years from now when accounting for inflation. Calculate that the 5B$ premium that is now is now in Buffet's hands can be put into Treasuries or CDs or invested and yield a non-negative return, mitigating any "loss". Finally establish how significant this 30B$ loss would be in a Berkshire's cash flow twenty years in the future.

    "how does one assess the "value" of that?..."

    There are ways and I've shown you some. That questions suggests to me it is you, not Buffet, who is out of his element here.
    Nov 24 18:26 pm |Rating: +3 0
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