Russian

Shrinking Market Liquidity, or the Soon to Appear Black Swan of Black Swans

To Cetin and many others like him: Tyler Durden always gives a unique perspective, whether you agree with him or not, unlike many other posts and frequent authors that recite the same themes as everyone else and add nothing to at least my knowledge. I just don’t get people who instead of arguing the issues accuse this author of everything including his weird picture and name. If you don’t like his posts, don’t read them. If disagree, please give your reasons. But please, don’t junk up this website with non-informative and nonsensical comments. Cetin has 567!!! many of which are negatively rated by others.

A View of the U.S. Consumer Balance Sheet

There are TLT, other ETFs and a bunch of mutual funds. When I knew nothing about investments, I was buing inflatioon protected bonds series EE, which I still hold and get accrued interest of 7-8% annually without paying taxes until I sell them. Purchasing this bonds is very easy from the Treasury run website. The author is right and Boon doesn't give enough credit to ordinary Americans.

Oil Weekly View

$WTIC represents a continuous futures contract. Most traders don't trade futures but use ETFs. There are differences between $WTIC and USO charts. The technical analysis conlusions will also be different. Adding to that is the effect of the monthly contact roll on price. With oil front month futures at $41 now, the USO is at about same level as it was when the contract was at $35 a few weeks ago. In my view, it highly distorts the outcome of technical analysis in general and the anticipation of a breakout one way or another. But I am not a professional. What is the TA community opinion on all of that?

Anecdotal Musing: Commercial Real Estate, You Can't Go Wrong

No surpride here. According to etfconnect.com URE was trading at a 16% discount while SRS at a 25% premium as of closing on 12/12. If these numbers are correct, even a stranger thing than just equal gain could theoretically occur.

Testing the S&P 500 vs. OEX Put/Call Strategy

Dear Michael,

what is the meaning of SP 500 to OEX PCR ratio? What logical sense does it make to divide price by sentiment? According to your data the system is only marginally better than buy and hold. Poor performance of the inverse strategy indicates that the system exits trades too early. Hence, there is a huge underperformance during a bull market. None of your posts gives percent of winning trades in the statistics table. Why? While I generally appreciate your posts and trading ideas, this particular one is definitely not the best. Just a quick look at the last two years worth of actual data shows that the recent performance wasn’t great. It is also evident from your graph that in the last two years the system lost some money. One of the most important parameters of a trading system is how it performs in bull and bear markets. You provided no such information. I doubt that this strategy has a real edge and I feel it may mislead some “blind” followers. You don’t have to share your ideas, but if you do, please do it in a way that it actually benefits your readers and doesn't hurt their accounts. Sorry…

Time To Sell Russian ETFs and Stocks

To User 109524: Alhgough it's not a linguistic site, let's not confuse others. In Russian "do svidani(y)a" is written as two words. Even in English, if you take time to check Webster's, it is "good-bye".

Time To Sell Russian ETFs and Stocks

Do svidania means good bye...