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zorro2828

zorro2828
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  • What To Expect From Gilead's 2Q Earnings: The Theory Behind The Madness [View article]
    PD.. I have to agree... GILD will beat and Beat Big but there is likely some air that will come out of the balloon and we too are hoping there will be a downward dip and then a reversal .. I think the fog around the future revenue is holding the stock back somewhat.. but I do believe in the GILD management and to date have been rewarded since our initial purchase to the point we are playing with house money.. So thanks for the article and we too suggest keep some powder dry and hope for a slip Thanks again PD
    Jul 28, 2015. 09:39 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Q2 2015 Takeaway: Blackstone Group's Distribution May Peak In 2015 Or 2016 [View article]
    There is a great divide between research and conclusions.. We bought BX at around $17 just a few years ago.. I saw the capital appreciation and we DID NOT buy the stock for the wonderful distributions that have come since.. We always are looking for high class assets that have been purchased at a discount and that is exactly what we see in this stock - Fabulous management, great assets and a track record of success - we do review our holdings but this one is staying as our target is in the $48 - 50 range
    Jul 21, 2015. 08:13 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Will Keep On Rolling [View article]
    First everyone knows our First holding is GILD .. and with that in mind .. I actually sold some yesterday .. Here is the reason why... It is not Greece as the world can live without their olive oil or fresh lamb .. it is not even the possibility that Italy, France, Spain and Portugal also go the way of Greece... ( The EU is a complete mess from our analysis ) but it is CHINA! All the way along, we have been very skeptical of the economy, their ghost cities and discretionary earnings that were not driven by avarice or graft .. Now the equities market is in a free fall with many listed companies now not even trading as they are under halt... So here is my predilection today... GILD will absolutely blow numbers away in the first week of August.. but world markets are going to be roiled and in a panic if China continues to free fall and contract ... further there is the continued hostility in the US with racism and political correctness driving many absurd agendas which make the US a very different place to invest today .. then there is the muslim issue of destabilization and we have quite the climate for us Conservative investors ... I too think picking tops and bottoms is an art I was not gifted at so we use the 10% rule and if we sell and buy within that metric we are gratified.. So, I predict this market is going lower and soon.. so like Bret, we are increasing cash levels and looking for an entry point in GILD of $102 - $104 which is a dip of another $10 ,, This morning is making me look silly with GILD futures quoted up $1.60 but we think this summer will be bringing the market down... so more cash is prudent... Hope all have a great day investing!
    Jul 9, 2015. 07:12 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Premarket Biotech Digest: Trouble For Stryker Sub's Ex-CEO; Zoetis Merger Rumors [View article]
    Stock is getting smacked in Premarket .. Greek crisis I assume.. Thanks for the update and love getting script numbers
    Jun 29, 2015. 08:28 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Owning Blackstone Group LP Is A Risky Proposition [View article]
    We own a BOATLOAD of BX and our average is $17.92.... we continue to love management, their opportunistic purchases and their ability to turn those investments into profit... You can rant and rave, but in the end... we have more than a double and that does not include the Divi ,, we have a target of $48 on the stock ,, considering we bought it in April 2011, this has been a real winner in our portfolio! We are sticking with it and rate it a strong buy
    Jun 24, 2015. 08:05 AM | 15 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Profit From The Pharma Craze: Sell Gilead, Buy Taro [View article]
    I love silliness.. except when investing.. so in the end.. my only comment is your thesis is flawed and we have a $125 target of GILD by the end of June and $145 - $165 by Christmas remains ... Our money stays home in GILD... Good luck with investing.. you will need it!
    Jun 23, 2015. 04:10 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    We buy on Thesis .. long and stay long unless the fundamentals of the stock change.. so I completely agree trading may pump up the BP but in the end.. constant nibbling plus DRIP equals amazing gains... I remember reading about CSCO and Nortel in school .. those are two examples of the Thesis changed and many did get caught .. which leads us to discipline another important component to investing. We should discuss Opportunity Cost when Time is considered liquid. What could you have done with your money in the interim while waiting for your stock to pull forward .. that is measurable and the cost of time is also something to consider.. knowing full well, timing of the market is impossible .. Congratulations on your success ...


    Jun 12, 2015. 10:50 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    Our opinion is the PM will not drop to 40% .. and our analysis suggests a rip tide pulling this stock higher based on the advent of revenues from various streams .. Japan, Europe and increasing scripts from Canada, GB and the US ... safe to say GILD is trading @ 11 X forward E and when compared to CELG, REGN, BIIB etc... we have a Strong Buy on the stock and have over weighted 3X our normal... I personally maintain this is the very best stock to own in a market that is getting long in the tooth .. this morning the Greek crisis is taking everything down and this is not base on fundamentals but on noise... might be another day to go in a nibble .. By the by.. great minds think alike.. it was a very profitable trade
    Jun 12, 2015. 09:38 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    Ptatty : Well, you had me at Black and White... Yes I am a numbers person and they are black and white .. fact based and empirical .... Qualitative is also essential too.. so from my perspective when both terms are used on the same plane as you did, they are both intrinsic to successful investing. ... GK9 has defended his position but as clearly stated his timing is off by 6 months .. use your critical thinking and determine if you are comfortable with this margin of error in timing.. we endeavour to be time critical in our analysis to maximize returns as dead money does not help our cause. The Franklin maxim " Time lost, is never found again" is precious to remember when investing... Have a great day... GILD is our Number one position and we remain over weighted
    Jun 12, 2015. 09:26 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    Bret.. it is always in the metrics.. and this freight train and its' FCF are on the rails and smoking! Thanks for getting our attention.. our $62 average is looking FINE! Thx again for bringing this one to our attention
    Jun 11, 2015. 08:44 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    Honest, but the metrics do not support your "Feelings" ... Compelling at 11 X F-Earnings PLUS FCF is over the moon .. Please name any other company that has the FCF growth of this Freight Train? Now a Divi and a 15B buy back... This stock is so much like AAPL Good Luck with your thesis .. I just tightened our projections and our Christmas 2015 target is $145 - $160 we are on track for our 1/2 year target of $125 I would really like to know your top 5 holdings as compared to GILD.. Thx
    Jun 11, 2015. 08:42 AM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    It should be your number one stock .. we have APPL but we sold some out @ $133 and took the $$ and bought GILD leaving APPL as our number 2 stock.. no DIS as we switched our DIS for BX and that pony has had a marvelous ride from $27 .. plus the Dividend is over 9% as our average is $27! ... just a thought.. for you to consider
    Jun 11, 2015. 08:35 AM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Approaching 52-Week Highs And Going Higher [View article]
    Well, I have a huge smile.. as I remember you and I having a disagreement on this stock.. I have redone our metrics for the stock, and on our algorithms I am still holding to $145 - 160 by Christmas .. This is a powerful momentum stock that has FCF coming out of its ears... In a market that is very over valued for the most part.. we think this stock should be bought even at this level... I have to say though, I was pleased that you acknowledged your undo pessimism .. having increased our holdings of this stock since our first buys at just over $60 per share... this is now a freight train that has left the station and is now hitting the flats with full steam ahead... Getting the dividend will just add more fuel... Thanks for sharing GK9... nice to see you are on board..
    Jun 11, 2015. 08:29 AM | 4 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Blackstone Group L.P.: Still A Buy Close To Its 52-Week High? [View article]
    I bought this one @ $17 and have been adding ever since.. I do not think there is risk even at these levels... in this run.. I am looking for $47 - $49
    May 27, 2015. 06:44 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Gilead Sciences: Finally Gaining Momentum [View article]
    Mr. Market will change its mind based on numbers.. consistent earnings and revenue raises are exactly what will propel this stock much higher.. The FCF is simply mind boggling - couple that with a dividend and the sales of Europe and Japan and this is one sweet stock to load up on and keep in the quiver!
    May 20, 2015. 10:49 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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