unfaire

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

We human being have been fighting against each other for territories, properties, powers, and sex all through down the history. We coerced, cheated, doublecrossed, murdered, whatever the ends that justified the means. It has been bloody. The stock market is the new fighting ground, only that it is bloodless on the surface. While the big boys are slugging out amongst each other making huge surges, us the little guys should try to ride the waves hopefully to make money on both the way up and the way down. You know the adage well: Only the pigs get slaughtered.

Wednesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

My guess is that computers or Hal 9000 whoever they are are targetting someone who have to buy. That someone is probably 401k. There, money is still coming in and they have to buy something. With a thin market, Hal can nearly buy up everything before the mutual fund make their moves. With this scenario the market will keep on going up to no end until Hal is reprogrammed to make money on the way down at a certain level. DJIA at 10,000? 12,000? 14,000? Or, when we all jump in with our two feet. That is the biggest guessing game in town now. Recession is over? Who cares! Look, someone is hording all this stocks now. They just sit tight and watch their valuation go up until one day when they think enough is enough and jump out of the market for something else with better return.

Tuesday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

Re Ryu Mei Co:
My guess is that the market has been taken over by the news-independent (or event-independent) computer programs. These programs seem to trade "against" market movements. It means when the market (or, almost any stock) goes down, they buy. The consequence is that the market turns up. And, when the market goes up, they dump the stocks they have just bought and make an instant profit. The market then turns down. This works in "thin" market and "stabilizes" the market. The Dow Jones has been in the mid 9,000 and going nowhere for a while now. Nobody is making money except those computers.

Friday Outlook: Commodities, Global Markets

The following is just a mumbling from a stream of unconsciousness.
We had oil bust created by trading frenzy with volume far exceeded the oil inventory. Now we have option trading of all stocks with volume far exceeding the underlying stocks, not just U.S. stocks but also of stocks of the world all over through ETF and other means. Could there be a huge U.S. and world market bubble followed by a tsunami crash in not so distant future? It would take more than trillions to fix, more likely mega-trillions? Remember it was only billions just a few years ago?
With all this high frequency trading and other new market manipulations which we don’t know, has the fundamental of the market changed? May be Hal 9000 has already factored in all the technical analysis we now know and depend on and found a way to circle around us. The shares and the stocks are now just like the oil, which by the way is floating on the high seas by the boatloads, a mere trading vehicle to make money?

Thursday Outlook: Commodities, Emerging Markets

It is about time that those who initiated the bad loans (including banks) and those bought them (including banks and other investors) take their consequences instead of us tax payers bailing them out. We have had enough of this other people's money (tax payer's money in the current crises) mentality.