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E.D.Hart » Comments » IEF

  • Waiting for Inflation? It May Take Awhile [View article]
    There is much truth in your article, but I think that a previous response has a good point--its not just money supply but money supply plus velocity. When velocity picks up, inflation should pick up

    Also, because Japanese debt bubble popped during a time of booming markets elsewhere...Japans experience may not be the best analogy. Todays debt crisis is global ---and global liquidity is being ramped up simultaneously.

    Finally, I think you may have the causal relationship reversed between slack and liquidity:
    "Looking further into the relationship we find that output gaps lead to disinflation and when the economy is producing more than potential estimates, inflation follows."
    It seems more likely that falling money supply leads to output gaps, and that aggregate money supply growth plus velocity acceleration (inflation) leads to a pickup in economic activity.

    Correlation is not causation.
    Feb 25 16:26 pm |Rating: +2 0 |Link to Comment
  • A Fed Rate Hike Won't Solve the Current Crisis [View article]
    I have to agree that inflation is what destroys wealth. Few benefit, most suffer, especially the poor and the struggling middle class. The wealthy are usually adept at avoiding the worst inflation better than the rest.

    There are benefits to everything, including cancer and war. But that doesn't make them desirable or something we would hope for.
    Jul 24 23:41 pm |Rating: 0 0 |Link to Comment
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