I am not an investment professional. I do not engage in stock or currency trading. I am a blogger and investor who believes the failure of credit has created an investment demand for gold, and that gold bullion is the sole means of wealth preservation.
Experienced trader in the equity markets. However, I take a different viewpoint. I trade people rather then stocks. I firmly believe that to be a successful trader it is far more important to understand human psychology then to understand finance. By taking smart contrarian positions - while giving respect to the idea that the market can be wrong longer then you can stay solvent - we try to pinpoint the areas where either of the two market emotions (fear and greed) have decoupled the price from the reality. If we understand these, we can exploit huge inefficiencies in the market.
Should be noted I am NOT a trading professional. My background is in behavioral sciences, not finance, and this allows me to "think outside the box" and avoid the groupthink that permeates ANY homogenous group, no matter how smart or well intentioned they may be. Always good to have a fresh set of eyes attacking a problem.
Marc Chandler has been covering the global capital markets in one fashion or another for 25 years, working at economic consulting firms and global investment banks. A prolific writer and speaker he appears regularly on CNBC and has spoken for the Foreign Policy Association. In addition to being quoted in the financial press daily, Chandler has been published in the Financial Times, Foreign Affairs, and the Washington Post. In 2009 Chandler was named a Business Visionary by Forbes.
Marc's commentary can be found at his blog (www.marctomarket.com) and twitter www.twitter.com/marcmakingsense
I am a Portuguese independent trader, analyst and algorithmic trading expert, having worked for both sell side (brokerage) and buy side (fund management) institutions.
I've been trading professionally for about 20 years and also launched www.thinkfn.com in 2004. Thinkfn (Think Finance) carries thousands of educational articles on finance and the markets.
I trade futures, stocks from the long and short side, forex and options. I trade both discretionary and fully automated systems (Metatrader, Quantshare and others).
I can be reached at paulo.santosATthinkfn.com or followed on Twitter at twitter.com/ThinkFinance999
Kapitall is the online finance platform for the next generation, where investing is as easy as drag, drop and trade. With an intuitive and playful user experience, Kapitall offers tools that make it easy to build virtual and real brokerage portfolios, share ideas and research stocks and funds.
My investing and writing are primarily focussed on macro areas such as currencies, commodities, global investing, and geopolitics. I also closely monitor technology. I generally have a medium to longer-term investment horizon.
I encourage you to review the track record of my published articles both here at Seeking Alpha and at The Business Insider. I publish additional content available exclusively at www.polycapitalist.com.
Michael A. Gayed, CFA, winner of the 2016 Dow Award and 2015 NAAIM Wagner Award, is chief investment strategist and co-portfolio manager at Pension Partners, LLC., an investment advisor which manages mutual funds and separate accounts according to its ATAC strategies. Prior to this role, Gayed served as a portfolio manager for a large international investment group, trading long/short investment ideas in an effort to capture excess returns. From 2004 to 2008, Gayed was a strategist at AmeriCap Advisers LLC, a registered investment advisory firm that managed equity portfolios for large institutional clients. In 2007, he launched his own long/short hedge fund, using various trading strategies focused on taking advantage of stock market anomalies. Follow him on Twitter @pensionpartners and YouTube youtube.com/pensionpartners. He has re-released his father's 1990 book Intermarket Analysis and Investing, now available on Amazon.com.
Erwan Mahe is an asset allocation and options strategies adviser for the largest European Asset Management firms.
Publishing macro-economic research, he has been managing leading European financial brokers since 1987, and sold his company, Paresco Futures, to the OTCexgroup in 2005.
He is now there in charge of large institutional investors.
Think B.I.G., by Bespoke Investment Group, provides some of the most original content and intuitive thinking on the Street. Founded by Paul Hickey and Justin Walters, formerly of Birinyi Associates and creators of the acclaimed TickerSense blog, Bespoke offers multiple products that allow anyone, from institutions to the most modest investor, to gain the data and knowledge necessary to make intelligent and profitable investment decisions. Along with running their Think B.I.G. finance blog, Bespoke provides timely investment ideas through its Bespoke Premium (http://bespokepremium.com/) subscription service and also manages money (http://bespokepremium.com/mm) for high net worth individuals.
Visit: Bespoke Investment Group (http://bespokeinvest.com/)
Brett earned his first contrarian investing profits in 2004 when he purchased an obscure investment (at the time): sugar futures. His friends on Wall Street stopped laughing soon enough when sugar rocketed to multi decade highs, illustrating that it indeed pays to be contrary.
Brett quickly learned that the key to maximizing profits while minimizing losses is to invest against the crowd. He has since scoured the universe of stocks, commodities and options, searching for popular and tradable market misconceptions.
Brett has been featured in The Economist, Forbes, The Globe and Mail, Chicago Tribune and Seeking Alpha. He is a graduate of Cornell University, with a degree in operations research and industrial engineering.
In addition to his love of investing, Brett is an experienced technology entrepreneur. He co-founded two successful high-growth software companies, Chrometa, maker of the world’s most advanced timekeeping software, and LeadDyno, an online marketing tool for small businesses.
Axel Merk is the President and Chief Investment Officer of Merk Investments, manager of the Merk Funds. He is a recognized expert on the global economy, monetary policy and international investing. An authority on currencies, he is a pioneer in the use of strategic currency investing to seek diversification and has been named a “Currency Guru” by Morningstar.
Axel Merk is a regular guest on CNBC, FoxBusiness and Bloomberg. His columns and interviews frequently appear in the Financial Times, Wall Street Journal, Barron’s and other financial media around the world. Merk is a sought after expert speaker at industry conferences, including the annual conferences of the CFA, FPA and AAII organizations in 2011, as well as at universities, government organizations and think tanks. Merk's expertise encompasses topics ranging from the global economy, gold and currencies to sustainable wealth and personal finance. Axel Merk’s Book “Sustainable Wealth” was published by Wiley in 2009 and his newsletter Merk Insights reaches a wide audience of investors, analysts and media following global macroeconomic issues and implications to investing.
Mr. Merk, together with the Merk portfolio team, manages the Merk Hard, Asian and Absolute Return Currency Funds, as well as the Merk Currency Enhanced U.S. Equity Fund. He holds a B.A. in Economics (magna cum laude) and a M.Sc. in Computer Science from Brown University.
John Lounsbury, Managing Editor and Co-founder of Global Economic Intersection, provides comprehensive financial planning and investment advisory services to a small number of families on a fee only basis. He has a background which includes 34 years with a major international corporation, 25 years in R&D management and corporate staff positions. More recently he was a Series 6, 7, 63 licensed representative with a major insurance company brokerage from 1992 to 2001. Since 2002 he has operated his own sole proprietorship business. Specific interests include political and economic history, econometric analysis and investment strategy analysis. Recreational activities include hiking, non-technical mountaineering and alpine skiing. He is also founding partner and managing editor of EconIntersect.com.
Prior to founding AltaVista in early 2004, Mr. Krause worked at UBS in New York, where he developed and published Global Profit Picture — the first attempt by any major Wall Street firm to measure and dissect corporate profitability worldwide. Michael also produced and enhanced the industry-leading publication focusing on S&P 500 earnings, Profit Picture Monthly. It was during this time that he developed expertise in analyzing indices which he now applies to the world of ETFs.
Having lived and worked in Asia for six years, he speaks Japanese and Chinese. He is also a frequent contributor to broadcast and print media.
Visit his site: ETF Research Center (http://www.etfresearchcenter.com)
I am director of the Urban-Brookings Tax Policy Center and a visiting professor at the Georgetown Public Policy Institute in Washington, DC, where I will teach microeconomics and public finance. I also write about economics, finance, and life at dmarron.com. From 2002 to early 2009, I served in various senior positions in the White House and Congress including: Member of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), Acting Director of the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), and Executive Director of Congress’s Joint Economic Committee (JEC). In short, I’ve been blessed to serve at some of the best acronyms in government. Before my government service, I had a varied career as a professor, consultant, and entrepreneur. In the mid-1990s, I taught economics and finance at the University of Chicago Graduate School of Business. I then spent about a year-and-a-half consulting on antitrust cases at Charles River Associates in Washington, DC. After that, I took the plunge into the world of new ventures, serving as Chief Financial Officer of a health care software start-up in Austin, TX. After that fascinating experience, I started my career in public service. I received my Ph.D. in Economics from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and my B.A. in Mathematics a couple miles down the road at Harvard.
Marvin V. Bolt is President of Alpha Plus Advisors, LLC (http://www.alphaplus-advisors.com/), an investment advisory firm with offices in New York, and Zürich. Using a variety of quantitative, systematic strategies the firm manages accounts for individual clients as well as the Manhattan Systematic Fund.
From 2001 until 2006 Mr. Bolt developed systematic, quantitative investment strategies used to manage client assets at Thieme Securities, Inc., a FINRA registered broker/dealer, where he served as Financial & Operations Principle. Since 1994, he worked at various asset management firms, first as research analyst and later portfolio manager.
Prior to that, he was an aerospace engineer in the conceptual aircraft design group at General Dynamics Corporation (now a division of Lockheed Martin Corporation).
Mr. Bolt earned the Master of Science Degree in Aerospace Engineering from the University of Texas and the MBA Degree in Finance from New York University. He holds the NASD Series 7, 27 & 63 licenses.
Dr. Ahanotu is a graduate of Stanford University with over twenty years of experience doing analytic modeling, executing pricing strategies through price optimization, and implementing, developing, and selling enterprise software. He adds to this industry experience another five overlapping years of research in knowledge management and organizational learning. Duru Ahanotu, Ph.D. founded Ahan Analytics, LLC to deliver sustainable, data-driven approaches for improving business performance. He recognizes the unique challenges companies face in leveraging their data to increase revenues, become more efficient, and drive profitability.
Before launching Ahan Analytics, LLC, Dr. Ahanotu was last a Sales Consultant in the Advertiser and Publisher Solutions (APS) group within Microsoft Advertising. In this capacity, he provided product knowledge, functional expertise, and technical support to APS account executives who sold APS’s suite of media monetization products. He led product demonstrations and increased the productivity of the sales team by training and certifying employees on the use and demonstration of the software. Dr. Ahanotu took on this role after Microsoft acquired his former employer Rapt, Inc. Rapt provided software solutions for maximizing revenue and yield for online media publishers.
With Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu last served as an Engagement Manager for a software implementation for a $100 million on-line publisher with a rapidly growing business. With his project team, Dr. Ahanotu created and coordinated novel approaches to inventory forecasting, structuring of product hierarchies, and ETL across software systems for order management, advertising delivery, and Rapt’s software. He also generated a step-by-step methodology for interpreting and using the results of price optimization.
As a Solutions Architect, Dr. Ahanotu served as the lead Solutions Consultant on client engagements and provided technical assistance and guidance to Solutions Consultants on other projects. Dr. Ahanotu designed and implemented price optimization solutions, demonstrating expertise in mathematical modeling, pricing, data analysis, SQL, and relational data models. He led discussions with customers and internal teams to improve implementation processes and product design.
Dr. Ahanotu held oversight responsibility for the analytic modeling for two projects using Price Director, Rapt’s price optimization software. Each project supported pricing decisions in Fortune 50 businesses: one business was a leading online media publisher, and the other was a rapidly growing technology company in a low margin business. Dr. Ahanotu helped the latter client integrate Price Director into pricing workflow. As part of this first-ever client implementation of Price Director, he worked closely with Product Management, Analytic Development, and Software Engineering to ensure that early-stage product functionality met client needs.
Dr. Ahanotu contributed several new methodologies for implementing Price Director analytics and conceptual frameworks for training clients on these analytics. He is a contributor on a related Rapt patent: “Method and System for Producing Optimized Prices for Products for Sale.” Dr. Ahanotu presented a white paper on the pricing of New Product Introductions at the 2006 INFORMS Annual Meeting. The Professional Pricing Society published this paper in The Journal of Professional Pricing (Vol. 16, No. 1, First Quarter 2007) as “Pricing New Products: Turning Portfolio Uncertainty Into Profits.”
Prior to Rapt, Dr. Ahanotu was a consultant with Integral, Inc, a small strategic management consulting firm. During his three-year tenure, he consulted on product development and technology strategy focused on high tech and pharmaceutical companies. Prior to Integral, he developed mathematical programming algorithms for managing and optimizing “Y2K” projects as an independent contractor. Prior to this work, he implemented expert systems for diagnosing and troubleshooting automotive and semiconductor manufacturing equipment as a Business Solutions Project Manager and Consultant for Expert Edge, Inc.
Dr. Ahanotu earned a Master’s and Ph.D. in Engineering-Economic Systems (1999), a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering, and Honors in Values, Technology, Science, and Society (1991) - all at Stanford University.
Welcome to Credit Lime. In my spare time I also contribute to a financial reporting site called www.CreditLime.com which provides in-depth analysis and reporting on news and events in the financial, derivative and credit default swap marketplace. I have over a decade of experience in the financial markets and have traded a variety of equity and fixed income products including but not limited to stocks, bonds and derivatives like credit default swaps (CDS). For the sake of brevity as far as disclosures go, all readers can assume that I hold positions in all the companies I mention or talk about.
You can visit and read some of my other postings or reports at: CreditLime (http://www.CreditLime.com/)
Fund manager Eddy Elfenbein writes Crossing Wall Street (http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/). He comments on a range of stocks (many of which he owns) and market trends. His work is funny, pithy, rigorous and original.
Eddy's philosophy: 'The key to doing well on Wall Street is actually very simple: Buy and hold shares of outstanding companies. But too many investors never learn this valuable lesson. Or if they do learn it, they learn it the hard way. That's where I come in. I want to help investors avoid the mistakes that separate successful investors from those who always find themselves spinning their wheels.'
Visit: Crossing Wall Street (http://www.crossingwallstreet.com/)
Andy Zaky is a Hedge Fund Manager at Bullish Cross Asset Management, and editor of the Bullish Cross financial newsletter. His main area of knowledge is in global macro economics, fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Andy has about 14 years of investment experience, a strong background in accounting and financial statement analysis, technical analysis, broad market analysis, macro economics and law. Andy both focuses on long term investments and trading short term calls and puts on the major index-pegged ETFs (QQQQ, SPY and DIA). Andy has a J.D. from the UCLA School of Law.
John Nyaradi is publisher of Wall Street Sector Selector, Your Home for ETF Investing! (www.wall-street-sector-selector.com) a financial media site focused on news, analysis and information about exchange traded funds and global financial and economic developments. John writes a weekly guest column for MarketWatch.com and is a regular contributor to Investor’s Alley, a widely read internet site. His investment articles have appeared in many online publications including Trading Markets, Money Show, Yahoo Finance, Investors Insight, Fidelity, SeekingAlpha, ETF Daily News, iStock Analyst and many others. He has also appeared as a guest on National Business Talk Radio, Sound Investing, and The Index Investing Show and has been a speaker at The Money Show, Las Vegas. His book, "Super Sectors: How to Outsmart the Market Using Sector Rotation and ETFs," is published by John Wiley and Sons and included among the Years Top Investment Books in the 2011 Stock Trader’s Almanac. Every business day, Wall Street Sector Selector: Your Home for ETF Trading!, publishes multiple articles of news, analysis and opinion in the world of exchange traded funds and global economics. John’s articles can be viewed in the “Executive Suite: Wall Street Sector Selector.com ETF News Updates.”
Management at Annaly will occasionally express their thoughts and opinions on specific issues and events in the financial markets through monthly commentaries and white papers. Annaly Salvos is a venue for expressing occasional thoughts and opinions on issues and events in the financial markets.
Blog posts, commentaries and white papers are for informational purposes only, and should not be construed as an offer to sell, nor a solicitation of an offer to buy, any securities of Annaly Capital Management, Inc. or any other company.
Annaly manages assets on behalf of institutional and individual investors worldwide. Annaly’s principal business objective is to generate net income for distribution to investors from its Investment Securities and from dividends Annaly receives from its subsidiaries. Annaly is a Maryland corporation that has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (“REIT”).
Avery B. Goodman is a licensed attorney concentrating in securities law related cases. He holds a B.A. from Emory University, where he concentrated on history and economics. He also holds a Juris Doctorate degree from the University of California at Los Angeles Law School and is a member of the Bar, licensed to practice law in several jurisdictions.
Mr. Goodman serves on the roster of neutral arbitrators of the National Futures Association (NFA) and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA). His career has consisted not only of prosecuting cases on behalf of clients, but also in sitting in judgment on the cases involving others, and making important decisions on intra-industry and customer disputes.
An independent investor for decades, Mr. Goodman has observed that markets are being subjected to frighteningly high levels of disinformation. Investors desperately need to hear logic, reason and common sense. For that reason, he is now sharing thoughts with the community.
Color Splat (colorsplatgame.blogspot.com) generates random colors and shapes which you drag around to create your very own contemporary art.
Magic Word (magicwordgame.blogspot.com) generates a matrix of random letters. Find words displayed across, back, up, down and diagonally in a table. Box the words and then arrange them into fun phrases.
Scramble Word (scramblewordgame.blogspot.com) builds phrases and sentences by switching the positions of letters and shifting entire rows and columns in a table grid.
Mr. Pavese holds several positions within the Broyhill family offices, serving as Chief Investment Officer of Broyhill Asset Management and BMC Fund, Inc., an SEC registered investment company. His primary responsibilities include macroeconomic research, strategic asset allocation, portfolio construction and individual security selection.
Prior to joining the Broyhill family offices, Mr. Pavese worked as a Vice President and Portfolio Manager for The JPMorgan Private Bank, where he managed over $1 billion in discretionary assets for high net worth individuals, trusts, endowments and foundations. Mr. Pavese served as an active member of JPMorgan’s Trust & Investment Committee, where he assisted in the construction of portfolios and monitored the bank’s fiduciary relationships.
Mr. Pavese is a CFA Charterholder and Past President of the Board for the CFA Institute’s North Carolina Society. Mr. Pavese earned a BS in Finance from The Pennsylvania State University.
Abigail F. Doolittle is the founder of Peak Theories Research LLC, which is an on-line research firm dedicated to providing investors with a technically-inclined view on the financial markets and the economy. The firm’s research begins with the analysis of charts and then ties in various economic fundamentals to better understand the trends pointed to in the charts. She has more than 12 years of experience in the financial services industry including portfolio management, macro research, institutional equity sales, and investment banking.
Abigail F. Doolittle
Peak Theories Research LLC
Gary A. Gordon, MS, CFP® is the president of Pacific Park Financial, Inc., a Registered Investment Adviser with the SEC. He has more than 25 years of experience as a personal coach in “money matters,” including risk assessment, small business development and portfolio management.
Gary is often asked to consult as an educator. He has taught financial concepts in Mexico, Singapore, Hong Kong, Taiwan and the United States.
As a Certified Financial Planner™ (CFP®), Gary has distinguished himself as a reputable and trusted investor advocate. He writes commentary for ETF Expert, Seeking Alpha and The Street. Gary’s participation on local and national radio has spanned more than a decade, and he currently hosts the ETF Expert Show.
Gary is a “good sport” when his wife, Denise, beats him at Scrabble. Most of all, Gary takes special pride in a not-so-little energizer… his 19-year old daughter, Wei Elizabeth Gordon.
Formerly head of editorial for London's biggest publisher of financial advice for private investors, Adrian Ash is editor of Gold News (http://goldnews.bullionvault.com/) and head of research at BullionVault (http://www.bullionvault.com/), the world's No.1 gold trading and ownership service online. Caring for more than $1 billion of client property today, and recognized by the Queen's Award for Enterprise in 2009, BullionVault is now backed by the gold-mining industry's World Gold Council (http://www.gold.org).
Edward is a macro economist, who specializes in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows. Edward is based in Barcelona, and is currently engaged in research into the impact of aging, longevity, fertility and migration on economic growth. He is also working on a book which has the working title: Population, The Ultimate Non-renewable Resource? He is a regular contributor to a number of economics weblogs, including India Economy Blog, A Fistful of Euros, Global Economy Matters and Demography Matters. He was, in fact, a founding member of all these weblogs. Edward follows in detail the Indian, Italian, Spanish, German and Japanese economies. He also has a more than a passing interest in the economies of Turkey and Brazil and in the emerging economies of Eastern Europe. Visit Edward's sites:
Edward Hugh Too (http://edwardhughtoo.blogspot.com/)
Global Economy Does Matter (http://globaleconomydoesmatter.blogspot.com/index.html)
Demography Matters (http://demographymatters.blogspot.com/)
Rom Badilla, CFA, is an avid bond trader and former Senior Fixed Income Portfolio Manager with the State Board of Administration of Florida. He had a front row seat to the building up of the real estate and securitizations market bubble and foresaw the subsequent financial crisis. Rom hopes that history does not repeat itself and believes that by empowering investors with knowledge and insight, the global economy can avoid another mishap that derailed many years of economic and social progress.
Rom has more than 17 years of experience in the capital markets and in the investment management industry, specifically in Market Strategy, Portfolio Management, and Bond Trading.
Rom is a member of both the CFA Society of Chicago and the CFA Institute. He is dedicated to evaluating day-to-day and long term market conditions and breaking them down into insightful and thoughtful analysis.
Join Rom every day for market analysis and future trends on the Street.
“Sold At TheTop” is the snarky pseudonym for the organic blogger that maintains the reasonably popular and, dare I say, possibly even slightly influential web log PaperEconomy (www.papereconomy.com).
“Sold”, as he prefers to be called (especially by his wife under certain saucy circumstances… mmmm…) is not a professional economist, analyst or stock trader and has neither been trained in finance nor statistics.
What Sold offers is a dedicated and serious passion for macroeconomic analysis and further, for the creation of striking, some say even artistic, visualizations of macroeconomic data. Though not a “perma-bear” Sold is very bearish about the current state and future of the American economy subscribing whole heartedly to notion that the recent financial crisis is but the second act of an immense systemic unwind that commenced, more or less, in the year 2000.
Sold is NOT A PESSIMIST by nature but a true skeptic and a realist that prefers solid and sustained evidence of fundamental economic recovery to “Goldilocks”, “Green Shoots”, “Mustard Seeds” and wholesale speculation. Further, Sold believes that the evidence for rational and efficient markets as well as collective wisdom is scant.
In his spare time Sold works as an independent software consultant spewing out cutting edge code like he’s spraying silly string.
Kid Dynamite is now on Twitter: #KidDynamiteBlog
Kid Dynamite (pseudonym) spent 8 years as a trader at a major Wall Street investment bank. from June 1999 thru April 2005 he specialized in portfolio trading, and from May 2005 thru November 2007 he was the head trader for an internal hedge fund on the buy side of the same firm. Kid Dynamite managed a multi-billion dollar merger arbitrage portfolio, and continued to implement portfolio trading related strategies as well.
If you are interested in intelligent discussion about any of my blog posts, or have questions, please visit Kid Dynamite's World (http://kiddynamitesworld.com).