I practice tax and bankruptcy law. I like to buy dividend growth businesses or businesses that consistently reduce their share counts, or both. I try to buy cyclical businesses when they're near the bottom of the cycle.
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We seek value plus multiple overlapping catalysts, sourced using proprietary tools. We will create our own catalysts with the fundamental goal to put assets to their highest and best use with the optimal financial structure to maximize long term business value.
Founded in 2009 by Ryan J. Morris - as a founder of a bootstrapped software company prior to being a full time investor, I have a great appreciation and respect for the operational details and entrepreneurial efforts underlying the financial numbers of a business.
Over twenty-five years experience with the stock market and investing
Individual investor that has advised many fellow educators about investing in the stock market
Enjoy actively managing several portfolios
Look for diversification in portfolios
Research and homework on stocks are enjoyable
BS- Elementary Education
MS ED- Advanced Teacher Education
Twenty- five years of coaching HS Varsity Athletics- football and basketball
A novice investor focusing on building a growth/income portfolio for retirement. I still have about another 15 years in the accumulation phase but hope to reap the rewards sooner than later. I started a 401k about 5 years ago and am now playing catch up which makes my "retire as soon as possible" endeavor a bit more challenging.
I am also a SWAN investor (Sleep Well At Night) so I look to protect my principal as best I can.
I currently have a 15 year mortgage on my home @ 3.75% with around 11 years left on it. My goal,and I know it's different than almost everyone else's ,is to have an Oz. of gold or 50 Oz. of Silver for each remaining month of the mortgage. That gives me some peace of mind,and I don't worry about daily fluctuations of the Precious metals prices. The good thing is that i'm working on both ends toward the middle and my break even point is not that far away. Sound crazy? I like the way it works at any rate.
FMI : 115 GLD is about $1200.00 spot gold price :)
1) This was a post I read on SA by another poster.It's concerning Inflation,Keynesian economics and governments that continue to fail the people.
Written by Kgroeppe :
" The Fed has engineered a 97% depreciation in our paper currency during its century of incompetence and fraud, i.e., it has defrauded the working class out of much of its hard-earned money. Since 1999 the process has accelerated with repeal of Glass-Steagall. How long will it take to go the rest of the way? When the Roman gold coin reached .5% Gold content, the empire collapsed, not only economically but also socially and politically. Many people who should know better believe that we can merely substitute another currency and be back in the race again. That is not the way it works.
When an economy collapses, there must be some entity to pay the bills. With a country like Argentina or Mexico, the big banks and the world economy take a hit, but it is small and causes no more than a blip in world economic activity. When an economy the size of ours collapses, it takes the whole world economy with it. With that goes the social and political structures also, because by that time the populace has completely lost confidence in everything, and does not know what to do.
So what can we do? One fact we do not normally learn in history classes is that when Rome "fell" it was followed by Persia, India, China and the Arab countries. Only one government did not follow suit - The Byzantine Empire. Why? Because around 1100 the Byzantine Emperor Alexios I Komnenos did something no other head of state in history has ever done. The Byzantine coinage had gone from gold to silver to copper to base metals with its accompanying inflation, such as we are seeing now. By this time Alexios was in power, and he must have seen what was going on in the world around him, and he restored 100% gold coinage. The Byzantine economy was restored to health and the Empire lasted another 350 years when it was conquered by the Turks.
Why can't we learn from Alexios? The change will involve some pain for everyone, but that is far better than what will happen otherwise. Do we want to leave behind us a healthy civilization ready to go another 1000 years, or do we want to leave only ruins? Time is running out, and that is one matter we cannot afford to put off.
If our civilization does collapse,we can count on from 200 to 500 years to restore some kind of order. Until then we will be more like Somalia than Zimbabwe, ruled by warlords. This is no scare tactic. This happened around 1200 B.C. and again after the demise of Rome. We have overly romanticized the "nobles" and "knights" of the Middle Ages, but closer study reveals that they were warlords with their armed retinues. Is this what we want our legacy to be? We can joke about it and make puns on Yellen's name (I certainly have done my share), but we need to abolish the Fed and come up with better economists than we have now advising the government. They are what I call fake economists, because they have mindlessly embraced Keynesian economics. John Maynard Keynes did not invent Keynesian economics; the Romans did, and look where it took them.
In 1835, Alexis de Tocqueville stated that the greatest threat to democracy was people voting themselves too many perks. We now know the truth in his statement, and it is time for us to adopt a more altruistic attitude, and admit that we have to pay for those perks, and begin to try to get this economy back on its feet. The past 6 years should have taught us an important lesson. If it hasn't, then we deserve whatever history has to dish out to us, and if we do not act now, that reckoning will be coming much sooner than we realize right now.
By the way, there is one economic lesson I can impart here, which has great pertinence in the here and now. We are told that inflation is running about 1.5%, but the figures used to compute this figure are selected. Inflation manifests in three ways:
A. increase in prices
B. decrease in quantity
C. decrease in quality
Have you looked at the size of the containers of food you buy in the grocery, or have you noticed the quality of cloth in your most recent clothing purchases?
Now you can decide how serious inflation is at present."
2.. When it comes to dealing with the government and particularly the present Obamacare TAX you to death administration,my favorite thought comes from Larry Gatlin of the Gatlin brothers. "You take your dog to a Veterinarian who also happens to be a Taxidermist ,no matter whether your dog gets better or not you will get your dog back" Gotta love the logic in that :)
3. A Collateralized Debt Object CDO is a perfect example of how bubbles occur.Gold may have paper bubbles created ,but Gold itself is not a bubble.If it reflects the market of paper trades that become bubbles ,it will be a safe haven in times of crisis .
.Paper trades of anything can be done in excess.That's my point plain and simple. Please read 'The Big Short' By Michael Lewis and you will realize how wrong the line of thinking of throwing money at investments can be.Anything can be a bad investment when taken to extreme., I wish we could all just see these type of so called investments for what they are. Paper trades are fine and serve a purpose ,if that is what you want . But it doesn't make Gold in your portfolio a bad idea ,all things in moderation .
The CDS http://thebea.st/10OOtSF market was a perfect example of an investment that was not suitable for people to be engaging in. Who knew what these things really were? In Lewis' book he points out many times how those making crazy profits off of these CDO and CDS transactions were the most blind because they didn't do their due diligence. Why should they ?They were making money with other peoples nest-eggs , and why rock the boat .
4.MONEY : What is it? Money must be a store of value, be fungible, be a unit of exchange, be portable, be durable, and be a unit of account. Fiat currency has all of these characteristics except one: It is not a store of value. The material it is made from is useless and it is no longer backed by gold. This makes it a currency, not money. Gold has always been money because it meets all of these parts of the definition and then some. It cannot be made nor destroyed. It retains its value and cannot be inflated. ALL fiat currencies go to zero eventually, gold and silver hold their value
Flat earthers(Global warming hoaxters) are usually unaware of this :
Isaiah 40:22 It is he that sitteth above the sphere of the earth, and the inhabitants thereof are as grasshoppers; that stretcheth out the heavens as a curtain, and spreadeth them out as a tent to dwell in;
Almost 700 years before Christ Isaiah wrote about the earth as being round (A sphere) not Flat.And many of the early scientist realized this Newton,Galileo.
The Book of Isaiah was written between 701 and 681 B.C.
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I'm a final year undergraduate student at the University of Warwick and I have interests in Quantitative Financial Modeling, computer programming, pure and applied mathematics, statistics and financial trading.
I have been working on a quant model which provides forecasts for stock prices on a daily basis. Check out my blog as I will regularly put up forecasts for stocks I like!
All information provided herein and in all further posts is to be used for educational purposes only and not to be considered as advice or recommendation of any sort. I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the forecasts I put up as the method I am using is still under development and testing. Consequently you should not base your investment decisions on these forecasts, and I will not be held liable for any losses incurred as a result of using these forecasts.
Remember Animatronics? How about Claymation? Ah, those were the days.
Wonky (adj.): askew, awry, unsteady, off-kilter. Like gadgets or stock markets.
Techwonk (me): someone who likes wonky stuff. A nerd!!!!
disclosure: some posts may include input from other, uncredited sources
We are happy to answer trading questions from new traders, but will no longer provide specific stock recommendations except to investors we know well. Please do not take this personally. It takes effort to research your questions, thus we prefer to discuss stocks with traders who we know are serious students of the markets.
Repeating our comments from October onward: The oil market is unpredictable at present and beginners should not be trading any of these: oil futures, oil futures etfs, oil company stocks, oil exploration, drilling and supplies, or companies with oil as a large contributor to operating costs (oil-inverse stocks).
Oil will continue to lead the macro direction for at least the first half of 2015. We do not expect to see the bottom for oil pricing until mid-spring, possibly summer.
The industry is extremely complicated. Therefore, beginners should be purchasing only good -quality actively managed funds or sector etfs, and investing using dollar cost averaging. You should not be looking for short-term returns; that is, expect to hold the investment on a multi-year basis.
We recommend that investors who are adding to existing positions consider using the momentum technique of "buying upward" on individual stocks as production increases, rather than the value technique of "averaging downward" since it is uncertain when specific companies will return to full capacity. Prices will tend to stay lower than last year as long as earnings are lower, for most stocks.
Index traders should become familiar with the oil futures prices and commodity charts as well as your usual trading indicators.