Extreme Bearishness a Definite Bullish Sign [View article]
I'm not sure I would say either. But when bearish sentiment exceeds bullish sentiment the average return is fairly consistently in the 4% range over the following 3 months. There doesn't seem to be a significant advantage to finding the "end" as opposed to identifying the overall bearishness.
Stock Prices Pull Ahead of Profits: Break From Cyclical Valuation Patterns? [View article]
There's certainly a lot of liquidity in the market, but tighter credit standards could remove some of that liquidity. As far as what will happen in 2007 to P/E multiples I hesitate to guess. I'm more sure of the long-term trend - though as I admit in the article the long term is made up of a series of short terms...
Also, I don't think there's any such thing as capital "on the sidelines." It is in some asset such as cash, bonds, foreign stock, real estate etc. Any money going into stocks would have to come out of one of those.
Extreme Bearishness a Definite Bullish Sign [View article]
1Q07 GDP Data Shows Current Rally Rooted in Optimism, Not Profits [View article]
Stock Prices Pull Ahead of Profits: Break From Cyclical Valuation Patterns? [View article]
Stock Prices Pull Ahead of Profits: Break From Cyclical Valuation Patterns? [View article]
Also, I don't think there's any such thing as capital "on the sidelines." It is in some asset such as cash, bonds, foreign stock, real estate etc. Any money going into stocks would have to come out of one of those.