buds

GM Bankruptcy? Probability Using Options

To predict GM bankruptcy using option doesn't have theoretical based, just like to follow herd

And similarity to F? for expiration $5 and $10, F price now is $5,56. Let's see ratio probability from $5 to $5,56 is 0.899 and $5,56 to $10 is 0.556. Which 0.899 is greater than 0.556.

Derivative markets are useful to get an idea, yes you are right but just an idea, just be careful out there

Google News Next Week Could Keep Its Rally Going

I don't think so, MSFT says Internet pioneer's deteriorating business (means GOOG?) and want to withdraw its offer to Yahoo.
The Goog rally won't last so do Rimm and Appl

An In-Depth Look at Municipal Bond Insurance

Today Jan 25 08, Stifel Nicoulas upgrade XL from hold to buy while AM BEST, FITCH downgrade it. No wonder Stifel will get bankrupt some day...

Why I Don't Buy The 4.5% Unemployment Rate

Same with me I don't buy the 4.5% employment rate either.
Since the price of oil climbs as high as $75 (Brent) and no sign of
weakness I wonder how stock price still goes up, seems people don't
fear anything but profit. I trully hold bearish positon since index
(SP 500 & DOW in the year of 2007)
never break out their positions in the year of 2000