Send Message
View as an RSS Feed
  • Here's What ConocoPhillips Might Do If Oil Prices Stay Low Throughout 2016  [View article]
    I had so much confidence in the management team to find a healthy way to keep the divvy - but for the first time I am worried. Personally, I just never thought I would see sub 30 oil again in my lifetime. My heart goes out to these companies, the industry is amazingly efficient, they spend billions to extract oil from the bowels of the earth and bam - one day the stuff you suck out is only worth 50% Still - I feel these times are better than the 2009 disaster - and the COP really rewarded their shareholders with their divvy policy and PSX spinoff. Glad I held on to those shares.
    Jan 28, 2016. 03:04 PM | 6 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel Should Flash Investors A Bullish Sign  [View article]
    Nice point John Durcan - but from a cost of capital standpoint they are making very solid financial decisions. In this crazy world of near ZIR - when you buy back you are likely going from a cost of capital north of 8% to under the 2%. The whole point or at least of a byproduct of QE was to let companies arbitrage their way to healthy balance sheets.
    Jan 28, 2016. 02:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel: The Eternal Value Trap  [View article]
    I have been an INTC owner for years and I stay around for the divvy and the fact I have a very low entry point - but from a growth perspective "a yawn" is about as good as it gets. And in the interest of honesty, the quote below is not quite accurate as they did just go through a prox 2 year period where the divvy was fixed.

    "The company will continue to increase its dividend like clockwork"
    Jan 26, 2016. 03:27 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wal-Mart Is Dead Money  [View article]
    Not sure I agree with the conclusions. For example - saying the metrics are deteriorating is true only if you compare today to their best year in the 10 year run. You could conclude that many of the metrics are better than their 2005-2008 run, down from the banner year of 2009, and you could even go further saying they did a nice job offsetting some of the huge impact of their "new minimum wage".

    But the bigger miss in this article is a plain as the nose on your face. What is their best year? 2009 when the rest of the world was falling apart. Doesn't make you feel a little better on the stock from a defensive standpoint?

    I have no worries about this stock. The bad news for the USA is that our country gets poorer every single day. Incomes are down prox $3K or prox 6% since 2009. Without any political commentary their are dirt poor arrivals from Central America and Mexico in droves, every day. And guess what? These people need coats and gloves to stay warm. And everyone knows where they will get them. I live in the poorest county in the USA (with over 200K people.) It is on the border, on the arrival point for our neighbors to the south. The WMTs are so packed it is absurd. When we shop there we typically go at close to midnight.
    Jan 6, 2016. 06:44 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why ConocoPhillips' Dividend May Not Survive 2016  [View article]
    Long long time COP owner - I still count on 2 things:
    1. This is an excellent leadership team that excels in the metric of "say what you do and do what you say". Not sure how much this means, but for me it is something that I recognize and appreciate.

    2. The divvy of this company if front and center. They went through the 2009 collapse and the spin off of PSX without cutting the divvy. Think they will survive this one.
    Dec 29, 2015. 11:48 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What To Expect From Oil In 2016  [View article]
    I have taken a beating in oil. Whatever happened to good ole fashioned collusion and price fixing by big oil. You cant count on anything anymore.
    Dec 29, 2015. 11:45 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel: Yes, It's Still Losing Money On Mobile  [View article]
    I worked in business all of my life and 1 universal truth - when you lose money on every unit - it is tough to make it up on volume. Think my INTC is in that boat.
    Dec 2, 2015. 10:59 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Intel: Reasons To Curb Your Enthusiasm, As 2016 Looks Like Another Yawner  [View article]
    10 year owner of INTC and for this stock - yawner is as good as it gets.
    Nov 24, 2015. 07:11 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Wal-Mart: Save Your Money, Live Better Without This Terrible Stock  [View article]
    I guess we are just lock step on this one TBDI - without any political commentary, we have immigrants flocking in, wages are down 3K per family since the downturn - I just really feel that WMT is a vital part of the economy. I live in the poorest county in the USA (over 200K people) and the WMT are so busy it is crazy.
    Nov 23, 2015. 03:52 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Goldman hits Phillips 66 with Sell rating, upgrades PBF Energy to Buy  [View news story]
    Personally, what an amazing stock for me. I was given the stock for free from the COP spinoff and I think the initial valuation was like around $29 per share. In addition, they have raised the divvy much more frequently than annually. If they see an opportunity to reward the shareholders - they seize that opportunity. Long PSX - just wish I would have added to it since the spinoff other than just DRIPping it.
    Nov 23, 2015. 12:26 PM | 8 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Wal-Mart: Save Your Money, Live Better Without This Terrible Stock  [View article]
    My pessimism on WMT is muted because there are tons of poor people that need $12 coats to keep them warm. And every day there are more than yesterday.
    Nov 23, 2015. 12:21 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Top 5 Picks For 2016  [View article]
    I will always give a hat tip of respect to those who own up to their misses, because most everyone sure as hell crows about their hits, and only the few will pony up on their misses.

    But sometimes you just get the feeling in this market that a monkey throwing a dart at the stock page can do as well as the experts.
    Nov 21, 2015. 11:03 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Portfolio Rehab - Why I Will Continue To Hold Chevron  [View article]
    My CVX is a bit like work - beatings will continue until optimism improves.
    Nov 20, 2015. 08:42 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • What To Expect From A McDonald's Domestic REIT  [View article]
    The COP PSX deal seemed like a real bonanza for shareholders. Something is going on with MCD - they are like 6 weeks later than they have been on announcing the 4th quarter divvy. This thing has been announced between 9/16 and 9/18 for like 6-7 years.
    Nov 4, 2015. 08:32 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Dividend Aristocrats Part 15 Of 52: McDonald's  [View article]
    That outgoing CEO Thompson(?) must feel like a total failure. They dump him and they immediately head up.
    Oct 27, 2015. 06:18 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment