Personal investor who has been investing in stocks for over 10 years. Through turning every stone, every rock, and sifting through the sand I seek opportunities to buy growth at a reasonable price (GARP). People in the past have messaged me with questions about a news article or a good investment idea for a year. I can make bets with strong conviction when current stock price does not equal intrinsic value, but I cannot tell you when they will meet. Through my experience stock price should move in tandem with earnings over the long-run. My goal is to find the greatest margin of safety in quality growth stocks that will achieve above-market returns without taking excess risk (alpha). My investment process: -Turn every stone, every rock, and sift through the sand. -Invest in good businesses with solid management track records. -Never overpay for a stock. Enter when current price trades at a 30% discount to intrinsic value. -Be patient. -Review holdings and sell only if fundamental business has changed since initial purchase.
Three decades of investment banking, research, sale, and trading experience. Began career as a municipal bonds trader at Lehman Brothers in 1982. Held investment banking and institutional sales and trading positions at KeyBanc, RBC and BNP Paribas. Private equity valuation consultant.
- Graduated from The State University of New York at Buffalo in 2012, with a bachelor's degree in Business Administration with a concentration in financial analysis.
- Passionately seeking knowledge.
- Dividend growth investor.
- I hope to help others by doing something I love.
"The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator." - Ben Graham
NYC-based investment professional. Background in value investing and growth at reasonable price within the context of long/short equity, with additional focus on credit, sovereign debt, commodities, and currencies as part of an overall global macro focus.
I am not always directly active in article comments streams, so if you wish to contact directly, you can PM me on-site or send messages to this address: LSI.firstname.lastname@example.org
Perhaps more than any other time in the last six decades, the fate of markets is inextricably intertwined with the ebb and flow of geopolitics. From the ECB's attempts to use the central bank's balance sheet to influence political outcomes across the eurozone to Saudi Arabia's efforts to transform the kingdom's influence over crude prices into an instrument of foreign policy, it's become increasingly clear that one simply cannot fully comprehend market movements without a thorough understanding of concurrent political outcomes. Drawing on extensive experience in both politics and finance, Heisenberg will help demystify a world in which investors can no longer hope to conceptualize markets as existing in anything that even approximates a vacuum. "I am the one who knocks."
John P. Gavin, CFA, is the founder and CEO of Probes Reporter.
Probes Reporter is an independent publisher of investment research. We use the Freedom of Information Act to gather data and records on public companies from the SEC. Here's what you can expect from us:
- Alerts on public companies with undisclosed SEC probes.
- Records & analysis on closed SEC probes.
- Help with interpreting disclosed SEC investigative activity.
- Predicting those companies whose conduct, transactions, or disclosures may subject them to an SEC investigation.
Beholden to no one, at Probes Reporter we follow the facts where they lead us, without fear or favor. We are indifferent to what a company makes, sells, does, or who is running it. Whether all the mutual funds or Wall Street analysts "love" a company, or all the hedge funds "hate" it means nothing to us. No one can pay us to write about a company or to change what our findings disclose.
Note: The founder of Probes Reporter is a CFA charterholder who previously ran SEC Insight, Inc. which became Disclosure Insight, Inc.
Dr. El-Erian is Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz and member of its International Executive Committee. He chairs President Obama's Global Development Council, is a Financial Times Contributing Editor, a Bloomberg View columnist and author of the NYT/WSJ best seller "When Markets Collide."
Dr. El-Erian formerly served as CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO, the global investment management company. He re-joined PIMCO at the end of 2007 after serving for two years as president and CEO of Harvard Management Company, the entity that manages Harvard’s endowment and related accounts.
Dr. El-Erian also served as a member of the faculty of Harvard Business School. He first joined PIMCO in 1999 and was a senior member of PIMCO's portfolio management and investment strategy group.
Before coming to PIMCO, Dr. El-Erian was a managing director at Salomon Smith Barney/Citigroup in London and before that, he spent 15 years at the International Monetary Fund in Washington, D.C.
Dr. El-Erian has published widely on international economic and finance topics. His book, "When Markets Collide," won the Financial Times/Goldman Sachs 2008 Business Book of the Year and was named a book of the year by The Economist and one of the best business books of all time by the Independent (UK). He was named to Foreign Policy’s list of “Top 100 Global Thinkers” for 2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012.
Dr. El-Erian has served on several boards and committees, including the U.S. Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, the International Center for Research on Women, the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the IMF's Committee of Eminent Persons. He is currently a board member of the NBER, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, and Cambridge in America. He chairs the Microsoft Investment Advisory Board.
He holds a master's degree and doctorate (economics) from Oxford and received his bachelor and master degrees from Cambridge. He is an Honorary Fellow of Queens' College, Cambridge University.
Value Digger holds MSc. in Electrical Engineering, speaks four languages and has lived in the U.S. for many years. Also, he is a full-time investor and a freelance writer with one of the highest Followers per Article (F/A) rates in Seeking Alpha. His F/A rate in Seeking Alpha is above 30.
After creating "Nathan's Bulletin" (a subscription-based investment guide for investors who can't afford a financial advisor), Value Digger launched a subscription-based Premium Service in Seeking Alpha entitled "A Fundamental Investor's Stock Club" which includes an unparalleled, actively-managed and high-return Portfolio of unknown and/or underfollowed stocks. Regularly updated and detailed lists in his Premium Posts PROVE these high returns. For reference, when Value Digger was managing money in the early 2000s, his Portfolio's annual ROI consistently exceeded 50%. His Premium Research is based on a comprehensive review of company-specific factors, macro conditions, competitors and the industry trends.
When it comes to his publicly-available picks and his free Seeking Alpha articles, Value Digger is ranked in the TOP-50 with a success rate of over 80%, an average return per recommendation of over 30% and a 5-star rating according to TipRanks.com, which is the highest category quality ranking used to evaluate financial experts. TipRanks.com is a comprehensive investing tool that allows private investors and day traders to see the measured performance of anyone who publicly provides financial advice. TipRanks.com collects data, evaluates and ranks 9,000 financial experts worldwide.
After almost 30 years of investing experience in the international markets (U.S., Canada, Australia, Europe), Value Digger has formulated a deep understanding of valuation analysis and his investment philosophy is firmly grounded in Ben Graham-style value-oriented opportunities that often have an assymetric risk/reward profile. On that front, he has created a unique proprietary database with thousands of publicly-traded companies per sector, which helps him spot the bargains and the bubbles before many investors find them.
At Valuentum, we think the best opportunities arise from a complete understanding of all investing disciplines in order to identify the most attractive stocks at any given time. Valuentum therefore analyzes each stock across a wide spectrum of philosophies, from deep value through momentum investing. We think companies that are attractive from a number of investment perspectives--whether it be growth, value, momentum, etc.--have the greatest probability of capital appreciation and relative outperformance. The more investors that are interested in the stock for reasons based on their respective investment mandates, the more likely it will move higher.
Brian Nelson is the President of Equity Research at Valuentum Securities, an investment research firm serving individual and institutional investors, as well as financial advisors. Before founding Valuentum, Mr. Nelson worked as a director at Morningstar, where he was responsible for training and methodology development within the firm's equity and credit research department. Prior to that position, he served as a senior industrials securities analyst, covering aerospace, airlines, construction and environmental services companies. Before joining Morningstar in February 2006, Mr. Nelson worked for a small capitalization fund covering a variety of sectors for an aggressive growth investment management firm in Chicago. He holds a Bachelor's degree in finance and a minor in mathematics, magna cum laude, from Benedictine University. Mr. Nelson has an MBA from the University of Chicago Booth School of Business and also holds the Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.
Get to Know Brian:
Brian led the charge in developing Morningstar's issuer credit ratings, developing and rolling-out one of the firm's proprietary credit metrics, the Cash Flow Cushion. http://select.morningstar.com/welcome/credit/pdfs/Morningstar_CashFlowCushion.pdf
Brian is frequently quoted in the media and has been a frequent guest on Nightly Business Report, Bloomberg TV, and the Money Show.
Mr. Nelson is very experienced in valuing equities, developing Morningstar's discounted cash-flow model used to derive the fair value estimates for the company's entire equity coverage universe.
Brian worked on a small cap fund and a micro cap fund that were ranked within the top 10th percentile and top 1st percentile within the Small Cap Lipper Growth Universe, respectively, in 2005.
Mr. Nelson is also a contributor to Seeking Alpha and an opinion leader in the Industrial Goods space.
You can reach Brian at email@example.com.
Please read our Disclaimer that applies to all articles published on Seeking Alpha: http://www.valuentum.com/categories/20110613
Follow us on Twitter: @Valuentum
Beginning in 1994, Warren joined Goldman Sachs Asset Management. Following five years in New York, Warren transferred down to GSAM's Growth Equity team in Tampa, FL. Over the course of the next 15 years, Warren became a Portfolio Manager across several products including GSAM's Flexible Cap Growth fund (small to large capitalizations), Growth Opportunities Fund (mid cap) and Capital Growth Fund (large cap). From May 2013 to February 2015, Warren was at Logan Circle Partners as a Managing Director and Portfolio Manager. He was responsible for investments across various sectors including financials, services, technology and consumer discretionary. In 2015, Warren created Manole Capital Management and he currently runs this boutique investment manager.
Leveraging his accounting background from Lehigh University, Warren received his Certified Public Accountant license in 1998. In 2004, Warren received the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.
Searching the market for high-quality assets at a discounted price. Investment horizon is always medium- to long-term (12 months or more), and will often act as a contrarian to short-term consensus in order to identify the best investment opportunities. Tend to focus on energy and technology sectors.
Hi, I'm Sarfaraz A. Khan. I have got an MBA from University of Aberdeen, located in the heart of UK's oil industry. My specialties lie in energy and materials stocks, but I occasionally cover services sector, emerging markets and ETFs. My work appears mainly on TheStreet and Seeking Alpha.
I am not based in the US, which is why I do not have any position in the US listed stocks that I write about. I do, however, own shares of funds that usually hold a long position in either Exxon Mobil, Chevron, Royal Dutch Shell, Schlumberger, Halliburton, ConocoPhillips, Honda Motor Company, GlaxoSmithKline, Unilever, or their subsidiaries that trade on non-US markets.
Stock investors are always asking what is the catalyst for value to be realized? I originally thought like this which lead me to take too much risk. I now focus on being patient, controlling risk, and minimizing permanent capital losses. These steps have lead to significantly better returns. Even when there is no clear catalyst, an undervalued stock is eventually its own catalyst.
I think the benefits of communicating on Seeking Alpha are enormous. Many times I have a strong financial view of a company but do not understand the specific industry or industry competitive dynamics. I can often interact and read insightful comments from engineers, scientists, and technology experts. These experts offer great free advice and I try to add value in my specific areas of expertise. One area that I have been specifically helped is the energy sector.
While some investors are very negative of people who short, I view shorting stocks and posting factual information as noble. The focus of course is on truthfulness and accuracy of this information. Anyone who is posting rumors, lies, or other unscrupulous behavior (long or short) to manipulate a stock should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.
I graduated from the University of Arizona in 2002 with a BS in Finance. From 2002-2006 I worked in the Wealth Management Group at Bank of America. I left Bank of America to manage family/friend money in long/short equity strategies. I also helped start-up two internet retail businesses.
I don't post much on twitter but think it is another great resource. I can be followed at https://twitter.com/jrhUofA
I currently live in Phoenix, AZ. If you live in the area and are a serious investor, please send me a note as I would be happy to meet and exchange our best ideas.
Harvard College, BA, Economics; Stanford Graduate School of Business, MBA
Managing Director, Boslego Risk Services
I founded Boslego Risk Services and became a recognized expert in the area of energy price risk management (hedging), providing oil and natural gas hedging strategies to major oil companies such as Exxon, Shell, Mobil, Chevron, Texaco and Phillips; to the national oil companies of Norway, Venezuela, Mexico, Canada, France and Italy; to major users of energy products, such as Delta Airlines, United Airlines, Burlington-Northern Railroad, and Canadian Pacific Railway; to major trading firms, such as Enron, Phibro, Sempra and Vitol; and to large hedge funds (confidential).
As the recognized expert in energy hedging, I was selected by the former president, John Treat, of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) to write the chapter on hedging in his book, Energy Futures.
I expanded my risk analysis and hedging services beyond the energy markets to financial markets. Given the failure of traditional portfolio diversification to limit losses to levels tolerable to most investors in 2008/09, I created investment strategies utilizing risk management techniques for hedge funds and financial firms.
I'm an Army veteran and former energy dividend writer for The Motley Fool. My goal is to help all people learn how to harness the awesome power of dividend growth investing to achieve their financial dreams, and enrich their lives. With 20 years of investing experience, I've learned what works and more importantly, what doesn't, when it comes to building long-term wealth and income streams. I'm currently on an epic quest to build a broadly diversified, high-quality, high-yield dividend growth portfolio that:
1. Pays 6%-7% yield
2. Offers 9%-10% annual dividend growth
3. Pays dividends AT LEAST on a weekly, but preferably, daily basis
1. Navios Maritime Midstream Partners (NAP)
2. Golar LNG Partners (GMLP)
3. Dynagas LNG Partners (DLNG)
4. Ship Finance International (SFL)
5. KNOT Offshore Partners (KNOP)
6. Summit Midstream Partners (SMLP)
7. Gaslog Partners (GLOP)
8. Triangle Capital (TCAP)
9. Seaspan (SSW)
10. CorEnergy Infrastructure Trust (CORR)
11. Energy Transfer Partners (ETP)
12. Fidus Investment Corp. (FDUS)
13. New Mountain Finance Corp. (NMFC)
14. Ares Capital (ARCC)
15. Annaly Capital Management (NLY)
16. Terra Nitrogen (TNH)
17. Monroe Capital (MRCC)
18. Hercules Capital (HGTC)
19. TPG Specialty Lending (TSLX)
20. Enviva Partners (EVA)
21. ONEOK Partners (OKS)
22. Hoegh LNG Partners (HMLP)
23. Jernigan Capital (JCAP)
24. Starwood Property Trust (STWD)
25. New Senior Investment Group (SNR)
26. Ladder Capital Corp. (LADR)
27. Compass Diversified Holdings (CODI)
28. Goldman Sachs BDC Inc (GSBD)
29. Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp. (ACRE)
30. Ciner Resources (CINR)
31. Care Capital Properties (CCP)
32. Genesis Energy Partners (GEL)
33. Landmark Infrastructure Partners (LMRK)
34. Blackstone Minerals (BSM)
35. Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)
36. Tallgrass Energy Partners (TEP)
37. Xenia Hotels & Resorts (XHR)
38. Holly Energy Partners (HEP)
39. City Office REIT (CIO)
40. Gaming and Leisure Properties (GLPI)
41. Pattern Energy Group (PEGI)
42. Sunoco Logistics Partners (SXL)
43. Sabra Healthcare REIT (SBRA)
44. Community Healthcare Trust (CHCT)
45. Main street Capital (MAIN)
46. LaSalle Hotel Properties (LHO)
47. Energy Transfer Equity (ETE)
48. Chatham Lodging Trust (CLDT)
49. Western Refining Logistics LP (WNRL)
50. Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.A)
51. Chesapeake Lodging Trust (CHSP)
52. Macquarie Infrastructure Corp. (MIC)
53. MPLX (MPLX)
54. Medical Properties Trust (MPW)
55. Apple Hospitality REIT (APLE)
56. 8Point3 Energy Partners (CAFD)
57. Brookfield Renewable Partners (BEP)
58. Stag Industrial (STAG)
59. NRG Yield (NYLD)
60. InfraREIT (HIFR)
61. VEREIT (VER)
62. Armada Hoffler Properties (AHH)
63. Spirit Realty Capital (SRC)
64. HollyFrontier Corp. (HFC)
65. Vodafone (VOD)
66. Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital (HASI)
67. Western Refining Inc (WNR)
68. Ford (F)
69. LTC Properties (LTC)
70. NextEra Energy Partners (NEP)
71. General Motors (GM)
72. Aircastle (AYR)
73. PacWest Bancorp (PACW)
74. Phillips 66 Partners (PSXP)
75. Intel (INTC)
76. AT&T (T)
77. Easterly Government Properties (DEA)
78. Brookfield Property Partners (BPY)
79. ONEOK Inc (OKE)
80. W.P Carey (WPC)
81. MGM Growth Properties (MGP)
82. Preferred Apartment Communities (APTS)
83. Westlake Chemical Partners (WLKP)
84. Spectra Energy Partners (SEP)
85. Hersha Hospitality Trust (HT)
86. Cedar Fair (FUN)
87. RLJ Hospitality Trust (RLJ)
88. Enterprise Products Partners (EPD)
89. Pebblebrook Hotel Trust (PEB)
90. Welltower (HCN)
91. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (BIP)
92. Magellan Midstream Partners (MMP)
93. Iron Mountain (IRM)
94. National Health Investors (NHI)
95. EPR Properties (EPR)
96. Spectra Energy Corp. (SE)
97. Shell Midstream Partners (SHLX)
98. Lazard Ltd. (LAZ)
99. Pfizer (PFE)
100. Chevron (CVX)
101. Helmerich & Payne (HP)
102. Tallgrass Energy GP (TEGP)
103. Valero Energy Corp (VLO)
104. Maiden Holdings (MHLD)
105. EQT Midstream Partners (EQM)
106. Oceaneering International (OII)
107. Union Pacific (UNP)
108. Apple (AAPL)
109. American Tower (AMT)
110. Federated National Holdings (FNHC)
111. Starbucks (SBUX)
112. Dominion Midstream Partners (DM)
113. Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD)
114. IBM (IBM)
115. Cisco Systems (CSCO)
116. Invesco (IVZ)
117. Valero Energy Partners (VLP)
118. ExxonMobil (XOM)
119. L Brands (LB)
120. Procter & Gamble (PG)
121. McDonald's (MCD)
122. Coca-Cola (KO)
123. Suncor Energy (SU)
124. Wells Fargo (WFC)
125. Johnson & Johnson (JNJ)
126. Qualcomm (QCOM)
127. Phillips 66 (PSX)
128. Gilead Sciences (GILD)
129. EQT GP Holdings (EQGP)
130. Bank of America (BAC)
131. Hormel (HRL)
132. Brookfield Asset Management (BAM)
133. Texas Roadhouse (TXRH)
134. Kroger (KR)
135. Nike (NKE)
136. Tractor Supply (TSCO)
137. FactSet Research (FDS)
138. Broadcom (AVGO)
139. Disney (DIS)
140. Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)
141. Fedex (FDX)
142. Visa (V)
143. Mastercard (MA)
144. Shire PLC (SHPG)
Chris Cook's background is in UK market regulation, latterly as a Director of the International Petroleum Exchange. In recent years, he has been a strategic market consultant and commentator, and has also been actively developing new partnership-based legal and financial structures or "enterprise models". Since 2011 Chris has been a Senior Research Fellow at the Institute for Security & Resilience Studies at University College London.
I am a former engineer in topography (ESGT Paris 80) and specialized later in metrology or very precise measurement (CERN). I was interested in quantum metrology for a while...
I live mostly between California (Santa Monica), Provence-Cote d'Azur (Where my children and grandchildren live) and Sweden (South West Skåne) with my loving wife.
I am managing (investment manager) a large and old private family fund and trade personally a medium-size portfolio for over 25 years
“Logic will get you from A to B. Imagination will take you everywhere.” Einstein.
As Head of Global Investment Research for Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff spearheads the investment research efforts while providing close contact to Alhambra’s client base.
Jeff joined Atlantic Capital Management, Inc., in Buffalo, NY, as an intern while completing studies at Canisius College. After graduating in 1996 with a Bachelor’s degree in Finance, Jeff took over the operations of that firm while adding to the portfolio management and stock research process.
In 2000, Jeff moved to West Palm Beach to join Tom Nolan with Atlantic Capital Management of Florida, Inc. During the early part of the 2000′s he began to develop the research capability that ACM is known for. As part of the portfolio management team, Jeff was an integral part in growing ACM and building the comprehensive research/management services, and then turning that investment research into outstanding investment performance.
As part of that research effort, Jeff authored and published numerous in-depth investment reports that ran contrary to established opinion. In the nearly year and a half run-up to the panic in 2008, Jeff analyzed and reported on the deteriorating state of the economy and markets. In early 2009, while conventional wisdom focused on near-perpetual gloom, his next series of reports provided insight into the formative ending process of the economic contraction and a comprehensive review of factors that were leading to the market’s resurrection.
In 2012, after the merger between ACM and Alhambra Investment Partners, Jeff came on board Alhambra as Head of Global Investment Research.
Currently, Jeff is published nationally at RealClearMarkets, ZeroHedge, Minyanville and Yahoo!Finance.
Jeff holds a FINRA Series 65 Investment Advisor License.
Lipper Alpha Insight (http://lipperalpha.financial.thomsonreuters.com/) is a free daily news and commentary blog, giving financial professionals actionable ideas and insight to make sense of individual security news and events and stay on top of macroeconomic trends. We have a team of expert analysts that are constantly looking at the financial landscape in order to keep you up to date on the latest movements.
AB is a research-driven investment firm that combines investment insight and innovative thinking to deliver results for our clients. At AB we believe that research excellence is the key to better outcomes and as a result we have built a global firm with exceptional research capabilities. We offer a broad array of investment services that span geographies and asset classes to meet the needs of private clients, mutual fund investors and institutional clients around the world.
Founded in 1939, Neuberger Berman is a private, independent, employee-owned investment manager. The firm manages equities, fixed income, private equity and hedge fund portfolios for institutions and advisors worldwide. With offices in 19 countries, Neuberger Berman’s team is approximately 2,000 professionals and the company was named by Pensions & Investments as a “Best Place to Work in Money Management” for three consecutive years. Tenured, stable and long-term in focus, the firm fosters an investment culture of fundamental research and independent thinking.
For important disclosures: http://www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications
RIA & Family Office
Alasdair started his career as a stockbroker in 1970 on the London Stock Exchange. In those days, trainees learned everything: from making the tea, to corporate finance, to evaluating and dealing in equities and bonds. They learned rapidly through experience about things as diverse as mining shares and general economics. It was excellent training, and within nine years Alasdair had risen to become senior partner of his firm.
Subsequently, Alasdair held positions at director level in investment management, and worked as a mutual fund manager. He also worked at a bank in Guernsey as an executive director.
For most of his 40 years in the finance industry, Alasdair has been de-mystifying macro-economic events for his investing clients. The accumulation of this experience has convinced him that unsound monetary policies are the most destructive weapon governments use against the common man. Accordingly, his mission is to educate and inform the public in layman’s terms what governments do with money and how to protect themselves from the consequences.
*For Elazar's Research on SA hit "Follow." and click "Real-time alerts on this author" for real time.
*Trading needs a gameplan and discipline. Elazar has served clients in the $100mm-$10B asset range. See the market through a new simple perspective. Make decisions based on how the market functions with PRO TRADER (Click here).
We've followed SPY, Oil, GLD, AAPL, AMZN, NFLX, TSLA, TLT, SLV, UNG, XIV, XLV, XLF, XLI, EFA, CYB, WEAT, SOXX, IAU, FXY, TLT, BAL, and many other securities with strong historical model results
(See here for performance).
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Past performance can not predict future performance. Capital invested is capital at risk and especially when leverage is used large, some if not all of the principal can be lost. Please consult your financial advisor if such a service is right for you. The performance data shown includes back-tested past performance, which is not a guarantee of future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate. Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data cited. Hypothetical or simulated performance results have certain inherent limitations unlike actual performance records. Real time performance is in the process of being compiled in PRO TRADER on Seeking Alpha.
Gary Tanashian is proprietor of NFTRH.com and Biiwii.com. Actionable, hype-free technical, macro economic and sentiment analysis is provided in the premium market report 'Notes From the Rabbit Hole' (http://nftrh.com/nftrh-premium/). Complimentary analysis and commentary is available at the public site (http://nftrh.com), at http://biiwii.com and by email with our free - and spam free - eLetter service (http://nftrh.com/free-eletter/).
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
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I have more than 10 years experience investing in commodities and hard assets such as gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas producers, MLPs, and various other sectors.
Andy Hecht is a sought-after commodity and futures trader, an options expert and analyst. He spent nearly 35 years on Wall Street, including two decades on the trading desk of Phillip Brothers, which became Salomon Brothers and ultimately part of Citigroup.
Over the past two decades, he has researched, structured and executed some of the largest trades ever made, involving massive quantities of precious metals and bulk commodities.
Andy understands the market in a way many traders can’t imagine. He’s booked vessels, armored cars, and trains to transport and store a broad range of commodities. And he’s worked directly with The United Nations and the legendary trading group Phibro.
Today, Andy remains in close contact with sources around the world and his network of traders.
“I have a vast Rolodex of information in my head… so many bull and bear markets. When something happens, I don’t have to think. I just react. History does tend to repeat itself over and over.”
His friends and mentors include highly regarded energy and precious metals traders, supply line specialists and international shipping companies that give him vast insight into the market.
Andy’s writing and analysis are on many market-based websites including CQG. Andy lectures at colleges and Universities. He also contributes to Traders Magazine. He consults for companies involved in producing and consuming commodities. Andy's biweekly radio show, The Commodities Hour with Andy Hecht, can be heard on Tuesdays and Thursdays from 5-6 PM EST on www.tfnn.com. Andy’s first book How to Make Money with Commodities, published by McGraw-Hill was released in 2013 and has received excellent reviews. Andy held a Series 3 and Series 30 license from the National Futures Association and a collaborator and strategist with hedge funds. Andy is the commodity expert for the website about.com and blogs on his own site technomentals.com.
Donald is a young millennial investor with over 15 years of investing experience. Donald (commonly known as DJ) specializes in dividend growth stocks, options trading and the auto industry. At the age of 25 he became a sales manager for two large volume car dealerships, a position which he still holds today.
HFI Research Premium Subscribers get 5 weekly reports: HFI Portfolio Weekly Update, Natural Gas Weekly Outlook, Oil Markets Weekly Outlook, Weekly Rant (investment topics), Big Picture Outlook.
Our TipRank profile: https://www.tipranks.com/bloggers/hfi