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moseslarsen

moseslarsen
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  • ArcelorMittal: A Safe Way To Play A Long-Term Steel Rebound [View article]
    There are far worse things you can do with your hard earned investment $$$ compared to opening a long position in MT at these prices...cheers, Moses
    Jul 2, 2015. 05:07 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Peabody Energy: EPA Rules, Lower Guidance And Fears Of Bankruptcy [View article]
    I thought I was all that and a bag of (coal) chips by buying and selling ACI effectively on multiple occasions over the last few years...and bulking up my safe coal stock with the proceeds: BTU. <Ha!> All those winnings are history and so is the bulk of my investment in BTU...on paper. HOWEVER: Sitting on my worst paper loss ever and watching it grow is still not the same as selling into a big loss in a cyclical stock in a cyclical industry, regardless of the present headwinds.

    I have ground my teeth off waiting through this, but I may be buying some more to further avg down out of the $10/share range, but this pricing environment is just silly! Before hitting the buy buy buy trigger again, I will be doing some price to book homework in the next few weeks to see if BTU warrants me plugging in any more new money...I feel p/b is the only way to safely view BTU common at this juncture. If the stock goes much lower, maybe BBL or some other big fish could buy them out? Wishful thinking on my part?

    Regards, Moses
    Jul 2, 2015. 04:58 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coal shares give back gains, as Supreme Court is no savior [View news story]
    bach, I hope she isn't warming up just yet...and when she does warm up, she better be using thermal coal as her heat source.
    Jun 30, 2015. 11:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coal shares give back gains, as Supreme Court is no savior [View news story]
    Still long BTU...and that is one ugly portion of my portfolio. Cheers, Moses
    Jun 30, 2015. 09:55 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Future Of Uranium: 3 Major Takeaways From The 2015 World Nuclear Fuel Market Conference [View article]
    Long UUUU via URZ and speculative long in URG. Not large positions in my portfolio, but worth the ride, in my opinion. Cheers, Moses
    Jun 26, 2015. 04:03 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Energy Fuels target price cut by a third at Roth Capital [View news story]
    Roth Capital may be trying to shake us down, so they can increase their stake because of all the positives going forward. Long(ish) UUUU, via URZ.

    Cheers, Moses
    Jun 24, 2015. 02:39 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Offshore drillers sink as Ensco provides update [View news story]
    Am sitting on a pretty significant paper loss, however I will not sell...because I had conviction about the company's management, backlog, equipment, and future planning when I got in. The oil slump has not permanently impaired my capital unless I sell into this mess. I will continue to build my positions in NOV and ESV as I believe they are solid companies for my eventual retirement.

    Hindsight is a wonderful tool...after the fact. Regards, Moses
    Jun 18, 2015. 11:33 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • More Challenges Ahead For Union Pacific [View article]
    Started building a new position in UNP with shares purchased at just over $100 each. In a macro sense, I assume we are in the mid to late innings in this transports cycle. I got in and got out of NSC, CSX earlier in this cycle. I took my profits, but felt strongly later on that I should have stuck with my positions. That's why I am back in; I am going to hold this one forever...I still fight the patience problem.

    Long UNP, even if its a little later than optimal.

    Cheers, Moses
    Jun 18, 2015. 11:23 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • National Oilwell Varco Cuts 1,500 Jobs - Too Little, Too Late? [View article]
    Will be buying additional shares with new money throughout 2015 and 2016 to fill out my position. Long NOV. Regards, Moses
    Jun 18, 2015. 11:12 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • IBM: A Discounted Way To Gain International Exposure [View article]
    Great piece, Bill. I will stick with my convictions on IBM and continue to build my position. Thanks for a balanced view. Regards, Moses
    May 28, 2015. 02:06 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coal in a battle of "survival of the fittest," Citigroup says [View news story]
    You wouldn't think they could pile anymore on....I said more on. Cheers, Moses
    May 27, 2015. 03:12 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Incredible Ore Machine: BHP Billiton [View article]
    Sure as shooting, once I start a long position, some ridiculous nonsense that cannot be foretold begins...figures.

    Regards, Moses
    May 20, 2015. 01:20 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • National Oilwell Varco declares $0.46 dividend [View news story]
    Agreed. If you have a bit of patience, this name is a ticket to very nice returns. Well run, well financed, appropriately aggressive via acquisitions when needed, etc. Looooooooong NOV.

    Regards, Moses
    May 14, 2015. 05:09 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • National Oilwell Varco declares $0.46 dividend [View news story]
    fidelity, mgmt will probably remain cautious and wait on upping the div again, until a bit of the volatility is shaken from crude. I assume you are not surprised by the move, considering what we have endured. NOV, like many others in this space, will be chewing into backlog for a few quarters, at a minimum. Hence, the hold on div increases. I bet they resume in a year or thereabouts...

    Cheers, Moses
    May 14, 2015. 04:14 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Home boom on the way, says Morningstar [View news story]
    ...Debunker, hilarious comment! ^^

    As an urban planner in a hot urban/suburban market, there is truth to the first bulleted statement above...new build demand vanished from the suburbs after the great recession, and is returning as I type. I forecast these things for a suburban city (damned if I do, damned if I don't) as part of my job and I believe there is merit to the call, but it will be in selected markets. Regards, Moses
    May 12, 2015. 10:37 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
490 Comments
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