I used to run a limited partnership, boutique hedge fund in the 90s. Retired in 2000 and moved from New York City to Toronto, Canada, got married, raised a family and basically settled down. After a few years in Toronto, my wife got tired of the city’s 8 months of cold weather and insisted that we move to a city where there are 8 months of warm and balmy weather. So we settled on San Diego, CA and moved here in 2005 and now call this lovely city with the most perfect weather, home. After moving to Sun Diego, I decided to come out of retirement and start an Internet company that helps non-profits, especially school PTAs, raise money. After a somewhat long development period, my start-up, called donornation.org, went live this month (December 2012)! The response so far has been quite encouraging and I intend to take the company from its current, local San Diego focus, to nationwide, hopefully in the next 2 years. Feel free to check it out and let me know what you think…any feedback and suggestions to help improve the site is always welcome. Being that my day job is running a tech start-up, I don’t have the time to be an active trader…However, being an avid market watcher and investor, I started this blog to maintain a public record of my views on the economy, the markets and my stock picks. My space here has given me the opportunity to share my analysis, good, bad and the ugly, with everyone. It has also allowed me to keep a running scorecard on how effective my investment ideas have been. About a year ago, just after my Options2Wealth blog's public portfolio recorded 10,000%+ return in less than 6 months, I received an offer to write a book based on my blog's accomplishment by one of the most respected literary agents in the United States. This was a totally unintended and unexpected result of my original motivation which was to simply help demystify derivatives (options) and show how just about anyone, armed with the ability to read stock charts, can take advantage of the most powerful wealth building tool legally available to us all. Based on the fact that some of my readers were able to mimic my moves and achieve returns of as much as 4,000%+ tells me that my blog has succeeded in its raison d'être. Finally, I shall be remiss if I did not acknowledge the many public and private comments / messages that I have received, and continue to receive, from my readers here. I want to take this opportunity to let you know that I'm extremely grateful, and humbled, to all those who have taken the time to share your comments, kind thoughts and warm wishes with me...Should you not receive a reply, please do not take my lack of responsiveness as a sign of hubris...Due to my various interests and activities and the fact that I spend a considerable amount of time traveling, my free time is extremely limited and if I have not responded to your message, please accept my sincere apologies... Best of Luck to All! karim pirani
Andy Zaky is a Hedge Fund Manager at Bullish Cross Asset Management, and editor of the Bullish Cross financial newsletter. His main area of knowledge is in global macro economics, fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Andy has about 14 years of investment experience, a strong background in accounting and financial statement analysis, technical analysis, broad market analysis, macro economics and law. Andy both focuses on long term investments and trading short term calls and puts on the major index-pegged ETFs (QQQQ, SPY and DIA). Andy has a J.D. from the UCLA School of Law.
Jason Schwarz authors the popular Economic Timing investment newsletter. His fundamental and technical research has become a primary resource for hedge funds and individual investors.
Chose to walk away from the corporate world and its dogma; couldn't be happier!
I find it interesting that people seem to have strong opinions about the market like Religion when all that really matters in the end is making money (long or short).
Why do I write? Two reasons: (1) I'm grateful for the market and what it has given me, I'd like to be able to share so I may be able to help others, and (2) I hope that any inspired intellectual discussions that follows helps me improve my investment thesis and approach.
My goal? To keep us in the game with specific actionable items! Track record on published articles:
2011 : 85.6% on RIMM short; 5.3% on AAPL long
2012 YTD : 81% (closed May 2012) on AAPL long; 55.3% on MoneyBall portfolio
I have been trading max pain type data since 2007 after noting odd trading patterns centered around options expiry. I am a more conservative trader/investor and only take high probability trades. I prefer to know where stocks won’t be rather than guess where they will be. Trading with this mind set gives you 80% plus probability of being correct.
I have always been a stock market enthusiast. My formal training is that of informal. I am self taught, soaking up as much knowledge as can be absorbed. I love the financial industry and would work for free. I am a fundamental investor at heart and like crunching the numbers. I picked up on Max Pain theory and use option data as a main thesis in taking my positions.
In the beginning; when studying Max Pain I was truly amazed at the power it had in pulling or pushing AAPL around. I have seen the stock drop 5% out of nowhere with no news. The only news would be it was the 3rd Friday of the month. I then picked up on hitting the Max Pain strike was about 50/50 odds. Max Pain would give you a tell on what direction AAPL would start heading for expiry. I started to build a strategy from my studies. Using the Max Pain strike is not really tradable, good to know, but not tradable. So I started to study open interest (OI) and its affect on AAPL. Long story short, I have altered the original Max Pain theory and morphed it into what my own studies have concluded. I call this OI/Max Pain, it uses open interest and a range. This way it is tradable as I now have a high probability range. It doesn’t stop there, using OI will tell you so much more. How a stock reacts at each strike depending on the amount of OI is a major tell.
Conclusion: When using open interest you can accomplish multiple things. We can use it for OI/Max Pain when AAPL is stuck in a range and we can use it for catching breakouts, breakdowns, buy and sell points. Enjoy.
I want to give a special thanks to some of my early influences: Turley Muller, Andy Zaky and Jason Schwarz. I thank Philip Elmer-Dewitt for his coverage on AAPL and letting us have a voice, Horace Dediu for his tireless studies and anyone attached to the AAPL community.
John Mauldin is a renowned financial expert, a New York Times best-selling author, and a pioneering online commentator. Each week, over 1 million readers turn to Mauldin for his penetrating view on Wall Street, global markets, and economic history.
Mauldin’s weekly e-newsletter, Thoughts from the Frontline, was one of the first publications to provide investors with free, unbiased information and guidance. Today, it is the most widely distributed investment newsletter in the world. Mauldin also offers The Mauldin Circle, a free service that connects accredited investors to an exclusive network of money managers and alternative investment opportunities. (In this regard, he is President and a Registered Representative of Millennium Wave Securities, member FINRA, please see legal disclosures).
Mauldin is a frequent contributor to publications including The Financial Times and The Daily Reckoning, as well as a regular guest on CNBC, Yahoo Tech Ticker, and Bloomberg TV. He also edits the free weekly e-letter Outside the Box.
Over the last few years I have worked diligently towards refining several of my favorite and most successful stock options strategies. My hard work and diligence have proven to be a success and now I want to share my ideas and strategies with a limited group of like-minded investors. My options strategies are not “get rich quick” strategies, rather sound options strategies based on three basic ideas - patience, position-sizing, and long-term performance.
After speaking with hundreds of investors, I discovered that the majority of investors were not looking for a ‘get rich quick’ scheme, or a foolproof method of trading options (we all know there isn’t one). What they wanted was a service with established capital preservation goals and historically proven long-term successful investment strategies. They wanted options strategies that would produce consistent, modest gains month after month, year after year. They also wanted to know that unnecessary risks were not being taken, but rather a methodical, tested set of rules were being utilized which would produce long-term gains.
My Options Portfolio was born from the collection of ideas mentioned above. After trading and back-testing almost every known options trading strategy, I fulfilled the requests of the investors and traders I spoke with and have identified several historically proven stock options strategies for long-term success in bull and bear markets. Again, all of my options trading strategies are based on three simple principles: patience, position-sizing, and a focus on long-term performance.
I encourage you to learn more about my stock options strategies by joining my FREE weekly options newsletter. Furthermore, every day in my daily blog I will provide an in-depth look at my trading strategies, including specific trading guidelines as well as the research and back-testing data that went into developing the rules. You will also receive valuable educational tools as well as trading tools regarding the tax-advantages of trading my strategies. Diversify your portfolio, better yet, educate yourself with one of my alternative investment strategies.
Andrew Crowder has been investing in stocks and options for over 15 years. A graduate of the University of Oregon and Northern Arizona University, Andrew’s work experience includes working for the medical division of W.L. Gore and Associates in Flagstaff, AZ, Oppenheimer & Co. in New York City and more recently working as a professional options trader, research analyst and financial columnist for a prominent stock options newsletter and advisory service.
Founder of Old School Value (www.oldschoolvalue.com).
Fundamental Stock Analyzer & Valuation Tool for Value Investors to Save Time & Make Money
- Are you spending a lot of time manually gathering and inputting data into spreadsheets?
- Are you finding it difficult to keep up to date with fundamental company valuations?
- Do you need a way to quickly check whether a company is worth investigating?
- Do you want to know what a company is worth quickly?
The Old School Value Stock Analysis Software is a fundamental analysis and valuation tool that works for you.
Save hours each day by automatically retrieving and crunching the financials for thousands of companies.
Keep up to date easily and find more opportunities by analyzing companies faster and use the 5 valuation models to cross check whether the stock price is an attractive entry price or time to get out.
Learn more at http://try.oldschoolvalue.com/stock-analyzer/
Our small-cap hedge fund strategy beat the market by 44 percentage points since its inception 18 months ago. Visit our website to learn how you can do the same. Insider Monkey is a finance website that provides free hedge fund and insider trading data. We believe ordinary investors can beat the market by imitating insiders and best hedge fund managers. They have access to better information and experts than ordinary investors do. Take advantage of the SEC filings where hedge funds and insiders disclose their stock transactions.
Here is our team:
Ms. Krishnamsetty is the Editor of Insider Monkey. Prior to creating Insider Monkey with Dr. Dogan, Ms. Krishnamsetty was Associate Producer at Bloomberg Television. Prior to that, Ms. Krishnamsetty was on the afternoon news team at CNBC. Additionally, Ms. Krishnamsetty reported for NPR and worked as a risk management consultant at Marsh & McLennan. Ms. Krishnamsetty has a M.S. in Journalism from Columbia University’s Graduate School of Journalism.
Insider Monkey’s hybrid evaluation system ...More was created in 2003 by Dr. Ian Dogan. Dr. Dogan has a Ph.D. in financial economics with a specialization in insider trading. Dr. Dogan has provided consulting services to institutional investors and hedge funds, and managed a $200+ million fund using a strategy he developed utilizing insider transactions. Dr. Dogan recently authored the insider trading chapter of soon to be published “The Handbook of Investment Anomalies” by Zacks Investment Research. Insider Monkey will serve the outcome of the methodologies developed by Dr. Dogan to ordinary investors who don’t have access to academic quality research and tools to shape their investments.
For your inquiries please contact us at email@example.com
Dr. Stephen Leeb is a recognized authority on the stock market, macroeconomic trends and commodities, especially oil and precious metals.
Dr. Leeb is founder of the Leeb Group, which publishes a line of financial newsletters including The Complete Investor, Leeb Income Performance Letter, Leeb Income Millionaire, Brain Trust Profits, Leeb's Real World Investing and Leeb's Aggressive Trader. His total readership exceeds 100,000. The Complete Investor newsletter has earned two awards for Editorial Excellence, as has Leeb Income Performance.
Dr. Leeb is also Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of a New York-based registered investment advisory firm. Dr. Leeb has been managing large cap growth portfolios since 1999.
Dr. Leeb sits on various boards sharing his strategic perspectives on financial markets and natural resources. Since 2008, Dr. Leeb has been a Director of Plain Sight Systems, a technology holding company centered at Yale University. Plain Sight owns a world-class patent portfolio in areas such as information organization/search, computational analytics, electro-optics, and spectroscopy. These technologies are licensed to Fortune 500 companies and used as part of private buyouts and venture spin-offs.
As part of Plain Sight, Dr. Leeb also sits on the board of Water Intelligence plc, a publicly listed company in England, operating in the water management space and Deep Markets Corporation, a division of Plain Sight developing next generation risk management applications.
Dr. Leeb is also Head of the Advisory Board of Leor Exploration & Production LLC (since 2006 - present) and a member of the advisory boards of Electrum USA Ltd. (since 2007) and Los Gatos. Each of these companies explore for natural resources, especially precious metals and energy.
Dr. Leeb is the author of eight books on investments and financial trends. His latest book, Red Alert: How China's Growing Prosperity Threatens the American Way of Life (Business Plus, 2012) predicts China's coming global domination.
An earlier book, The New York Times best seller, The Coming Economic Collapse: How You Can Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel (Warner Books, 2006), predicted that tightness in global energy supplies would cause the American economy to oscillate between periods of recession and high inflation this century.
Dr. Leeb’s best seller, The Oil Factor: Protect Yourself and Profit from the Coming Energy Crisis (Warner Books, 2004), outlined the relationship between oil prices and stock market performance and accurately predicted the subsequent surge in oil prices. The book was rated among the top investment books of the year by Stock Trader's Almanac 2005.
His earlier best seller, Defying the Market: Profiting in the Turbulent Post-Technology Market Boom (McGraw-Hill; 1999) predicted the collapse of technology stocks and the growing importance of oil, and other hard assets during the 21st century. The book was selected by Library Journal as one of the Best Business Books of 1999.
His first book Getting in on the Ground Floor (Putnam, 1986) predicted the secular bull market in financial assets and the fall in inflation. The book was a main selection of the Money Book Club.
Dr. Leeb earned his Bachelor's degree in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School of Business. He then completed both a Master's degree in Mathematics and a Ph.D. in Psychology at the University of Illinois.
I am individual investor with over 35 years investing experience. I have traded almost everything you can over that time. I prefer investing in microcaps as there can be above average rewards along with higher risk. The areas I follow very closely are: Technology, Intellectual Property, Precious Metals, Rare Earths, mining companies and Biotechs. Picking the emerging leaders can provide huge rewards for early investors. I blog on topics that are of interest to me and on ones that I hope will generate good discussion. I don’t consider myself an expert in any one area, but know a little about a lot of things. I believe as soon as we stop learning, we stop living.
I am also a guest contributor to the Patent Stock Review, the most comprehensive investment research and news aggregation service on Wall Street, covering publicly traded companies seeking to monetize their IP portfolios, or "Patent Play Stocks."
I run a fund based on automated trading and technical analysis. But my favorite pastime is thinking and talking about political economy. I guess I'm George Soros.
Writing helps clarifying my thinking. All opinion expressed here is mine, wholly mine, nobody's but mine. And all trading/investment opinion I talk about here is related only to my personal accounts, not the fund.
Graham Summers is Chief Market Strategist for Phoenix Capital Investment Research, an independent investment strategy firm based in Washington DC with clients in 56 countries around the world.
SoundView conducts research and analysis on emerging technologies and companies for investors. The director of research, Kris Tuttle, has over 32 years of hands-on work in technology, business and markets. Early in his career Kris was an AI researcher at Carnegie Mellon University and spent 8 years with IBM developing and implementing new "bleeding edge" technologies in multiple industries.
Later he obtained an MBA in finance and moved into institutional sales at UBS and then equity research at SoundView Technology Group where he eventually came to run research there before being acquired by Charles Schwab in 2003. While at SoundView his name was closely associated with companies like Atria Software, Rational Software, BEA Systems, Business Objects, and Netscape and he was recognized by institutional investors as the "most informed, independent and money-making analyst in the market."
Kris founded his own firm in April of 2005 and acquired the SoundView trademarks in 2011 under which the the firm now operates. Parts of the predecessor brand "Research 2.0" are still found online.
SurlyTrader is a portfolio manager at a large financial institution who specializes in trading derivatives. He has been in the financial services industry for over a decade and would like to share his experience and enthusiasm in the financial markets with those who have a natural curiosity and passion to learn.
He completed a BS in Computer Engineering with Mathematics minor, and a MBA in Finance. He is also a CFA Charterholder and Global Association of Risk Professionals Financial Risk Manager (FRM).