<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
  <channel>
    <title>Robert Castellano's Comments</title>
    <description>Robert Castellano's Comments RSS Syndication from SeekingAlpha.com</description>
    <link>http://seekingalpha.com/user/7008/comments</link>
    <item>
      <title>What's All The Hubbub About Over The iPad Mini Pricing?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/944991/comments?source=feed#comment-10869551</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">10869551</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Enjoyed the article and comments and must admit at first that I was skeptical that Apple was cannibalizing the more lucrative IPad with a lower price Mini, much the same as Intel did with the Pentium a few years back when they ramped the Atom and lost $1 billion in two successive quarters (read my articles in Seeking Alpha about that).  I surmise  Apple announced the iPad 4 at the same time to notify investors and Apple diehards that it is still in the drivers seat with anything mobile.<br/><br/>My only complaint with the article is its comparison with Macy's.  Remember Macy's filed Chapter 11 in 1992 based on its selling and product strategy (my wife worked for them at the time). ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Oct 2012 21:08:44 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Enjoyed the article and comments and must admit at first that I was skeptical that Apple was cannibalizing the more lucrative IPad with a lower price Mini, much the same as Intel did with the Pentium a few years back when they ramped the Atom and lost $1 billion in two successive quarters (read my articles in Seeking Alpha about that).  I surmise  Apple announced the iPad 4 at the same time to notify investors and Apple diehards that it is still in the drivers seat with anything mobile.<br/><br/>My only complaint with the article is its comparison with Macy's.  Remember Macy's filed Chapter 11 in 1992 based on its selling and product strategy (my wife worked for them at the time). ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>What's All The Hubbub About Over The iPad Mini Pricing?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/944991/comments?source=feed#comment-10869391</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">10869391</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I enjoyed both the article and comments.  My initial concern was the cannibalization of the iPad by the Mini, the same analogy I made in some Seeking Alpha articles a few years ago that Intel cannibalized the more expensive Pentium chip to make the Atom and lost $1 billion two successive quarters.  I suspect that is the reason Apple announced the iPad 4 at the same time as the Mini to alert Apple diehards that they are not giving up on high-margin products.<br/><br/>My only complaint with the article is the analogy with Macy's.  Remember that Macy's filled for Chapter 11 back in 1992 based on their product and selling strategy (my wife worked for them at the time so I still remember the issues).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 24 Oct 2012 21:02:21 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I enjoyed both the article and comments.  My initial concern was the cannibalization of the iPad by the Mini, the same analogy I made in some Seeking Alpha articles a few years ago that Intel cannibalized the more expensive Pentium chip to make the Atom and lost $1 billion two successive quarters.  I suspect that is the reason Apple announced the iPad 4 at the same time as the Mini to alert Apple diehards that they are not giving up on high-margin products.<br/><br/>My only complaint with the article is the analogy with Macy's.  Remember that Macy's filled for Chapter 11 back in 1992 based on their product and selling strategy (my wife worked for them at the time so I still remember the issues).]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Tablets And Smartphones Are Killing The PC Industry</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/919621/comments?source=feed#comment-10481821</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">10481821</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I don't get it.  PCs are only going to be down 1.2% to 350 million.  That's dead.  350 is dead, not 350 million.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 12 Oct 2012 18:21:30 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I don't get it.  PCs are only going to be down 1.2% to 350 million.  That's dead.  350 is dead, not 350 million.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>What Happened To First Solar?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/692701/comments?source=feed#comment-6959441</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">6959441</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[In addition to cost issues, First Solar panels have issues in hot climates which the company is targeting, and its manufacturing issues have already led to a loss in the hundred million dollar range. Both lead to less confidence in the company at a time where there is ferocious competition.<br/><br/>First Solar needs to find a way to get into silicon cells and correct their manufacturing issues to develop low-cost product. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 30 Jun 2012 18:41:49 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[In addition to cost issues, First Solar panels have issues in hot climates which the company is targeting, and its manufacturing issues have already led to a loss in the hundred million dollar range. Both lead to less confidence in the company at a time where there is ferocious competition.<br/><br/>First Solar needs to find a way to get into silicon cells and correct their manufacturing issues to develop low-cost product. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>KLA-Tencor's Management Hosts Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Technology Conference (Transcript)</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/580841/comments?source=feed#comment-5375511</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">5375511</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Wow, those were extremely important questions asked by Sankar on the 28nm issue -- whether Intel had problems at 45nm, whether it was just a foundry issue, etc, because the future growth of metrology/inspection tools for 2012 will be based on these issues.  Lockwood totally dropped the ball, and as head of investor relations should have known the answers.  Glad to see that CFO Dentinger took over the conversation, but the really key issues of 28nm were never answered.  Too bad Sankar moved to 450mm and EUV, which are beyond 2012 because we need answers for 2012 and he didn't have Dentinger re-address these issues.  The Head of IR at ATMI just departed the company. Is something about to happen at KLAC, based on that fact that these questions were well beyond Lockwood?  Mr. Dentinger please answer the questions and let me know.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sat, 12 May 2012 13:57:07 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Wow, those were extremely important questions asked by Sankar on the 28nm issue -- whether Intel had problems at 45nm, whether it was just a foundry issue, etc, because the future growth of metrology/inspection tools for 2012 will be based on these issues.  Lockwood totally dropped the ball, and as head of investor relations should have known the answers.  Glad to see that CFO Dentinger took over the conversation, but the really key issues of 28nm were never answered.  Too bad Sankar moved to 450mm and EUV, which are beyond 2012 because we need answers for 2012 and he didn't have Dentinger re-address these issues.  The Head of IR at ATMI just departed the company. Is something about to happen at KLAC, based on that fact that these questions were well beyond Lockwood?  Mr. Dentinger please answer the questions and let me know.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Lam Research: Novellus Deal Benefits Everyone Involved</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/315810/comments?source=feed#comment-2126864</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">2126864</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[You keep mentioning Intel and the opportunity for Lam.  Semiconductor companies choose equipment based on what it will do for production, not how many sales people are involved or what other tools by the same vendor they have for other applications.  Intel will not drop AMAT for Lam in the etch business just because Novellus sells deposition equipment to them.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 23 Dec 2011 23:07:09 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[You keep mentioning Intel and the opportunity for Lam.  Semiconductor companies choose equipment based on what it will do for production, not how many sales people are involved or what other tools by the same vendor they have for other applications.  Intel will not drop AMAT for Lam in the etch business just because Novellus sells deposition equipment to them.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>DuPont Snaps Up Innovalight</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/281590/comments?source=feed#comment-1787726</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1787726</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Back to the article, I too started an nanocoating company, SolarPA <a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://www.solarpa-inc.com'>solarpa-inc.com</a>, after not finding $50 million to start a solar plant.  My technology increases the efficiency of solar cells by 1% and uses screen printing to coat.  Benefit is it is added to a finished solar cell and is not disruptive to the production of a standard cell.  It probably will increase the efficiency of an Innovalight cell as well as it coats the entire cell.  <br/><br/>The reason for DuPon't intetest is that ALL non-Chinese solar manufacturers need an edge to keep costs down to be competitive.  A 50 MW plant becomes a 55 MW plant automatically by increasing a cell 1%.  If you don't need the extra wattage, as is the case now with the surplus of cells, then you can still keep the 50MW output but lower your costs 10%.   Read my articles in Seeking Alpha about this. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 26 Jul 2011 12:48:27 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Back to the article, I too started an nanocoating company, SolarPA <a rel='nofollow' target='_blank' href='http://www.solarpa-inc.com'>solarpa-inc.com</a>, after not finding $50 million to start a solar plant.  My technology increases the efficiency of solar cells by 1% and uses screen printing to coat.  Benefit is it is added to a finished solar cell and is not disruptive to the production of a standard cell.  It probably will increase the efficiency of an Innovalight cell as well as it coats the entire cell.  <br/><br/>The reason for DuPon't intetest is that ALL non-Chinese solar manufacturers need an edge to keep costs down to be competitive.  A 50 MW plant becomes a 55 MW plant automatically by increasing a cell 1%.  If you don't need the extra wattage, as is the case now with the surplus of cells, then you can still keep the 50MW output but lower your costs 10%.   Read my articles in Seeking Alpha about this. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Samsung Partners With Seagate on $1.375 Billion Deal for HDD Operations and More</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/264171/comments?source=feed#comment-1600939</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1600939</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Actually Samsung has only a 9.7% share of the market, if you would have referred to my Seeking Alpha article &quot;Western Digital Wins Hard Disk Drive Battle in 2010&quot; of March 7.  It is Hitachi (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgst' >HGST</a>) that has a 17% share.  Please stop cutting and pasting secondary information you get from other publications and get your facts straight.  The 9.7% share is CRITICAL to this story and acquisition.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 20 Apr 2011 09:56:37 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Actually Samsung has only a 9.7% share of the market, if you would have referred to my Seeking Alpha article &quot;Western Digital Wins Hard Disk Drive Battle in 2010&quot; of March 7.  It is Hitachi (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/hgst' >HGST</a>) that has a 17% share.  Please stop cutting and pasting secondary information you get from other publications and get your facts straight.  The 9.7% share is CRITICAL to this story and acquisition.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nova Measuring Instruments' Earnings Show Price Action Is on Fire</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/263078/comments?source=feed#comment-1586952</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1586952</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I have been collecting a revenue breakout from Nova for more than a decade for a Metrology, Inspection, and Process Control analysis report we at The Information Network offer.  Their main claim to fame has been integrated metrology rather than the traditional standalone tools.  Anyway, yesterday I got my annual breakout from Nova and they now combine integrated metrology in their optical CD (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ocd' >OCD</a>) category. In 2009, Nova had $25.2 million in revenues.  Their explanation to me as to why they lumped integrated with OCD is unclear, and I wonder if it is because their core business has changed. Nevertheless, overall revenues did increase from $29.5 million in 2009 to $71.8 million in 2010, an increase of 142.5% compared ti KLACs increase of 94.3%. By the way, Nano is in the integrated metrology business and they continue to report the breakout.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 13 Apr 2011 10:37:52 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I have been collecting a revenue breakout from Nova for more than a decade for a Metrology, Inspection, and Process Control analysis report we at The Information Network offer.  Their main claim to fame has been integrated metrology rather than the traditional standalone tools.  Anyway, yesterday I got my annual breakout from Nova and they now combine integrated metrology in their optical CD (<a href='http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/ocd' >OCD</a>) category. In 2009, Nova had $25.2 million in revenues.  Their explanation to me as to why they lumped integrated with OCD is unclear, and I wonder if it is because their core business has changed. Nevertheless, overall revenues did increase from $29.5 million in 2009 to $71.8 million in 2010, an increase of 142.5% compared ti KLACs increase of 94.3%. By the way, Nano is in the integrated metrology business and they continue to report the breakout.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Evergreen Solar Saga Continues With Announced Plant Shutdown</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/246127/comments?source=feed#comment-1401712</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1401712</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[A key factor presented in this article is that manufacturing costs are too high.  I mention in several of my articles on SeekingAlpha that my company, SolarPA, has developed a nanocoating technology that can increase efficiency by up to 10% and reduce manufacturing costs by up to 10%.<br/>I contacted Evergreen (their CTO) on several occasions (after speaking with their Director of IR) over the past several weeks and no one has returned my call!!!  This call was prompted after reading an excellent review by Dr. Duru on SeekingAlpha a month ago.  ESLRD's response was &quot;Consensus opinion among the execs that have brought his material up in IR related discussions is that his attraction to the E*Trade intra-day trend riders establish him as more of a menace than as a contributor bringing thoughtfully consider investment recommendations to SA readers.&quot;<br/>So, instead of responding to my call of offering ESLRD a means to help them in their production, they instead poo-poo negative comments by respected writers.  They are evidently in denial in my opinion, which offers little hope for their success.<br/>By the way, SolarPA is working with several US and Chinese solar manufacturers with its NanoCoat product.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 12 Jan 2011 09:58:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[A key factor presented in this article is that manufacturing costs are too high.  I mention in several of my articles on SeekingAlpha that my company, SolarPA, has developed a nanocoating technology that can increase efficiency by up to 10% and reduce manufacturing costs by up to 10%.<br/>I contacted Evergreen (their CTO) on several occasions (after speaking with their Director of IR) over the past several weeks and no one has returned my call!!!  This call was prompted after reading an excellent review by Dr. Duru on SeekingAlpha a month ago.  ESLRD's response was &quot;Consensus opinion among the execs that have brought his material up in IR related discussions is that his attraction to the E*Trade intra-day trend riders establish him as more of a menace than as a contributor bringing thoughtfully consider investment recommendations to SA readers.&quot;<br/>So, instead of responding to my call of offering ESLRD a means to help them in their production, they instead poo-poo negative comments by respected writers.  They are evidently in denial in my opinion, which offers little hope for their success.<br/>By the way, SolarPA is working with several US and Chinese solar manufacturers with its NanoCoat product.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Do Oil Price Spikes Cause Recessions?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/243509/comments?source=feed#comment-1370375</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1370375</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Bravo sethmcs, but how does one go about initiating a program?  Congress. Obama, WTO, UN?  Who?<br/><br/>Alternative energy is a hope.  I wrote in a blog a year or so ago on Seeking Alpha &quot;What's worse, importing oil from OPEC or solar from Europe and Asia&quot;?  This administration is not initiating the infrastructure.  Obama stropped drilling in the eastern Gulf, but hasn't implemented an alternative.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 24 Dec 2010 09:13:44 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Bravo sethmcs, but how does one go about initiating a program?  Congress. Obama, WTO, UN?  Who?<br/><br/>Alternative energy is a hope.  I wrote in a blog a year or so ago on Seeking Alpha &quot;What's worse, importing oil from OPEC or solar from Europe and Asia&quot;?  This administration is not initiating the infrastructure.  Obama stropped drilling in the eastern Gulf, but hasn't implemented an alternative.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Growing Atom Share Adds Little Value to Intel Stock</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/241884/comments?source=feed#comment-1354725</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1354725</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Intel will never succeed in the wireless space.  They won't be able to compete against ARM Holdings.  See my articles about this on this topic.<br/><br/>You state &quot;The Trefis community predicts that Atom’s market share will increase from almost 17% in 2010 to 28% by 2013, compared with the baseline Trefis estimate of an increase from under 14% to 20% during the same period.&quot;  Show the word all the market shares of all the players in the space you are talking about (by the way, what space are you talking about with this 17%?)]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 15 Dec 2010 10:27:56 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Intel will never succeed in the wireless space.  They won't be able to compete against ARM Holdings.  See my articles about this on this topic.<br/><br/>You state &quot;The Trefis community predicts that Atom’s market share will increase from almost 17% in 2010 to 28% by 2013, compared with the baseline Trefis estimate of an increase from under 14% to 20% during the same period.&quot;  Show the word all the market shares of all the players in the space you are talking about (by the way, what space are you talking about with this 17%?)]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>5 Reasons Why Applied Materials Is Undervalued</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/236781/comments?source=feed#comment-1307300</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1307300</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Street,<br/><br/>There are a lot of misconceptions you have, primarily from reading too much instead of doing your own research.  In Item 3 for example, Samsung is pushing out purchases (halting delivery on equipment booked) because they over ordered on the DRAM miscue.  LRCX is the most recent company affected, so what is a $200 million check going to do, get them to buy more equipment they overbought in 2010 (search my Seeking Alpha articles and find the one on the equipment bubble burst). <br/>In item 4, what makes you think AMAT is gaining market share to have revenues increase above the norm in 2011?  Again, search my Seeking Alpha articles to find out our analysis of that misconception.<br/>In item 5, where did you ever get that notion that AMAT being too greedy soured investors.  In reality, AMAT was big on amorphous solar cells and their business tanked.  That's what soured investors. Again, search my Seeking Alpha articles to find out our analysis of that ill advised comment.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Mon, 15 Nov 2010 10:21:31 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Street,<br/><br/>There are a lot of misconceptions you have, primarily from reading too much instead of doing your own research.  In Item 3 for example, Samsung is pushing out purchases (halting delivery on equipment booked) because they over ordered on the DRAM miscue.  LRCX is the most recent company affected, so what is a $200 million check going to do, get them to buy more equipment they overbought in 2010 (search my Seeking Alpha articles and find the one on the equipment bubble burst). <br/>In item 4, what makes you think AMAT is gaining market share to have revenues increase above the norm in 2011?  Again, search my Seeking Alpha articles to find out our analysis of that misconception.<br/>In item 5, where did you ever get that notion that AMAT being too greedy soured investors.  In reality, AMAT was big on amorphous solar cells and their business tanked.  That's what soured investors. Again, search my Seeking Alpha articles to find out our analysis of that ill advised comment.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Will Semiconductor Revenue Growth Continue Till End of Year?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/228541/comments?source=feed#comment-1244849</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1244849</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Read my article on Seeking Alpha from August 18.<br/><br/>Repercussions of a Deteriorating Semiconductor Industry<br/><br/>It already has slowed.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 06 Oct 2010 22:28:06 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Read my article on Seeking Alpha from August 18.<br/><br/>Repercussions of a Deteriorating Semiconductor Industry<br/><br/>It already has slowed.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Repercussions of a Deteriorating Semiconductor Industry</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/220787/comments?source=feed#comment-1167645</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1167645</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[There are several analytics we use in determining the overall health of a sector.  We look at the supply side, down to the chip level of production.  We speak with these companies as well as use their disclosure statements on earnings calls.  We look at overall capacity utilization in the semi fabs.  We look at ancillary technologies, such as software.  Finally we use secondary published sources of information.  One story does not make a complete picture, but when we look at the overall facets of the components that make up an &quot;electronic gadget or personal computer&quot; and all stories from different sources on different supply-chain components follow the same trend, it tells us something.  Of course we use our proprietary LI to correlate with the overall macroeconomic state of the world economy.  Examples of stories in the past few days are:<br/><br/>Microsoft on Thursday reported weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue and again declined to offer a forecast for the current quarter.<br/>With sales dropping during its second quarter Nvidia's decided to write off a whole bunch of old chip inventory and take a write down against a proposed settlement of a chip packaging lawsuit hanging over it since late 2008.<br/>An overnight report from a Taiwan-based newspaper said flat panel makers are cutting orders to LED makers. That echoes concerns last month from Piper Jaffray, which warned bookings in the LED and solar-cell areas may have peaked.<br/>Asustek expected to revise down motherboard shipment target for 2010<br/><br/>Call me on my cell at 610-737-7596 if you wish to discuss further]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 17 Aug 2010 10:34:22 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[There are several analytics we use in determining the overall health of a sector.  We look at the supply side, down to the chip level of production.  We speak with these companies as well as use their disclosure statements on earnings calls.  We look at overall capacity utilization in the semi fabs.  We look at ancillary technologies, such as software.  Finally we use secondary published sources of information.  One story does not make a complete picture, but when we look at the overall facets of the components that make up an &quot;electronic gadget or personal computer&quot; and all stories from different sources on different supply-chain components follow the same trend, it tells us something.  Of course we use our proprietary LI to correlate with the overall macroeconomic state of the world economy.  Examples of stories in the past few days are:<br/><br/>Microsoft on Thursday reported weaker-than-expected quarterly revenue and again declined to offer a forecast for the current quarter.<br/>With sales dropping during its second quarter Nvidia's decided to write off a whole bunch of old chip inventory and take a write down against a proposed settlement of a chip packaging lawsuit hanging over it since late 2008.<br/>An overnight report from a Taiwan-based newspaper said flat panel makers are cutting orders to LED makers. That echoes concerns last month from Piper Jaffray, which warned bookings in the LED and solar-cell areas may have peaked.<br/>Asustek expected to revise down motherboard shipment target for 2010<br/><br/>Call me on my cell at 610-737-7596 if you wish to discuss further]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Leading Indicators: WLI, SOX - and Now S&amp;P 500</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/212741/comments?source=feed#comment-1092179</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1092179</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Thanks for the insight Charlie.  ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 13:36:57 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Thanks for the insight Charlie.  ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Leading Indicators, WLI, And the Sox</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/211245/comments?source=feed#comment-1080086</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1080086</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Burton you are correct.  I've been focusing so much on Leading Indicators I forgot my Lagging Indicators (aka history).]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 24 Jun 2010 06:59:48 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Burton you are correct.  I've been focusing so much on Leading Indicators I forgot my Lagging Indicators (aka history).]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Leading Indicators, WLI, And the Sox</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/211245/comments?source=feed#comment-1079587</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1079587</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[cameraguy.  Sorry for the confusing statement.  In my business as consultant in the semiconductor space, I look at trends to help me with forecasting revenue growth, and we have an internally developed LI that fits.  The SOX deals with the stock price of the semiconductors, and there is absolutely no correlation between a company's revenues with a company's stock price.  It has more to do with profits, not income.  You last statement is exactly what I'm trying to make, the SOX is buried in a litany of stock indices whereas all the focus is on Dow Jones and Nasdaq as indices of economic strength when the SOX may be more appropriate.  Of course that argument is based on the acceptance of WLI as a key LI.  It certainly gets a lot of attention, so I suspect it is widely acclaimed. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Wed, 23 Jun 2010 16:15:39 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[cameraguy.  Sorry for the confusing statement.  In my business as consultant in the semiconductor space, I look at trends to help me with forecasting revenue growth, and we have an internally developed LI that fits.  The SOX deals with the stock price of the semiconductors, and there is absolutely no correlation between a company's revenues with a company's stock price.  It has more to do with profits, not income.  You last statement is exactly what I'm trying to make, the SOX is buried in a litany of stock indices whereas all the focus is on Dow Jones and Nasdaq as indices of economic strength when the SOX may be more appropriate.  Of course that argument is based on the acceptance of WLI as a key LI.  It certainly gets a lot of attention, so I suspect it is widely acclaimed. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Correction in the Offing for Semis?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/209389/comments?source=feed#comment-1060899</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">1060899</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[What amazes me is how Gartner gives forecasts in tenths of percent and then makes huge changes 19.9 to 27.1 in their next announcement.  On the one hand the precision in the numbers suggests they know what they're talking about and on the other the huge swings suggests they don't.  I see this in every announcement they make.  Problem is, the trade magazines publish it as gospel, and Wall Street analysts use their numbers all the time.  Sadly it's the investor who suffers by these inaccuracies.  I am 100.000% (is that precise enough?)  the next Gartner release will again be in tenths of percents and there will be big changes in the numbers.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 10 Jun 2010 10:49:46 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[What amazes me is how Gartner gives forecasts in tenths of percent and then makes huge changes 19.9 to 27.1 in their next announcement.  On the one hand the precision in the numbers suggests they know what they're talking about and on the other the huge swings suggests they don't.  I see this in every announcement they make.  Problem is, the trade magazines publish it as gospel, and Wall Street analysts use their numbers all the time.  Sadly it's the investor who suffers by these inaccuracies.  I am 100.000% (is that precise enough?)  the next Gartner release will again be in tenths of percents and there will be big changes in the numbers.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Why Applied Materials, Chip Sector Are Worth a Closer Look</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/194993/comments?source=feed#comment-948705</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">948705</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[•	Except for Quimoda, the fabs that closed were unprofitable 200mm fabs. The driving force is the number of chips that are to be made and the willingness of semiconductor manufacturers to spend on equipment. They are not doing it, and there is a big divide between semiconductor revenues and semiconductor equipment revenues - profits for the former are at an all-time high. There are essentially no fabs slated to be build in 2010 and there were no fabs built in 2009. With worldwide economies struggling, and semiconductor sales are a direct correlation to GDP, unit sales will be slow. Equipment is being purchased this year not for capacity builds but for technology builds, and how big the double digit growth in equipment sales becomes remains to be seen in light of low spending, low GDP, and no new fabs. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 10:26:13 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[•	Except for Quimoda, the fabs that closed were unprofitable 200mm fabs. The driving force is the number of chips that are to be made and the willingness of semiconductor manufacturers to spend on equipment. They are not doing it, and there is a big divide between semiconductor revenues and semiconductor equipment revenues - profits for the former are at an all-time high. There are essentially no fabs slated to be build in 2010 and there were no fabs built in 2009. With worldwide economies struggling, and semiconductor sales are a direct correlation to GDP, unit sales will be slow. Equipment is being purchased this year not for capacity builds but for technology builds, and how big the double digit growth in equipment sales becomes remains to be seen in light of low spending, low GDP, and no new fabs. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Are Semiconductor Valuations Peaking?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/195031/comments?source=feed#comment-948699</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">948699</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Except for Quimoda, the fabs that closed were unprofitable 200mm fabs.  The driving force is the number of chips that are to be made and the willingness of semiconductor manufacturers to spend on equipment.  They are not doing it, and there is a big divide between semiconductor revenues and semiconductor equipment revenues - profits for the former are at an all-time high.  There are essentially no fabs slated to be build in 2010 and there were no fabs built in 2009.  With worldwide economies struggling, and semiconductor sales are a direct correlation to GDP, unit sales will be slow.  Equipment is being purchased this year not for capacity builds but for technology builds, and how big the double digit growth in equipment sales becomes remains to be seen in light of low spending, low GDP, and no new fabs.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 10:23:59 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Except for Quimoda, the fabs that closed were unprofitable 200mm fabs.  The driving force is the number of chips that are to be made and the willingness of semiconductor manufacturers to spend on equipment.  They are not doing it, and there is a big divide between semiconductor revenues and semiconductor equipment revenues - profits for the former are at an all-time high.  There are essentially no fabs slated to be build in 2010 and there were no fabs built in 2009.  With worldwide economies struggling, and semiconductor sales are a direct correlation to GDP, unit sales will be slow.  Equipment is being purchased this year not for capacity builds but for technology builds, and how big the double digit growth in equipment sales becomes remains to be seen in light of low spending, low GDP, and no new fabs.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>The Rising Tide of Foreclosures</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/194883/comments?source=feed#comment-948672</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">948672</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Why are you blaming the Saudis?  Blame the speculators and the refineries who are shutting down production to increase prices.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Mar 2010 10:10:13 -0400</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Why are you blaming the Saudis?  Blame the speculators and the refineries who are shutting down production to increase prices.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Solar Headwinds, Part I: How Solar PV Is Like Ethanol</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/193291/comments?source=feed#comment-934459</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">934459</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Tom is right.  It's finally a case of Wall Street catching up to Main Street.  If you read my blogs on Seeking Alpha or my column on TheStreet.com, you will see that I too am down on solar stocks, primarily because for the solar market to grow one needs government incentives (stimulus) and all countries are broke.  In addition, of the more than 200 solar module manufacturers out their, their sales are about 25% of capacity, so to fill orders to utilize all that equipment sitting around idle, they are selling at a loss.  Nearly all public companies have announced losses in the last quarter.  However, the Chinese will shine at the end of the day because of low manufacturing costs, which are key, in addition to positive governmental and bank incentives.  And our own government is doing little to make sure that it's stimulus money is spent on U.S made panels.  The solar industry will grow strongly, but too much capacity and manufacturers competing against low-cost Chinese panels will dampen profits. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 12 Mar 2010 12:18:09 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Tom is right.  It's finally a case of Wall Street catching up to Main Street.  If you read my blogs on Seeking Alpha or my column on TheStreet.com, you will see that I too am down on solar stocks, primarily because for the solar market to grow one needs government incentives (stimulus) and all countries are broke.  In addition, of the more than 200 solar module manufacturers out their, their sales are about 25% of capacity, so to fill orders to utilize all that equipment sitting around idle, they are selling at a loss.  Nearly all public companies have announced losses in the last quarter.  However, the Chinese will shine at the end of the day because of low manufacturing costs, which are key, in addition to positive governmental and bank incentives.  And our own government is doing little to make sure that it's stimulus money is spent on U.S made panels.  The solar industry will grow strongly, but too much capacity and manufacturers competing against low-cost Chinese panels will dampen profits. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Intel Bails on Agreement With Taiwan Semiconductor: What Are the Implications?</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/191394/comments?source=feed#comment-919738</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">919738</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I am not a fan of Intel.  They are essentially a one-hit wonder (read PC) that is trying to extend its reach into other markets.  It made some mis-steps with the Atom, which I pointed out in several blogs and articles for more than a year.  But the Atom is not a panacea for Intel's ills, and when it tries to enter into the smartphone space, the domain of ARM, it is going to run into problems - Read my Oct 2 blog &quot;Intel Facing a Formidable Foe in ARM&quot;.  Intel is sitting on nearly $10 billion and is trying to nickel and dime its way into other markets.    It needs a better strategy.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 09:54:36 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I am not a fan of Intel.  They are essentially a one-hit wonder (read PC) that is trying to extend its reach into other markets.  It made some mis-steps with the Atom, which I pointed out in several blogs and articles for more than a year.  But the Atom is not a panacea for Intel's ills, and when it tries to enter into the smartphone space, the domain of ARM, it is going to run into problems - Read my Oct 2 blog &quot;Intel Facing a Formidable Foe in ARM&quot;.  Intel is sitting on nearly $10 billion and is trying to nickel and dime its way into other markets.    It needs a better strategy.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>First Solar Sinks Upon Release of Annual Report</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/190010/comments?source=feed#comment-909530</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">909530</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Finally Wall Street is catching up with Main Street in the solar area.  I've been negative on solar for more than a year and everyone out there is in denial. Read my articles on Seeking Alpha or my column on TheStreet.com. As First Solar rightly points out, much of the activity has been based on feed in tariffs.  Countries are BROKE. PV companies are nearly all reporting red ink last quarter.  Capacity utilization is below 50%.  Also, First Solar points out its modules are 75 watts.  This compares to polysilicon modules coming out of China at close to 300 watts.  That means one needs to connect 4 of First Solar's panels to make up the wattage of 1 Chinese panel.  First Solar has relied on low-cost production, but with the price of polysilicon so low and labor so cheap in China, it is going to be difficult for them, as well as other thin film PV manufacturers to compete.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 09:57:59 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Finally Wall Street is catching up with Main Street in the solar area.  I've been negative on solar for more than a year and everyone out there is in denial. Read my articles on Seeking Alpha or my column on TheStreet.com. As First Solar rightly points out, much of the activity has been based on feed in tariffs.  Countries are BROKE. PV companies are nearly all reporting red ink last quarter.  Capacity utilization is below 50%.  Also, First Solar points out its modules are 75 watts.  This compares to polysilicon modules coming out of China at close to 300 watts.  That means one needs to connect 4 of First Solar's panels to make up the wattage of 1 Chinese panel.  First Solar has relied on low-cost production, but with the price of polysilicon so low and labor so cheap in China, it is going to be difficult for them, as well as other thin film PV manufacturers to compete.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>First Solar Guides In-Line and Disappoints Again</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/189442/comments?source=feed#comment-904202</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">904202</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[Solar is another example of the disconnect between what is happening on Wall Street and what is happening on Main Street.  Solar is primarily funded by governments whether its stimulus, tariff, etc.  Governments are broke.  And like any other commodity, low cost is the key and when the Chinese can put 600 people on a line and pay them10 cents an hour, other countries cannot compete.  The U.S. solar stimulus is not working - we need solar jobs here.  As I said before in an article in Seeking Alpha &quot;What's worse buying oil from OPEC or solar from Euroasia&quot;?  Since the time I wrote that, I guess we can drop the Euro part.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Fri, 19 Feb 2010 10:32:40 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[Solar is another example of the disconnect between what is happening on Wall Street and what is happening on Main Street.  Solar is primarily funded by governments whether its stimulus, tariff, etc.  Governments are broke.  And like any other commodity, low cost is the key and when the Chinese can put 600 people on a line and pay them10 cents an hour, other countries cannot compete.  The U.S. solar stimulus is not working - we need solar jobs here.  As I said before in an article in Seeking Alpha &quot;What's worse buying oil from OPEC or solar from Euroasia&quot;?  Since the time I wrote that, I guess we can drop the Euro part.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Nothing to Fear from China's Alternative Energy Producers</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/186520/comments?source=feed#comment-882306</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">882306</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[This is the dumbest article I've read in a long time.  What's the point in the government stimulus - to get us off oil.  I wrote in Seeking Alpha 6 months ago &quot;What's worse, buying oil from OPEC or solar from Asia&quot;.  It took 6 months for Obama to agree with me, and the author needs to rethink his arguments.  We are currently at the mercy of foreign oil (remember the oil embargo) and now you say &quot;so what&quot; to a dependence on solar and other AE technologies!  What about our money going to China for AE instead of staying here.  What about jobs here instead of there.  How the reviewers at Seeking Alpha let this slip through I don't know. ]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 13:01:13 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[This is the dumbest article I've read in a long time.  What's the point in the government stimulus - to get us off oil.  I wrote in Seeking Alpha 6 months ago &quot;What's worse, buying oil from OPEC or solar from Asia&quot;.  It took 6 months for Obama to agree with me, and the author needs to rethink his arguments.  We are currently at the mercy of foreign oil (remember the oil embargo) and now you say &quot;so what&quot; to a dependence on solar and other AE technologies!  What about our money going to China for AE instead of staying here.  What about jobs here instead of there.  How the reviewers at Seeking Alpha let this slip through I don't know. ]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>China&#8217;s Domestic Solar Market: Time to Wake Up</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/182507/comments?source=feed#comment-851031</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">851031</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I don't get it.  You state &quot;So what will it take to rev up the Chinese domestic solar market? Technology transfer from firms like ESolar and First Solar? Or will it come from another more organic direction?&quot;  That means that the Chinese modules are good enough to be shipped to the US and Germany, as you state, but not good enough for the Chinese Market?]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Thu, 14 Jan 2010 12:57:52 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I don't get it.  You state &quot;So what will it take to rev up the Chinese domestic solar market? Technology transfer from firms like ESolar and First Solar? Or will it come from another more organic direction?&quot;  That means that the Chinese modules are good enough to be shipped to the US and Germany, as you state, but not good enough for the Chinese Market?]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Expect Apple to Lead Tablet Race Too</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/181765/comments?source=feed#comment-843865</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">843865</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[In my initial comment I discussed Apple's market share and pricing. I did not talk about profit, so why all the quibbling.  In terms of numbers, Apple's market share for the iPhone was 18% last quarter.  Their iMac had a 7% share and their laptop a 10% market share.  While 18% is not bad in the smartphone space, the 7% and 10% stink, particularly when Apple has been in the computer space longer than many of its competitors.  In the smartphone market,  Nokia had a 40% share in Q309, up from 38.9% in Q308 while RIM had a 21% share, up from 15.2% in Q308.  Apple went to 18% in Q309, up from 17.3% in Q308, according to Canalys.  So, Apple actually lost share to the other two competitors in that time period.  In the PC space, Apple has chosen to generate profits instead of market share, but with a 7% share it doesn't look like too many consumers are purchasing them, versus schools and businesses needing the graphic capabilities.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 10 Jan 2010 16:43:31 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[In my initial comment I discussed Apple's market share and pricing. I did not talk about profit, so why all the quibbling.  In terms of numbers, Apple's market share for the iPhone was 18% last quarter.  Their iMac had a 7% share and their laptop a 10% market share.  While 18% is not bad in the smartphone space, the 7% and 10% stink, particularly when Apple has been in the computer space longer than many of its competitors.  In the smartphone market,  Nokia had a 40% share in Q309, up from 38.9% in Q308 while RIM had a 21% share, up from 15.2% in Q308.  Apple went to 18% in Q309, up from 17.3% in Q308, according to Canalys.  So, Apple actually lost share to the other two competitors in that time period.  In the PC space, Apple has chosen to generate profits instead of market share, but with a 7% share it doesn't look like too many consumers are purchasing them, versus schools and businesses needing the graphic capabilities.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
    <item>
      <title>Expect Apple to Lead Tablet Race Too</title>
      <link>http://seekingalpha.com/article/181765/comments?source=feed#comment-843511</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">843511</guid>
      <content>
        <![CDATA[I don't get the title of your article.  Are your referring to the iPod as the too, because certainly Apple is not a leader in the iPhone or PC?  They could certainly increase revenues without the need for an iSlate merely by making their iMac competitively priced with Windows PCs, or getting away from AT&amp;T to Verizon with their iPhone, or forcing AT&amp;T to adopt a family plan consistent with the rest of their phones - $10 each additional subscriber, not full price.   Apple is great for innovation and style, but when it comes to positioning their product to generate the market share it technologically deserves, they are lacking.  I expect the iSlate to fit into this category - great innovation, poor marketing.]]>
      </content>
      <pubDate>Sun, 10 Jan 2010 12:33:49 -0500</pubDate>
      <description>
        <![CDATA[I don't get the title of your article.  Are your referring to the iPod as the too, because certainly Apple is not a leader in the iPhone or PC?  They could certainly increase revenues without the need for an iSlate merely by making their iMac competitively priced with Windows PCs, or getting away from AT&amp;T to Verizon with their iPhone, or forcing AT&amp;T to adopt a family plan consistent with the rest of their phones - $10 each additional subscriber, not full price.   Apple is great for innovation and style, but when it comes to positioning their product to generate the market share it technologically deserves, they are lacking.  I expect the iSlate to fit into this category - great innovation, poor marketing.]]>
      </description>
    </item>
  </channel>
</rss>
