Macro Investor | Mid/Long Term Horizon | US Equities, Commodities and Fixed Income | English, Dutch & German | Main Goal: Deliver the 1% of Global Data Needed To Make Money | Education | Ask Me Anything: email@example.com |
What to expect from my articles: I write mainly about my basic set of economic indicators that give a solid outlook about the economy. I then discuss trades that fit to the mid/long term outlook.
My field for 30 years has been consulting to corporations, and government on issues related to strategic planning, work design, change management, leadership development and coaching management teams to improve their decision making on critical issues. One of my strong interests is systems theory which I have studied extensively in terms of cybernetics, biology, anthropology, systems dynamics, socio-technical systems. In trading and investing systems thinking concepts can often be mapped across to this domain. For example one concept is at the extremes things turn into their opposites. Also true in the field of human emotions is that when things are just about to turn into their opposites - switch from a bullish to a bearish technical picture or a bearish to a bullish one people in the aggregate are firmly committed to the wrong point of view (the importance of tracking sentiment). The pull to join them in this perspective can be strong, so tools are required to warn one of when the picture is about to change. What kind of tools? Markets move in cycles - trading cycles - 8 -10 weeks, intermediate cycles 18-22 weeks on average, yearly cycles, and longer term cycles. When a trading/investment vehicle gets a certain percent above a 250 day MA risk increases, RSI's of various durations on 60 minute, daily and weekly charts can show positive or negative divergence near turning points. Elliot Wave and Fib retracements can help determine the significance of these other patterns.
My name is Alan I have qualifications in town planning and and an MBA. I have been actively developing land and investing in shares and foreign currencies for the last 25 years. My specialty is that I analyse investment opportunities within the framework of real estate and business cycles after the work of Henry George, Homer Hoyt, Fred Harrison and Phillip Anderson.
I have been a successful Private Investor in the market for the last 18 years. My focus was mostly on the Tech/Internet sector when I started, but 13-14 years ago I became extremely interested in the Gold and Silver sector as I anticipated a major bull run. My in-depth research on gold and silver companies began during 2003 or so, and it has been a consistent passion since that time. I'm familiar with their stories, their stock patterns, their highs and lows, their operations/projects, their successes and failures, their management teams and turnover at the top, and all other facets of these precious metal companies. This sector has been my singular focus since I started writing on Seeking Alpha back in 2014, as I anticipated that gold and silver would soon be bottoming out and a massive bull market would unfold. I still follow the tech/internet space and I plan to eventually jump back into that sector (2009 was a very profitable year for me as bought tech at the lows), but it's not where my attention is at the moment as I see much better opportunities in gold and silver. I believe in buying value, and not chasing the next hot stock. I use several basic investing principles, the main one being buying the balance sheet. I wait for opportunities to present themselves and then establish positions. I believe in doing your homework, and I have a very research intensive focus.
*Disclaimer* I am not a Certified Financial Advisor. My research and articles should not be interpreted as a recommendation to purchase, sell, or hold any security at any time. The accuracy, completeness, or timeliness of the information posted in my articles is not guaranteed. Do not rely on any statement that I make in my articles. All readers and subscribers should always conduct their own research and should consult a professional financial advisor when it comes to making investment decisions.
Ted Waller is a private investor who bought his first stock at age 13 (GTE) and has over 50 years of investing experience. His focus is on deep value and low risk. Acquiring wealth is a slow incremental process that requires setting goals, adherence to principles, patience, and flexibility.
Engineer by trade and passion. Have worked internationally for over three decades, running my own business. I hold a PhD in engineering, but honestly believe that the school of hard knocks has taught me lessons that are more applicable to my writing here on Seeking Alpha. My investing interests mostly concern the resource sector, with a focus on precious metals, base metals and energy stocks of all sizes. My research explicitly includes small- and micro-cap juniors, and I try to manage the associated risks in a methodical manner.
Reuben Gregg Brewer spent about 15 years at world renowned Value Line, the Publisher of The Value Line Investment Survey. During this time he worked in various facets of the company's research efforts, including equities, mutual funds, convertibles, and options. For six years, he directed all of the company's research efforts as Value Line's Executive Director of Research. Today he writes about the things that interest him.
I have more than 10 years experience investing in commodities and hard assets such as gold and silver miners, exploration companies, oil and gas producers, MLPs, and various other sectors.
If you are interested in any of my digital utility solutions to add to your investing tool box to improve your investment outcomes, please visit my site
You'll find elegant applications that make it simple for you to track your portfolio in real time, make a watch list to follow in real time, track your dividend income and growth, and other applications. These applications will allow you to set alerts at prices you choose in order to obtain the yield and income that you want. They function as real time trade assistants and will improve your investment performance. You can even mirror the successful FTG Portfolio with "My FTG Mirror Calculator", and subscribers can mirror the premium subscriber portfolio with "MY RODAT Mirror Calculator" if they wish to emulate the out performance we've achieved in capital and income growth.
I am a retired clinical psychologist, and administrator and owner of a rehabilitation clinic we founded 40 years ago. For over 55 years I have managed several portfolios composed of investments accumulated over our professional careers. Since the financial crisis of 2008, I have employed specialized, customized dividend growth strategies aimed at enhancing and growing a dividend income stream.
Since December 24, 2014, I have demonstrated on Seeking Alpha the ongoing construction and portfolio management of the Fill-The-Gap Portfolio aimed at highlighting strategies investors may utilize to close the gap between an average Social Security benefit and the much greater costs faced in retirement.
This portfolio has outperformed all of the broad market indexes by a very wide margin, growing dividend income and total portfolio value consistently while the broader indexes struggle in negative territory all year.
Aside from free articles available to the general public, additional early-access, value-added ideas and deep-dive articles are offered to paid subscribers on my premium SA platform, "Retirement: One Dividend At A Time"
Let me show you how to build and grow your portfolio and dividend income, step by step, towards a comfortable and secure retirement.
Brad Zigler's stints as a contributing editor for the Corporate Communications Broadcast Network, the Journal of Indexes, and CRB Trader set the stage for his role as managing editor of Hard Assets Investor and later as alternative investments editor of Wealth Management (formerly Registered Rep.) magazine, the most highly subscribed publication for financial advisors. Brad's feature articles have appeared in Registered Rep./Wealth Management, Mutual Funds, Financial Planning, Financial Advisor, Futures and Ticker magazines, TheStreet.Com and MarketWatch Web sites, and in journals published by Institutional Investor. After heading up marketing, research and education at the Pacific Exchange's (now NYSE Arca's) option marketplace and Barclays Global Investors, Brad became a financial correspondent for the European Press Network, and a Public Broadcasting System/National Public Radio affiliate. He continues his work as a financial research and communications consultant for a number of private and public organizations.
Steven Jon Kaplan began TrueContrarian.com in August 1996 as a weekly blog and later expanded this to a daily newsletter with intraday updates in February 2006. Steve provides financial consulting which emphasizes long-term tax and investment planning. He has been trading his own account, and those of family and close friends, since 1981, and handles separately managed accounts for qualified clients. As a registered investment advisor, Steve charges a 20% performance fee on net profits and zero management fees. He has been quoted in Barron's, Market Watch, Dow Jones Newswires, Seeking Alpha, and Kitco. Steve has appeared on Market Watch cable TV with Stacey Delo and was interviewed by Alisa Parenti on Bloomberg. Since 2010, Danielle Kerani Oberdier has served as Steve's business associate.
Steve enjoys running with the New York Road Runners, composing and performing on piano and voice, writing stories, and traveling to unique places. He enjoys hearing from anyone about a wide range of topics, so please let him know what you think about the web site or whatever is on your mind. You can find his music at http://www.reverbnation.com/stevenjonkaplan .
Philstockworld.com is the fastest growing stock and option newsletter on the Web. "High Finance for Real People - Fun and Profits" is our motto and our Basic and Premium Chat Sessions offer readers a chance to speak to Phil live during the trading day as well as authors like Optrader, Sabrient, Income Trader and Trend Trader - who send out Alerts during the market sessions and discuss trade ideas live with Members.
We even have a new low-cost "Trend Watcher" Membership that lets readers view our chat sessions without directly participating a great solution for people who want to test-drive the site and profit from our experience! Trend Watchers get to view all of our Chat Archives, weekly Webinars - as well as the amazing PSW Wiki, which gives you Phil's recent opinions and trade ideas as well as technical and fundamental analysis of hundreds of stocks that we follow.
Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing -- which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks).
Visit: Phil's Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)
Taylor Dart is a top contributor on Seeking Alpha in both the Long Ideas and Precious Metals section of the website. He has over 7 years of experience in active investing with a compound annual growth rate the past 4 years of 21 percent. His main focus is on undervalued growth stocks outperforming the market and their peers. In addition he use extensive technical analysis to capture maximum upside price action, as his belief is that timing is everything. Taylor scans upwards of 1200 stocks nightly on the U.S. and Canadian markets to identify the best fundamental opportunities with the most timely technical setups. He is a huge proponent of trend following and the "Turtles" who enjoyed compound annual growth rates of over 80 percent per year.
"If there is a sudden range expansion in a market that has been trading narrowly, human nature is to try and fade that price move. When you get a range expansion, the market is sending you a very loud, clear signal that the market is getting ready to move in the direction of that expansion.” - Paul Tudor Jones
"While a fundamental analyst may be able to properly evaluate the economics underlying a stock, I do not believe they can predict how the masses will process this same information. Ultimately, it is the dollar-weighted collective opinion of all market participants that determines whether a stock goes up or down. This consensus is revealed by analyzing price."
Mark Abraham , Quantitative Capital Management, L.P.
"Profit targets imply a trader can predict the future. Profit targets are profit-limiting. Trend followers stay in the moment of now, avoid prognostication, and let markets run as far as they go. "
Thomas Vician, Jr.
"We can’t always take advantage of a particular period. But in an uncertain world, perhaps the investment philosophy that makes the most sense, if you study the implications carefully, is trend following. Trend following consists of buying high and selling low. For 19 years we have consistently bought high and sold low. If trends were not the underlying nature of markets, our type of trading would have very quickly put us out of business. It wouldn’t take 19 years or even 19 months of buying high and selling low ALL of the time to bankrupt you. But trends are an integral, underlying reality in life. How can someone buy high and sell low and be successful for two decades unless the underlying nature of markets is to trend? On the other hand, I’ve seen year-after-year, brilliant men buying low and selling high for a while successfully and then going broke because they thought they understood why a certain investment instrument had to perform in accordance with their personal logic. "
John W. Henry
I'm a capital projects manager and process design engineer at a large-cap biotech company. I love the financial world because it is like one big puzzle and I hope we the Seeking Alpha Community help each other out to solve the puzzle to help us realize our dreams.
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I am a retired accountant with a background in large mining projects from feasibility to full-scale operation.
I manage my own investments and for the majority of my portfolio I have a strong preference for Blue Chip stocks.
For the balance of my portfolio I have an interest in small and micro-cap stocks, seeking superior returns.I seek alpha returns through identifying companies with the right fundamentals and assessing the risks and investing long. Although investing long, I understand the importance of share price in the short to medium term for these small cap companies as it impacts their ability to raise capital.
What is Tiki Bar Capital? A state of mind achieved after years of personal sacrifice and hard work. It's when you've made your nut (hopefully, for life) and can say to heck with putting on a suit and tie, trekking to the office, and sacrificing your soul bit by bit to the rat race. It's nourishing your capital and watching it grow. Most importantly, it's enjoying the life that Tiki Bar Capital allows you to live.
I am a retired corporate lawyer and have been a stock market investor since my early twenties. In the past, I've done both DIY investing and worked with financial advisers. Having learned a thing or two over the years, I now manage my family's portfolios on my own.
My two primary investing strategies are buy-and-hold and discretionary. My buy-and-hold portfolio consists mainly of ETFs, mutual funds and closed end funds. I rarely trade this portfolio, generally tweaking it only when it appears we are in for a long-term, macro change in the capital markets.
My discretionary portfolio is mainly invested in individual stocks and sector ETFs picked up at deep discounts. As the broad market indexes look increasingly rich, I'm allocating more capital to the unloved areas of the market where I can find attractive values.
I also invest modest amounts monthly for my children in custodial accounts. My goal is to make them millionaires by the time they are 30. Why shouldn't they enter adulthood with a little walking around money? It gives you options as a young person.
Former Chicago Mercantile Instructor and staff member of Chicago Board of Trade.Author of five books on Trading. Currently, trade for myself and offer computer trading and Spread trading courses in Chicago. Featured in Wall Street Journal. A strong Advocate of Spread and Pairs trading.
New book on Amazon.com
Predicted Dow would go to 19,100.
We went past that, but will return to 8815 on the Dow.
75 year history of Palms & Company http://www.intota.com/viewbio.asp?bioID=765681&perID=722170 Google Profile: http://google.com/profiles/GlobalEconomicMeltdown 2014 Google Profiles: https://plus.google.com/u/0/111530479647791972928/about?pop=wv&hl=en_US Author Understanding Russian Banking 300 pages 1997 ISBN 0-9645464-2-6 Available on Amazon, Non de Plum Pyotr Joannevich Van de Waal -Palms Purchased by World Bank & International Monetary Fund References http://PeterPalms.com/credentials U.S. Citizen http://peterPalms.com/russia as well as http://PeterPalms/africa or /china article contributor to http://opednews.com commentator on 50+ U.S. Newspapers, Chinese, Indian, Russian, African http://PeterPalms.com/credentials
Mr. Dugger has worked in biotechnology and food production industries and with the critical resource limitations related to global food production for more than 40 years. He is a recognized expert in the economic relationships between critical resources like energy as it pertains to other critical resources such as the production and process of fertilizer components such as NPK and their impacts on food production.
Mr. Dugger was educated as a marine biologist, a graduate of Florida Atlantic University with extensive independent management training (military and AMA) during his 40+ year career he has contributed to commercial biotechnology development through research and business development, environmental impact analyses, and economic feasibility analyses. His most recent and ongoing professional activities include:- The development and integration of multi-species/multi-trophic aquaculture (ISRAS) as an effective peak resource and energy efficiency tool in the quest for being the most competitive (sustainable, economically efficient and least cost aquaculture food producer).
- Serves as Marine Biotechnology Development Specialist - Grape Bay Capital and Oceanis Fund Advisory Boards.
- The economic feasibility analysis of spiny lobster production technology and critical path development strategies.
- Developed an economic and sustainability development pathway analysis of biofuels - particularly for algae based biofuel aquaculture based on his commercial algae production experience through most of the past 40 years.(http://seekingalpha.com/article/1475791-the-bloom-is-off-npk-produced-algae-biofuel-development).
- During his career he has provided technical consulting services, technology audits, product development and testing, marketing studies, startup and project management for Fortune 500 new venture projects (Ralston Purina, Sun Oil Co., AMFAC, General Foods, Inc., International Protein, Inc.) mid-sized private companies (MRW Inc., ImmuDyne Inc., Zeigler Bros. Inc., Syndel Inc.) numerous private companies/investors, international development banks and funds (Agro-21, Jamaican National Bank, Asian Development Bank, Canadian Development Bank, Overseas Private Investment Corp. OPIC. Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Grape Bay Capital), Federal and state demonstration programs (US Army Corps. Of Engineers, City of Eastham, MA, University of FL and the FL Dept. of Ag., FL Dept. of Transportation) and his own companies.
In addition, he has taught a variety of biotechnology, economic and aquaculture related courses for Harbor Branch Oceanographic Institution, American Soy Bean Association and as an invited guest speaker at energy conferences such as the 2009 AIAA (American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics - invitation by NASA) and at local colleges. He has written and presented technical papers to the World Aquaculture Association (WAS), research journals, trade publications and blogs. He was a Vice-President, board member of the World Aquaculture Society for 8 years as well as serving on the WAS Journals editorial and review staff. He is listed under "Collaborator and Consultants" on the NASA OMEGA (Offshore Membrane Enclosure for Growing Algae) project.
Mr. Dugger services have been solicited as an expert witness by legal firms in biotechnology related cases including for the state of Florida and he has provided Congressional testimony regarding the development of the aquaculture industry in the US. He has been President and CEO of BioCepts International, Inc. since 1996.
Four private female investors and one Dachshund.
We've consigned our careers as fund managers to the shredder, as we no longer have confidence that we can grow our clients' money anywhere near approaching the sparkling results that we achieved for them in the past.
Now Heidi and Desiree's investing interests involve global water distribution, agriculture, and timberland, while Clarissa and Helga manage strategies of certain commodities and hard assets.
We're also self-styled asset-manager vigilantes, who will bitch-slap those who take advantage of innocent retirees and other retail investors who have been ground into muesli by the Wall Street machine.
Sleazy RIA's, CFA's and 99% of the rest of financial "helpers" service their clients like Bonny and Clyde serviced banks.
As you can see, we're touchy, emotional, irascible, opinionated, and sometimes inebriated. But we admit that we do love the attention here on SA, so don't stop sending us those bawdy comments, angry criticisms, steamy love letters, veiled death threats, and tempting marriage proposals. Hey, you never know...
Oh, we almost forgot... While our names (Heidi, Helga, Clarissa and Desiree) may or may not be our real names, Schnitzel the Dachshund's name really is "Schnitzel the Dachshund."
I'm a chartered accountant by profession, hailing from India, who is also pursuing CFA. I look for investments that generate strong value in the long run, and also help investors avoid pitfalls through my analysis.
Who I Am: I'm a retired individual investor. I retired at the end of 2013 after a 35 year career as a professor and research scientist at a major research university. So -- a career as a researcher and an educator, which is what I hope to continue here. Virtually every good teacher I've ever known says some version of "I learn more from teaching than my students do." There's a lot of truth in that, enough that there's an underlying selfish motivation for my writing here as I continue to learn about investing.
My professional life involved multiple international projects and collaborations, so I traveled extensively over those 35 years. I plan to continue doing so in my retirement. One consequence is that I'm liable to disappear from the site for extended periods. How can you miss me if I don't go away?
My investing priorities are building and refining portfolios designed to provide income and capital growth: Income for my retirement needs, and capital growth for my estate. My investing interests are tax-advantaged income from a range of sources, portfolio strategies, information- and bio-technology, and momentum-based strategic allocation.
Why I Write for Seeking Alpha: I learned long ago that "writing is nature's way of letting you know how sloppy your thinking is." The line comes from a Guindon comic strip of many years ago, and could not be more true in my case. When I did research professionally, I learned that writing it up forces me to think about details I might otherwise overlook. It's how I spent my working career, so it comes more or less naturally to me. I consider it an essential part of doing any research. So, the writing I do here is as much for myself as for the reader. As I started to contribute articles here, they grew out of research for my personal investment portfolios. They're based on things I've uncovered that are of interest to me and may be of interest to others of like mind. My primary purposes in writing them are to help clarify my thinking and to get feedback from others who may have very different opinions. It's those thoughtful comments that make Seeking Alpha such an important resource.
I try to actively engage myself in the comment streams in my articles, contributing what I can and learning from others. As a research scientist I spent a career spanning four decades devoted to free exchange of information vetted by rigorous peer review. It's a concept I firmly believe in. I hope to bring that approach to my interactions and contributions on Seeking Alpha and welcome critical commentary on anything I may contribute here. I especially encourage and appreciate thoughtful comments from those who disagree with me (although I will ignore obvious trolls and encourage others to do so as well). So, go ahead, start a conversation in the comment threads. It's one of the best things about Seeking Alpha.
My Investment Philosophies and Strategies: I maintain two portfolios. My income portfolio is a taxable account. I try to keep it separate from the growth portfolio which is housed in a series of IRAs, traditional and Roth. My income focus is on tax-advantaged income. In 2016 I face minimum required withdrawals from my tax-deferred accounts, so tax efficiency is an important consideration. The IRAs I see as my estate and are focused on generational wealth building. That means the growth portfolios have a long-term horizon, well beyond what an investor of my age might be expected to maintain.
Who Is Left Banker? Ah yes, the name. When I first joined Seeking Alpha I had no intention of being anything but an occasional reader. I saw it as another research site. So, I just ported a name I've used on other sites. I spent some of the best times of my life living on the left bank of the Seine and am always thrilled to be back in La Belle Paris. Add that I also like it because I find several subtle word plays there; I'll leave it to you to decipher that comment.
Finally, I've chosen to remain anonymous, which I feel obligated to justify. First, I have no professional role in finance and nothing to sell, so there is no advantage to be gained by "making a name for myself' here. Second, I value my privacy and have kept my internet presence as low-key as my professional life allowed. I certainly want to avoid any possibility of some internet connection trying to track me down. Odds against that happening are, of course, outrageously long, but why take them on at all?
Disclosures: I have no ties to the financial or security industries in any form. My interests are strictly personal. The banker part of the nym has absolutely no relationship to the profession of the same name. Readers should be aware that I am an investing novice, some might say dilettante. I do not give advice; what I publish is much more in line with a research notebook. Anyone who finds anything of interest will necessarily want to do his or her complete research and due diligence. It would be foolish to rely on my conclusions without having done so.
Nothing I write should be considered investment advice. Only you can decide if any specific financial asset, security, allocation, opinion, idea, etc. is best for your financial portfolio.
Author of two books, available here, Options Strategies Every Investor Should Know and The 5 Fundamentals of Building a Retirement Portfolio (both available in paperback and eBook).