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mrvulture2001

mrvulture2001
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  • Technical Analysis Discussion Blog for February 2011 [View instapost]
    we seem to be awful close now. I suspect the turn could come any day. wonder what unexpected news event will set the whole thing off. we should start a pool.
    Feb 6 01:29 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks Remain Poised for Steep Decline [View article]
    if you believe the fundamentals know best whats coming next and have absolute trust in your own analysis then fa is the way to go. if you believe the market knows more than any of us then ta gives you the best shot at seeing future moves. this debate has been raging for over a hundred years and will continue.................
    Feb 6 01:23 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Technical Analysis Discussion Blog for February 2011 [View instapost]
    its all about addressing the debt. once it becomes this excessive there is no cure except to pay it down. central banks can play musical chairs for a while but eventually the music will stop and the piper will have to be paid (nothing like mixing up some metaphors).
    Jan 24 09:23 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Technical Analysis Discussion Blog for February 2011 [View instapost]
    what does you secular trend score look at? just pe ratios or something more?
    Jan 24 09:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Technical Analysis Discussion Blog for February 2011 [View instapost]
    its all psychological. if you check the books you'll see that qe2 has dumped a bunch of freshly minted fiat into bank reserves. the reason stocks are up 20% since september is bernanke's ridiculous remarks claiming its the Feds job to prop up equity markets. the lemmings still believe the ridiculous "dont fight the fed" mantra and think if bernanke says qe will drive an unstoppable bull market in stocks it must be so. the story never changes and the sheep will be fleeced yet again (and again and again and..........)
    Jan 24 08:04 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Stocks Remain Vulnerable to Violent Correction [View instapost]
    wall street doesn't care about the big picture. it manic depressively jumps from one short term event to the next. it can't even see the long term bear and would never admit it exists even if it could. your chart work is spot on but these crazy moves can last longer than anyone can imagine. at this stage in the bear the runups and rundowns are crazy volatile sucking in the lemmings as they whip markets back and forth. we are setting up for another crazy year. good work.
    Jan 24 07:55 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Leading Economic Indicators Continue to Suggest Return to Contraction Is Likely [View article]
    dont forget all those recession indicators that flashed this past summer.....

    seekingalpha.com/artic...

    no false signals in forty years??? why bet against those odds? best to wait and see how things shake out.......
    Sep 16 04:59 PM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The U.S. Housing Bubble in Perspective [View article]
    I remember schiff being laughed at on bubblevision in 2005 and 2006 talking about the collapse of the housing bubble. no wonder he has such a huge chip on his shoulder. now they just roll their eyes and accuse him of patting himself on the back for all of his good calls. he definitely doesnt do himself any favors with the abrasive attitude but I might be grumpy after years of disrespect myself......
    Sep 5 05:52 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Stock Market on the Edge [View article]
    no offense but you cant just pick data points out of the air and expect to magically have a valid basis for comparison. 74 and 80 have nothing in common with right now. stock market pe's were around 6 or 7 for a start but the macro environments were completely different too. 70 was not a good time to invest either at the start of the 70s secular bear. debt is the big issue now and its gotta be paid off before we're out of this mess.......
    Aug 29 03:15 PM | 9 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Nine Percent Is Now Full Employment in America [View article]
    it is a structural trend that has many years left to run. nothing can be done to stop it and wait until the bear drives multiples down into the single digits. then youll see some serious moving jobs overseas......
    Aug 29 11:55 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Stock Market on the Edge [View article]
    this is what I'm talking about. on the edge is exactly right. I agree that we got one or two weeks max before the big break that confirms the new bear market from april. but please don't waste our time with calling rallies off of oversold conditions. you claim the big picture is whats important so lets stay focused on it ok?
    Aug 29 11:52 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Stocks Rally on Bad News This Week? [View article]
    ya you got your buy the news rally on the gdp revision being less bad than expected. but again I say who cares. its all just the daily gyrations that you claim are unimportant anyway. the big head and shoulders top that you are following is where the real direction is coming from and that directionn is down.
    Aug 29 11:48 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • The Market Will Have a Good Run Over the Next Two Months [View article]
    your argument about valuations is weak weak weak. go read some doctor john hussman to see what you are missing my friend.
    Aug 22 01:35 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Will Stocks Rally on Bad News This Week? [View article]
    you may be right but what does it really matter, it'll just give the shorts more time to build positions. that big head and shoulders is telling us whats coming and the ups and downs of the next couple weeks dont mean much in the grand scheme......
    Aug 22 01:32 PM | 11 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Technical Analysis Discussion Blog for August 2010 [View instapost]
    been following the gci over at jim sinclairs web site for the past few years, its been good at turns. definitely useful and should get more useful as global paper funny money goes down the toilet this decade.....
    Aug 21 05:36 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
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