Saildog

Crude Oil and Gasoline Prices: Like Déjà Vu All Over Again

This is article was written by somebody not well acquainted with oil production. All the usual stuff is in their about price, markets and technology; and its all rubbish, since oil production has already peaked. Now the rules are different. With a supply curve that is completely inelastic, price is determined by demand only; and that in turn is driven by economic activity. The oil price and economic activity will settle into a new relationship that will remain tightly bound. As oil production drifts down and absorbs ever more inputs, our economies will shrink accordingly. Of course it will be patchy and variable around the world. Some places with energy resources will do better and others without will do worse. But overall, Business As Usual is finished. Welcome to The Longest Recession.

Why Is Oil Trading at $53 When Supply and Demand Is So Bearish?

The article would have been better had the author learned something about energy.

Crude Report Stumps Analysts

This may be the impact of the growing net (oil) export problem. Imports are down significantly from Venzuela and Mexico; and the turn around time for shipping from the Middle East is 5 times longer than from the Carribbean. Just a hunch........ It would be worth while checking where the shortfalls are occurring. If it is in the Gulf refineries I am not surprised.

This is what is known as the Export Land effect - oil exporting countries have rapidly growing domestic consumption and stagnant or declining production dealing a double blow to net exports. Globally exports of oil are down some 2m barrels since 2005.

US Oil Companies Borrow A Page From OPEC's Playbook

The article doesn't make sense.

The fundamental problem underlying all of this is faltering oil supply. Read www.businessweek.com/m....

OPEC are lying about their ability to raise production. They most likely can't and this is a smoke screen. The oil companies know that production growth has stalled. Why invest billions in new plant if production growth has stalled?

They would prefer to take the heat on all of this nonsense rather than admit the truth: Global production cannot increase. They know they are going to take heat anyway, so they prefer to blame it on the president. He is an unpopular idiot, so it doesn't matter.