An inveterate Fed watcher. Note (under surveillance / censorship). My responses are not always posted. http://seekingalpha.com/article/4027151-economy-modeled-simple-equations Salmo trutta Comments (7094) |+ Follow John, the #'s (which represent AD), for the 3rd qtr. are 2x that of the 2nd qtr. And that's without extrapolation and assuming Vt remains constant (& Vt will rise). 20 Jul 2016, 06:50 PM Edit/Delete Thanks for your patience. Your comment is being reviewed by our moderators and will be posted shortly. For more information on moderation on Seeking Alpha click here. Time to posting (if at all), may be longer outside U.S. business hours and at times of high comment volume.