I am a CFA charter holder with over 25 years experience at a number of major global middle market investment banks. I worked as a sell side equity research analyst as well as in investment banking where I researched and analyzed M&A trends and activity.
When will long-term investors have any cash to deploy? If you believe in their mantra, most of them think people should be nearly fully invested nearly all of the time - it is rare to have a long term Buy and Hold investor to keep 30% in cash for buying opportunities. How much of a loss are you willing to suffer waiting for a recovery? 10%, 20%, 30%? Do the numbers and see what kind of gain you will need to recoup to the break even point on several loss levels to get an idea of how long you may need to wait. For example a 30% loss requires a 43% gain to get back to the break even. A 20% loss takes a 25 % GAIN to get back to even.$100,000 - 20% = $80,000 . 80k X 25% = 20,000 +80k =100K There are few assets like PM's that are liquid and have NO counterparty risk. If you know of any that perform that function please post it for all to see. The fact of the matter is that some people ONLY save any money because of Precious Metals. If it were not for their gold and silver many would not have any money saved or invested. They would have Beanie babies or some other fad item. The people that buy Silver Eagles are much happier ten years later when they bought those coins made of PM's for their grandchildren (or whomever) when they find out the $8 - $12 bucks they spent is worth more than they paid.And the recipient learns a valuable lesson from it. There are good gifts and not so good gifts. Silver Eagles rank near the top of the list. Don't underestimate the power for people to develop good savings habits using PM's . It's fundamental. Our welfare system is a huge drain on the economy .Those of us working for a living instead of voting for a living see huge holes in our paychecks every week. As unfortunate as it is to know that cuts to foodstamps and welfare will likely cause a bit of suffering, it’s not the job of the government to forcibly remove money from the pockets of hard working Americans in order to take care of those who won’t work. Granted, there are some people who genuinely need the help, and those folks get dragged into the mud with the abusers, which isn’t fair to them. Now, just because the government shouldn’t be “helping” those in need, doesn’t mean we as Americans should forego kindness and charity. Quite the opposite. Americans are some of the most generous people on the planet, but unfortunately, that generosity gets quelled when the government is involved.Without the government in the way, regular every day individuals like you and me need to step up and start helping those who are in dire straits. That’s how this country used to be long before all of the social welfare programs, and it’s what made our nation so wonderful. If the government insists on being “helpful,” they can start by reducing taxes and ridiculous regulations that overburden small business owners, which will free them up to expand their companies and hire new workers. Two of my favorite comments ever on SA Avi Gilburt , Contributor
WOW!!! So, I guess when sentiment is at historical lows, we MUST assume it can only continue down!! lol
All you say constantly over and over is "I don't understand how it can work, so, clearly, it does not work." That really does not need much of a "demonstration" or response.
........................ In 1971 Nixon set the price of gold at $31/oz, today it's around $1,200, so in 45 years the price has gone up 3,158% or so if my math is sound. If you bought your stock in 1971, when the S&P was around 700 you realized a very impressive gain but well short of gold and what it buys you now in 2017 .
....................................................................................................................................................... Let's say 50 years ago, 1964, your grandfather bequeathed you an inheritance worth $1,000, which he put in a pretty box with your name on it. At this moment, you are about to open that box… Would you be happy to find his personal check dated 1964 made payable to you; would you rather find ten $100 Federal Reserve Notes; or would you prefer to find that thousand bucks in the form of 4,000 silver quarters, the steady constant value of 715 ounces of silver, with a current dollar number north of $12,500? Would your choice be the same if you were putting your wealth away today for an heir to receive in ten, twenty, or fifty years?
..................................................................................................... Financial contagion happens at both the international level and the domestic level. At the domestic level, usually the failure of a domestic bank or financial intermediary triggers transmission when it defaults on interbank liabilities and sells assets in a fire sale, thereby undermining confidence in similar banks. An example of this phenomenon is the subsequent turmoil in the United Statesfinancial markets. International financial contagion, which happens in both advanced economies and developing economies, is the transmission of financial crisis across financial markets for direct or indirect economies. However, under today's financial system, with large volume of cash flow, such as hedge fund and cross-regional operation of large banks, financial contagion usually happens simultaneously both among domestic institutions and across countries. The cause of financial contagion usually is beyond the explanation of real economy, such as the bilateral trade volume.
Momentum Trader/Technical Trader. Move fast when an opportunity arises, cut losers fast to protect from losses, keep risk low, play the odds when in your favor, don't feel obligated to buy as that will ruin your mindset. Plenty of opportunities out there, don't let yourself feel rushed.
Business Owner/Entrepreneur first, Trader second, author third. This business limits my ability to trade, so not as as many articles and updates as some of you were used to in previous years.
Website being rebooted & launched in 2016.
Mike Kudrna and the information on his blog are for educational purposes only. You should speak to your own financial advisor before making any decisions based on Mr. Kudrna’s opinions. Mr. Kudrna is not responsible for any actions you take upon reading his perspective and opinion. Keep in mind that positions that Mr. Kudrna has can change at any time without written notice.
FROM Pirate Stock or Oak Island (Blackbeard) Gold :::::All the way to Wall street
from bedlam and squalor, on foot, in the snow, uphill,
both ways ; that is how I learned to handle the old chart toppers.
RE attorney retired. Now receive more interest income than dividends. Began investing in 1970s with RE, bonds and preferred stocks; shifting to dividend stocks in 2010, 11 & 12. No mutual funds. No longer use options. Average 1 hours/day researching (reading SA) where ever I am unless market is active ... then more. Enjoy other hobbies more than investing, but personal management is critical. I am envious of all you young DGIers because of the opportunities out there and your ability to access them via the internet, and evaluate them via your computers. Ever do a spreadsheet in pencil?
There's an old adage : Teach a man to fish and he will eat for life. Updated version:
Obama has this rule for us to follow :
Give a man someone else's fish and he will vote for you !
Capital is fungible,when used properly it goes where it is best employed.
Fiat money in America is created solely as a result of the Federal Reserve system. Therefore it is totally accurate to say that the Federal Reserve system generates our most unfair tax. Both the tax and the system that makes it possible should be abolished.
The political scientist who authorized this process of monetizing the national debt and the monetary scientist who carry it out know that it is not true debt. It is not true debt because no one in Washington really expects to repay it, ever. The dual purpose of this magic show is simply to create free spending money for the politicians without the inconvenience of raising direct taxes and also to create a perpetual river of gold flowing into the banking cartel.
Each year since 1969, Congress has spent more money than its income. The Treasury Department has to borrow money to meet Congress's appropriations.The Congressional Budget Office web site's deficit analysis will show this . We have to pay interest* on that huge, growing debt; and it dramatically cuts into our budget.
I am a student enrolled in the Business Economics program at Ryerson University. I have been researching and analyzing stocks both technically and analytically for about 2-3 years. I strive to provide critical, up-to-date information for investors that have positions in various companies. Currently working part-time at Toronto Hockey Repair and Goalie Heaven, considered the best hockey store in the world.
Long term buyer and holder of silver. I still have silver from when it used to be the actual US money- when it had intrinsic value. I plan to hold it and hopefully accumulate more. Began investing and charting on paper in the late 1980's (hey, a computer cost $5000 then). On Gold: it's not that I am such a die-hard gold bug, it's more that I'm a big government and Federal Reserve pessimist and realist. The 10 cent candy bars I used to buy after school in 1961 when I was 10 now cost about $1.50. I have lived through the 90% decline of the Dollar. Thank you Federal Reserve.
As a contributor to the New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site), we intend to give new insights on a low risk approach to trading in dividend paying stocks for tax deferred accounts. The New Low Observer (http://www.newlowobserver.com/about-this-site) is not intended for regular or non-qualifying accounts however, the strategies and stocks mentioned can be used for non-qualifying accounts with the understanding of the consequences of potential short-term capital gains as well as the need for exceptional documentation for IRS purposes.
I have a professional background of working with the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Although I am an economist (and probably because of that fact), I am adept at being resourceful and thinking in a multidisciplinary fashion. For this reason, my professional experience only reflects a wide perspective that I have gained through the years and should not connote an air of authority.
We are a tax consulting and company formation firm located offshore in the sunny, tax free Bahamas since 1990. I've formed over 1,030 Bahamian IBCs and 360 Anguilla IBCs since 1990.
◾Anguilla is a UK overseas territory with same tax status as Cayman Islands.
◾All the money and technology to create their offshore registration services came out of London.
◾Anguilla was one of the very first tax havens that adopted an online registry service.
◾QEII is the head of State.
◾Got questions? email firstname.lastname@example.org
The Caribbean tax havens have grown to rival New York and London as a place to hold family assets, and the US FET is one reason why there are so many offshore companies there.
480,000 IBCs in BVI;
100,000 “exempt companies” in Cayman;
45,000 IBCs in the Bahamas;
30,000 cos in Bermuda
25,000 IBCs in Anguilla
None of the Caribbean (tax) havens levy an estate tax.
Nobody is much interested in tax avoidance any more, so I'm posting Tom's Fishing Gallary pictures instead http://bahamasbahamas.com/images/gallery.html
Personal info here https://www.linkedin.com/profile/preview?locale=en_US&trk=prof-0-sb-preview-primary-button
and PFIC / FATCA info for planners https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/new-irs-form-8938-created-fatca-2010-can-filing-avoided-tax-havens?trk=prof-post
JPMorgan/Chase writes on U.S. Estate taxation: "Because stock of a foreign corporation (in a no tax haven) is not subject to U.S. estate tax, holding U.S. situs assets through a foreign corporation constitutes a planning opportunity." http://www.jpmfinancialservices.com/images/PDFs/EstateTaxation.pdf
I try to carefully trade weekly & monthly stock options with expertise in mining companies & traditional manufacturers. Speak & write fluent Portuguese and speak good Spanish. Resided twice in Brazil and once on Guam Island. Employed at the same large foreign-owned Distribution Center the past 15 years & completely 100% Pro-NAFTA. Smart individual investing is the preferred solution to improving one's economic future, as opposed to vast & vague government handouts. Seeking Alpha is the #1 best financial blog because of honest opinions & superb organization.