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barakg

barakg
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  • While the movement against genetically modified foods seems to be strengthening - witness the weekend's global protests against Monsanto (MON) - food companies are struggling to replace GM ingredients with conventional ones. With Whole Foods (WFM) saying that all products in its stores will have to be labelled if they contain GM elements, even traditional users of conventional ingredients such as WhiteWave Foods (WWAV) unit Silk have been caught up in the red tape. [View news story]
    @TruffelPig, I couldn't care less which company produces the GMO since this isn't the point here. those toxins that you are talking about are not toxic to humans but only to bugs. however, pesticides are much more harmful and can pollute water supplies, so between insecticides and specific toxins, i go with the toxins. If you want to claim these toxins have an impact on humans than by all means- show me the proof, because proof of the dangers of insecticides is easily available. and TruffelPig, you may be a scientist but not in the relevant profession. if all people thought like you than diabetes patients would still be using insulin produced from pigs instead of genetically engineered in bacteria.
    May 27 08:34 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • While the movement against genetically modified foods seems to be strengthening - witness the weekend's global protests against Monsanto (MON) - food companies are struggling to replace GM ingredients with conventional ones. With Whole Foods (WFM) saying that all products in its stores will have to be labelled if they contain GM elements, even traditional users of conventional ingredients such as WhiteWave Foods (WWAV) unit Silk have been caught up in the red tape. [View news story]
    It is unbelievable how ignorance and unsubstantial fear are impacting decisions that could benefit billions. Instead of a scientific debate based on facts this debate is based on fear mongering and emotions.
    May 27 08:05 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Earnings-Price Divergence Always Followed By Negative Equity Returns [View article]
    Brian, for an investor i believe the more relevant data is the average time to the market peak from the maximal divergence time. do you have that data as well?
    Apr 15 07:47 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Best Awful Employment Report I've Ever Seen [View article]
    easily, drop outs drop out of U-6 as well...
    Apr 6 12:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bullish Sentiment Declines For Second Straight Week [View article]
    the AAII crowd can be modeled by combining two elements: smart money and dumb money. in a bullish move both will be bullish creating high bullish ratings. however, before correction the smart money becomes bearish causing a decline in sentiment. this divergence can be seen in all the corrections on the chart above. therefore a sharp decline in bullish sentiment for the aaii survey after reaching multi-month highs isn't bullish. investors intelligence survey doesn't have a smart money element however...
    Feb 7 04:10 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Rail Traffic Starting To Show Signs Of Weakness [View article]
    the graph is of intermodal, i.e., containers. no coal there.
    Jan 11 09:39 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Is The Stock Market Cheap? [View article]
    bbro, the p/e10 should be used to predict CAGR of the next 10 years as Hussman does. as you can see from the chart it is no merit in predicting the next 2-3 years. so your point is valid, and maybe more context should be added to the article, but it does not disproof the value of CAPE.
    Jan 3 04:21 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Only Way To Successfully Use Options Over The Long Term [View article]
    many writers here already emphasized that it is the expected profit and not the probability of success that determines the long term profitability of a specific strategy. so i repeat my request again: Andrew, what is the expected profit of your call spread?
    Dec 24 07:11 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • The Only Way To Successfully Use Options Over The Long Term [View article]
    that is not necessarily true. the reason is time value. time value always work for the sellers and in this sense, they are the casino against the buyers of options.
    Dec 22 03:56 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Believe Oncothyreon Is The Stock To Own Into 2013 [View article]
    selling options on biotech stocks with looming deadlines is not a smart option, unless they are covered calls and way OTM.
    Dec 20 09:03 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Believe Oncothyreon Is The Stock To Own Into 2013 [View article]
    yes, it's the management fault a drug fails...good reasoning there.
    Dec 19 02:21 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Believe Oncothyreon Is The Stock To Own Into 2013 [View article]
    well, merck is still conducting several studies with the drug for other indications and in combo, and didn't say they were stopped, so some hope exists, but this was the biggest bet.
    Dec 19 09:04 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Sell Options To The Speculative Crowd [View article]
    so i'll pose you the same question i posed andrew when he first suggested this trade: what is the expected profit of a trade that involves selling an OTM call with a delta of 0.15, and buying an OTM call with a strike 2 dollar above and a delta of 0.05?
    Dec 19 01:31 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why I Sell Options To The Speculative Crowd [View article]
    Erick, he's talking about credit spreads not selling naked calls. the downside is also limited. also, he trades only etf of wide indexes, not specific stocks, so wild swings are rather uncommon.
    Dec 17 11:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Doin' It Gangnam Style [View article]
    Andrew,
    you still havn'r written how you calculate the expected profit, not the probability of max profit, from the trades you mentioned. it is my conviction that the expected profit is the important measure of a trade success as it takes into acount the tails of the trade as well. a trade can work 99% of the time, but if the loss in the 1% that it doesn't is 1000 times the profit you will still be wiped out. I know that bear call spreads have a positive expected profit, but you do not disclose it and it's definitely not the max profit.
    Dec 11 03:20 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
COMMENTS STATS
53 Comments
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