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  • Titan Logix: Multi-Hundred Percent Potential Upside With Limited Downside [View article]
    this is good i will follow you especially since you nailed that tesla short call when it was at $170
    Apr 21 08:51 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • WSJ: Airbnb closes $450M fundraising [View news story]
    o airbnb is worth about 1/3 of what tesla is worth, sounds like a steal
    Apr 20 08:40 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alibaba Is Kicking Yahoo Into High Gear [View article]
    but ali baba just had a net profit of $1.4B in a quarter.....amazon couldnt dream of that
    Apr 19 12:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Coca-Cola: Downside Is Less Than 5% [View article]
    the upside is also about 5%
    Apr 17 08:45 PM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • There Is More Alibaba Magic In Sprint Than Yahoo [View article]
    full valued????? on what planet and what are you using as calculations

    once again you're not valuing assets properly. If you own a $500k home outright and a $1M business and have $500k in cash your net worth is $2M. Right now if someone could buy all your assets for 50% would it be considered a steal bc thats how yahoo is valued as of this moment

    Yahoo has one stake that is valued at $10B bc its part of its YAHOY stake which is just stock in a publicly traded company called yahoo japan. Then Yahoo has its 24% ali baba stake which as of now is a stake in a company that just grew revenues 66% quarter over quarter, had profit margins over 50%(higher than apple's incredible 37%) and had NET profit of $1.4B in a quarter. $1.4B in a quarter of profit makes ali baba more along the lines of exxon or apple than a momo like facebook or amazon. Then yahoo has $3B of cash in their bank accounts and then there is yahoo the company that is being priced as worthless w/400M users and not much growth

    Now lets do some math

    $10B yahoo japan stake
    $25-50B ali baba stake(based on $100-200B valuation)
    $3B cash
    $0 yahoo core business as everyone is so negative on it now

    well $10B + $25B(low end of ali baba valuation which would be at 12x earnings of $8B + $2B cash = $38B which is slightly over current market cap.....and thats just based on assets and counts yahoo the website as nothing even though its the #4 website using traffic metrics in the united states.....it has more users than $19B whatsapp.....

    But the big wildcard is ali baba bc here you have a business netting $1B/quarter which makes it super profitable and then ali baba is growing faster than amazon which is given a crazy multiple bc of how fast its growing even though amazon makes no money. Slap amazon's 600x earnings multiple on $5B/year in profit and you've got a $3 trillion dollar market cap haha but realistically 30x multiple isn't nuts when you have the growth ababa is showing, so $150B cap would really be cheap and thats why banks put a $248B cap on ababa yesterday and $300B within a few years.

    The reality is yahoo is so underpriced its ridiculous. For the guy who said i will buy when yahoo P/E is 20....it's there right now let me explain

    Yahoo is set to make $1.22 in EPS this year, ali baba will have a profit of $8B and 24% of that is going to go on yahoo's balance sheet that's $2B on 1B shares so add $2 to the $1.22 so thats $3.22 of earnings on a $36 stock that's 10x earnings people

    o and today the twitter of china weibo goes public and ali baba owns 33% therefore yahoo owns 8% and nobody knows the true depth of all the acquisitions ali baba has made bc they've been on a buying spree like google and its not all known until they file their F1 before going public

    I think yahoo is fairly valued north of $60 now but i could be wrong....but im not betting against myself bc i feel i've done my research on this one to an extent most investors haven't. At this point it doesnt matter if yahoo core doesnt grow at all, yahoo is a holding company holding a giant stake in a gold mine that will add to its EPS for years and years as they will retain a 14% stake in the company post IPO
    Apr 17 03:18 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yahoo: If It Sounds Too Good To Be True... [View article]
    once again you're not valuing assets properly. If you own a $500k home outright and a $1M business and have $500k in cash your net worth is $2M.

    Yahoo has one stake that is valued at $10B bc its part of its YAHOY stake which is just stock in a publicly traded company called yahoo japan. Then Yahoo has its 24% ali baba stake which as of now is a stake in a company that just grew revenues 66% quarter over quarter, had profit margins over 50%(higher than apple's incredible 37%) and had NET profit of $1.4B in a quarter. $1.4B in a quarter of profit makes ali baba more along the lines of exxon or apple than a momo like facebook or amazon. Then yahoo has $3B of cash in their bank accounts and then there is yahoo the company that is being priced as worthless w/400M users and not much growth

    Now lets do some math

    $10B yahoo japan stake
    $25-50B ali baba stake(based on $100-200B valuation)
    $3B cash
    $0 yahoo core business as everyone is so negative on it now

    well $10B + $25B(low end of ali baba valuation which would be at 12x earnings of $8B + $2B cash = $38B which is slightly over current market cap.....and thats just based on assets and counts yahoo the website as nothing even though its the #4 website using traffic metrics in the united states.....it has more users than $19B whatsapp.....

    But the big wildcard is ali baba bc here you have a business netting $1B/quarter which makes it super profitable and then ali baba is growing faster than amazon which is given a crazy multiple bc of how fast its growing even though amazon makes no money. Slap amazon's 600x earnings multiple on $5B/year in profit and you've got a $3 trillion dollar market cap haha but realistically 30x multiple isn't nuts when you have the growth ababa is showing, so $150B cap would really be cheap and thats why banks put a $248B cap on ababa yesterday and $300B within a few years.

    The reality is yahoo is so underpriced its ridiculous. For the guy who said i will buy when yahoo P/E is 20....it's there right now let me explain

    Yahoo is set to make $1.22 in EPS this year, ali baba will have a profit of $8B and 24% of that is going to go on yahoo's balance sheet that's $2B on 1B shares so add $2 to the $1.22 so thats $3.22 of earnings on a $36 stock that's 10x earnings people

    o and today the twitter of china weibo goes public and ali baba owns 33% therefore yahoo owns 8% and nobody knows the true depth of all the acquisitions ali baba has made bc they've been on a buying spree like google and its not all known until they file their F1 before going public

    I think yahoo is fairly valued north of $60 now but i could be wrong....but im not betting against myself bc i feel i've done my research on this one to an extent most investors haven't. At this point it doesnt matter if yahoo core doesnt grow at all, yahoo is a holding company holding a giant stake in a gold mine that will add to its EPS for years and years as they will retain a 14% stake in the company post IPO
    Apr 17 08:59 AM | 10 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alibaba Is Kicking Yahoo Into High Gear [View article]
    well ali baba is growing faster than amazon at 66% quarter over quarter, their margins are higher than apple's at 50%, and their profit is up 110% quarter over quarter....to call ali baba a monster would be an understatement. If they were valued at $250B they would be cheap considering AMAZON is $150B and amazon never made $1.4B in a quarter like Ababa just did

    I think Yahoo is a steal at anything under $65 at this point bc that's the value of its ali baba stake + yahoo japan stake. Whatsapp had 400M users and sold for $19B, guess what Yahoo has 400M users and is being given a value of $0....ill be kind and value it at $15B bc they actually make money and whatsapp doesnt

    So all in all like ive been saying for weeks, yahoo is the most undervalued stock on the market....everyone keeps thinking about the old yahoo. This new yahoo is a holding company holding a diamond in ali baba!!! 110% profit growth!?!?! come on thats unreal!!!
    Apr 16 09:20 AM | 5 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Alibaba could file for U.S. IPO on Monday [View news story]
    guess yhoo will see $50 very soon
    Apr 16 07:27 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Sneak Peek At Yahoo's Earnings [View article]
    hey andre hows that bks short at $13?? Anyways yhoo is turning around, thats a huge deal, nobody expected anything from them. Regardless it doesnt matter its all about ali baba, tell me what multiple does AMZN trade at??? I know its huge and its bc they're "growing"....well ali baba is growing FASTER and ali baba is MAKING MONEY and billions of dollars at that.....did I mention ali baba has higher margins that APPLE whose margins are merely 37%???

    Ali baba is a monster and even a 40x multiple would be cheap in comparison to what amazon or facebook are trading too and ali baba is outgrowing both percentage wise and profit wise....the market is discounting ali baba massively at any less than $250B

    YHOO is sitting on a goldmine it doesnt matter what they do, look at yahoo like softbank as a holding company, holding a royal flush and ready to cash in a fortune
    Apr 16 07:26 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Yahoo +7.5% AH on Alibaba numbers, guidance, display turnaround [View news story]
    not impressed? $1.5B in net profit in a quarter + 66% revenue growth + 110% profit growth + 50% margins? So ali baba is growing faster than amazon w/margins bigger than apple and that isn't impressive?????

    i wanna invest in what you're investing in
    Apr 16 07:26 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Yahoo +7.5% AH on Alibaba numbers, guidance, display turnaround [View news story]
    it can until they liquidate their stake.....which they will hold 14% of for the near future
    Apr 15 09:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Yahoo Is Heading To $40 [View article]
    thats great that the dow and S&P are at highs but the nasdaq isn't at highs and thats where yahoo trades. As a person who values fundamentals as much as you id say you're not valuing yahoo correctly

    24% of a $120B ali baba = $30B
    33% of $30B yahoo japan = $10B
    value of cash = $3B
    Value of yahoo core = $10-15B

    Total yahoo enterprise is worth at least $58-$63B which is $58-63/share on the value of their assets based on their 1B shares which they will be doing a buyback so it will be more like 900M shares and a $60B cap which is almost $70/share

    as a fundamentalist just looking at PE buyandhold2012 you are missing the picture on what the true value of yahoo is, its a steal here bc the nasdaq has been hit hard, fair value now is north of $40 where it was when 2014 started before the market began its pullback.
    Apr 15 11:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Whole Foods Market Faces A Short-Term Threat [View article]
    the stock dropped bc of your article? The stock dropped bc the nasdaq was hammered, whole foods investors do not fear walmart. Walmart shoppers can't afford $3 a piece avocados or $1.50/bottle organic sodas all things i purchase. My weekly bill for the fiancee and I is $150/week or about the same as the avg walmart shoppers take home after taxes....you're comparing apples and oranges. Organic will never take off at walmart bc they can't afford it, they being customers. I go to WFM here in south beach iand grab a couple drinks and some hummus and organic chicken for dinner and spend $50+ I'd imagine their margins are enormous and honestly I dont care bc publix here is disgusting and ill pay more for the wfm experience.....its much like apple, overpriced and customers dont care bc of the experience. Fresh market is nice too but the one here has nowhere near the business of Whole foods, its night and day, one is packed and one is empty.
    Apr 15 09:22 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Sneak Peek At Yahoo's Earnings [View article]
    if you're neutral why take the time and effort to pen this?
    Apr 15 08:06 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Yahoo Is Heading To $40 [View article]
    $40 is short term, I think we top $60 this year on this basis i posted in another piece

    yahoo has a market cap of $34 Billion. If ali baba IPO is around even $120B which is on the super low side of estimates, that would give yahoo a $30B pre-tax stake. Then Yahoo Japan currently has about a $9B stake which will probably be $11-13B by the end of the year, but for the time being its $9B so now you have: $30B ali baba + $9B yahoo Japan + $3B in yahoo cash, that alone puts us at a 42B equity of yahoo.

    Now yahoo core business, could show growth bc remember all the people who signed up to play warren buffet's billion dollar yahoo bracket? Well 15 million played and all had to sign up and make yahoo usernames, so thats 15 million users there, most of which ill assume are new, so registrations will rise then you have tumblr which is growing by leaps and bounds and is one of the biggest social media sites overseas in taiwan and china....another plus

    So now you have the yahoo core business trading at basically no value with about $42B in pre-tax assets and 1 billion share float.

    Yahoo has stated they want to maintain $3B in cash, so all this cash after the yahoo sale will probably be added to a buyback, so lets say just $7B in cash buying back stock at $35 that eliminates 200 million shares.

    So now we have 800 million shares of yahoo out there, ali baba growing,yahoo japan growing with a devalued yen, and yahoo core growing....yahoo now realizes a $50B market cap, up 50% from here but with the reduced share count you get $50B divided by 800 million shares.....that is $62.50/share

    This all reminds me of when AAPL was $375 and people said well cash doesn't matter....well apple's market cap was $350B and it has $120B in cash......Yahoo's market cap is $32B now and it has more than that in cash with its stakes in other companies alone
    Apr 14 01:42 PM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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646 Comments
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