Rock_nj

Rock_nj
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  • Still Bullish On MORL: February Dividend Brings Yield To 36%  [View article]
    Normal income tax rate as I understand it.
    Jan 31, 2016. 11:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • This Is When The Oil Market Will Rebalance  [View article]
    There are so many variables in the oil market that pinning down when supply and demand will reach balance is nearly impossible. I think price movement might provide the best guidance.
    Jan 31, 2016. 08:00 AM | 3 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Still Bullish On MORL: February Dividend Brings Yield To 36%  [View article]
    US Ten year bond down 2.72% yesterday and MORL up 7.42% yesterday . How do people explain that? mREITs seem to be moving up and down with the broader stock market.
    Jan 30, 2016. 07:40 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Still Bullish On MORL: February Dividend Brings Yield To 36%  [View article]
    The one thing that everyone is missing about the MORL decline is that the underlying mREITs have declined substantially. MORL is down because the whole mREIT sector is down hard. Tough times for mREITs, but perhaps the time to buy. How much lower can they go?
    Jan 28, 2016. 10:21 AM | 7 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • MORL Now Yielding 28.3% mREITs At Enormous Discounts To Book Value  [View article]
    MLPL was invested in oil companies, and oil is down sharply with many bankruptcies looming. If you think that's what is in for the mREITs, then sell MORL. I wonder when we'll see the professor's article about the dividend coming in Feb 16?
    Jan 27, 2016. 11:55 AM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • 5 Reasons Why Selling Stocks Now Is A Big Mistake  [View article]
    Stocks may be in a trading range until the Schiller P/E+10 reaches 2020 and starts excluding the horrible 2008 / 2009 timeframe. Then, it should be off the races, as analysts all over point to the cheap Schiller P/E+10 as evidence that stocks are cheap and should be purchased. Of course, what happens to the economy between now and 2020 will affect stock prices before this the Schiller P/E+10 inspired rally. We may just go through a weak 6 to 9 months and then see stronger growth later in 2016.
    Jan 27, 2016. 10:06 AM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • MORL Dividend Will Actually Increase In January, Yield Now 29.2%  [View article]
    Do you mean -8.20% and -9.09%? Those two main components of MORL are down since Jan 1. Also, MORL went ex-dividend in early Jan, which accounts for some of its loss in value since Jan 1.
    Jan 23, 2016. 10:51 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • MORL Dividend Will Actually Increase In January, Yield Now 29.2%  [View article]
    The downtrend is not MORL's fault. Just look at the underlying mREITs. They are all in the same downtrend. Just not a good time to be a mREIT.
    Jan 19, 2016. 04:28 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Bounce Into Month-End Is Coming As Signal Flashes Buy  [View article]
    Interesting comparison between the last two bear markets and how indicators performed differently.

    I can't wait until we're past 2019 and the horrible negative earnings quarters can be removed from the valuation metrics that look back 10 years at earnings. I think that once that is removed and everyone thinks Case-Schiller+10 valuations are reasonable, there will be a monster rally.
    Jan 18, 2016. 02:58 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Bounce Into Month-End Is Coming As Signal Flashes Buy  [View article]
    The technical indicators I follow also show a very oversold condition.

    Beyond the technical indicators showing the bounce potential, the heart of the earnings season should help underpin the market and cause a rally, assuming the earnings are better than prediction, which so far they have been.
    Jan 18, 2016. 02:46 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Major New Stock Bear Is Just Awakening, With Far More Selling To Come  [View article]
    Haven't John Hussman's funds performed horribly? Why take his word for anything?
    Jan 17, 2016. 11:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • A Major New Stock Bear Is Just Awakening, With Far More Selling To Come  [View article]
    "The "truly breathtaking" 8-day, 7.5% loss in the S&P turned into an even more interesting loss of about 10% over 10 days." Otherwise known as a correction.
    Jan 17, 2016. 11:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • A Major New Stock Bear Is Just Awakening, With Far More Selling To Come  [View article]
    Interesting, but did you provide any data regarding why the stock market is overvalued. With earnings at $120/share for the S&P 500 expected in 2016, the stock market seems fairly valued at these levels. Make the overvalued case with figures, not just with rhetoric.
    Jan 16, 2016. 10:34 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • January 2016 Market Outlook  [View article]
    How do you figure that market valuations are so high? S&P 500 earnings this year are expected to be $120 per share, which given a 16 multiple comes to a 1,920 S&P 500. Yes, the market was ahead of itself at 2,100, but under 1,900, it appears not, barring a recession.
    Jan 15, 2016. 02:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Witness Capitulation - It Marks Bottoms For Stocks  [View article]
    I think current earnings projects support the market trading around 2,000, so once this sell-off runs its course, then 2,000 is the target for the S&P 500. Anything above that is just froth until earnings increase.
    Jan 15, 2016. 01:54 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
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