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neobliviscar

neobliviscar
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  • neobliviscar
    $DNKN. You sir are no $SBUX. Leveraged Bain entity that trades more on interest rates n price gouging franchisees than coffee n donuts.
    Fri, 9:15 AM
    Reply (1)
    • neobliviscar: Covered most of my short on options expiration and Monday. Going short today on any sympathy bounce with $SBUX
      Fri, 9:16 AM
      • neobliviscar
        $SBUX . Been net long to neutral since $71 last year. Love it and sold most too early, but selling last of it here. Should not be > $85-87.
        Fri, 9:13 AM
        Reply (1)
        • matratra: I've sold it & it may go higher but profit is bottom line.
          Fri, 9:16 AM
          • neobliviscar
            7 day = +10% bounce in Transports. Near all time high here. Poor Bollinger band snapped right off my screen.. *Ping* Mean reversion is dead.
            Thu, 3:26 PM
            Reply (1)
            • pokalolo: Yes and poor Johnny still studders
              Thu, 3:33 PM
              • neobliviscar
                Bounce up on Europe QE prospects for Thursday. Buy the rumor, sell the news? Opinions most welcome.
                Wed, 12:32 PM
                Reply (12)
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                • neobliviscar: looking for their next hit of money methadone & curious who they will hit next. Int. that transports are up so much. Fri move could be up?
                  Thu, 10:11 AM
                • neobliviscar: ------ Looks like Friday came early. 40 min after last post, market +125 pts. I so want to short here, but am trying not to daytrade much.
                  Thu, 10:53 AM
                  • neobliviscar
                    Buy the dip?
                    Jan 13, 2:18 PM
                    Reply (11)
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                    • mattbird: I am purposefully not using stops this year, and buying small, sticking w. conviction
                      Jan 13, 3:02 PM
                    • neobliviscar: Sound effect: ker'ching!. Flattening out daytrades. Staying short $DNKN for a while. Think today deserves a nap before gym...
                      Jan 13, 3:41 PM
                      • neobliviscar
                        Shorting $DNKN at $45.80. This one is a leveraged hedge fund masquerading behind a franchise relationship. Lot of smoke n mirrors here.
                        Jan 13, 10:46 AM
                        Reply (8)
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                        • det9: This market is weird.. Anything is possible
                          Jan 13, 1:50 PM
                        • neobliviscar: 2014: long $SBUX from $70 & short a matching amount of $DNKN from over $50. Sold the $SBUX near $80. Flipped long $DNKN sub $42. Now short!
                          Jan 13, 1:55 PM
                          • neobliviscar
                            $IBM leading the DJIA. Small caps not participating. *Ick*. Santa Rally. Ho-ho-ho, Wall Street Xmas parties. HFTs & drunk traders buying!
                            12/19/14
                            Reply
                              • neobliviscar
                                What a dumb market.
                                12/18/14
                                Reply (27)
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                                • pollyserial: should be intwresing to see how low oil can go if:when this market cracks lower....seems a rate increase is on the table w GDP pushing 5%...
                                  12/23/14
                                • pollyserial: And, I hope you change your mind about retiring!! Always love to hear what you're thinking.
                                  12/23/14
                                  • neobliviscar
                                    Santa Rally has been nice. Grinching it a bit Adding to the shorts I put on this AM. Basically shorting on the 20d MVA celiing.
                                    12/18/14
                                    Reply
                                      • neobliviscar
                                        CEO of $KRFT announces retirement and it goes up +5%? How much of the DJIA +230 is that?
                                        12/18/14
                                        Reply
                                          • neobliviscar
                                            Bleeder du Jour 2: $SAFM lordie this thing is volatile. It is a bit early to call this one, but wait for it to hit $80. Target $90-92.5
                                            12/18/14
                                            Reply (2)
                                            • Ocean Man: Their margin increases were outstanding.
                                              12/18/14
                                            • neobliviscar: This one is good for Options trading, but thinness makes for volatility. Yet straight forward enough to do a good value model & stick to it.
                                              12/18/14
                                              • neobliviscar
                                                Bleeder du Jour 1: $DNKN In Jan I went long $SBUX and short $DNKN as a paired trade. Revisiting and updating models, both have overshot.
                                                12/18/14
                                                Reply (1)
                                                • neobliviscar: I am not sure I would flip short $SBUX, but covering $DNKN & going long for a few months. Target $45-$46 w/ selling Cov Calls. Nice yield.
                                                  12/18/14
                                                  • neobliviscar
                                                    Went uber long into Fed Day. Sold 1/2 near close. Selling most all now. Putting on some shorts in a few things w/ long term FX exposure.
                                                    12/18/14
                                                    Reply
                                                      • neobliviscar
                                                        130 minutes of open markets and +500 pts. Gotta love-hate the whipsaw nature of 2015.
                                                        12/18/14
                                                        Reply (11)
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                                                        • neobliviscar: I agree with 2015 that I am seeking yield, but doing by loading up on "preferred" stocks. When they pay 8% & my WACC much lower. x2 or x3
                                                          12/18/14
                                                        • neobliviscar: Little leverage. "Going Heavy" in a different way.
                                                          12/18/14
                                                          • neobliviscar
                                                            Any NEW news on $DEO this morning. Or is this just more of the currency water torture that has dropped it from $130 to $112?
                                                            12/17/14
                                                            Reply (5)
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                                                            • wheelz23: also...i really wish i heeded your advice about TSL, flushed my gains down the toilet for not honoring my sell point
                                                              12/17/14
                                                            • det9: http://on.mktw.net/1BZfru9
                                                              12/17/14
                                                              • neobliviscar
                                                                Buying 400 SDS Calls 24.5 as hedge on the Fed. Unlike Bernie, not sure they understand what magnitude of aftershocks with Oil & Currency.
                                                                12/17/14
                                                                Reply
                                                                  • neobliviscar
                                                                    Buying $YUM this AM. Take out Oil and Bond Yields = we are up +20% on the year. Oil killed us. Sticken with trading burgers and chicken.
                                                                    12/10/14
                                                                    Reply (3)
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                                                                    • det9: 1/2 Out if it for a dollar..
                                                                      12/10/14
                                                                    • det9: Back into it with the other half and hold..
                                                                      12/10/14
                                                                      • neobliviscar
                                                                        Buying both $VZ and $T today. Been out of these names for a while.
                                                                        12/9/14
                                                                        Reply (1)
                                                                        • det9: Bought $T 32.9.. Already have some.. I would just let it sit till this price war outbids TMUs and S to bankruptcy..
                                                                          12/9/14
                                                                          • neobliviscar
                                                                            MCD story has been sell above $97 and buy below $93. Wash-rinse-repeat. Many of us anticipated today. Now time for the activists to step in.
                                                                            12/8/14
                                                                            Reply (7)
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                                                                            • Hope128: I got out of $MCD at 95 a while ago since I haven't eaten there for a year. It used to have $93 as strong support, now easily goes to 90.
                                                                              12/10/14
                                                                            • Hope128: Still money to be made at buying around $90 though.
                                                                              12/10/14
                                                                              • neobliviscar
                                                                                Adding 1000 $BOIL. Buying back as top bid the Calls sold at $36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 50.
                                                                                12/3/14
                                                                                Reply (21)
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                                                                                • neobliviscar: No answer. Taking a beating on this one. While I've been consistently profitable in $BOIL, it hasn't been worth the pain.
                                                                                  12/4/14
                                                                                • wheelz23: $BIG bleeder? i'm a little hesitant
                                                                                  12/5/14