At first glance many situations appear obvious. Rigorous examination may reveal that the obvious is in fact impossible. My focus is on companies that unethically sell the impossible and thrive only with financial slight of hand. I am a retired businessman living near Austin Texas and I both delight and profit from shining some light on these deceptions.
I invest (technically) part-time, but I love the markets and immerse myself in them daily. I enjoy writing about my investment ideas as it helps me to organize my thoughts and I am happy to share if it helps others. I invite criticism as it will help sharpen my ideas, so please tell me where, in your opinion, I am going wrong.
I worked my way through school (as a cook, retail clerk, factory worker, computer support technician, waiter, counselor, corrections officer, and campus police) and earned economics & accounting degrees, plus some "certified nerd" credentials. (I was possibly the only accountant in history who was ever on a CERT/tactical team.) Became a fiscal analyst and college bursar; managed cash, card processing, receivables, and collections.... . . . . Semi-retired young and became a landlord... . . .
Governments are in a race to devalue their currencies. A defense is to own the tangible things that people in any country must have: natural resources & real estate.
Private real estate & retail investor. Mostly involved in long term investments in commercial, semi-industrial and residential properties in key eastern European regions with growth potential since 1990s. Trading intermarket spreads and non directional option strategies on NYMEX, CBOT & ICE profitably since 2008. In favour of alternative investments such as numismatics, art and other memorabilia. Diversifying in dividend paying stocks worldwide with occasional contrarian approach.
I defined myself as a value investor interested mainly in technology stocks but I also consider biotech, energy, basic materials and companies with a moat.
My strategy is to look for undervalued companies at a fire price with attractive risk/reward.
I tend to invest in short term trading opportunities via options but I also invest my money in long term opportunities to generate dividend income and growth.
Watchlist: *Tech: NVDA, AMD, INTC, DAIO, AAPL, FB, NFLX, AMZN, GOOGL, TWTR, BBRY, IBM, TUBE, LTRX, ELON, GRPN, TSLA, MATR, QCOM, SWKS, NXPI, GLUU, DATA, EVOL,
Others: CCJ, POT, DHT, CPLP, STNG, EURN, HLF, SNR, ALXN, GILD, PBR
"Be greedy when others are fearful and be fearful when others are greedy". Warren Buffett
Feel free to reach me at kasteelresearch (at) yahoo.com or via BBM, if you have any questions. Cheers!
Stock investors are always asking what is the catalyst for value to be realized? I originally thought like this which lead me to take too much risk. I now focus on being patient, controlling risk, and minimizing permanent capital losses. These steps have lead to significantly better returns. Even when there is no clear catalyst, an undervalued stock is eventually its own catalyst.
I think the benefits of communicating on Seeking Alpha are enormous. Many times I have a strong financial view of a company but do not understand the specific industry or industry competitive dynamics. I can often interact and read insightful comments from engineers, scientists, and technology experts. These experts offer great free advice and I try to add value in my specific areas of expertise. One area that I have been specifically helped is the energy sector.
While some investors are very negative of people who short, I view shorting stocks and posting factual information as noble. The focus of course is on truthfulness and accuracy of this information. Anyone who is posting rumors, lies, or other unscrupulous behavior (long or short) to manipulate a stock should be prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law.
I graduated from the University of Arizona in 2002 with a BS in Finance. From 2002-2006 I worked in the Wealth Management Group at Bank of America. I left Bank of America to manage family/friend money in long/short equity strategies. I also helped start-up two internet retail businesses.
I don't post much on twitter but think it is another great resource. I can be followed at https://twitter.com/jrhUofA
I currently live in Phoenix, AZ. If you live in the area and are a serious investor, please send me a note as I would be happy to meet and exchange our best ideas.
I run a small, private long/short portfolio. I focus on long term value, with a full expectation of showing paper losses in the short-term. Agnostic on the topic of catalysts. Wary of false precision. Usually ignorant of quarterly results and analyst forecasts. Seeking durable insights on business models and industry trends, and general wisdom.
Finished CFA level 1 & CAIA level 1 in a breeze. Looking forward to CAIA level 2 and CFA level 2. Made top 1% on the Bloomberg BAT, but was a black sheep at my mediocre college, and I was foolish to let it affect me. (non-traditional student)
Hope to write some quality articles in the coming year.
I was playing with fire my first year in the market, using a lot of call options. It was easy to make 50+% gain in 1st yr, summer '13 to summer '14 (thank you bull mkt). This past half year has been a little rough; I wish I had acted more decisively on material information about the energy market and the movement of the Ruble ($YNDX is a favorite).
I remember announcing the probably course of events to family the morning after OPEC's Thanksgiving's Day announcements, and I regrettably decided to wait it through b/c our professors chided us to take a buy and hold approach, and b/c I had bought some quality energy names at very fair prices in October. In retrospect, I realize the importance of optionality or in a sense, degrees of freedom.
In this case, I realize I am too committed to a base scenario (energy stocks recovering in the next year) that has too much opportunity cost. If the price adjustment cycle lasts longer than the expected scenario, then I will be unhappy with the opportunities lost. An equal weight short position would have been an ideal temporary maneuver, expressing my short-term thesis, while not causing commitment angst in the present, hoping for the long-term adjustment to blow over.
I was entrusted with a fresh 100K family capital this past summer, and I plan to be more prudent and thorough (obviously with minimal leverage or derivatives). This market is a little dangerous with high debt loads in China, somewhat high valuation levels (horrible Schiller CAPE ratio, but not sure if that matters as much), and jitters over rate hike, Ukraine, terrorism, epidemics, difficulty of private sector adjusting to Obamacare, and possible fiscal & monetary stimulus tapering.
I think low energy prices is a great stimulus, but the possibilities of a perfect storm with semi-hard landing in China or Europe, a serious violent flare-up with Russia or the Terror War, and disease outbreak could somehow happen at just the wrong time (perhaps, right after a rate hike).
I've read a fair amount of Buffett. But I love the tech industry mostly. To humor Buffett (a tech dinosaur), I bought a tiny bit of IBM. It has been working hard to transform its whole business, and actually has some top-notch talent and product portfolios with a fairly conservative valuation. The market is probably right that is a long-shot that IBM will grow significantly again, despite its immense technology assets and partnerships. Recent comment: feel lucky to have exited IBM at a small gain; mulling a re-entry and annoyed that I missed the recent Google explosion. Google is solidifying its reach and ecosystem, but at steep multiples.
I've been away from investing for much of the past half year (now dec'15), partly because I was getting cyberattacks on my twitter account, my computer, and broker connection was being intercepted, which made me very uncomfortable. My car also very suddenly needed an engine replacement that same week, despite a thorough check-up a month prior. I'm having a hard time moving forward, after severe blacklisting after-effects, (too long & weird to discuss).
CAIA & CFA level 1s were super-easy even though I was underprepared. I look forward to embracing the challenge. I will end up working in Europe or abroad, if I have to. Lucky to get tons of invites from Bloomberg recruitment due to top notch scores, but haven't really applied b/c of crummy school issues. Plan to work on Wall Street Prep & hopefully some SA articles.
Dreamjob: working for a hedge fund focussing in equities, preferably with a multicultural bunch (I'm half european / half asian american)
Long-term dream job: top-notch hedge fund manager
My favorite time horizon: 3mo to 18mo, b/c best chance of having a direct connect with news & analysis. market moves too fast to be primarily buy & hold, albeit such a mid-term outlook forfeits the benefit of effective interest-free loan in the the form of deferred taxes (as Buffett makes use of) as well as benefit of a capital gains rate, but on the other hand, a mid-term outlook maximizes flexibility. I'm trying to stay more grounded in fundamentals, flesh out the invest case for a quite a handful of stocks, and balancing risks in wide portfolio. Plan to explore ETF's more.