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welchy

welchy
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  • Which VIX Spike Could Kill XIV? Here Are The Numbers. [View article]
    so why not wait for a spike in VXX and by one year away puts (or svxy calls), seems like little risk compared with buying the etp.
    Feb 23 06:21 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • XIV: How To Avoid A Disastrous Loss And Boost Your Total Return. [View article]
    I think you're confusing what XIV/SVXY actually track. The VIX is a measure of the current implied volatility of the S&P, in contrast the VXX tracks the volatility on 1 month futures contracts. XIV and SVXY attempt to track the VXX futures and not the VIX (they can't), so when/if the VIX were to raise by 100% in a day (highly unlikely) the VXX might go up at most 60% or so, therefore the likelihood of XIV plunging more than 80% intraday is near impossible. I should not say impossible, but the events that cause a VIX 100% increase on one day are very rare.

    You can verify this day to day by watching the VIX and XIV price, the move almost 50% of one another. The highest VIX has rally was about 70% on 27- feb- 2007, I suspect XIV was down no more than 40%, far away from that 80%.

    more on the topic see http://bit.ly/1dWyrO3.
    Feb 19 03:52 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • No One Has Had A Successful Model Of Gold? I Do! [View article]
    Using that analogy you could conclude that the dirt from the bottom of the ocean is worth more than dollars.
    Nov 19 02:39 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Antares: Reiteration Of My Buy Recommendation [View article]
    Was reading their lastest 8k and they are in fact going to increase their total common shares to 200 mil. I did not, however, completely understood the reason or impact current shareholders will experience.
    Jun 4 12:57 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Why Ambarella Will Make New Highs Soon [View article]
    Great article Carl. Did the company give any guidance for the rest of 2013?. Looking to open a pos next week and would like to know if this demand will continue, as I missed their conf call back in March. Besides from the couple of links in your article, I can't find much on the web. Any links would be helpful, Thanks.
    May 10 06:30 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • UniPixel: Hey Citron, Where's The Beef? [View article]
    Fair enough, thank you Chris.
    Apr 19 09:39 PM | 2 Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • UniPixel: Hey Citron, Where's The Beef? [View article]
    If Dell or Intel is shipping a product based on Uniboss on September, then they must have worked with them for months in designing prototypes, testing, window market, costs, etc, before signing a contract. I think either company should come out and say that they're working on a new laptop with Uniboss and/or validate Unipixel's claims. Anyone know if/since when is Dell working and testing Uniboss on their laptops or prototypes?. This would be of great value since I find it hard to believe that Dell can test/analyze/build/market a product for September release given only 4 months after they receive their first batch of sensors.
    Apr 19 08:35 PM | 1 Like Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel Delivers [View article]
    Until they shed some light as to the terms of the contract and hear strong commitment and validation for Uniboss from Dell or Intel, I will remain on the sidelines on this one. How do we know that this contract isn't a one year agreement for prototype development or testing purposes?
    Apr 15 08:53 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bio Run-Ups: What To Expect In The Next Few Months [View article]
    Do you have any specific numbers to back up your statements? From what I've heard about these injectors is that they are cheaper and offer better absorbtion, without the negative side effects from taking oral MTX.
    Apr 15 05:33 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel: Following The Money [View article]
    So you're saying that they will take the fee from DELL and stuff it in their pockets, not buy any printing machines, sell their IP portfolio and call the eco-partner to tell them the deal is off. Think about it, if they are as greedy as you say they are, why wouldn't they expand, make more money in production/deals wait for their stock to be really high and sell.
    Apr 3 02:33 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Bio Run-Ups: What To Expect In The Next Few Months [View article]
    Anyone know how strong the rumor of a possible buyout by summer is and do you think the stock will be affected?
    Mar 24 02:10 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel: Still The Best Investment For 2013 [View article]
    Thanks for your answers oui and Chris, but what I do not understand about the graph is why the plated sensors during Phase 1(April2013) are so low(62K) compared with the printed ones(2million)? Don't they have to plate each of the 2 million printed in order to sell them? Why the large gap between printed and plated? Do they sell the printed ones separate?
    Mar 21 05:04 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel: Still The Best Investment For 2013 [View article]
    Hi Chris,

    Having just heard their latest webcast at ROTH, in slide 39 you can see their capacity roadmap. This shows that they won't be selling 12 million plated sensors, more like 1.3 million by the end of the year. So instead of the 12million/year @ $20 your table suggest we would see 1.3 million @ $20 and a revenue of $26.7 million/year instead of $240million/year.
    Mar 19 10:49 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel: Still The Best Investment For 2013 [View article]
    Chris could you also explain why we shouldn't be afriad when these insiders, who hold a substantial amount of options as you mentioned, choose to exercise their options.

    And I quote from investopidia "Investors can be diluted by employees who have been granted options as well. Investors should be particularly mindful of companies that grant employees a large number of optionable securities. Executives and board members can influence the price of a stock dramatically if the number of shares upon conversion is significant compared with the total shares outstanding".

    If I'm not mistaken, from your previous post, the amount is around 13.3 million shares. That is quite substantial.

    Not trying to stir up an argument, just need some clarification as I also see a similar discussion you had with realist.

    Link to the article http://bit.ly/WKygkt
    Mar 14 06:35 PM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
  • Uni-Pixel: Still The Best Investment For 2013 [View article]
    Informative and well written article Chris. I would like to point out some of the reasons I would be cautious before investing in UNXL. First of all if you are investing in this company you are betting that the future of the PC is touch, as I think that this whole "touch" mania was brought to consumers with the Ipad when Jobs was alive. Back then I would have invested in this company without a second thought, but it seems to me that the touch era is slowly decreasing. I say this because the very same company that brought it to light (Apple) is having a very tough time keeping people interested in its Ipad/Iphone. Right now this leaves Google and Samsung, the other tablet maker, to try and catch the rest of the market. Since touch is mostly designed for tablets and Windows 8 surface tablets were not that popular, Can any of these companies can actually pull off a new spending spree for touch enabled devices for the next 5 years? What makes you so sure that people are going to buy Dell touch Laptops if even Ipads are going down in popularity?. This leads me to believe that this investment is more short term until the touch screen is replaced by some other tech, if this is the case then I could hold this stock for 2 years max and get out. Remember if Dell can't sell they will dump UXML.
    Mar 8 12:24 AM | Likes Like |Link to Comment
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