Jari Ulmer is a long term investor with a focus on income and stability. He holds a B.S. in Science and M.S. in Engineering and works tirelessly in the civil service. Jari's interest in financial writing stems from a long standing fascination with numerical analysis and presentation. He is a strong believer in the do-your-own analysis approach and often is just as interested in an author's methods as he is their subject.
Wall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business news summary, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It's designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including on mobile devices), and is published before 7:00 AM ET every market day.
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Portfolio Manager, Belpointe Asset Management, Greenwich, CT
Chris is responsible for overseeing investment advice given to clients of Belpointe Asset Management. His specialty niche focuses on using options to hedge risk and enhance returns, and more opaque fixed income alternatives.
Chris began his career in finances in fixed income institutional sales at UBS. While at UBS he transitioned to the Private Client Group in Stamford, Connecticut, where he was responsible for managing the finances of successful individuals, families, and institutions. He resigned from UBS in March 2009 to join Belpointe Asset Management.
Prior to joining UBS, Chris was a National Account Manager for Lexmark International. He was based out of Washington, DC, and was responsible for sales to Federal entities, including the Department of the Navy, the Executive Office of the President, the US Congress, NRO, DIA, and the NSA.
Chris started his professional career at Los Angeles Air Force Base. As an officer, he led the team responsible for researching and designing rocket technologies for the next generation of space launch vehicles.
In his personal time he enjoys backpacking, camping, skiing,and reading - mostly science and history.
Chris is a 1993 graduate of the US Air Force Academy, where he received a Bachelors of Science Degree in Aeronautical Engineering. He also received a Masters of Science in Systems Management from the University of Southern California in 1998. He has passed the NASD Series 7 and Series 66 exams. Chris is currently licensed as an investment advisor representative.
I am a graduate student in biostatistics at Emory University in Atlanta, GA, and an individual investor. While my investments are mostly in low-cost index funds, I enjoy analyzing stock market trends and trying to find ways to beat the market.
Right now I'm convinced that the best way to beat the market is to pair a leveraged S&P 500 ETF (e.g. UPRO) with a total bond fund (e.g. BND). With one-third allocated to UPRO and two-thirds to BND, you get a portfolio with beta approximately 1 (depending on the current correlation between stocks and bonds) and alpha two-thirds that of BND's alpha. The result is a portfolio that sort of mimics SPY, but with an extra couple percentage points added on each year.
I favor computational investment methods over traditional fundamental or technical analysis, which require subjective analysis of earnings reports and visual assessments of price charts, respectively. I am interested in identifying aspects of stock charts that are statistically predictive of future gains, and developing algorithms that trigger buys or sells accordingly.
Vance Harwood is a private investor and consultant whose interests include macroeconomic forecasting, investor psychology, and volatility as an asset class. His investment activities include trading index ETFs, volatility related ETPs and their associated options. He blogs at sixfigureinvesting.com—mostly about volatility, but occasionally about options strategies, bond funds, and general market topics. He tracks the USA based volatility ETPs and has simulated the performance of most of them back to the initiation of VIX Futures in 2004.
A couple things Vance believes:
The past does not predict the future (see Nassim Taleb’s “Fooled by Randomness”). This invalidates much technical analysis–although I think the psychology of stock movements is very important
Past behavior of assets relative to each other (e.g., bonds vs stocks) does not guarantee future behavior
Markets fall a lot faster than they go up, typically at least 2X
“Buy and hold” ensures that you will experience the worst days as well as the best days of the market
Investing in individual stocks carries many more unknowns than aggregates like index ETFs (e.g., earnings surprises, analyst’s ratings)
Canadian Couch Potato's author is Dan Bortolotti, an investment advisor with PWL Capital in Toronto who has completed the FPSC Level 1 certification in financial planning. In addition to providing portfolio management (using the same strategies described on this blog) and planning services for clients, Dan and his colleagues offer a unique DIY Investor Service for those who need helping setting up index-fund portfolios they can manage on their own.
Dan is also a veteran journalist and author who has written about personal finance for many Canadian magazines, including MoneySense (where he is a columnist and consulting editor), Canadian MoneySaver and Financial Post. His articles have earned six National Magazine Awards nominations, and in 2013 he was named Journalist of the Year by the CFA Society of Toronto. Dan is also the author of The MoneySense Guide to the Perfect Portfolio, a complete guide to index investing in Canada, now in its third edition.
He has developed and currently manages proprietary quantitative strategies by fusing together behavioral finance, fundamental and technical analysis.
He also holds the Chartered Market Technician and Chartered Financial Analyst professional designations.
Before becoming one of the three founding partners of Emerald Asset Management in 2014, Clint was a financial representative with Northwestern Mutual Financial Network in Raleigh and a financial consultant at Gunnet, Best & Sorenson Financial Group at Wachovia Securities, which became Wells Fargo Advisors. He earned a bachelor’s degree from the University of North Carolina-Chapel Hill. He is currently a board member of the CFA Society North Carolina.
Clint grew up in Charlotte. Today, his family includes his wife, Lauren, and daughter Raegan. They enjoy traveling, the outdoors and spending time in Ocracoke. Clint also enjoys martial arts and overall fitness training.
AllAboutAlpha.com is an online strategic information service for the asset management and hedge fund industries. Like a research firm, we immerse ourselves in the latest academic research, scan the headlines and provide subscribers with what we think they need to know as the asset management industry enters a period of rapid evolution. Like a “blog,” we deliver those insights in a manner that is easy to digest, frequent and tempered by our own unique view of the world.
AllAboutAlpha.com is not a media firm or general hedge fund portal. Instead, we partner with these companies to shine a focused light on issues of a strategic importance to asset managers. We do not cover hedge fund launches, “people-moves,” or the performance or profiles of specific funds. We do not provide information on how to launch a hedge fund, legal or operational issues, or the investment outlook for particular strategies. We focus solely on uncovering the common denominators that tie together seemingly disparate developments to help our subscribers anticipate and manage change.
With nearly 1,000 archived articles and entries, and new material added daily, AllAboutAlpha.com is research tool designed to be an “early warning” system for asset managers, service providers, and investors. Whether you simply visit on a daily basis to read our latest thoughts, or whether you subscribe to our Knowledge Base of archives and “research dossiers” as you create reports, pitches, internal research materials or publications, we hope you find AllAboutAlpha.com a valuable addition to your other research sources.
Frank Grossmann (founder and partner of logical-invest.com)
I am Swiss and living in Zurich. I studied Microtechnics at the Federal Institute of Technology in Lausanne and Business Administration at the Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich. After the studies in 1989 I founded Labocontrol AG. This company was sold to the US company Digital Now Inc. where I continued to work as a chief scientist.
Since 13 years I have my own software company Colour-Science.com which develops algorithms for digital image processing. These algorithms do things like image enhancement, red eye removal or pattern (face) detection. My passion however was always to search for pattern in financial data and then develop and back test rule based investment strategies.
I've been a financial advisor for the past 7 years. Currently hold my CFP and a struggling CFA candidate. I created The 5 Funds initially to provide friends with good investment advice for free. The 5 Funds is a portfolio of 5 low cost ETFs that are updated quarterly. I have 3 portfolios based on risk tolerance: The Conservative 5, The Moderate 5, and The Aggressive 5.
Brian Dightman founded Dightman Capital, an independent Registered Investment Advisor firm in 2007, just in time to deploy defensive strategies prior to the 2008 credit crisis. He has more than 10 years of industry experience and currently manages Global Growth Strategies which have been GIPS® performance verified. He has published articles in several leading industry publications and writes commentary for Seeking Alpha.
Brian also acts as an educator and currently leads a Meetup Group designed to help individual investors learn the William O’Neil CAN SLIM® stock investing system.
Brian is committed to identifying successful investing strategies and developing systems that allow them to be deployed at Dightman Capital. In particular, he is interested in exploiting those areas of asset markets that exhibit inefficiencies. His primary goal is the successful compounding of principle by avoiding sustained market declines; generating income and capital growth.
Please contact the firm if you would like to receive a GIPS® verified performance presentation.
You can follow me on Twitter and StockTwits, just search Nathan Buehler.
I have always had a passion for finance and investing. I enjoy and appreciate engaging with like minded individuals that inspire me to think beyond what is generally accepted. My investment experience spans almost ten years. The bulk of my knowledge has come from independent observation, research, patience, and perseverance. Most of my strategy is geared towards long term outlook with focuses on short term events or situations that create attractive opportunities.
I hope the articles presented here help you in your investment decisions. I value our discussions and look forward to professional dialogues. If I can ever help you with anything please contact me. Know you are always going to get a straight answer. If I don't know the answer I will either research it for you or tell you I don't know.
During the school year there may be a delay in my responses. Keep the feedback coming!
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Disclosure for all Invesco US articles: The information provided is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation of the suitability of any investment strategy for a particular investor. Invesco does not provide tax advice. The tax information contained herein is general and is not exhaustive by nature. Federal and state tax laws are complex and constantly changing. Investors should always consult their own legal or tax professional for information concerning their individual situation. The opinions expressed are those of the authors, are based on current market conditions and are subject to change without notice. These opinions may differ from those of other Invesco investment professionals.
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Chief Investment Officer for Stanford Wealth Management, a Registered Investment Advisor. Retired senior executive of Charles Schwab. Retired (36 years) active and reserve military service -- six in special operations, 30 in the intelligence community. Geopolitical analyst. Author -- investment book Bringing Home the Gold.
Editor -- The Investor’s Edge®. In the 16 years from inception through year-end 2015, the Investor’s Edge® Growth & Value Portfolio increased in value from $250,000 to $1,038,453. That same $250,000 invested in the S&P 500 rose to just $422,905. (Past results are no guarantee of future performance; maybe those 16 years were pure luck.) SEE SPECIAL OFFER BELOW! Featured in Forbes, Barrons, The Wall Street Journal, Financial World, Wall Street Transcript, Global Investing, Welling on Wall Street, etc.
SUMMER SPECIAL: June and July ONLY, receive 1 year of Investor's Edge®, normally $189, for just $99. If you are ever not 100% satisfied, we provide a pro rata refund for any issues not yet received. Phone orders only! 775 832-5440.
Jason Draut, PhD, is currently a registered investment advisor and senior portfolio manager for Wynn Capital Management. Prior to joining WCM he was a risk manager and portfolio manager at BlackRock. See his LinkedIn Profile page for more details:
Reality Shares empowers investors by providing exchange-traded funds that seek to isolate the growth of dividends. Reality Shares' ETF, DIVY, invests primarily in listed index option contracts and seeks to return the expected dividends of Large Cap Securities.
For more information, visit www.realityshares.com.
Important disclosures: http://www.realityshares.com/socmed-guidelines/.
Tiger Technologies conducts and supports theoretical research in the field of mathematics and physical sciences.
One application of this research is in the field of investment management. Please feel free to browse some of the articles on financial applications of our research in the blog.
Based on this research, we provide single manager as well as multi-manager portfolios for our institutional clients. All portfolios are systematically created, dynamically rebalanced and risk managed to generate low volatility alpha.
If you are a QEP (Qualified Eligible Participant) as defined by the Commodity Exchange Act, please contact us for more information on our products*.
Kiran is an independent research consultant in the areas of volatility-based and leveraged instruments, including several proprietary strategies.
His services include hypotheses generation, back-testing, risk/return analytics, and predictive modelling for proprietary trading strategies, as well as research consulting in the above areas. Expected and realized returns for his 2 flagship strategy portfolios exceed 100% on an annualized basis, while maintaining expected and realized Sharpe ratios over 3 times higher than the S&P 500. Kiran was mentored by Wall Street research veteran Mark Gomes. Alongside Mr. Gomes, he brought Wall Street level research to retail and institutional investors through PTT Capital's flagship newsletters.
Mark Bern (formerly K202) intends to continue writing solo and has shed other work-related relationships that required anonymity.
CPA since 1990 a CFA charter holder since 2000. He has a bachelors degree in Business Admin. with a concentration in Economics. His experience includes both private and public sector and careers in accounting, financial and market analysis, product development, transportation services and investment management.
I am currently a retired Aerospace Engineer. I am married with three children and eight grandchildren. I was born in San Francisco, CA in 1949 and moved to Newport News, VA in 1951 where I lived until I went to college. By God's grace, I received a B.S. degree from Virginia Tech (1972), a M.S. degree from Caltech (1973), and a M.A. - Biblical Studies degree from Birmingham Theological Seminary (2013). I worked at Pratt & Whitney (1973-1986) and CFD Research Corporation (1987-2008).
Now in retirement and trying to preserve my life savings, I currently have a strong interest in tactical asset allocation strategies, and have studied them extensively. I have developed a number of tactical strategies involving the periodic trading of ETFs and, more recently, mutual funds. These strategies have been backtested mainly using Portfolio Visualizer and ETFreplay software. The goal is to earn 10-15% annually with no negative years, and to have maximum drawdowns of less than 10%, preferably less than 5%. The strategies include purchasing a limited number of funds with the highest growth and lowest volatility, and minimizing risk using moving average, dual momentum, and risk parity methods. I have developed strategies for equity as well as bond assets.
Charles is President and Portfolio Manager of Equinox Investment Management Ltd. He has more than 15 years experience in financial services and investment management. He holds the CFA and CAIA designations, as well as an MBA and an LLM in securities law.
Equinox is a portfolio management company registered with the Ontario Securities Commission that manages systematic investment strategies for private clients and institutions.
Please feel free to visit Equinox Investment Management at: www.equinoxim.com
David is a Managing Partner at FMD Capital Management, a fee-only registered investment advisory firm specializing in exchange-traded funds. He has years of experience constructing and implementing actively managed growth and income portfolios using ETFs, CEFs, and mutual funds.
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Follow me on Stocktwits: http://stocktwits.com/fabiancapital
Michael Ashton has been a recognized leader in developing the U.S. inflation derivatives market. He traded the first interbank U.S. CPI swaps in 2003 and, as a dealer, was a primary liquidity-provider in that market for two large banks. He represented about one-third of interbank swaps volume during his tenures at those firms. He invented and was the sole market-maker for the CME CPI Futures contract. He has written and spoken extensively about the use of inflation-indexed products for hedging real exposures, and has written more broadly in a commentary format about the rates markets and macroeconomy. Mr. Ashton is currently the managing principal at Enduring Investments LLC. His comments on this site and others are not posted in that role, and no opinions of his should be construed to be recommendations of or to reflect the views of his employer. He recently published "What's Wrong With Money? The Biggest Bubble of All."
Peter Way Associates is the only known provider of the price range forecasts of widely-held, actively traded stocks derived from the hedging activities of market-making [MM] firms as they balance big-$-fund sellers and buyers in large block trades. The price ranges offer explicit downside exposure forecasts not commonly found in publicly published investment analyses.
This is all forward-looking data, based on what the MMs will pay for protection against coming unwanted price change while temporarily committed firm capital is exposed to market risks. It is available by modest subscription cost at blockdesk.com.
The behavioral analysis involved has been performed daily since Y2K, now on over 3,000 stocks, ETFs, and market indexes. That has built an actuarial history of how market prices have subsequently behaved following several million price range forecasts, issue by issue.
That data provides a qualitative backdrop to current forecasts in terms of odds of profitable positions, size of prospective gains, credibility of forecasts, and worst-case price drawdown exposure experiences.
Peter F. Way is a veteran Chartered Financial Analyst, having taken and passed the CFA Institute’s required 3 examinations in the first years they were given, 40+ years ago.
Armed with BS in Economics from the Wharton School and an MBA degree from Harvard Business School, he has managed staffs of dozens of Investment Researchers and Quantitative Analysts for the nation’s largest bank, arbitraged index options for NYSE Specialists, and managed portfolios of hundred-million-dollar equity investments for Fortune 100 corporate pension funds and non-profit endowments.
He has been elected President of professional Investment Analyst Societies in San Diego and New York City and has served on the editorial boards of the Financial Analysts Journal and the CFA Digest. He has spoken at numerous schools and professional meetings.
Ron Rowland is a portfolio manager with Flexible Plan Investments, Ltd., a Registered Investment Advisor specializing in active management, located in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan.
He has been providing market commentary and active investment advice since 1991. He is the founder and editor of Invest With An Edge, a website and weekly newsletter providing free actionable ideas for ETFs, and the home of ETF Deathwatch.
Additionally, he is the Executive Editor of the All Star Investor newsletter (http://allstarinvestor.com), a highly regarded paid subscription investment service he started in 1991.
Chris Ciovacco is the founder and CEO of Ciovacco Capital Management (CCM), an independent money management firm serving individual investors nationwide. The thoroughly researched and backtested CCM Market Model answers these important questions: (1) How much should we allocate to risk assets?, (2) How much should we allocate to conservative assets?, (3) What are the most attractive risk assets?, and (4) What are the most attractive conservative assets?
Chris is an expert in identifying the best ETFs from a wide variety of asset classes, including stocks, bonds, commodities, and precious metals. The CCM Market Model compares over 130 different ETFs to identify the most attractive risk-reward opportunities.
Chris graduated summa cum laude from The Georgia Institute of Technology with a co-operative degree in Industrial and Systems Engineering. Prior to founding Ciovacco Capital Management in 1999, Mr. Ciovacco worked as a Financial Advisor for Morgan Stanley in Atlanta for five years earning a strong reputation for his independent research and high integrity. While at Georgia Tech, he gained valuable experience working as a co-op for IBM (1985-1990). During his time with Morgan Stanley, Chris received extensive training which included extended stays in NYC at the World Trade Center.
His areas of expertise include technical analysis and market model development. CCM’s popular weekly technical analysis videos on YouTube have been viewed over 700,000 times. Chris’ years of experience and research led to the creation of the thoroughly backtested CCM Market Model, which serves as the foundation for the management of separate accounts for individuals and businesses.
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Dale Roberts is an Investment Funds Associate with Tangerine Investment Funds Limited, a subsidiary of Tangerine Bank wholly owned by Scotiabank. My articles are for information purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or an offer or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities. These articles are my personal opinion and are not those of Tangerine Bank or its subsidiaries. Remember past performance is not guaranteed and may not be repeated. Investment strategies are not suitable for everyone and you should always conduct your own research or speak to a financial advisor.
I look for a change in sentiment that precedes the change in trend. Moments of "lag" in sentiment can provide superb entry points into special situations at a discount; and obversely, manic enthusiasm can provide an opportunity to go short.
I research the fundamentals, know what I am getting into, and go long or short accordingly. Technical studies of the market are also an active part of my trading. I have invested for 22 years.