Richard Turnill, Managing Director, is Global Chief Investment Strategist for BlackRock, leading the Investment Strategy Function within the BlackRock Investment Institute (BII). He is responsible for ensuring we create, coordinate and communicate value added market and investment insights and deliver them consistently to our clients and client facing professionals. Prior to his current role he was Chief Investment Strategist for the Alpha Strategies Group, responsible for developing strategic plans around the Alpha Strategies product range and the positioning of Alpha Strategies products both internally and externally. He has also served as Head of the Global Equity team within the Fundamental Active Equity division of BlackRock's Portfolio Management Group. He was responsible for leading the team which manages large cap global equity portfolios.
Mr. Turnill's service with the firm dates back to 1996, including his years with Merrill Lynch Investment Managers (MLIM), which merged with BlackRock in 2006. At MLIM, he led the global equity team and was responsible for overseeing all aspects of the investment process. Earlier, Mr. Turnill was a group economist in MLIM's Central Strategy Group, head of MLIM's asset allocation and economics team, and was the Chief Investment Officer for the Merrill Lynch Global Private Client discretionary business in EMEA Pacific. Prior to joining MLIM in 1996, Mr. Turnill worked in the international division of the Bank of England as an economic advisor and the global economics team of Paribas Capital Markets in London. Mr. Turnill earned an MA degree in economics from Cambridge University in 1991.
Harvard College, BA, Economics; Stanford Graduate School of Business, MBA
Managing Director, Boslego Risk Services
I founded Boslego Risk Services and became a recognized expert in the area of energy price risk management (hedging), providing oil and natural gas hedging strategies to major oil companies such as Exxon, Shell, Mobil, Chevron, Texaco and Phillips; to the national oil companies of Norway, Venezuela, Mexico, Canada, France and Italy; to major users of energy products, such as Delta Airlines, United Airlines, Burlington-Northern Railroad, and Canadian Pacific Railway; to major trading firms, such as Enron, Phibro, Sempra and Vitol; and to large hedge funds (confidential).
As the recognized expert in energy hedging, I was selected by the former president, John Treat, of the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) to write the chapter on hedging in his book, Energy Futures.
I expanded my risk analysis and hedging services beyond the energy markets to financial markets. Given the failure of traditional portfolio diversification to limit losses to levels tolerable to most investors in 2008/09, I created investment strategies utilizing risk management techniques for hedge funds and financial firms.
I joined Seeking Alpha as a Senior Editor in 2012 and currently manage the Energy vertical. I've spent the last 18 years working in publishing, and my experience includes editing scientific/medical journals, personal finance magazines, and several investment websites.
Here at Seeking Alpha we're always looking for new ideas and new authors, so please contact me if you're interested in contributing.
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IHS Markit (Nasdaq: INFO) is a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions for the major industries and markets that drive economies worldwide. The company delivers next-generation information, analytics and solutions to customers in business, finance and government, improving their operational efficiency and providing deep insights that lead to well-informed, confident decisions. IHS Markit has more than 50,000 key business and government customers, including 80 percent of the Fortune Global 500 and the world’s leading financial institutions. Headquartered in London, IHS Markit is committed to sustainable, profitable growth.
25 years in energy M&A/Corporate Finance business career. Senior officer for public E&P companies, including MLP, charged with overseeing (at different times) accounting, tax, legal, investment banking/analyst relations, investor relations, as well as business unit with land, engineering, geological and support functions. Used legal background to interface with and direct outside investment bankers, law firms and accounting firms in M&A transactions and offerings. Personal investments and trading 15 years.
Founder of "The Contrarian", a premium research service, featuring the "Bet The Farm" Portfolio. Actively investing since 1995, I have soared like an eagle, and been unmercifully humbled by the markets. Achieved positive returns in 2008, and turned an account with $60,310 on 1/1/2009 into an account with $3,177,937 on 11/30/2009. My best years have been 1995-2003, 2008-2012, and 2016-????. My worst years were 2013-2015. I believe inflation is coming, and we are at an inflection point in the markets.
Twenty year career as an investment analyst, investor, portfolio manager, consultant, and writer. Founder of Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd, which was incorporated in the spring of 2009. Dyed in the wool contrarian investor, who has learned, the hard way, that a good contrarian is only contrarian 20% of the time, but being right at key inflection points is the key to meaningful wealth creation in the markets. I believe we are near a meaningful inflection point, perhaps the biggest one yet, for the third time in the past 15 years.
Historically, I have had huge wins and impressive losses based on a concentrated, contrarian strategy. Trying to keep the good while filtering out the bad.
Seeking to run an all weather portfolio with minimal volatility and index overlays to capture my strategic and tactical recommendations along with a concentrated best ideas portfolio, which is my bread and butter, but the volatility only makes it suitable for a small piece of an investor's overall portfolio. The following are a couple of my favorite investment quotes.
"Life and investing are long ballgames." Julian Robertson
"A diamond is a chunk of coal that is made good under pressure."
"Knowledge is limited. Imagination encircles the world." Albert Einstein
I’ve been on top of the world, and the world has been on top of me. I have learned to enjoy the perspective from each view, and use opportunities to persistently acquire knowledge, and enjoy the company of those around me, especially loved ones, family, and friends.
At heart, I am a market historian with an unrivaled passion for the capital markets. I have had a long history and specialization with concentrated positions and options trading. Made money in 2008 with a net long portfolio, deploying capital in some of the market's darkest hours into long positions including purchases of American Express, Atlas Energy, Crosstex, First Industrial Real Estate, General Growth Properties, Genworth, Macquarie Infrastructure, Ruth Chris Steakhouse, and Vornado near their lows. Shorting, hedging, and option strategies also helped me in 2007 and 2009, and these are skills that I have developed ever since I started trading heavily in 1996.I enjoy reading, accumulating knowledge, and putting this knowledge to work in the active capital markets, learning lessons along the way.To this day, I continue to learn, and some of these learning lessons have been excruciatingly difficult ones, especially over the past several years, as I made mistakes allocating capital, including a sizable portion of my own capital (I always invest alongside my clients), to commodity related stocks. While all commodity related stocks have struggled since April of 2011, coal companies, which attracted me due to their extremely cheap valuations, and out-of-favor status (I am a strong believer in behavioral finance alongside fundamentals and technicals) have been the worst investing mistake of my career. The focus on the commodity arena has been the biggest mistake of my investment career thus far, yet in its aftermath, I see tremendous opportunity, even larger in scope than the fortuitous 2008/2009 environment.The capital that I accumulated and the confidence gained in navigating the treacherous investment waters of 2008 gave me the confidence to launch my own investment firm in the spring of 2009, right before the ultimate lows in the stock market. At the time I was working as a senior analyst at one of the largest RIA's in the country, and I felt strongly that the market environment was the best time since 1974/1975 to start an investment firm.
Prior to starting my firm, I was a senior analyst for three different firms over approximately 10 years (Charles Schwab, Redwood, Oxford), moving up in responsibility and scope at each stop along my journey. Since I was a paperboy, I have always had an interest in the investment markets. I love researching and finding opportunities. I am a Chartered Financial Analyst, CFA, as well as a Chartered Alternative Investment Analyst, CAIA. After starting in the teaching program at Ball State University, I switched to a career in finance when I turned a small student loan into a substantial amount of capital. I graduated summa cum laude with a degree in finance from Ball State.
Full disclosure, I am not currently a registered investment advisor, though I did serve in this capacity from 2009-2014, while owning Koldus Contrarian Investments, Ltd. Additionally, I held various securities licenses from 2000-2014, without a single complaint filed, and I continue to hold industry designations. At the end of 2014, I voluntarily let my state registration expire, as I transitioned the business to a different structure. Prior to this, I had passed, and held, various securities exams and licenses, including the Series 7, Series 63, and Series 65 exams, in addition to others, alongside my CFA and CAIA designations. Unfortunately, I did not file the proper paperwork to withdraw my state registration, and I did not disclose a personal arrangement, and subsequent civil case, between myself and a former close personal friend and client, that was initiated in 2011. I was unaware that I was required to disclose these items, and my securities attorney, at the time, did not advise me to do so. Previously, I had managed a portfolio for this gentleman, and we had taken an investment of approximately $7 million in 2009, and grown it to over $25 million at the beginning of 2012. After a difficult year of performance, an employee of the firm I owned, and friend, resigned in early 2013, and took the aforementioned client to a competing firm. As a result of not filing the proper paperwork, I agreed to a settlement, with a potential $2500 fine in the future, depending on if I choose to reapply to be a non-exempt advisor.
“The way to win is to work, work, work, work and hope to have a few insights.”
– Charlie Munger
“People err who think my art comes easily to me. I assure you, dear friend, nobody has devoted so much time and thought to compositions as I. There is not a famous master whose music I have not industriously studied through many times.”
- Wolfgang Amadeus Mozart
"It is better to be roughly right than precisely wrong."
- John Maynard Keynes
My time frame for looking at an investment would generally be between two to five years.
Dallas currently owns and operates as CEO an Austin-based enterprise consulting firm that specializes in private company lifecycle management, up to and including taking companies public, and in helping consult publicly traded companies ranging in market cap from $100 million to $500 million. He has a specialization in deal flow management and is often the referring and closing source of Joint Ventures and broader M&A. Dallas often works directly with management teams and Boards of microcap and stressed equity companies in which he or members of his professional network are heavily invested. This includes helping with overall strategy, helping with capital structure management, helping facilitate liquidity, helping facilitate Joint Ventures and broader M&A, and helping restructure the business segments if necessary. Recently Dallas has been interviewed by The Pittsburgh Business Times, The Banker, Columbus Business First, Houston Business Journal, The Deal, Energy Intelligence, and his tweets have been used by CNBC to highlight hot button issues regarding Carl Icahn, Bill Ackman, Nelson Peltz’s takeover attempts at DuPont, etc. Dallas has also been quoted and sourced to by StreetSweeper.org, Marcellus.com, MarcellusDrilling.com, Bakken.com, OilOnline.com, and other physical and online publications. "One place of great inefficiency is in the stressed equity markets – or the markets in which a company appears as bankruptcy or a breakup is inevitable. As equities become stressed they often sell down to absurd levels of value that present, should there be value to be unlocked, opportunities for “venture level” returns. These often range in the 3X-10X range. With my unique ability to actually improve business outcomes by working directly with a company and management/Board I’m in a position, should I view the underlying business as salvageable, to directly improve the long-term viability of the company. I am NOT simply an investor in these names but an acting consultant. This allows me to “overlay my network” and to move the company away from a stressed or defaulting outcome and into an outcome probability that allows the equity price to move substantially higher. Identifying these opportunities has generated shareholders and investors thousands of percentage points in aggregate and is something I’m often recognized by paying subscribers for."
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Mr. Boland is a part owner and founder at caperatio.com which is a finance related website focusing on the Cyclically Adjusted P/E Ratio. The website features a calculator that facilitates the calculation of the CAPE Ratio per individual stock (as explored by recent Nobel Laureate Robert Shiller). The website also provides a weekly newsletter to subscribers on the subject of the CAPE Ratio. This website and Mr. Boland’s work has been featured at a number of renowned investment/hedge-fund blogs and books in addition to news articles at Value Walk, Business Insider, Yahoo Finance, and Money Week. Most recently caperatio.com was discussed in the new book entitled "Global Value: How to Spot Bubbles, Avoid Market Crashes, and Earn Big Returns in the Stock Market."
Mr. Paul Boland has worked in the field of Taxation and Accounting for the last 6 years, both in a managerial capacity and as a junior accountant and holds the License of Enrolled Agent (EA) from the Secretary of the Treasury and the designation of Accredited Business Accountant (ABA) from the ACAT. Paul has been teaching courses on taxation at Gloucester County College since the Fall of 2011. Paul Boland holds a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from the McKenna School at St. Vincent College, and a Masters of Business Administration (MBA) through the Rohrer College of Business at Rowan University.
Jonathan Moreland is the founder and Director of Research at InsiderInsights.com, which produces the weekly InsiderInsights Newsletter, and offers institutional strength, real-time insider data and analytics via a subscription Data Module and APIs. He is also principal of Insider Asset Management llc, a registered investment advisor in New York State, and a past contributor to TheStreet.com, Minyanville, and other financial outlets.
A fundamental analyst with an MBA in finance, Mr. Moreland identified insider data over 25 years ago as an excellent first screen to determine where to focus his research efforts. He is quoted frequently in the media for his insider analysis, and stock recommendations stemming from it. He is also author of Profit From Legal Insider Trading (Dearborn 2001), and has a new book due out with Wiley.
Mr. Moreland is currently on a mission to get investors to expect more from insider data than the commodity feeds they rely on from their Bloomberg terminals, Yahoo!Finance, and other financial websites.
ValueWalk has gained popularity among all circles for its breaking stories on hedge funds, and investigative reports on investments by major funds.
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Stone Fox Capital Advisors is a registered investment advisor founded in 2010. The firm offers portfolio management with a focus on opportunistic stocks providing secular growth trends at an affordable value. An emphasis is placed on fundamental analysis though charts are used for timing entry and exit points.
Mark Holder graduated from the University of Tulsa with a double major in accounting & finance. He's been interested in the stock market since college and began managing investments for friends and family more than 20 years ago. Mark has his Series 65 and is also a CPA.
Invest with Stone Fox Capital's model portfolios on Covestor.com as he makes real time trades. Covestor also allows followers to duplicate the model portfolio in their own brokerage accounts. You can find the portfolio and more details here:
Follow Mark on twitter: @stonefoxcapital
VectorVest is the only stock analysis and portfolio management system that analyzes, ranks, and graphs over 23,000 stocks for value, safety, and timing. VectorVest gives a buy, sell, or hold recommendation on every stock, every day and is now available for the U.S., Canada, United Kingdom (U.K.), Europe, Australia, Singapore and South Africa stock markets.
Whether you're a long-term investor or a short-term trader, VectorVest has all the tools you need to time the market, find the best stocks and manage your portfolio in less time with higher profits. Try it now, risk-free, for 5-weeks www.vectorvest.com/alpha
I'm author of Net Net Hunter, a site dedicated to international net net stocks. It often pays to look outside of your own backyard when investing in net net stocks. Net Net Hunter is a community based site helping investors make the most of their financial future by uncovering net net stocks in international markets. We offer investors:
-Raw Lists - 540 net net stocks in Canada, the USA, Hong Kong, Japan, Australia, and the UK
-Net Net Stock Shortlists - The best net net stock investments available
-Inner Circle Resource Center - sharpen your investment strategy
-Inner Circle Newsletter - Connect with skilled deep value investors
-Inner Circle Advice Email Series - Learn how to put together a great portfolio
-Investment Analysis - A detailed perspective on 12 net net stocks each year
If you’re ready to earn 25% annual returns by making net net stocks a key part of your portfolio then sign up for a full Net Net Hunter membership right now.
Please note that the article that you are reading here was originally written on my blog and is republished in Seeking Alpha and other forums. Consequently, I neither track nor respond to comments here. I am sorry! ================ Editors' Note: Seeking Alpha monitors Dr. Damodaran blog and posts relevant articles on his behalf.
"One of the best ways to do well in this business is to go to areas that have been unexploited by research capability and work them for all you can." -Julian Robertson Managing partner of the Schildpad & De Haas partnerships. Seeking Alpha PRO contributor since the library's inception in 2013. A special selection of investment ideas is available through the Exclusive Research service.
Managing Partner and Chief Investment Officer of FMD Capital Management, a fee-only registered investment advisory firm specializing in exchange-traded funds.
At FMD Capital Management we excel at developing and managing growth or income strategies for our clients in every market environment.
A fundamental tenet of our firm is that risk within any investment should be identified and planned for well in advance of any purchases. It’s this type of strategic planning that will segue into successful changes to our client's portfolio as part of our active management philosophy.
Investors in today’s turbulent times have to face real threats to their retirement nest egg that include: stock volatility, inflationary fears, currency manipulation, and commodity price swings. The combination of these factors and more, have provided us with an unprecedented level of opportunity and risk in today’s markets.
The global landscape has never been more accessible to capital than it is today. Our technical expertise in research and trading allows us access to virtually any market in the world. This opens the door to select the investments that we feel are the strongest opportunities for your assets.
I started a dividend growth investment strategy a few years ago and am aggressively growing my portfolio to churn out enough dividends to reach financial independence.
I began my career as an Aeronautical Engineer and had an interest in capital markets. My interest ultimately led me to go back to school to Purdue University in order to obtain my MBA. I am a student of the Intelligent Investor. I wait for Mr. Market to offer me dollar bills for less than 100 cents. My goal is to take advantage of short term inefficiencies in the market and let the long term efficiency make the corrections. Intelligent investing is not about flashing lights and quick speak, it is about sound, simple, and thorough analysis.
I'm a value investor with a concentrated portfolio. My focus is on purchasing the greatest risk adjusted return. Ideal companies have strong balance sheets, consistent cash flows, and a history of excellent capital allocation. I spend a lot of time looking at companies in out-of-favor industries and those undergoing some sort of corporate action.
I'm always looking to hear what those on the other side of a trade have to say. I write primarily about the companies that I am on-the-fence about purchasing (or current holdings that I am thinking about selling) in the hopes that someone will point out a flaw in my thesis.
I am not a financial adviser. Nothing I post is financial advice. I do not recommend stocks and I am not promising anyone results of any kind. All my posts are comprised of general information and my own opinions. Investors should do their own research, verify all facts, consider all possible risks, and consult with their financial adviser before buying or selling any security.
The resource referenced below can be deceptively inaccurate, though it is the only known site that tracks the performance of stocks written about through Seeking Alpha (when using the S&P 500 as a benchmark):
Important information follows, please click the link below to review it all:
Work presented may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts but instead represent only the author's belief regarding future events, many of which, by their nature, are inherently uncertain and outside his control. Except for the author's obligation to disclose material information, the author is not under any obligation (and expressly disclaims any obligation) to update or alter any projections, goals, assumptions, or other statements, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
No content within the author's work is a recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person or purpose. The author is not advising you personally concerning the nature, potential, value or suitability of any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, investment strategy or other matter. To the extent that any of the content of this article may be deemed to be investment advice or recommendations in connection with a particular security, such information is impersonal and not tailored to specific investment needs. The author is not an investment advisor and is not offering investment advice. You understand that an investment in any security is subject to a number of risks, and that discussions of any security published will not contain a list or description of relevant risk factors. Some of the stocks about which the author has written and writes about have a low market capitalization and/or insufficient public float. Such stocks are subject to more risk than stocks of larger companies, including greater volatility, lower liquidity and less publicly available information. Any information in the author's work deemed by you to be recommendations may have an effect on their stock prices.
The author's publications are not intended to provide tax, legal, insurance or investment advice, and nothing presented in the author's work should be construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any security by Seeking Alpha or any third party. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any investment, security or strategy, or any other product or service, is appropriate or suitable for you based on your investment objectives and personal and financial situation. You should consult an attorney or tax professional regarding your specific legal or tax situation.
All information in this report is provided "as is" without warranty, expressed or implied, or representations of any kind to the fullest extent permissible under applicable law, the author will not be liable for the quality, accuracy, completeness, reliability, or timeliness of this information, or for any direct, consequential, incidental, special or punitive damages that may arise out of use of this information by you or anyone else, including but not limited to lost profits, loss of opportunities, trading losses, and damage that may result from any inaccuracy or incompleteness of this information to the fullest extent permitted by law. The author denies liability to you or anyone else under any tort, contract, negligence, strict liability, products liability, or other theory with respect to presentation of information.
The information, opinions, data, quantitative and qualitative statements communicated have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but have not been independently verified and are not guaranteed as to accuracy nor does it purport to be a complete analysis of every material fact regarding the company, industry, or security. The information, opinions, or recommendations are solely for informational purposes and are only valid as of the date appearing on the report and are subject to change without notice. You recognize that performance data is supplied by sources believed to be reliable, that the calculations herein are made using such data, and that such calculations are not guaranteed by these sources, the information providers, or any other person or entity, and may not be complete.
The author writes about and invests in high risk companies, some of which succeed, and some of which go out of business completely, rendering securities, including bonds, preferred stock, common stock, options and other financial derivatives valueless.
The author does not intend to receive any inside information from any of the companies written about.
Investors are encouraged to read investment information available at the websites of the SEC at http://www.sec.gov and FINRA at http://www.finra.org.
Prescient Investment Analysis is a person. BA, Boston College, Philosophy.
Richard Zeits is an Oil & Gas industry analyst and consultant. His background includes fourteen years as Energy industry-focused investment banker, portfolio manager and senior investment analyst with bulge bracket firms in New York. Zeits Energy Analytics use elaborate proprietary analytics and data bases to provide in-depth industry research, market intelligence, and forecasting.
Friedrich is the name given to our algorithm for analyzing companies that trade on the global stock markets. In creating Friedrich we concentrated on analyzing each company’s Main Street operations through various established ratios, along with our own unique ratios that we developed over the last 30 years. What we came up with is a final "Main Street" price per share based on Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), which is a framework of accounting standards, rules and procedures defined by the professional accounting industry, which has been adopted by nearly all publicly traded U.S. companies. We feel that our Main Street price result is what each company would need to trade at in order to be attractive to a businessperson on Main Street looking to buy at a bargain.
Since the only constant in the universe is change, the results for each company fluctuate by varying degrees. No company is an island unto itself, but each operates in a world of constant change and at times in areas where Chaos is the norm. By analyzing a company’s Main Street operations over time, Friedrich is able to give the potential investor a decade long analysis (opinion) as well as offering a Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) analysis (opinion), as well. Thus our readers will not only get as close to a real time view of operations on Main Street as is possible, but then can measure the consistency of the company’s operations over time to determine if s/he should invest or not.
Through our Friedrich algorithm we can analyze ten years of Balance Sheet, Income Statement and Cash Flow Statement data for each company all at once and generate one final result in seconds. Friedrich was designed to be ultra-conservative and thus will cut zero slack to any company under analysis and will do so with zero emotion. Companies must be exceptional in order to get an attractive Main Street valuation and the ideal investments according to our backtesting are the ones that have been consistent over time.
By being so ultra conservative Friedrich is designed to identify bargains that Wall Street investors may have overlooked. Companies shares may trade on the stock market but the companies themselves operate on Main Street, so Friedrich is designed to generate a Main Street price per share first and only then does he go to Wall Street and see the price for which Benjamin Graham’s “Mr. Market” is offering the shares.
Our team is based in Chicago and New York with experience at Google, The Wall Street Journal, Bear Stearns, Lehman Brothers, Tribune and WallStreetView.
YCharts visualizes massive amounts of market information to identify companies with long-term competitive advantages and appropriate valuations. Fundamentals matter and we believe it’s important to understand how companies perform over time and relative to their peers. We cover over 20,000 U.S. & Canadian companies and manage over 40 million investor trends in real-time.
Helix Investment Research was founded in July 2011 by Ivan Deryugin, and focuses on leveraging secular global trends, across a variety of sectors, in order to generate long-term outperformance.
Leigh Drogen is the Founder and CEO of Estimize.com and Forcerank.com. Estimize is an open financial estimates platform which facilitates the aggregation of fundamental estimates from independent, buy-side, and sell-side analysts, along with those of industry experts and private investors. By sourcing estimates from a diverse community of individuals, Estimize provides both a more accurate and more representative view of expectations compared to sell side only data. Leigh started his career as a quant trader at Geller Capital, a White Plains, NY based fund where he ran strategies that looked at earnings acceleration and analyst estimate revision models, as well as price momentum and several sentiment indicators. Leigh later went on to be the founder of Surfview Capital, a New York based asset management firm that used many of the same strategies as Geller Capital, with a focus on higher beta names on an intermediate term time frame. His educational background includes focus in economics and international relations, specifically war theory. He is a graduate with honors from Hunter College in New York City. You can contact Leigh by emailing him at Leigh@estimize.com